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TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:
i don't think it will happen but it is plausible and at under 10 cents a share it could be a massive profit. Pretty much every poll has shown movement towards Rubio and strategic voting is hardly unlikely. I was in on Rubio 1st earlier but sold for a profit but I might go back in if I see another data point edit: I think Rubio no on 3rd is a good buy at under 55, given 2nd is more likely, 1st is plausible, and maybe the polls are all garbage and bush or kasich are there.
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Feb 20, 2016 04:08
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at Rubio at first, stop following dumbfuck media narratives.
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| # ? May 30, 2024 04:08 |
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TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:
they also laughed at columbus when he wanted to discover america
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Feb 20, 2016 04:18
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Arkane posted:they also laughed at columbus when he wanted to discover america In on Trump No 1st as a hedge, safer than any other hedge I can think of...Arkane speaks the truth. It was the same price as Trump 2nd Yes which seemed...less safe if Cruz overperforms and it's all within a couple points. Really though I just wanted to empty quote it.
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Feb 20, 2016 04:24
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Arkane posted:they also laughed at columbus when he wanted to discover america They were right to laugh; Columbus was a complete dumbass who deserved to die at sea, ten thousand miles short of the Indies.
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Feb 20, 2016 04:26
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Platystemon posted:They were right to laugh; Columbus was a complete dumbass who deserved to die at sea, ten thousand miles short of the Indies. But instead he...became rich?
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Feb 20, 2016 04:34
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UnoriginalMind posted:I've got almost all of my money on Trump 1st. However, I bought in some time ago, so I can still sell at a profit if need be. Can anyone recommend a safer strategy? For reference, I've got 474 dollars in Trump at 550 shares. What's your cost basis? If you're at 100% profit, say, you could sell half of your holdings and live on pure profit, sell the rest at any point from there and still make money. Or you could sell more than your break even point if you want to lock in more profits, or sell less if you want to take a bigger risk. Right now you're holding onto the biggest risk possible.
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Feb 20, 2016 04:40
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I'm still all-in on Trump stumping. No one reads newspapers anymore.
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Feb 20, 2016 11:53
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I've got 700 on Trump 1st, 200 on Cruz 2nd, and 300 on Rubio 3rd. Really tempted to sell some of these so I can buy some Trump shares at 89c jeez, he's not going to underperform that much.
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Feb 20, 2016 13:25
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Balanced out a little between Cruz and Rubio 2nd, but still leaning Rubio. Haven't placed a bet on Nevada for the Dems. I have zero feel on what is going to happen, and the polls should not be trusted or relied upon. Good luck today bros.
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Feb 20, 2016 18:13
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I'm doing it the easy way and just anti-Bushing the max every time the option is available. So far I'm up to ~45K USD or so
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Feb 20, 2016 18:26
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I can only assume that buyer is hedging
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Feb 20, 2016 18:49
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Actually I'm not, when you can get him at 1c a share $450 worth of Bush.1st.YES becomes a pretty good deal, Jebmentum is real and it cannot be stopped
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Feb 20, 2016 18:56
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I miss Rand Paul being in the race and the Rantards throwing hundreds of dollars to make his prices spike.
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Feb 20, 2016 19:03
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Went all in on Sanders NV.CAUCUS No, because it was cheaper. It worked for Iowa, and it'll work here 
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Feb 20, 2016 19:05
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Flavahbeast posted:Actually I'm not, when you can get him at 1c a share $450 worth of Bush.1st.YES becomes a pretty good deal, Jebmentum is real and it cannot be stopped The guy is buying $1500 worth at 3c/share after having picked up about as much already, so he's just getting out of a massive short. Or he's going with the clever plan to spend $3000 to prop up Jeb's odds on the Euro prediction markets to keep his spirits up, whichever.
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Feb 20, 2016 19:09
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So what should I roll my Trump SC winnings into? I'm thinking the next best buy is going to be Hillary winning Nevada, seems like a good price at 66c a share.
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Feb 20, 2016 19:10
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YouGov resampled people from its poll a week ago, which had... Donald Trump: 42% Ted Cruz: 20% Marco Rubio: 15% John Kasich: 9% Jeb Bush: 6% Other: 7% No preference: 1% New result from yesterday: Donald Trump: 36% Ted Cruz: 23% Marco Rubio: 21% John Kasich: 8% Jeb Bush: 4% Other: 7% No preference: 0% Hard to read too much into a small sample, but this would back up the theory that Haley endorsement has pushed Kasich/Jeb voters towards Rubio, and some of Trump is defecting to Cruz/Rubio. https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/02/20/re-interviews-reveal-late-movement-away-trump-sc/
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Feb 20, 2016 19:14
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Nevada polls can easily be 20 points off in either direction and all the soft factors point to Bernmentum fwiw. Hillary has the better ground game, but Bernie massively outspent her. I've slowly picked up a decent Bernie position at good odds but looking at it as safe is wrong.
