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vrath posted:Glenn Beck crying about getting btfo at the caucus right now. It's a beautiful world Then again that fuckers always in tears
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Feb 25, 2016 15:24
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Also, Washington Post and Univision did an interesting poll here that surveyed Hispanic voters, nationally. Net favorable (%favorable-%unfavorable) ratings:  For those who think legal immigrants just hate the crap out of those illegals who didn't wait in line!!!   The bad news:   Potential good news if Trump is not the nominee:  
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Feb 25, 2016 15:27
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Xenophon posted:Also, Washington Post and Univision did an interesting poll here that surveyed Hispanic voters, nationally. But Hispanics love him... 
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Feb 25, 2016 15:29
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Xenophon posted:
Huh?
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Feb 25, 2016 15:45
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Harold Stassen posted:It's a beautiful world Making Beck cry like a little bitch may not be a special accomplishment but it's still a good thing.
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Feb 25, 2016 15:45
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I'm looking forward to this debate tonight the way I would look forward to like the season premiere of one of my favorite TV shows...
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Feb 25, 2016 15:48
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While America is getting ready for Trumpmania, look at what's happening north of the border... Seriously
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Feb 25, 2016 16:02
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mcmagic posted:Huh? Hispanic voters, according to that poll, are very offended by Trump's comments, but they believe that those comments reflect Trump's views, not the Republican party's. If the nominee isn't Trump, this means there is more wiggle room for the party to try to appeal to Hispanic voters.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:03
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The only important question in that poll is how they'd vote in a hypothetical (inevitable) Clinton vs. Trump 73% for Clinton. Obama got 71% in 2012. Let's assume latino turnout increases from 10% to 12% of the electorate, and Clinton gets a full 3/4 of them. In order to make up for the damage he has done to himself with Latino voters, and to flat out win the election, Trump would need to improve on Romney's performance with white voters by about 3% and take 62% of them. This assuming that white turnout gets ZERO bump from Trump, which is a pretty generous assumption in favor of Mrs. Clinton since we're seeing right before our very eyes massive numbers of new white voters participating in primary/caucus elections for Trump.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:03
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mcmagic posted:Huh? It's a question of whether they think Trump's immigration views represent the GOP at large. The graph shows they don't, which is a little odd since Trump's apparent voter base is fairly described as "the GOP at large" at this point but it could be a belief that they think the GOP at large supports him for reasons other than bigotry.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:06
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Boosted_C5 posted:The only important question in that poll is how they'd vote in a hypothetical (inevitable) Clinton vs. Trump 62% could be hard without a black man to vote against.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:06
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quote:The Donald Trump juggernaut rolls into Florida where the GOP front-runner leads native son Sen. Marco Rubio 44 - 28 percent among likely Republican primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas has 12 percent with Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 7 percent and Dr. Ben Carson at 4 percent. RIP rubio
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Feb 25, 2016 16:08
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Winter Stormer posted:62% could be hard without a black man to vote against. It also matters where this white vote is. Running up the score in the south doesn't help Trump much. National metrics are cool, but its state by state demographics in the close states that matter.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:09
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Florida Quinnipiac Trump +16 http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/fl/fl02252016_FmH23kg.pdf Trump 44 Rubio 28 Cruz 12 Kasich 7 Carson 4
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Feb 25, 2016 16:11
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Winter Stormer posted:62% could be hard without a black man to vote against. On the other hand, without Obama on the ticket, if latino voters do make up a higher % of the electorate in 2016, it's probably going to be at the expense of black voters shrinking as a share of the electorate, which means higher latino turnout as a % of the electorate could hurt Clinton, although I'm sure she'd make up for it by winning more of their votes than Obama did. It's going to be a wash, and this election is going to come down to whether or not Trump can repeat what he's doing now and get out enough of his new-to-politics supporters in November. It's Trump's to lose, not Hillary's to win. Ask me about how well having a poor candidate who does not generate enthusiasm and having to rely on voting AGAINST someone to energize the base works out. It'd sure as hell didn't work for the GOP in 2012.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:12
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Joementum posted:I have it on good authority that if Trump doesn't agree that HW Bush is great, Jeb will take him outside. I think HW was a great President - he just was a horrible father. Like Mitt Romney. God I love that Trump is moving on from destroying the Bush dynasty to destroying the Romney dynasty. He's not running against Ted Cruz; he's running against a proven loser.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:12
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Mitt Romney posted:Florida Quinnipiac Yeah... Rubio is in trouble.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:13
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mike12345 posted:While America is getting ready for Trumpmania, look at what's happening north of the border... "They won't let me legalize it dude!!!" Justin Trudeau is so handsome though  you're just mad you can't pull it off like he can
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Feb 25, 2016 16:14
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My Imaginary GF posted:I think HW was a great President - he just was a horrible father. HW was a great father -- he raised a President! You can't reasonably expect him to raise two presidents.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:15
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PT6A posted:HW was a great father -- he raised a President! You can't reasonably expect him to raise two presidents. HW was a poo poo father -- he had Jeb!.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:16
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PT6A posted:HW was a great father -- he raised a President! You can't reasonably expect him to raise two presidents. HW was a poo poo father -- he had W!.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:16
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mike12345 posted:While America is getting ready for Trumpmania, look at what's happening north of the border... "Pink Shirt Day" is an anti-bullying thing up here.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:16
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Boosted_C5 posted:On the other hand, without Obama on the ticket, if latino voters do make up a higher % of the electorate in 2016, it's probably going to be at the expense of black voters shrinking as a share of the electorate, which means higher latino turnout as a % of the electorate could hurt Clinton, although I'm sure she'd make up for it by winning more of their votes than Obama did. another masterful unskewing
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Feb 25, 2016 16:16
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Mitt Romney, who was one of the dumbest and worst candidates in the history of Republican politics, is now pushing me on tax returns. Dope! 
