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somebody tweet this at Trump, I want to hear him spend 30 minutes talking about his hands at a rally
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Mar 7, 2016 21:41
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http://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00611020/1053714/ The greatest universe
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Mar 7, 2016 21:41
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Those hands look good to me.
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Mar 7, 2016 21:41
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THA TITTY THRILLER posted:http://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00611020/1053714/ Magnificent. Who would've thought this could last as long as it has?
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Mar 7, 2016 21:44
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zoux posted:Those hands look good to me. There's no problem
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Mar 7, 2016 21:45
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his son is visibly disgusted by his hands in this picture way to betray your loving blood kiddo
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Mar 7, 2016 21:46
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Montasque posted:Team Marco is here to unskew: To expand: they're unskewing Rubio's terrible favourables in Ohio. Of course, it seems perfectly sensible to me that Gentle Marco would have taken a fall in the polls after he started to attack a guy's penis on live television.
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Mar 7, 2016 21:48
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I still think Trump takes Florida, especially since Cruz is supposedly doing the advertising for him.
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Mar 7, 2016 21:48
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SNAKES N CAKES posted:To expand: they're unskewing Rubio's terrible favourables in Ohio. Of course, it seems perfectly sensible to me that Gentle Marco would have taken a fall in the polls after he started to attack a guy's penis on live television. if rubio physically assaulted trump's penis on stage he'd have gone up in the polls to sidestep the obvious gay joke, i'm saying he should kick trump in da dick
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Mar 7, 2016 21:51
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If we do end up in the Trump wins FL, loses OH scenario, any further disturbance that sets him further off track would be catastrophic. For example, the week after that, March 22nd, includes Winner Take All Arizona. Arizona and other WTA states in the future would become absolute must wins for him.
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Mar 7, 2016 21:54
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Fox Ironic posted:I think the RNC might actually WANT Trump to run third party. Think about it, if Trump gets screwed out of the nom, especially by Kasich, they can jetison the entire wingnut 30% of the party (Cruz included), regroup for 2020 with a socially moderate Republican with conservative economic policies (with a few protectionist nods) and pivot hard into the white Dems who hate President Hillary Clinton. Add some pandering to Hispanic voters and they could one-term Clinton. There isn't enough of this conservative economics only electorate to sustain an entire party
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Mar 7, 2016 21:54
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i think rubio+kasich will beat trump in fl and oh but trump will win both states and the establishment will rip itself apart blaming everyone it's awfully hard to tell though, the polls are wacky as poo poo. any word from the states nobody cares about, like Idaho? also in addition to winning territories rubio probably also wins the district of Columbia. so he might end up with all the non states and mn
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Mar 7, 2016 21:56
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Patter Song posted:If we do end up in the Trump wins FL, loses OH scenario, any further disturbance that sets him further off track would be catastrophic. For example, the week after that, March 22nd, includes Winner Take All Arizona. Arizona and other WTA states in the future would become absolute must wins for him. I've been skeptical on predictions considering a year ago, I thought we were headed for the worlds most boring Bush v Clinton general, but I can predict that Donald "build a wall" Trump will 100% win Arizona.
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Mar 7, 2016 21:57
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Little Marco fits in Big Dons palm
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Mar 7, 2016 21:57
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Patter Song posted:If we do end up in the Trump wins FL, loses OH scenario, any further disturbance that sets him further off track would be catastrophic. For example, the week after that, March 22nd, includes Winner Take All Arizona. Arizona and other WTA states in the future would become absolute must wins for him. If Trump cant seal this thing up can anyone?
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Mar 7, 2016 21:57
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oystertoadfish posted:also in addition to winning territories rubio probably also wins the district of Columbia. so he might end up with all the non states and mn Rubio may also win Hawaii tomorrow, but no one knows because A. it's a caucus and B. there's no polling and C. it's Hawaii, there might be two hundred or so Republicans in the entire state.
