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My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

dr_rat posted:

Looks like someone forgot one of the most fundamental rules of the universe.

IOWA WILL ALWAYS DISAPPOINT YOU!

Not if you love butter and deep-fried poo poo it won't

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egon_beeblebrox
Mar 1, 2008

WILL AMOUNT TO NOTHING IN LIFE.



Joementum posted:

No, he'll just continue in a persistent vegetative state.

Nice.

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


Joementum posted:

This year there will be the Microsoft app to report results in an attempt to get the count right (I predict this will go hilariously wrong)

Not ready reading state IA
Carson, Huckabee, Jeb?

SHY NUDIST GRRL
Feb 15, 2011

Communism will help more white people than anyone else. Any equal measures unfairly provide less to minority populations just because there's less of them. Democracy is truly the tyranny of the mob.

My Imaginary GF posted:

Depends who it favors.

For instance, if the state GOP reports Jeb!'s the winner of the caucus, I'm pretty drat certain it'd be called out instantly.

I'm not expecting transparent fuckery. But there are three people it is a toss up between, more so between two.

Full Battle Rattle
Aug 29, 2009

As long as the times refuse to change, we're going to make a hell of a racket.
Maybe this will be the first year the eventual front-runner doesn't win any of the early primary states. Trump will have narrative strength, but I'd be willing to bet you're going to see a lot more people jump behind Rubio after NH.

InsanityIsCrazy
Jan 25, 2003

by Lowtax

Shifty Pony posted:

Not ready reading state IA
Carson, Huckabee, Jeb?

:golfclap:

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Full Battle Rattle posted:

Maybe this will be the first year the eventual front-runner doesn't win any of the early primary states. Trump will have narrative strength, but I'd be willing to bet you're going to see a lot more people jump behind Rubio after NH.

There once was a nominee who lost 11 of the first 12 primary contests.


Bill Clinton

dr_rat
Jun 4, 2001

My Imaginary GF posted:

Not if you love butter and deep-fried poo poo it won't

...okay, I'll give you that.

Rocks
Dec 30, 2011

What's the best news station to follow all this trash today? I need something to put on while I'm at work. Is CNN pretty much my only option?

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

dr_rat posted:

...okay, I'll give you that.

Brother, your ivory tower elitist perch blinds you to just how believed butter and deep fried poo poo is in America.

You may eat all the kale you want in your bicoastal lifestyle; here in the midwest, we have butter.

SnakePlissken
Dec 31, 2009

by zen death robot

katlington posted:

Two corinthians isnt the one he likes?

Apparently the wrong Corinthian.

OJ MIST 2 THE DICK
Sep 11, 2008

Anytime I need to see your face I just close my eyes
And I am taken to a place
Where your crystal minds and magenta feelings
Take up shelter in the base of my spine
Sweet like a chica cherry cola

-Cheap Trick

Nap Ghost

Joementum posted:

There once was a nominee who lost 11 of the first 12 primary contests.


Bill Clinton

I don't see Trump asking Jesse Jackson to be his veep

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

ayn rand hand job posted:

I don't see Trump asking Jesse Jackson to be his veep

Trump has already said he'd love to have Oprah be his VP.

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin

Joementum posted:

There once was a nominee who lost 11 of the first 12 primary contests.


Bill Clinton

How on earth did he pull that off, anyways

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

ayn rand hand job posted:

I don't see Trump asking Jesse Jackson to be his veep

I think the only man who sees anyone asking him to be their veep is Jessie Jackson.

Besides, JJJ has a mayoral comeback campaign to run.

Montasque
Jul 18, 2003

Living in a hateful world sending me straight to Heaven
Trump keeps calling Howard Stern up at random times(off air).

I got a feeling Stern will be his FCC head.

GlyphGryph
Jun 23, 2013

Down came the glitches and burned us in ditches and we slept after eating our dead.

Joementum posted:

No, he'll just continue in a persistent vegetative state.

You know, this joke (or some variant of it) has been made dozens and dozens since this thread has started, and I still love it every single time. It is my favorite part of the Bush campaign.

The Nastier Nate
May 22, 2005

All aboard the corona bus!

HONK! HONK!


