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The Burning of Iowa is still on schedule, I hope.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:15
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KIM JONG TRILL posted:Actually I'll vote for whoever promises to dismantle the Texas A&M system and round up all aggys to concentration camps We're pretty good at unintentionally dismantling poo poo ourselves no worries
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Feb 2, 2016 06:15
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Whatever the final result of this statistical tie, this has been a fun night, a fun caucus, and a fun thread. I am mostly disappointed that we'll not be getting any more Hootington now, his stuff is the best.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:15
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So now O'Malley is out can Clinton and Sanders split it 666 each?
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Feb 2, 2016 06:15
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Josh Lyman posted:I thought there were 52 delegates in Iowa. Yeah, but these are the delegates who select the delegates who select THOSE delegates
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Feb 2, 2016 06:15
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Joementum posted:Again, there were at least three delegates literally decided by a coin toss. None of this actually matters. Sure it does. The message now drives the rest of the election.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:16
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I do like how Hillary is all about Flint when NAFTA was the root cause of that town going to poo poo. I'm not bitter, no siree.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:16
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Joementum posted:And yet Trump still lost. Hmmmmmmm. Almost as if his voters didn't turn out. If Rubio won I'd be a lot more concerned for Trump's chances. But yeah.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:16
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Forreals, I did not expect Bernie to do so well in Iowa, and he's been my jam since I caught that 8-hour speech live on CSPAN. It's crazy to me that less than a year ago he was only well known to progressives and Vermonters going up against someone who has been at a near-constant in American political life for more than 20 years. Good job, Bernie. I'm still rooting for you 
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Feb 2, 2016 06:17
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Spiros posted:Sure it does. The message now drives the rest of the election. we had a similar situation in 2012 and nobody cared. Then again the presumed nominee cleaned house in New Hampshire and this time around Sanders is going to clean house there
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Feb 2, 2016 06:17
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Joementum posted:Again, there were at least three delegates literally decided by a coin toss. None of this actually matters. This makes me wonder what the "margin of error" would be, for the caucus itself. Is it possible to pretend it's a poll and apply the stats formulas to get a meaningful number? Like if there were a do-over how much variance would we expect. or something like that.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:17
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Valliantstu posted:I do like how Hillary is all about Flint when NAFTA was the root cause of that town going to poo poo. I'm not bitter, no siree. I've been working on a theory that lead pipes was the root cause
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Feb 2, 2016 06:18
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 The Iowa Caucus’s Catnip King
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Feb 2, 2016 06:18
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Valliantstu posted:I do like how Hillary is all about Flint when NAFTA was the root cause of that town going to poo poo. I'm not bitter, no siree. I'm not caught up on her flip-flops yet, has Clinton admitted that NAFTA was terrible garbage yet
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Feb 2, 2016 06:18
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Fullhouse posted:I'm not caught up on her flip-flops yet, has Clinton admitted that NAFTA was terrible garbage yet I MIGHT be willing to vote for her if she did.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:19
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Ralp posted:This makes me wonder what the "margin of error" would be, for the caucus itself. Is it possible to pretend it's a poll and apply the stats formulas to get a meaningful number? Like if there were a do-over how much variance would we expect. or something like that. Right now, deep in the bowels of 538, a couple of interns are playing with an MCMC simulating this very process.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:19
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tonight.jpg
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Feb 2, 2016 06:19
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McGlockenshire posted:tonight.jpg Owns.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:20
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Arkane posted:I've been working on a theory that lead pipes was the root cause The best part is honestly that we've known led was a problem and shouldn't be used in pipes since the 1800s but corporate lobbying on behalf of the lead lobby repeatedly killed any meaningful attempts to regulate the plumbing industry.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:20
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Ralp posted:This makes me wonder what the "margin of error" would be, for the caucus itself. Is it possible to pretend it's a poll and apply the stats formulas to get a meaningful number? Like if there were a do-over how much variance would we expect. or something like that. On the Democratic side, there's a *huge* amount of variance, since votes can be shifted through electioneering in the room, but if you ran this even with the same conditions going in you'd get a virtual tie in a majority of circumstances. And that's fine!
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Feb 2, 2016 06:20
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Powercrazy posted:Yea SCOTUS is important. But again, unless you are in one of like 10 counties in like 8 states, you have zero influence on that nomination. Why would what county you live in matter?
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Feb 2, 2016 06:20
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McGlockenshire posted:tonight.jpg Voted 5
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Feb 2, 2016 06:20
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McGlockenshire posted:tonight.jpg this, and Hillary down to 3 (which is the number decided by a coin toss)
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Feb 2, 2016 06:20
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Fullhouse posted:I'm not caught up on her flip-flops yet, has Clinton admitted that NAFTA was terrible garbage yet Yes, more recently she's been saying she disliked NAFTA from the start, despite convening at least five meetings about how to get the necessary votes for NAFTA through Congress as first lady 
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Feb 2, 2016 06:20
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Arkane posted:I've been working on a theory that lead pipes was the root cause Flint was pretty bad before the lead issue, bro
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Feb 2, 2016 06:22
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MeatwadIsGod posted:Yes, more recently she's been saying she disliked NAFTA from the start, despite convening at least five meetings about how to get the necessary votes for NAFTA through Congress She's only against the Trans-Atlantic Trade deal as a bullshit distancing move from Obama.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:22
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So I'm learning from CNN that 49.6 round down to 49
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Feb 2, 2016 06:22
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Tonight is a huge win for Joementum.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:23
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greatn posted:So I'm learning from CNN that 49.6 round down to 49 
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Feb 2, 2016 06:23
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OrangeKing posted:Yeah, but these are the delegates who select the delegates who select THOSE delegates Why don't the precinct votes directly determine state delegates? Elections for governor, senator, and president are all based on raw state totals.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:23
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Jesus Christ I was in class for the last three hours and this is what I see when class lets out. A near even split between Clinton and Sanders. What the gently caress
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Feb 2, 2016 06:24
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Bernie up to 666 votes!
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Feb 2, 2016 06:24
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Josh Lyman posted:I just read up on county vs state delegates. The Democratic primary has accrued over a hundred years worth of bullshit.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:24
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Probably Magic posted:She's only against the Trans-Atlantic Trade deal as a bullshit distancing move from Obama. owns because she is also marketing her campaign as 4 more years of obama recently
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Feb 2, 2016 06:25
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Sebadoh Gigante posted:Bernie up to 666 votes! Hail Satan.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:25
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Hollismason posted:Hail Satan.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:25
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Sebadoh Gigante posted:Bernie up to 666 votes! 669 is a much better number.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:26
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Hollismason posted:Hail Satan.
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Feb 2, 2016 06:26
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CNN is driving hard to be the most garbage-tier network this cycle
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Feb 2, 2016 06:26
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Hollismason posted:Hail Satan. 
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Feb 2, 2016 06:26
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