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Mitt Romney posted:Any idea what kind of chance she'll have, assuming SC gets blocked the entire election? She'd really need everything to go right to even have a shot. Grassley is one of, if not the, most popular senators in the country.
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Mar 4, 2016 00:52
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I should say, I'm skeptical of an IA pickup (and if the Dems are winning IA, they already have the Senate), but a strong candidate making Grassley sweat is going to divert desperately needed funds from other, more likely races (NH, PA, OH, etc.).
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Mar 4, 2016 00:57
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Franco Potente posted:I should say, I'm skeptical of an IA pickup (and if the Dems are winning IA, they already have the Senate), but a strong candidate making Grassley sweat is going to divert desperately needed funds from other, more likely races (NH, PA, OH, etc.). This, and like pointed out above, it's important to have a decent candidate in case something wacky happens. You don't get the "legitimate rape" victory in Missouri if you don't have anyone running against Todd Akin.
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Mar 4, 2016 01:18
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Akin was trying to unseat a sitting senator. That year's Indiana race is a better comparison. Or, more likely, Ahn Cao from 2008 as I don't think that anything short of death or jail will be keeping Grassley out of the senate.
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Mar 4, 2016 07:02
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whoops https://twitter.com/NRSC/status/707297607488565249 e: it's gone 
Pinterest Mom has issued a correction as of 21:22 on Mar 8, 2016 |
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Mar 8, 2016 21:17
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They deleted it. 
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Mar 8, 2016 21:22
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Pinterest Mom posted:whoops Was coming here to post this too. Amazingly stupid. Although they did successfully smear a war hero in 2002 in one of the dirtiest races in history: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saxby_Chambliss#2002_race
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Mar 8, 2016 21:23
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For those of you who missed the reference: "An Iraq War veteran, Duckworth served as a U.S. Army helicopter pilot and suffered severe combat wounds, losing both of her legs and damaging her right arm." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tammy_Duckworth Someone tried STANDARD_GOP_TALKING_POINT_35 without even looking at her, let alone her record.
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Mar 8, 2016 21:24
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Pinterest Mom posted:whoops Holy loving poo poo. Ironic, I suppose, that she is missing both her legs, since Max Cleland was too and he got smeared the same way.
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Mar 8, 2016 21:24
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Mar 8, 2016 21:32
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Alter Ego posted:Holy loving poo poo.
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Mar 8, 2016 21:45
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FlamingLiberal posted:That race was so depressing. Then again it was merely a preview of the 2004 presidential race. I think that iconic picture of that horrible woman at the RNC wearing that smarmy Purple Heart bandaid really summed it up.
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Mar 8, 2016 21:48
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Pinterest Mom posted:whoops Come on, thats pretty drat funny. Like, you would not loving believe how many great jokes one can make at Duckworth's expense. For instance, what's a Duckworth these days?
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Mar 9, 2016 00:36
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My Imaginary GF posted:Come on, thats pretty drat funny. Like, you would not loving believe how many great jokes one can make at Duckworth's expense. Yeah, it's real fuckin' hilarious.
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Mar 9, 2016 01:36
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Alter Ego posted:Yeah, it's real fuckin' hilarious. This but unironically. Politicians with physical or mental disabilities are great.
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Mar 9, 2016 02:15
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Cliff Racer posted:This but unironically. Politicians with physical or mental disabilities are great. Ariel Sharon was the greatest politician for eight years running, then.
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Mar 9, 2016 02:30
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FAUXTON posted:Ariel Sharon was the greatest politician for eight years running, then. We had decades of mentally unwell Reagan and Thatcher too.
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Mar 9, 2016 06:47
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FAUXTON posted:Ariel Sharon was the greatest politician for eight years running, then. Paging AvShalom to YCS, paging AvShalom. Arik was a pretty goddamn great politician. I'd vote for Arik for Senate. Alter Ego posted:Yeah, it's real fuckin' hilarious. Yeah, I set it up wrong. Anyways, a duck's worth an arm and a leg these days.
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Mar 9, 2016 17:26
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Chuck Grassley has a Democratic challenger: former Lt. Gov. and State Agriculture Secretary Patty Judge.
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Mar 10, 2016 01:03
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Joementum posted:Chuck Grassley has a Democratic challenger: former Lt. Gov. and State Agriculture Secretary Patty Judge. Yeah, we spent a bit of time talking about it on the last two pages.
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Mar 10, 2016 01:12
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lol i almost can't believe he's under 50% approval rating over SCOTUS
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Mar 10, 2016 02:11
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hot drat if chuck grassley gets dunked on 
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Mar 10, 2016 02:19
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ppp always has lower approvals than other people but their last one for grassley wasn't <50% if he really does have to be the front man for never-ending obstructionism, i guess i could imagine him taking real damage. it'd be nice
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Mar 10, 2016 04:14
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My money's on Jane Kelly for Obama's SCOTUS nominee. As a fellow Iowan for whom Grassley has pushed in the past, her selection is either going to make Grassley look hypocritical, foolish, and disloyal to Iowa; or there will soon be a new liberal SCOTUS. Win-win. PPP has Grassley at 47/44 approval for March 1-2.