Yams Fan

Montasque posted:

Trump keeps calling Howard Stern up at random times(off air).

I got a feeling Stern will be his FCC head.

A legitimate reason to vote for Trump in the general if I've ever heard one.

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane

Montasque posted:

Trump keeps calling Howard Stern up at random times(off air).

I got a feeling Stern will be his FCC head.

This would make me vote Trump.

CortezFantastic
Aug 10, 2003

I SEE DEMONS

HiHo ChiRho posted:

Jeb!, stay in bed
Your campaign failing's locked in my head
Trump's got me broke
I don't care I'm down for what you want

Get drunk into the night
Mamma keep you here
Cause you dry my tears
Yeah, Jeb is lovin' these fights
How it is for us
And it's all because

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

Trump, give me Trump
Anything you want I'll give it up
Chris Christie gets
Feisty with your parkway trips

Jeb! bushed into the night
Mama Bush is here
Cause you dry my tears
Yeah, summer lovin' and fights
How it is for us
And it's all because

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

Bodies
America making bodies we just use for walls
Bodies
Let's force them out til every muslim is gone
(Let's go)
On and on and on
(Let's go)
On and on
(Let's go)

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

Now if we're talking party
You got a Grand Old one
So put it on me
Swear it won't take you long
If you love me right
We Cruz for life
On and on and on

tighten this up and I'll make a parody of this, I suck at parody lyrics

Sephiroth_IRA
Mar 31, 2010
http://tunein.com/embed/player/t103316545/

1:30. Lady in chicken suit says Trump is actually a liberal.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Mother Jones consulted a palm reading guide to find out what Trump's stubby fingers tell us... and it's pretty accurate.


OJ MIST 2 THE DICK
Sep 11, 2008

Anytime I need to see your face I just close my eyes
And I am taken to a place
Where your crystal minds and magenta feelings
Take up shelter in the base of my spine
Sweet like a chica cherry cola

-Cheap Trick

Nap Ghost

mastershakeman posted:

How on earth did he pull that off, anyways

Fractured support.

Basically of the 10 contests that Clinton lost, 4 went to Tsongas, 3 went to Harkin, 2 went to Brown, and 1 went to Kerrey.

Clinton started winning in the South after that initial blitz, and Brown picked up enough momentum to knock Tsongas out. Then Jerry Brown said he would consider Jesse Jackson as a possible veep less than a year removed from the Crown Heights riots and lost NY and the primary.

Oiled and Ready
Oct 11, 2004

He wished it could be as respectable and orthodox as spying. But somehow in his hands the traditional tools and attitudes were always employed toward mean ends: cloak for a laundry sack, dagger to peel potatoes, dossiers to fill up dead Sunday afternoons ...

No. This isn't real. I refuse to believe it, it's too good

Sephiroth_IRA
Mar 31, 2010

Trump's not marriage material.

Sephiroth_IRA fucked around with this message at 17:03 on Feb 1, 2016

Pepe Silvia Browne
Jan 1, 2007

Well, consider me a true believer when it comes to Palm Reading, I guess.

Subvisual Haze
Nov 22, 2003

The building was on fire and it wasn't my fault.

Joementum posted:

There once was a nominee who lost 11 of the first 12 primary contests.


Bill Clinton

True, but on the GOP side every nomination winning candidate has won either Iowa or NH since Iowa/NH became the standard opener.

Louisgod
Sep 25, 2003

Always Watching
Bread Liar

This is how you defeat trump:

-Constantly talk about his sausage fingers and how they're more comparable to Jimmy Dean breakfast sausages and not Jumbo Ballpark Franks.
-Criticize his taste in steak.
-Tell him America is already great and that he is unpatriotic for suggesting otherwise.
-Call him gay

That's all I have.

tote up a bags
Jun 8, 2006

die stoats die

Trump's biggest mistake was not running democrat and crushing whichever empty suit slimed their way to the nomination.

Imagine all of 2015's Jeb! burns, but days before the election

Pepe Silvia Browne
Jan 1, 2007

Louisgod posted:

This is how you defeat trump:

-Constantly talk about his sausage fingers and how they're more comparable to Jimmy Dean breakfast sausages and not Jumbo Ballpark Franks.
-Criticize his taste in steak.
-Tell him America is already great and that he is unpatriotic for suggesting otherwise.
-Call him gay

That's all I have.

