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I feel like setting an internal limit and cashing out is in my best interest simply because of the fees- knocking people on both profit rake and cash-out fees is absurd.
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Feb 11, 2016 00:31
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:I feel like setting an internal limit and cashing out is in my best interest simply because of the fees- knocking people on both profit rake and cash-out fees is absurd. Kinda. It's the same proportion no matter what so its not like it matters if you put in more or less. Agreed though.
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Feb 11, 2016 00:32
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Vox Nihili posted:It's been real, everyone, but I need to focus on real life before this hobby turns into a habit. you'll be missed
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Feb 11, 2016 00:33
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Jesus, and I thought the sports betting world had bad withdrawal fees for US customers.
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Feb 11, 2016 00:45
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Vox Nihili posted:It's been real, everyone, but I need to focus on real life before this hobby turns into a habit. Nice job. We will miss you and if life settles down for you I hope you come back
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Feb 11, 2016 00:50
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I just joined the site and am in for $50 of YES Bernie SC @ $0.17.
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Feb 11, 2016 00:58
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Jalumibnkrayal posted:I just joined the site and am in for $50 of YES Bernie SC @ $0.17. i wish you the best of luck on that
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Feb 11, 2016 01:01
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Jalumibnkrayal posted:I just joined the site and am in for $50 of YES Bernie SC @ $0.17. lol
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Feb 11, 2016 01:06
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Jalumibnkrayal posted:I just joined the site and am in for $50 of YES Bernie SC @ $0.17. Ok so the trick is to ride expectation waves. The second that a poll comes out that's even slightly favorable for bernie and you can make a profit you should probably pull out. Hillary is almost certainly going to win SC.
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Feb 11, 2016 01:06
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a cop posted:Ok so the trick is to ride expectation waves. The second that a poll comes out that's even slightly favorable for bernie and you can make a profit you should probably pull out. Hillary is almost certainly going to win SC. Yep, that's the idea.
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Feb 11, 2016 01:08
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So out of curiosity, why is it that when the polls close they take out risk adjustment fees as they pay out? I'm sure I'm just not thinking of something obvious as I see another fee added to their 5% fee before the total reaches my "wallet".
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Feb 11, 2016 02:21
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Gyges posted:So out of curiosity, why is it that when the polls close they take out risk adjustment fees as they pay out? I'm sure I'm just not thinking of something obvious as I see another fee added to their 5% fee before the total reaches my "wallet". Well, you know, there is processing, and handling, and the coffee, and, uh...
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Feb 11, 2016 03:10
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Romney RNOM had twelve thousand shares traded today 
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Feb 11, 2016 05:58
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Keeping an eye on MAPRMRY16.DEM ---- it's leaning heavily for Sanders without any recent polling (late Nov we had Clinton +25). Yes geographic proximity to NH/VT plays well here and momentum is in Sanders' favor, but even Obama got shellacked by Clinton there in 2008 despite being endorsed by Kennedy. I bought in around 50 for Bernie NO so I'm actually down right now. Thoughts on this one? It's right around the corner.
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Feb 11, 2016 06:33
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Wonder why Rubio South Carolina isn't higher considering 538 has him with a 22% chance of winning
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Feb 11, 2016 07:47
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Nirvikalpa posted:Wonder why Rubio South Carolina isn't higher considering 538 has him with a 22% chance of winning That's because Harry Enten gave Trump a -10% chance of winning and they had to pad the other candidates totals so it would add to 100.
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Feb 11, 2016 07:54
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Zeta Taskforce posted:That's because Harry Enten gave Trump a -10% chance of winning and they had to pad the other candidates totals so it would add to 100. god that photo was such bad PR
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Feb 11, 2016 08:19
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Nirvikalpa posted:Wonder why Rubio South Carolina isn't higher considering 538 has him with a 22% chance of winning Rubio has a higher chance to finish fourth in SC than win it.
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Feb 11, 2016 09:41
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So I'm looking ahead to Super Tuesday states, and I'm checking to see if there are any where I should get in while the prices are still in the flux of being early, and Minnesota Dem Primary seems like an easy place to make some money. Clinton's at a low price of 45ish despite a poll from less than a month ago giving her a huge advantage. I know Minnesota tends to be more liberal and Hillary dropped the ball there in 2008, but after she handily takes Nevada and SC, her prices are bound to go up. I'll probably jump on that train once my Ben Carson money comes in tomorrow.
