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The site's been down for a few hours, right?
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Feb 28, 2016 20:32
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working fine for me
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Feb 28, 2016 20:33
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working fine for me as well. trying to figure out if I'm going to potentially jeopardize my ability to close the 9c gap on a bunch of the 91c TRUMP.YES/RUBIO.NOs I have in VA by flipping them throughout today and tomorrow
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Feb 28, 2016 20:36
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Which bet do y'all like better? Clinton in Colorado or Trump in Minnesota?
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Feb 28, 2016 20:37
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trump
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Feb 28, 2016 20:39
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Weird, site won't load for me on my laptop. Tried clearin' cookies and poo poo. Oh well, I'm about to hop on a plane anyways, I'm sure it's just an issue with the funky foreign wi-fi. Also, seriously, thanks thread for the heads up about COCAUCUS. I'm basically guaranteed to be even or up come super Tuesday (from a -200 deficit).
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Feb 28, 2016 20:50
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a cop posted:Weird, site won't load for me on my laptop. Tried clearin' cookies and poo poo. Oh well, I'm about to hop on a plane anyways, I'm sure it's just an issue with the funky foreign wi-fi. The Colorado Crew always makes money.
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Feb 28, 2016 20:55
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I will murder for an Oklahoma poll though to get my CO and OK 1/2 punch right
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Feb 28, 2016 21:00
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Trump MN has been creeping downward. Time to buy at .68 imo
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Feb 28, 2016 21:17
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Aliquid posted:Trump MN has been creeping downward. Time to buy at .68 imo I'm buying at .69.....
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Feb 28, 2016 21:30
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Aliquid posted:Trump MN has been creeping downward. Time to buy at .68 imo Yeah, there's no polls but if the trends hold as they have everywhere else, he's gonna kill it there.
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Feb 28, 2016 21:31
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a cop posted:I'm buying at .69..... plenty of Rubio Nos at 69 rn
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Feb 28, 2016 21:34
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:plenty of Rubio Nos at 69 rn Ah thanks I'm on mobile!
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Feb 28, 2016 21:43
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Nebraska trading at Hillary .73, Bernie .41. Y'all know the drill.
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Feb 28, 2016 21:54
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Aliquid posted:Nebraska trading at Hillary .73, Bernie .41. Y'all know the drill. Tell me the drill! I've barely been following the democratic races.
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Feb 28, 2016 22:05
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Adar posted:Cruz.No.Tx will be super profitable for about an hour and a half on Tuesday night. Unless Cruz outperforms somewhere.
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Feb 28, 2016 22:18
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a cop posted:Tell me the drill! I've barely been following the democratic races. With those prices (no longer available) you could buy No on both for a guaranteed profit.
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Feb 28, 2016 22:19
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I never see viable arbitrage on that site
SHINEBLOCKA has issued a correction as of 22:26 on Feb 28, 2016 |
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Feb 28, 2016 22:23
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Vox Nihili posted:Unless Cruz outperforms somewhere. As the resident Cruz bull for most of the past three months, that won't be happening.
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Feb 28, 2016 22:26
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OK I'm back in with my free $20 matching funds. What does everyone think about the Great Unknown Caucus in Minnesota?Adar posted:As the resident Cruz bull for most of the past three months, that won't be happening. Probably not, but the polling in Texas has been so incredibly Cruz-favorable recently that I'm not sure we'll get a big swing unless Cruz appears to be collapsing completely.
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Feb 28, 2016 22:28
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Vox Nihili posted:OK I'm back in with my free $20 matching funds. What does everyone think about the Great Unknown Caucus in Minnesota?
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Feb 28, 2016 22:51
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I bet Trump YES in every state but Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Minnesota. Which of these remaining states does he have the best chance in?
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Feb 28, 2016 22:55
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FourLeaf posted:I bet Trump YES in every state but Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Minnesota. trump will win TN
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Feb 28, 2016 22:56
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Peachstapler posted:Welcome back! Minnesota gave Santorum a decisive win there over Romney so I'm bullish on Trump here.  Those delegate allocations, lol.