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Feb 25, 2016 16:17
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Schnorkles posted:It also matters where this white vote is. Running up the score in the south doesn't help Trump much. Yep. Running up the score with whites and getting them to turnout in higher numbers will only matter in Ohio and in blue states Trump could potentially push into the swing column like Michigan. And the opposite of running up the score with whites for Trump not mattering in the south is the fact that running up the score with Latinos in California and New Mexico won't help Clinton either. Trump is already beating Clinton in most FL polls, so obviously the different make-up of the latino population there matters a lot. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html The election is going to come down to current swing states like Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, NH, and Colorado, and POSSIBLE new ones Trump could create in the rust belt.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:17
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PT6A posted:"Pink Shirt Day" is an anti-bullying thing up here. sounds kinda gay President Trump wouldn't be caught dead in an antibullying ceremony. You bully individuals for their own good, so that they change their behavior to something more acceptable. Like mocking Jeb! for picking his nose, or running for President.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:17
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PT6A posted:"Pink Shirt Day" is an anti-bullying thing up here. 
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Feb 25, 2016 16:18
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FAUXTON posted:It's a question of whether they think Trump's immigration views represent the GOP at large. The graph shows they don't, which is a little odd since Trump's apparent voter base is fairly described as "the GOP at large" at this point but it could be a belief that they think the GOP at large supports him for reasons other than bigotry. Thats what I was getting at.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:19
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PPP is apparently polling people in florida and asking likely voters if they think Ted Cruz is the zodiac killer lol
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Feb 25, 2016 16:19
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Good Citizen posted:PPP is apparently polling people in florida and asking likely voters if they think Ted Cruz is the zodiac killer lol Post the results.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:20
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mike12345 posted:While America is getting ready for Trumpmania, look at what's happening north of the border... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DIETlxquzY
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Feb 25, 2016 16:20
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thats Trudeau as a unicorn
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Feb 25, 2016 16:21
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I've decided the best analogy for this season of politics is the movie Jurassic Park. The GOP is Dennis Nedry, and turning off the electric fences set Trump loose. Now everyone is hosed.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:23
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Donald Trump posted:Mitt Romney, who was one of the dumbest and worst candidates in the history of Republican politics, is now pushing me on tax returns. Dope! https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/702833969537142788
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Feb 25, 2016 16:23
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My guess has been that while Trump is losing ground with latino voters, he will pull very high numbers with black voters (for a republican obviously), has anyone done any polling on this? Clinton is no Obama, and I think Trump's economic protectionism speaks a lot to inner city black voters facing low wages and unemployment.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:23
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I think you've stumbled on the dude's gimmick.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:25
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Interesting sidenote: Rubio as of February 1st was down to only 5m on hand [down from 10.5m at the end of December] and his rate of donations did not increase at all during January. The Feb. filling will be reallllyy interesting as it appears that its monthly now.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:26
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This is so great.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:26
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Mitt Romney posted:Florida Quinnipiac 
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Feb 25, 2016 16:28
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Boosted_C5 posted:On the other hand, without Obama on the ticket, if latino voters do make up a higher % of the electorate in 2016, it's probably going to be at the expense of black voters shrinking as a share of the electorate, which means higher latino turnout as a % of the electorate could hurt Clinton, although I'm sure she'd make up for it by winning more of their votes than Obama did. African Americans coming out with 2004 numbers would still need Trump to expand his numbers past Romney's share of the white vote in 2012, or capture significantly higher numbers of minorities than Romney did in 2012.
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Feb 25, 2016 16:30
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