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god damnit I knew some stupid poo poo would go down when two candidates dropped out a day of each other but wasn't online in time to capitalize
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Feb 3, 2016 18:56
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I was already maxed on Rand No. poo poo.
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Feb 3, 2016 19:04
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For gently caress sake the one morning that I had to be really busy 
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Feb 3, 2016 19:13
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Adar posted:He's at 9/5 on Betfair (obviously a much thinner market but whatever) just to give you an idea of how far off Predictit is right now. Adar posted:Looking at PredictIt, you guys are really getting screwed. Your prices are so far off what those of us outside the US can get Adar posted:He's still at 3.5:1 on Betfair so no need for that. I'll probably sell if he's at 3:2 by Christmas myself, just waiting for the market to move that far. The danger zone for his nom is the first two weeks of January; if he is still up 10 right after the last debate he's probably winning Iowa and then inside tracks the nom. Adar posted:Betfair does not have this problem and so those of us on there can move a lot slower, but if you're in the US you simply have to cap out your investment ASAP. It's like an IRA that returns 500-1000% but only if you max it on day 1. Adar posted:God American attitudes on betting are retarded. Adar posted:I've got no idea how to break 50 since I don't bother with PI, but there are only two possibilities for a market like that: Adar posted:What the hell? Betfair hasn't moved at all. Did some Bernie supporter blow $850 for no reason? Adar posted:As much as this is making me want to fund a PredictIt account having Betfair access is so so so so very good right now. I have a hard head, but you finally won me over. Betfair is clearly awesome and PI is merely a pale imitation, and Americans deserve some combination of pity and scorn for making due with it.
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Feb 3, 2016 19:25
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If this was for serious volume I'd have to arb it but ehh.
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I had $10 in Rand YES I was trying to flip for pennies. Now ... gone! But that's ok since I made a bunch of money on Iowa.
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Feb 3, 2016 19:27
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When the gently caress are they going to resolve BUSH.DROPOUT.IOWA? It's been 3 days now.
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Feb 3, 2016 19:31
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Mike_V posted:When the gently caress are they going to resolve BUSH.DROPOUT.IOWA? It's been 3 days now. They legitimately can't tell.
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Feb 3, 2016 19:36
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Mike_V posted:When the gently caress are they going to resolve BUSH.DROPOUT.IOWA? It's been 3 days now.
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Feb 3, 2016 19:46
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Mike_V posted:When the gently caress are they going to resolve BUSH.DROPOUT.IOWA? It's been 3 days now. Mine just resolved.
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Feb 3, 2016 19:57
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What do you think of Carly becoming the GOP VP? She is damned good about staying on message and has been attacking Clinton since she entered this race. I can't think of anything she has done during her candidacy to completely rule her out. edit: Meant to post this in the primary thread, drat.
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Feb 3, 2016 20:17
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Santorum is dropping out according to CNN, going to stalk his DROPOUT6 NO and see if any idiots take the bait again. Probably not as many because they've put up a disclaimer, but we will see.
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Feb 3, 2016 20:20
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sharkbomb posted:What do you think of Carly becoming the GOP VP? 
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Feb 3, 2016 20:24
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sharkbomb posted:What do you think of Carly becoming the GOP VP? She is damned good about staying on message and has been attacking Clinton since she entered this race. I can't think of anything she has done during her candidacy to completely rule her out. https://www.predictit.org/Contract/1067/Will-Carly-Fiorina-win-the-2016-Republican-vice-presidential-nomination#data It can be yours for just 9 cents. 
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Feb 3, 2016 20:25
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So Santorum, Huckabee, and Paul are gone. I'd say Fiorina will drop out before Carson or Bush (Gilmore doesn't show up in those markets).
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Feb 3, 2016 20:45
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pathetic little tramp posted:So Santorum, Huckabee, and Paul are gone. I'd say Fiorina will drop out before Carson or Bush (Gilmore doesn't show up in those markets). Things are a bit more muddied now that a handful of the lightweights are out. It's a tough call, but look to the establishment to narrow by two immediately after NH: Christie and Kasich. My money will be on Christie going first since he had only $1.1 million in the bank on January 1st and he cannot be doing good a month later.
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Feb 3, 2016 21:02
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Dipping into Cruz.Above20%.NO for the end of February while it's so cheap. I'm expecting some lackluster performances in the coming weeks, plus for people to be turned off by him as he gets more exposure. I also wish I would have bought more Trump.above35.YES while it was so cheap but oh well.
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Feb 3, 2016 21:03
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sharkbomb posted:What do you think of Carly becoming the GOP VP? She is damned good about staying on message and has been attacking Clinton since she entered this race. I can't think of anything she has done during her candidacy to completely rule her out. She is the only person I can think of who is potentially more repulsive than Cruz
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Feb 3, 2016 21:07
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i vacuumed up a bunch of the o'malley 1c YESes last night in an attempt to nab a cent or two gain off the longshot crowd and here I am sitting with 729 shares cockblocked by someone trying to dump 627 1c shares.
IM DAY DAY IRL has issued a correction as of 21:13 on Feb 3, 2016 |
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Feb 3, 2016 21:09
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a cop posted:Dipping into Cruz.Above20%.NO for the end of February while it's so cheap. I'm expecting some lackluster performances in the coming weeks, plus for people to be turned off by him as he gets more exposure. I also wish I would have bought more Trump.above35.YES while it was so cheap but oh well.
