|
On Hillary.OK.YES, I just sold at 76 and jumped back in at 62 10 minutes later. This website is weird and super Tuesday is great.
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:18
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 17, 2024 14:40 |
|
|
Cross-posting from ST thread:quote:The OK #s are unusual. I'm not sure how accurate they'll be. This doesn't look like Bernie's normal electorate at all. Independents are supporting Hillary and Bernie is only winning 18-29s by 14 (instead of his usual 60 points)
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:21
|
|
|
e_angst posted:Seems like that super-early exit polling data is pushing my Hillary winning Oklahoma shares up 45%. Debating if I really think she'll pull it off or if I should cash out now. there's no super early exit polling data for anywhere, and won't be for hours if someone is claiming otherwise, ignore it
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:41
|
|
|
Arkane posted:there's no super early exit polling data for anywhere, and won't be for hours It was apparently exit polling of early voters or something? Whatever it was, it was a completely useless data point, which is why it moved the market so hard.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:43
|
|
|
Oh I see it... http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/democrat/oklahoma/exit/ Last update was yesterday afternoon, so I guess it's early voting like that pathetic little tramp has said?
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:45
|
|
|
predictit seems to think bernie's neck and neck with clinton in MA. uhhh
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:53
|
|
|
This is looking ahead a couple days, but KSCAUCUS16.DEM with Bernie.NO is down to .65 despite Hillary polling ~+25 and the caucus happening during a home KU basketball game.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:54
|
|
|
Abel Wingnut posted:predictit seems to think bernie's neck and neck with clinton in MA. uhhh it's an echo chamber in there
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 16:54
|
|
|
Mike_V posted:This is looking ahead a couple days, but KSCAUCUS16.DEM with Bernie.NO is down to .65 despite Hillary polling ~+25 and the caucus happening during a home KU basketball game. You sure you're not thinking of Arkansas polling? Clinton has a 25 pt lead there, but nobody, AFAIK, has even tried polling the KS caucuses, and no one probably will.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:00
|
|
|
I love the people itt who pointed out OK and CO. (ps i'll never take the money and run!! never!!!!!! quote this when I lose it all!)
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:09
|
|
|
Hillary YES/Bernie NO Colorado friends??? Are you holding or selling???
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:09
|
|
|
FourLeaf posted:Hillary YES/Bernie NO Colorado friends??? Are you holding or selling??? I'm holding all the way. Already sold enough to cover possible losses tho.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:10
|
|
|
FourLeaf posted:Hillary YES/Bernie NO Colorado friends??? Are you holding or selling??? Largely holding, but some profit taking.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:11
|
|
|
FourLeaf posted:Hillary YES/Bernie NO Colorado friends??? Are you holding or selling??? Holding Hillary YES, but it's only 45 shares and I'm kinda expecting this to be the one I lose tonight.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:13
|
|
|
A cop, looks like you are having a SUPER tuesday my friend
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:13
|
|
|
Also my lottery ticket play of the night: about $18 on Trump in Texas. I think if you're holding Cruz at 80 cents, you're on hair trigger alert for any sign of a Trump surge and ready to stampede out of the market. Absentee results should get dumped first, and those have favored Trump in the past.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:16
|
|
|
railroad terror posted:A cop, looks like you are having a SUPER tuesday my friend As long as our boy takes MN!!!
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:16
|
|
|
Concerned Citizen posted:Absentee results should get dumped first, and those have favored Trump in the past.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:18
|
|
|
railroad terror posted:You sure you're not thinking of Arkansas polling? Clinton has a 25 pt lead there, but nobody, AFAIK, has even tried polling the KS caucuses, and no one probably will. Whoops, you're right. But there is at least one poll recently released that had Clinton up 10. I do think that the KU game is going to hurt Bernie a little, at least in the Lawrence's district.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:21
|
|
|
a cop posted:I love the people itt who pointed out OK and CO. the reason for profit taking has nothing to do with lacking conviction, it has everything to do with this: thethreeman posted:In the last 36 hours, I've bought big blocks between 28-35c and sold between 38-44c four times now. Dem COCAUCUS is insanely volatile. The differences in prices between Sanders NO and Hillary YES have been huge and this: 
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:32
|
|
|
a cop posted:As long as our boy takes MN!!! *loads rube tube*
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:35
|
|
|
thethreeman posted:the reason for profit taking has nothing to do with lacking conviction, it has everything to do with this: ahh gotcha. it definitely seems to have settled around ~50c so far today but ya never know what kinds of stupid data points will push things one way or the other so that's a tough call. Vox Nihili posted:*loads rube tube* not the water!! anything but the water!!!