Holy poo poo, are you Jeb!'s top strategist?

Eschers Basement
Sep 13, 2007

by exmarx

mastershakeman posted:

How on earth did he pull that off, anyways

4 of those had "favorite son" candidates, so coming in 2nd or 3rd was enough to keep momentum; 1 was a caucus where "Uncommitted" won so no one cared. So, really, he only lost 5 out of 6? But even while losing, he was really the only thing the media could talk about, and so he got a lot of donations and kept afloat. Heck, they even declared him the 'real' winner of NH even though he was 9 points behind Tsongas.

He then went on to win 10 of the next 12 across the next two weeks, and was 2nd in one of the 2 he lost.

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

Aliquid posted:

We talk about this a lot; have an article on "The Party Decides":

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/donald-trump-2016-political-scientists-218352

So Trump is the Mule. It's completely silly to think there are hard and fixed rules that can possibly be constructed from just a few cycles worth of data, BTW.

EDIT: Sociologists and anthropologists would be useful experts to chime in on this too, this is a political movement pushed forward by sociological factors and pure animosity.

EDIT 2: The more I read this thing, the more irritated I get about it. You have a political scientist actively rewriting her theory to fit the data mid-article, when it should always be the other way around. If you can't predict with it, what's the point?

Shageletic fucked around with this message at 17:05 on Feb 1, 2016

Dubstep Jesus
Jun 27, 2012

by exmarx

THA TITTY THRILLER posted:

Holy poo poo, are you Jeb!'s top strategist?

Are you posting from a dimension where Jeb! managed to clown on Trump?

Pepe Silvia Browne
Jan 1, 2007

Dubstep Jesus posted:

Are you posting from a dimension where Jeb! managed to clown on Trump?

I'm posting from a dimension where Jeb!'s strategy for taking down Trump was to call him "a Jerk."

GlyphGryph
Jun 23, 2013

Down came the glitches and burned us in ditches and we slept after eating our dead.

THA TITTY THRILLER posted:

I'm posting from a dimension where Jeb!'s strategy for taking down Trump was to call him "a Jerk."

That's none of those things though, it's just a weak, low energy insult that feeds the Trump narrative. If Jeb was pulling from that list he'd be doing a lot better than he is now.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
Can't post for 5 years!
Grimey Drawer


Donald Trump is going to be President and palm reading is legit and real.

I love this earth.

Mr. Pumroy
May 20, 2001

GlyphGryph posted:

That's none of those things though, it's just a weak, low energy insult that feeds the Trump narrative. If Jeb was pulling from that list he'd be doing a lot better than he is now.

if he could pull those things off he wouldn't be jeb. or at least, not the jeb we know. an uncanny non-jeb, possibly cybernetic and sent from the future

Xenophon
Jun 28, 2003

by FactsAreUseless
Grimey Drawer

THA TITTY THRILLER posted:

I'm posting from a dimension where Jeb!'s strategy for taking down Trump was to call him "a Jerk."

I'm from the dimension wherein Bush thought calling Trump "the chaos candidate" would be a sick burn

SHY NUDIST GRRL
Feb 15, 2011

Communism will help more white people than anyone else. Any equal measures unfairly provide less to minority populations just because there's less of them. Democracy is truly the tyranny of the mob.

Fox's making fun of Trump hasn't panned out yet. I think it's an angle only the dems can use.

So what's the Mule?

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Pepe Silvia Browne
Jan 1, 2007

Mr. Pumroy posted:

if he could pull those things off he wouldn't be jeb. or at least, not the jeb we know. an uncanny non-jeb, possibly cybernetic and sent from the future

And Trump may be overly sensitive over his tiny baby fingers, but my point is that all of these are clearly as effective as picking at him over the "Two Corinthians" thing. It doesn't matter. None of it matters. The day after you tell him his fingers are tiny, he'll have a doctor's report verifying that his fingers are WELL within the average range of length and in fact slightly longer than the average!

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