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Feb 28, 2016 23:08
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2008 Minnesota Caucuses, for those interested: As a brief reminder, McCain was the winner in 2008. It looks like the state's GOP voters den't necessarily have a cohesive ideological leaning from what I can tell.
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Feb 28, 2016 23:11
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The Minnesota caucuses are OPEN, which is a pretty big boost to Trump. On the other hand, I'm not sure if he's the type of personality that appeals to Minnesota voters. People who attend still have to reveal that they support Trump to their neighbors and fellow churchgoers. Rubio will be in Minnesota on Super Tuesday, and Trump hasn't made the state a priority. The only polling (probably unreliable and now over one month old) gives Rubio an edge in the state. Notably, Bush has dropped out and Rubio has improved in most states since that poll. I'm calling Minnesota as Rubio's most likely win on Super Tuesday, albeit with a pretty huge question mark.
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Feb 28, 2016 23:17
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Vox Nihili posted:The Minnesota caucuses are OPEN TRUMP *click*
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Feb 28, 2016 23:41
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NO on Ted Cruz winning Arkansas is going for 85 cents, because RCP is showing a poll from 3 weeks ago that has him up by 4. 538 has two polls from this week showing him in third, 20+ points behind Trump. I probably shouldn't have spent half my bankroll on that, but I did.
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Feb 29, 2016 00:24
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tinstaach posted:NO on Ted Cruz winning Arkansas is going for 85 cents, because RCP is showing a poll from 3 weeks ago that has him up by 4. 538 has two polls from this week showing him in third, 20+ points behind Trump. I can't find any info on Arkansas on the 538 website. Link?
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Feb 29, 2016 00:33
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Vox Nihili posted:The Minnesota caucuses are OPEN, which is a pretty big boost to Trump. On the other hand, I'm not sure if he's the type of personality that appeals to Minnesota voters. The state does have a history of voting for people who have been in a WrestleMania match... Just sayin'
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Feb 29, 2016 00:40
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FourLeaf posted:I can't find any info on Arkansas on the 538 website. Link? Oh, turns out I was looking at the Alabama primary instead. It's me, I'm the rube tinstaach posted:I probably shouldn't have spent half my bankroll on that
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Feb 29, 2016 00:50
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The esteemed Hendrix College/Talk Business poll.
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Feb 29, 2016 00:52
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Arkansas seems like a perfect fit for Trump but no way am i laying down 75c+ without some sort of evidence that he's leading.
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Feb 29, 2016 00:52
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Well, I guess betting against Cruz counts as betting for Trump, and no one's ever gone broke doing that. Except the people who bet on Iowa.
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Feb 29, 2016 00:59
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tinstaach posted:Well, I guess betting against Cruz counts as betting for Trump, and no one's ever gone broke doing that. Except the people who bet on Iowa. And soon, Texas.
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Feb 29, 2016 01:04
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Bernie winning Mass has been bouncing around between 10 and 20. This is too low. I don't think he wins here for reasons I have already said, but its western Mass does border Vermont and I can see a lot of people voting with their hearts, not their heads since it looks like a foregone conclusion. I'm a buyer at these levels
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Feb 29, 2016 01:11
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Ended up buying 600 shares Trump No in Minnesota, average price 27c/share. Question now is whether to resell or hold.
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Feb 29, 2016 01:26
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Romney.RNOM16 is up to .09..?! e: oh, duh, someone selling one share at .09. Nevermind me. 
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Feb 29, 2016 01:27
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Vox Nihili posted:Ended up buying 600 shares Trump No in Minnesota, average price 27c/share. Question now is whether to resell or hold. Don't hold Trump NO anywhere.
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Feb 29, 2016 01:29
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JosefStalinator posted:Don't hold Trump NO anywhere. The people holding Trump 35% No would probably disagree. I think betting on Trump is approaching a consensus and pumping up his shares to absurd heights. Each state is a unique microcosm. Nevada was always going to be a strong Trump state; this isn't true of all of the Super Tuesday states.
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Feb 29, 2016 01:32
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