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Will Trump get stumped?
Yes
No
#FeelTheBern
Baby Hitler
View Results
 
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logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
If Bernie can't win Iowa, he's hosed and this is exactly why.

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Jerusalem
May 20, 2004

Would you be my new best friends?

1.6% between Trump and Rubio now. Come on, Rubio, drink up those votes like a bottle of water during a speech vital to your political career!

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx

Emanuel Collective posted:

uhh Bernie has like a 30 point average lead in New Hampshire dude

he should have said that both iowa and new hampshire are as easy as it gets (and a few others, like vermont). Look at the polling for any state with a sizeable minority population and you'll see why states like Iowa are Bernie's best shot.

skaboomizzy
Nov 12, 2003

There is nothing I want to be. There is nothing I want to do.
I don't even have an image of what I want to be. I have nothing. All that exists is zero.
Christie in 10th place out of 11. He's just ahead of Santorum.

walgreenslatino
Jun 2, 2015

Lipstick Apathy
CNN idiot: "Sanders is really good at tapping into voters...with his ideas!!!"

Chromatic
Jan 21, 2005

You guys ready to hear a satanic song?
I thought Trump was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless
Back to 1.2%

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

rscott posted:

Who do O'Malleys 6 delegates go to, they could decide who "wins" this

It's 0.6% of the total delegates to the county caucuses. They're still O'Malley people, but nobody is bound on the Democratic side so they can work with whomever they like at the county caucuses. They're unlikely to be chosen for the district level caucuses though.

GOOD TIMES ON METH
Mar 17, 2006

Fun Shoe
Chris Matthews eyes get more lifeless every election cycle its creepy

Probably Magic
Oct 9, 2012

Looking cute, feeling cute.
Clinton not even campaigning on public option should kill her, but we live in a bullshit world.

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
I'm so happy I didn't invest in any prediction markets for Trump.

Rand alPaul
Feb 3, 2010

by Nyc_Tattoo
:siren: Workers at the Des Moines Tractor Factory have voted in Sanders as General Secretary of the Central Committee. :siren:

Emanuel Collective
Jan 16, 2008

by Smythe
As someone who has a vested interest in Literally Any Democrat winning in November: Clinton & her campaign, get your loving poo poo together

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Reason posted:

Thats a crazy statement when you look at polls in other states. Looks like Hillary supporters are the ones shedding tears at this point.

How is stating facts shedding tears

Shrecknet
Jan 2, 2005


shiksa posted:

and trump got loving railroaded compared to the last polls

i guess turnout is bad for him lmao

I believe you meant to say Trump got Schlonged

QuoProQuid
Jan 12, 2012

Tr*ckin' and F*ckin' all the way to tha
T O P

Chromatic posted:

I thought Trump was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

His supporters didn't show up.

I'll be really interested in seeing how he spins the results tonight.

Lid
Feb 18, 2005

And the mercy seat is awaiting,
And I think my head is burning,
And in a way I'm yearning,
To be done with all this measuring of proof.
An eye for an eye
And a tooth for a tooth,
And anyway I told the truth,
And I'm not afraid to die.

Chromatic posted:

I thought Trump was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

Shy Anti-Fascists

Shammypants
May 25, 2004

Let me tell you about true luxury.

Chromatic posted:

I thought Trump was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

Margin of error fuckery. Rubio took from Cruz, and Cruz is about where he was expected to be.

blue squares
Sep 28, 2007

Did Chris Matthews just say HOG CASTRATION?

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Logikv9 posted:

If Bernie can't win Iowa, he's hosed and this is exactly why.



He needs to go balls-out in the debate this week

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
Where do I go to look at delegate counts?

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Chromatic posted:

I thought Trump was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

His supporters did not caucus.

Trash Trick
Apr 17, 2014

Logikv9 posted:

If Bernie can't win Iowa, he's hosed and this is exactly why.



rip

But Rocks Hurt Head
Jun 30, 2003

by Hand Knit
Pillbug

Venom Snake posted:

How is stating facts shedding tears

They're angry tears, at the Bad Reddit Website people

blue squares
Sep 28, 2007

walgreenslatino posted:

CNN idiot: "Sanders is really good at tapping into voters...with his ideas!!!"

was the pause so I wouldthink "penis"?

KaptainKrunk
Feb 6, 2006


I knew Cruz was going to take Iowa but I was surprised by Rubio's late surge.

The question becomes does this translate into a consolidation of support for Rubio in NH and SC?

fsif
Jul 18, 2003

memy posted:

PUNDITS KNEW

Jerusalem
May 20, 2004

Would you be my new best friends?

Chromatic posted:

I thought Trump was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

People played along with the joke or wanted to give the "establishment" a fright or were otherwise angry at the GOP and then it came time to vote and they said,"Oh right, I'm voting for the guy I want to actually stand for President for real."

Vertical Lime
Dec 11, 2004

https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/694357677971996672

rupert must be a happy motherfucker right now

Brannock
Feb 9, 2006

by exmarx
Fallen Rib
Can Bernie make up 0.7% with the remaining 19% precincts?

Trash Trick
Apr 17, 2014

The next Republican debate is going to be so loving great

SpiderHyphenMan
Apr 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy

axeil posted:

Becauae Iowa determines if candidates meet the minimal threshold for being viable. MOM, santorum, huckabee, fiorina and Carson are not.
Carson's in fourth with 9.4% though???

TyrantWD
Nov 6, 2010
Ignore my doomerism, I don't think better things are possible

Mr Hootington posted:

See I don't know because Iowa is a old state and olds are going for Hillary supposedly. I think this is might tip some people from the "I like Bernie, but he is unelectable," to "Holy crap he is electable!"

I don't think this changes any minds on Bernie being electable. The doubt stems from people who don't believe he will hold up to Republican attack ads painting him as self-declared socialist who everyone needs to fear. Clintons only redeeming quality is the fact that she is Teflon to Republican attacks.

silicone thrills
Jan 9, 2008

I paint things

Chromatic posted:

I thought Biggest rear end in a top hat was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

Trump supporters are lazy fucks. Is anyone surprised?

But Rocks Hurt Head
Jun 30, 2003

by Hand Knit
Pillbug

memy posted:

PUNDITS KNEW

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.

Chromatic posted:

I thought Trump was polling extremely high in Iowa and winning there seemed like an inevitability.

What the gently caress happened?

the various places polling had two main methods of polling

some polled people likely to vote tonight and others polled more than just that

blue squares
Sep 28, 2007

Joementum posted:

His supporters did not caucus.

Bill Kristol curse

greatn
Nov 15, 2006

by Lowtax

Venom Snake posted:

The demographics in Iowa are extremely in favor of Bernie and him not doing well would have been embarrassing.

Well good thing he did incredibly well then

Combed Thunderclap
Jan 4, 2011



pathetic little tramp posted:

Where do I go to look at delegate counts?

Front page of the NYTimes.com site is showing them.

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Winkie01
Nov 28, 2004
The most interesting thing imo is where does Carson's 10% end up? Cruz I would think?

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