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Feb 11, 2016 10:03
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Hillary, in general, is underpriced on Super Tuesday. Colorado's price is particularly bad, given that CO is both less friendly than Iowa and a closed primary whose voter registration deadline expired in early January.
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Feb 11, 2016 13:36
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If nothing else, buying Hillary Yes and Bernie No across Super Tuesday should provide you with a decent chance to flip any you may be worried about after she wins SC.
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Feb 11, 2016 14:11
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Any true believers on Ted Cruz in SC? The 0.25 YES buy there right now seems good.
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Feb 11, 2016 14:38
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railroad terror posted:Any true believers on Ted Cruz in SC? The 0.25 YES buy there right now seems good. Holding a bunch for the first poll but nothing long. Got in around 21 cents on Tuesday night.
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Feb 11, 2016 15:20
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Why the gently caress does this Christie dropout market resolve on the 17th? My liquidity 
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Feb 11, 2016 15:21
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nachos posted:Why the gently caress does this Christie dropout market resolve on the 17th? My liquidity Because he has five days to announce “j/k lol” and resume his campaign.
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Feb 11, 2016 15:22
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Haven't much looked at my account here since they started the linked markets - what's the short version as to why buying no shares is preferred over buying yes? edit: thanks Lazlow has issued a correction as of 15:57 on Feb 11, 2016 |
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Feb 11, 2016 15:43
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Lazlow posted:Haven't much looked at my account here since they started the linked markets - what's the short version as to why buying no shares is preferred over buying yes? There can only be one winner, so if you have only “NO”s, you can only lose on at most one of them. That’s always been true, but with linked markets, PredictIt will only tie up enough money to cover your worst‐case scenario. There’s a good example posted. NO bets are often more attractive because you can make more bets with the same money. Theoretically all the other traders realise this and the shares are priced accordingly, though. Platystemon has issued a correction as of 16:35 on Feb 11, 2016 |
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Feb 11, 2016 15:52
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SC 1st 2nd and 3rd place markets are now up
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Feb 11, 2016 16:01
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nachos posted:SC 1st 2nd and 3rd place markets are now up
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Feb 11, 2016 16:32
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nachos posted:SC 1st 2nd and 3rd place markets are now up I threw out some way-too-cheap Cruz YES for 2nd to see if anybody bites.
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Feb 11, 2016 16:35
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Vox Nihili posted:It's been real, everyone, but I need to focus on real life before this hobby turns into a habit. I'm with you man, I'm out too. Too much time spent
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Feb 11, 2016 16:59
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railroad terror posted:Any true believers on Ted Cruz in SC? The 0.25 YES buy there right now seems good.
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Feb 11, 2016 17:11
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I ended up snatching up 1000 shares @ 20 and 21 cents. I could sell off about half of it right now and make $10-15 in profit....I might do that.
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Feb 11, 2016 17:31
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District Selectman posted:I'm with you man, I'm out too. Too much time spent Nooooooo
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Feb 11, 2016 17:36
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a cop posted:Nooooooo 
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Feb 11, 2016 17:38
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Peachstapler posted:KASICH.SCPRMRY16.GOP.3RD Good luck with that. There aren't enough sensible Republicans in the state, and those that do exist will be swayed by Jeb/Rubio's superior cash reserves and ground game.
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Feb 11, 2016 17:45
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Aliquid posted:Good luck with that. There aren't enough sensible Republicans in the state, and those that do exist will be swayed by Jeb/Rubio's superior cash reserves and ground game.
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Feb 11, 2016 17:49
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Dang, I didn't get 80 cents for NO, but I did get upper 80s. Kasich, if he's lucky, will double or triple his 1-2% in the polls there on election day.
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Feb 11, 2016 17:59
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Blah I had got in on Cruz to win SC when it was at 27, it's gonna take me forever to flip that. Got my sell orders in for 35, maybe too cautious?
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Feb 11, 2016 18:04
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Where's the 3rd place market for SC Dems? That would be a truly degen's paradise.
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Feb 11, 2016 18:16
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