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Necc0 posted:Yeah I'd sell the GOP shares asap while you're still ahead. In news that should affect all of us, BUSH.DROPOUT.IA has resolved NO this morning.
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Feb 1, 2016 15:55
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So the commission is taken out of individual names, and not the profit in the market as a whole. What a completely ridiculous way to do it. Totally distorts the market.
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Feb 1, 2016 16:03
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This guy is gonna go bankrupt but he's gonna win $7 on his one good bet
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Feb 1, 2016 16:08
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Arkane posted:So the commission is taken out of individual names, and not the profit in the market as a whole. Yeah if you win in three and lose one they only count the money you put in to the winning markets when calculating their cut of the profit which is bullshit. On the other hand the fact that you can sell individual shares in isolated markets before the close date sort of necessitates that system.
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Feb 1, 2016 17:11
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An interesting bet would be NO on "will trump win any primaries", they are at approx. 10 cents The polls are very close for Iowa, it may be around a coin toss for him to lose Iowa, and if he does, you can expect those NO shares to spike up a few cents A bulk of NOs at 10 cents with a sell order at 18 cents will pay off well if Cruz wins Iowa. With 10 cent shares, that's fairly low risk
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Feb 1, 2016 17:52
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At least sell the Rubios while you're almost tripled up.
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Feb 1, 2016 18:07
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Have Bernie Iowa NOs always been this cheap? I'm thinkin of doubling my money here. Basically everything is going Hillary's way.
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Feb 1, 2016 18:11
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pathetic little tramp posted:Have Bernie Iowa NOs always been this cheap? I'm thinkin of doubling my money here. Basically everything is going Hillary's way. You won't double your money but 64c is a couple pennies cheaper than it's been. Probably because of the Quinn poll.
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Feb 1, 2016 18:29
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gently caress it, I'm just slapping all my money from the NBCDEBATEBUMP into Bernie NO for iowa. I just don't have the cash to get volume for those small bumps. I did make 5 bucks on TRUMPSWEEP YES in the last couple hours though. That was nice.
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Feb 1, 2016 18:34
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Goddammit. I want cheap SWEEP.
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Feb 1, 2016 19:37
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pathetic little tramp posted:Have Bernie Iowa NOs always been this cheap? I'm thinkin of doubling my money here. Basically everything is going Hillary's way.
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Feb 1, 2016 20:12
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Threw a solid $50 at Bernie Iowa NO. This is basically double what I had in every other market combined.
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Feb 1, 2016 20:40
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Come on Cruz! (And Clinton.) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQUSDeptBxE
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Feb 1, 2016 21:09
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Sold the vast majority of my Hillary No in Iowa for a 3c/share profit. I'll hold 50 shares for fun.
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Feb 1, 2016 21:18
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Omi-Polari posted:Come on Cruz! (And Clinton.) I bought a bunch of Donald No and, for some reason, 3 shares of Cruz YES earlier so here's hoping for that upset.
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Feb 1, 2016 21:21
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Rand shares are valued higher for first place than for second. 
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Feb 1, 2016 21:49
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Platystemon posted:Rand shares are valued higher for first place than for second. His supporters are hyping a come-from-behind ~19% four-way finish with him squeaking it out. Remember who his supporters are.
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Feb 1, 2016 21:50
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Platystemon posted:Rand shares are valued higher for first place than for second. Of course they are. He has 10,000 precinct chairs and they are going to each bring 10 friends, and those people are going to bring 5 of their friends. Duh!
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Feb 1, 2016 21:52
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I think the best penny market right now is the VP markets, especially the republicans. Many of them are priced below 5 cents and they move around a few cents at a time. With this market being so far our there, you could buy hundreds of shares of each of them at 1-3 cents and immediately put sell offers for a few cents more and just wait as long as it takes for your account to grow incrementally
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Feb 1, 2016 21:56
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Commie NedFlanders posted:
i do this
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Feb 1, 2016 21:57
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Aliquid posted:His supporters are hyping a come-from-behind ~19% four-way finish with him squeaking it out. Remember who his supporters are. Predictit now accepts gold deposits.
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Feb 1, 2016 21:59
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Aliquid posted:i do this That's the most reliable strategy to win long term, it's just not as exciting as 400% GAINS from getting lucky on an Obama poll Snyder, Perry, Jindal and Graham are all 1 or 2 cents Condi Rice is at 4 cents, I would put a buy offer at 2 cents for a few hundred shares and wait till someone buys them then immediately put a sell offer at 4 cents again
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Feb 1, 2016 22:00
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I have around 12,000 shares of Rand to win Iowa, average of 5.5 cents...I think he could shock the world. If it's close and he doesn't win, Microsoft could be the culprit.
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Feb 1, 2016 22:22
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Don't forget to bet on the drop out market. Huckabee has said that he will be dropping out if he doesn't come in at least 3rd. Santorum is a goner too, but he is a lot cheaper than Huckabee for some reason. But the safe money is to bet NO on everyone else that you can buy. Carson had been in the mid 80's all day and there are still No's out there for most of themArkane posted:I have around 12,000 shares of Rand to win Iowa, average of 5.5 cents...I think he could shock the world. By my math that is $660. Honestly I would have more fun dropping $20 bills out my car window and watching the commotion it caused. Zeta Taskforce has issued a correction as of 22:26 on Feb 1, 2016 |
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Feb 1, 2016 22:23
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five and a half cents for rand shares are you insane
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Feb 1, 2016 22:42
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If we get three or four dropouts at once, when does PI decide to close them? It took like a week for some of the previous ones to close.
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Feb 1, 2016 22:55
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nachos posted:If we get three or four dropouts at once, when does PI decide to close them? It took like a week for some of the previous ones to close. A week after the announcement and which every loser releases the announcement first is the "winner".
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Feb 1, 2016 22:57
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Arkane posted:I have around 12,000 shares of Rand to win Iowa, average of 5.5 cents...I think he could shock the world. Do you also have obscene numbers of shares for Rand to win NH and Nevada? If so we noticed and remarked on the weird price surges at the time
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Feb 1, 2016 23:07
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The Rand thing was a joke. No Rubio in NH or Nevada, but a good amount in Iowa!
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Feb 1, 2016 23:14
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Came across this article on the history of political betting from earlier this month, pretty interesting: http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21684798-how-jesse-jackson-inadvertently-revived-political-betting-prediction-2016 Does neglect to mention Betfair which is decently-sized (about $6m wagered so far on the election).
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Feb 1, 2016 23:26
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update:  
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Feb 2, 2016 00:59
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does anybody have a referral code? edit: promo code i mean
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Feb 2, 2016 01:07
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UrAClassAct posted:update: Credit where it's due if this actually works you're gonna have a payout measured in 'shitloads'
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Feb 2, 2016 01:14
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Bought some Cruz Yes for 2nd place so I'm officially back in on this nonsense.
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Feb 2, 2016 01:15
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The Election subforum thread is reporting high GOP turnout/new registrations, so I might be a bit more optimistic on Trump's chances.
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Feb 2, 2016 01:23
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Trump sweep is still cheap
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Feb 2, 2016 01:31
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watwat posted:Trump sweep is still cheap I'm so tempted to buy in to that market please someone help me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHy8kW632dE
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Feb 2, 2016 01:46
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Carson is "taking a break" after Iowa, just turned 250 40 cent shares into 250 50 cent shares toot toot.
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Feb 2, 2016 01:49
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someone just bought up a ton of paul shares in the iowa second place market, he was briefly listed at .18
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Feb 2, 2016 02:04
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Just threw my hat into TRUMP.SWEEP 
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Feb 2, 2016 02:17
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