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:39
|
|
|
What is up with the MN market I don't actually think anyone likes Marco Rubio more than they like Trumperino
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:41
|
|
|
AHH FUGH posted:What is up with the MN market MN historically being off-kilter in primaries and a lack of polling has people going there for an upset. Still think Trump's going to take it handily though, didn't some stuff over the weekend indicate that Rubio's counter-punching was working against him for the most part?
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:43
|
|
|
Nothing has changed. If you believe MN shares will start to spike after Trump gets VT and MA called, keep buying.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:43
|
|
|
Hard to say. I feel like just dumping my Trump shares in MN and putting them into something safer.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 17:52
|
|
|
I'm getting out of Trump No Minnesota at 38c for a solid profit. More money to play around with as exit polls happen and less exposure to the Trump Train. Also, less goon blue on blue.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:08
|
|
|
The only trump I have today is Yes Arkansas. I have NO for Sanders in Colorado and a paltry amount in NO for Sanders in Minnesota. I put the vast majority of my bucks into Michigan YES Trump NO Rubio for a guaranteed 7 day return on my money. My heart just ain't good enough for all this day-of horse tradin.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:10
|
|
|
FourLeaf posted:Hillary YES/Bernie NO Colorado friends??? Are you holding or selling??? Holding all the way and caucusing for Hillary tonight. Lot of friends are too because they're afraid that Trump would not feel the Bern.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:12
|
|
|
Just shipped my MN Trump.Yes shares over to a safer AK Trump.Yes Probably going to pick up a little bit more in one of the Bernie.No markets too.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:16
|
|
|
mintskoal posted:Holding all the way and caucusing for Hillary tonight. Lot of friends are too because they're afraid that Trump would not feel the Bern. 
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:30
|
|
|
 Hillary's gotta win one of MN or CO and I'll have a happy night.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:35
|
|
|
Proud owner of 300 shares of Kasich Yes in Minnesota (1c each). Looking to get in on Cruz Yes in Arkansas now if the price is right...
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:35
|
|
|
Vox Nihili posted:Proud owner of 300 shares of Kasich Yes in Minnesota (1c each). 
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 18:48
|
|
|
Vox Nihili posted:Looking to get in on Cruz Yes in Arkansas now if the price is right... do you expect any catalyst for a surge to sell? Just Trump underperforming in the early states? Or do you think he can win? The Jan poll favored him, but I actually think Rubio is much more undervalued if you want to pick a not-trump. He was tied w Trump in Jan (-4 from Cruz), and has campaigned there several times since primaries started, including yesterday, the eve of ST. With the national polling down for Cruz and up for Rubio in the last two weeks, I like Rubio for like 3-5c as a flip candidate. Frankly I don't think either has a chance though
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 19:01
|
|
|
turn left betting thread nooooo
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 19:07
|
|
|
I think his odds in Arkansas are pretty good. Enough that I'll pay 16c a share, anyway. The survey monkey polls are pretty bad. Internet polls tend to favor Trump and downplay Cruz. If such a poll shows Cruz within 7 points, yeah I think it could be competitive.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 19:13
|
|
|
Rubio staffer on MSNBC saying that she's "certain" Rubio is going to pick up MN.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 19:15
|
|
|
a cop posted:Rubio staffer on MSNBC saying that she's "certain" Rubio is going to pick up MN. I think his odds are on par with Cruz in AR tbqh
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 19:21
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 17, 2024 14:40 |
|
|
a cop posted:Rubio staffer on MSNBC saying that she's "certain" Rubio is going to pick up MN. If you didn't say "she" I'd ask if the staffer was Rove.
|
|
#
?
Mar 1, 2016 19:24
|
|