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Feb 3, 2016 21:10
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Peachstapler posted:You may get another chance to buy very low Trump shares. PPP is going to drop a poll Thursday with "substantial drop in support" nationally for Trump. If it's less than 30% I'll be worried, but I doubt it will be. As is, I've only spent like $10 on trump shares, anyway.
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Feb 3, 2016 21:13
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:i vacuumed up a bunch of the o'malley 1c YESes last night in an attempt to nab a cent or two gain off the longshot crowd and here I am sitting with 729 shares cockblocked by someone trying to dump 627 1c shares. Basically, you bought those shares from yourself in the future
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Feb 3, 2016 21:30
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I just undervalued the prospect of someone A. actually holding any substantial amount of >1c shares and B. conceding whatever position had them purchase >1c shares prior to this weekend. I figured that, given the small volume of the market, I could set the ground floor and cover the initial investment after dumping half the shares with everything else amassing a free sandwich for lunch if they got scooped up by someone thinking they could flip them for 3c. Oh well, $7 down the drain :/
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Feb 3, 2016 21:53
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Always remember that on this site you're up against people playing the same game as you are, not the general public at large. It may seem like the latter a lot, but it's not.
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Feb 3, 2016 23:30
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Logikv9 posted:Santorum is dropping out according to CNN, going to stalk his DROPOUT6 NO and see if any idiots take the bait again. Probably not as many because they've put up a disclaimer, but we will see. Thanks for the heads up 
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Feb 4, 2016 03:09
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Zeta Taskforce posted:Thanks for the heads up lmfao holy poo poo I put in 500 buy orders at .95 and didn't think they'd fill but here I am sitting on 'em. Oh my god I love this site
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Feb 4, 2016 03:15
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Please let Kasich drop out early tomorrow morning. Please God if you're real let it happen again.
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Feb 4, 2016 03:18
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sharkbomb posted:What do you think of Carly becoming the GOP VP? She is damned good about staying on message and has been attacking Clinton since she entered this race. I can't think of anything she has done during her candidacy to completely rule her out. I think all the cheap VP picks are good penny options, doesn't matter if they have a chance or not, if they are 3 cents or less you can just sit on them until someone buys them for a few cents more. It's not exciting but it works reliably
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Feb 4, 2016 03:35
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Why is Bernie VP so cheap anyway? it doesn't seem unthinkable to me, especially if Rubio or someone else semi electable is the gop guy
Flavahbeast has issued a correction as of 04:39 on Feb 4, 2016 |
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Feb 4, 2016 04:33
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Flavahbeast posted:Why is Bernie VP so cheap anyway? it doesn't seem so unthinkable to me, especially if Rubio is the gop guy
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Feb 4, 2016 04:40
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The new national PPP poll has Trump at 25%... And Trump polling 35% NOs are sitting at 80c...
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Feb 4, 2016 04:41
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Flavahbeast posted:Why is Bernie VP so cheap anyway? it doesn't seem unthinkable to me, especially if Rubio or someone else semi electable is the gop guy There is no appeal to it, and he'd likely refuse as well.
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Feb 4, 2016 04:45
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Flavahbeast posted:Why is Bernie VP so cheap anyway? it doesn't seem unthinkable to me, especially if Rubio or someone else semi electable is the gop guy The most important job of the VP is to not tank you in the general election. The second most important job is to be someone you can get along with for 4 years straight. I don't see Hillary and Bernie hanging out together much
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Feb 4, 2016 04:55
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Julian Castro VP shares seem umbilically connected to Rubio YES in RNOM. Hmm...
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Feb 4, 2016 04:57
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Zeta Taskforce posted:Thanks for the heads up Man I have an open order for 250 @ .96 and it never got filled. I did manage to make $15 or so on the Rand Paul rush earlier. I should have dumped a bunch of other stuff to put more money into that. I got Rand Paul Nos at .60. Kasich NH Yes seems like a bargin at .05. I know he won't win but it's cheap enough that I'll wager on him gaining a bit of ground in the polls. User Error has issued a correction as of 05:06 on Feb 4, 2016 |
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Feb 4, 2016 04:59
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Flavahbeast posted:Why is Bernie VP so cheap anyway? it doesn't seem unthinkable to me, especially if Rubio or someone else semi electable is the gop guy Because Hillary would never pick Bernie for a variety of reasons.
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Feb 4, 2016 05:09
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User Error posted:Man I have an open order for 250 @ .96 and it never got filled. I did manage to make $15 or so on the Rand Paul rush earlier. I should have dumped a bunch of other stuff to put more money into that. I got Rand Paul Nos at .60. Christie at 2c probably also technically a good bet. That said, Trump has such a lead that I'm not going to bet against him.
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Feb 4, 2016 05:10
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Romney NOM crashed because he's endorsing Rubio; these were people thinking that he'd jump in the race any day now. If y'all want .01 Romney YES, there are like 6000 shares available.
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Feb 4, 2016 05:11
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Aliquid posted:Romney NOM crashed because he's endorsing Rubio; these were people thinking that he'd jump in the race any day now. If y'all want .01 Romney YES, there are like 6000 shares available. There is a good chance you could double your money.... At some point in the future maybe.
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Feb 4, 2016 05:14
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Latest buys: Hillary No in Nevada (@ ~23c, I expect it to double after NH). Trump Yes in New Hampshire (@ 67c, NH-only polls are what matter and he's still holding onto a huge lead in the state).
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Feb 4, 2016 05:35
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| # ? May 18, 2024 18:55 |
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Vox Nihili posted:Christie at 2c probably also technically a good bet. That said, Trump has such a lead that I'm not going to bet against him. Kasich is down to 2c 
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Feb 4, 2016 05:45
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