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Mar 10, 2016 08:03
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i suspect jane kelly would be the best pick. obviously i know like 0.0001% of the things about her, but she's a former public defender which would be a nice perspective to have on the supreme court, you'd think, and grassley has some really, really, really nice quotes about her that would look really bad in attack ads btw senate primaries comin up yall. duckworth is almost certainly gonna win, she has all the money and endorsements and i think her opponents are splitting the chicago vote it really endlessly entertains me how uncompetitive primaries are below the presidential level. it's completely intentional. the first sign of this trump/bernie poo poo actually causing 'change' would be anything out of the normal at all happening at the senatorial or congressioanl levels. haven't seen signs of it yet. i spose its early
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Mar 10, 2016 08:09
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oystertoadfish posted:it really endlessly entertains me how uncompetitive primaries are below the presidential level. it's completely intentional. the first sign of this trump/bernie poo poo actually causing 'change' would be anything out of the normal at all happening at the senatorial or congressioanl levels. haven't seen signs of it yet. i spose its early Not sure what planet you're on be we have a spate of competitive senate primaries this year. PA (D), FL (R), MD (D), NV (R), NV (D), the California jungle primary and (debatably) FL (D) all have competitive primaries this year. There's also a couple others that are probably being contested (like Maryland (R), for instance) but nobody cares because the race won't be competitive in the fall. Same with the house. If you mean people primarying incumbents then no duh, it doesn't happen at the presidential level either. Furthermore, the reason a lot of these primaries aren't competitive is because the candidates really are a good fit for their races. Any single senate primary is as likely to be uncompetitive as any single state's presidential primary. Its just that you have multiple states deciding in the presidential race to make things look closer.
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Mar 10, 2016 08:23
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Is Bernie up for reelection this year, or can he keep his Senate seat if he loses the nomination?
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Mar 10, 2016 18:16
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Arsenic Lupin posted:Is Bernie up for reelection this year, or can he keep his Senate seat if he loses the nomination? Bernie's up in 2018.
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Mar 10, 2016 18:17
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Cliff Racer posted:If you mean people primarying incumbents then no duh, it doesn't happen at the presidential level either. that is what i meant, partially, speaking in the context of how i don't think grassleys gonna lose - i could've been clearer. if every office had a two term limit maybe they'd all be as competitive as the presidency, but the way the system is set up, the vast majority of Congress comes back every time and the spectating interest focuses on open seats in the primary, followed by a relatively short list of swing districts that has been shortening for a decade or more. you're right that this phenomenon is duplicated on the presidential level, and that it doesn't mean competition is entirely absent really though grassleys main strength is that he's a really good politician who works really hard to keep up his name recognition and responsiveness to constituents back home, which is independent of the structural factors i brought up edit: ok so i should have said non-open-seat primaries are uncompetitive, as is i can see how what i said made no sense oystertoadfish has issued a correction as of 01:15 on Mar 11, 2016 |
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Mar 10, 2016 22:16
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quote:Ben Carson, who just days ago dropped his lackluster Republican Party presidential bid amid languishing poll numbers and a disappearing profile, is leading in Florida polling by a wide margin, but in the contest for the Sunshine State's soon-to-be-open Senate seat.
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Mar 11, 2016 00:47
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Please god Ben Carson don't run. Just....disappear for a little bit.
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Mar 11, 2016 01:53
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Why is anyone seriously talking about Ben Carson for FL senate? What's he going to do, run a write-in? the ballots are already printed and early Voting has started.
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Mar 11, 2016 02:01
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The Nastier Nate posted:Why is anyone seriously talking about Ben Carson for FL senate? What's he going to do, run a write-in? the ballots are already printed and early Voting has started. This is only the presidential primary. Senate primaries are in August.
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Mar 11, 2016 02:04
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Dear Florida Republicans, please run an unpopular gently caress face and give the Florida Democrats a chance. You know there's no fun in winning if you can't pull a Rick Scott level disaster across the finish line. That less than 1% win was loving sweet, wasn't it? Please don't run Sleepy Time C, you know the voters here are too stupid for such a thing to be any fun.
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Mar 11, 2016 03:05
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skaboomizzy posted:This is only the presidential primary. Senate primaries are in August. Yeah, the senate deadlines have yet to be passed. Its why I always bring up the possibility of Rubio admitting defeat and pulling a Rand. Course that would take him out of the running in a contested convention. For some reason Carson looks like he'll be endorsing Trump tomorrow (it can't all be because he hates Cruz, right?) so maybe he's positioning himself for the Florida run he's currently avowing. I think he'd be an "okay" candidate in the fall though Murphy would be particularly well suited to beating him. As much as Florida holds its primaries late PA holds its early, a little over a month from now. If McGuinty were to do what everyone but me here is saying she will and beat Sestak, now is the time for her to start the ad blitz. As is she's only running introductory spots and Sestak maintains his small advantage over her (with most voters undecided, as usual) due to name recognition and previous good will from the electorate.
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Mar 11, 2016 03:23
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New poll shows Edwards over Van Hollen in the MD-Sen primary.
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Mar 12, 2016 21:56
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I think most recent polls have actually shown her ahead, or at least narrowly leading, though Van Hollen is running a far superior campaign. Its a real shame.
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Mar 12, 2016 22:56
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Shinjobi posted:Please god Ben Carson don't run. Just....disappear for a little bit. He really would be a terrible senator. I'm not even talking about from a policy standpoint. From the way his presidential campaign was run, it just doesn't seem like he cares about doing the job of a politician.
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Mar 13, 2016 01:05
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I'm pretty sure Ben Carson could easily lose a senate run, but win the primary on name recognition alone.
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Mar 13, 2016 01:24
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JosefStalinator posted:I'm pretty sure Ben Carson could easily lose a senate run, but win the primary on name recognition alone. I think Ben Carson would be a terrible general election candidate, but he would raise a lot of money. Of course, being Ben Carson, he'd spend all that money on raising more money.
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Mar 13, 2016 03:49
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