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Feb 20, 2016 19:16
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AHH FUGH posted:So what should I roll my Trump SC winnings into? I'm thinking the next best buy is going to be Hillary winning Nevada, seems like a good price at 66c a share. Unless you already cashed out, you won't be able to roll your SC winnings into Dem Nevada. Also Nevada sucks for polling. In 08 or 12 Romey was up 6 in the polls and just crushed the gently caress out of it by almost 40 points. Hillary could be way up or the state could be in the process of Berning to the ground. Edit: There is a safe Nevada bet though. If you were able to pick up O'Malley NO before he dropped out. Gyges has issued a correction as of 19:24 on Feb 20, 2016 |
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Feb 20, 2016 19:19
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Adar posted:Nevada polls can easily be 20 points off in either direction and all the soft factors point to Bernmentum fwiw. Hillary has the better ground game, but Bernie massively outspent her. I've slowly picked up a decent Bernie position at good odds but looking at it as safe is wrong. I put in a very small Hillary position. It's not worth gambling a lot on, but I think ultimately fundamentals of the state still favor Hillary over Bernie. It's not going to be a 25 point win, though.
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Feb 20, 2016 19:25
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On MediaPredict, the Nevada Caucus market closed at 10:50 a.m. with "Hillary Wins" at 85.8%
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Feb 20, 2016 19:30
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fishmech posted:On MediaPredict, the Nevada Caucus market closed at 10:50 a.m. with "Hillary Wins" at 85.8% Lol.
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Feb 20, 2016 19:31
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AHH FUGH posted:So what should I roll my Trump SC winnings into? I'm thinking the next best buy is going to be Hillary winning Nevada, seems like a good price at 66c a share. Trump winning Mass fell by 15 cents in the last couple days over the Pope comments. I live in Boston and I don't think it's going to make any difference. Yeah, there are a lot of Catholics here but unlike the south, practically no one votes based on what the church says and anyone here who liked this crypto facist loud mouth reality star in this heavily democratic state isn't going to be shaken by this. The idea that anyone would be OK with his comments on Megyn Kelly, John McCain, Muslims, Mexicans, but say that THIS TIME he went too far is absurd.
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Feb 20, 2016 19:34
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Zeta Taskforce posted:Trump winning Mass fell by 15 cents in the last couple days over the Pope comments. I live in Boston and I don't think it's going to make any difference. Yeah, there are a lot of Catholics here but unlike the south, practically no one votes based on what the church says and anyone here who liked this crypto facist loud mouth reality star in this heavily democratic state isn't going to be shaken by this. The idea that anyone would be OK with his comments on Megyn Kelly, John McCain, Muslims, Mexicans, but say that THIS TIME he went too far is absurd. This is what Boston Trump supporters look like:  
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Feb 20, 2016 19:38
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What about the GOP Nevada race? Seems pretty safe and a decent margin at Trump 80c as well
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Feb 20, 2016 19:47
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I've got 200 shares of Hillary NO in NV. Am I the only person who prefers to gambooool in the hopes of a greater than 1:1 payout? It seems like everyone is trying to treat this site like a safe investment opportunity. Am I doing it wrong?
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Feb 20, 2016 20:22
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I think the site can be a very entertaining source of gambling! I've got 50 shares of Bernie YES in NV as my fun money today.
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Feb 20, 2016 20:25
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A Time To Chill posted:I've got 200 shares of Hillary NO in NV. Am I the only person who prefers to gambooool in the hopes of a greater than 1:1 payout? It seems like everyone is trying to treat this site like a safe investment opportunity. Am I doing it wrong? Well no one betting on Nevada or South Carolina is getting a "safe investment opportunity" for what it's worth.
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Feb 20, 2016 20:33
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tell that to my 729 Omalley.NO shares
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Feb 20, 2016 20:37
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Vox Nihili posted:Well no one betting on Nevada or South Carolina is getting a "safe investment opportunity" for what it's worth. That's what I thought. But 60+ cents for a not sure thing seems like a lot so idk why more people wouldn't take the other side with higher payout.
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Feb 20, 2016 20:39
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Looking forward to some entrance polling overreactions in a few mins
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Feb 20, 2016 20:56
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Looks like a roughly 2 point Hillary lead based on entrance polls. No position, could be a betting oppty for Sanders if there is an overreaction.
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Feb 20, 2016 21:04
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yeah I'm not seeing much movement so far. I feel like this is gonna be really close.
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Feb 20, 2016 21:08
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Servers are holding up so far. Fingers crossed.
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Feb 20, 2016 21:08
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Decent YOLO bet...Rubio is 4/5 cents to win SC. Seems like it should be 7/8.
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Feb 20, 2016 21:10
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New entrance poll updates has Bernie WAY ahead. Still, exert caution.
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Feb 20, 2016 21:34
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Scratch that, looks like about a 2 point Bernie lead. It was just that wave that was VERY pro-Bernie. Anyway, I went ahead and opened a position. LEGGO BERNIE 
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Feb 20, 2016 21:38
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Arkane posted:Scratch that, looks like about a 2 point Bernie lead. It was just that wave that was VERY pro-Bernie. Awww yeah 
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Feb 20, 2016 21:46
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Fuschia tude posted:What's your cost basis? If you're at 100% profit, say, you could sell half of your holdings and live on pure profit, sell the rest at any point from there and still make money. Started at 600. Not doing too well so far, (Fiorina dropout, bought some Kasich Yes Dropout shared in hopes the price would go up, but it didn't) but a lot of that was making amateur mistakes to be honest. I'm mostly looking to break even. I moved my money to Bush not getting third, which seems like a pretty safe bet considering the Rubio endorsement bump and Cruz's relatively stable position as either second or third. Yep, just going to stake my money on ol' Jeb Bush, the guy in the romantic comedy whose fiance leaves him at the altar for someone else.
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Feb 20, 2016 21:49
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| # ? May 30, 2024 04:08 |
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RIP Bernie
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Feb 20, 2016 22:34
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