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Mar 7, 2016 21:59
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Prof. Lurker posted:I still think Trump takes Florida, especially since Cruz is supposedly doing the advertising for him. There is an onslaught of anti-Trump ads, news and outreach in almost every single upcoming state right now. It's what they said they were going to do a few months ago but didn't. Cruz's anti-Rubio ads are going to be a few drops in the pond.
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Mar 7, 2016 21:59
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Alter Ego posted:Christ, Trump REALLY looks like Biff Tannen in the alternate 1985 timeline in this picture https://www.facebook.com/trollspodcast/videos/822735664503012/
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Mar 7, 2016 22:00
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Montasque posted:If Trump cant seal this thing up can anyone? Greg Sargent posted an interesting article on what if Rubio stays in past 3/15 (good for Trump): https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/07/theres-a-big-problem-with-this-whole-gop-contested-convention-scenario/
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Mar 7, 2016 22:00
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Zelder posted:his son is visibly disgusted by his hands in this picture "You're the reason I have these hands. gently caress YOU, DAD!"
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Mar 7, 2016 22:00
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yeah i forgot about them I've been kinda assuming they'd vote for him. wouldn't be too surprised if Rubio pulled something else out of nowhere. how's Maryland's gop vote? does the panhandle and delmarva outweigh the beltway? probably will be overtaken by events anyway i hear the past peak trump thought, but George will is saying that too so i worry that he's making it untrue by simply opining, like kristoll does
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Mar 7, 2016 22:01
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Montasque posted:If Trump cant seal this thing up can anyone? No, and in the situation where Trump wins Florida it's basically guaranteed that he'll have the single most delegates at the end of the day (especially given that he's going to clean up in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut). Single most delegates isn't enough to get him the nomination, of course, but Cruz isn't going to overtake him.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:03
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Montasque posted:Team Marco is here to unskew: So is he saying that the body politic has a way of shutting that whole thing down?
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Mar 7, 2016 22:05
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oystertoadfish posted:yeah i forgot about them I've been kinda assuming they'd vote for him. wouldn't be too surprised if Rubik pulled something else out of nowhere. how's Maryland's gop vote? does the panhandle and delmarva outweigh the beltway? The state voted for McCain above Huckabee in 2008, and Romney absolutely swept it in 2012, plus the Beltway neocons love Rubio. So I'm saying Rubio until events overtake everything, which they will.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:05
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Mitt Romney posted:There is an onslaught of anti-Trump ads, news and outreach in almost every single upcoming state right now. It's what they said they were going to do a few months ago but didn't. Is this happening everywhere? Or is it focused mainly in Florida and Ohio? The Harper Michigan poll taken entirely on 3/6 - so both post debate and post subpar saturday still had Trump at 42.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:07
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Patter Song posted:No, and in the situation where Trump wins Florida it's basically guaranteed that he'll have the single most delegates at the end of the day (especially given that he's going to clean up in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut). Single most delegates isn't enough to get him the nomination, of course, but Cruz isn't going to overtake him. it's worth noting actually on this point that people are thinking there's a 100% chance the convention will give the nom to someone else if Trump doesn't get a majority, but I'm not sure this is true particularly if it's close -- I think Lindsey Graham of all people said they should probably give it to Trump if he comes out on top
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Mar 7, 2016 22:09
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I can't believe how excited I am about the Jeb campaign!
H5N1 fucked around with this message at 23:33 on Oct 18, 2016 |
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Mar 7, 2016 22:09
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Zohar posted:it's worth noting actually on this point that people are thinking there's a 100% chance the convention will give the nom to someone else if Trump doesn't get a majority, but I'm not sure this is true particularly if it's close -- I think Lindsey Graham of all people said they should probably give it to Trump if he comes out on top Partially agree. I think there's a yuge difference between Trump coming up short with 1180 delegates out of 1237 needed and Trump coming up short with 900 delegates out of 1237 needed. It'd be a lot easier to justify loving over Trump in the second scenario.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:10
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H5N1 posted:um, I think you've got me confused with someone else? I've been buckled in...for Kasich!!! from the get-to. ... holy cow thats dedication...
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Mar 7, 2016 22:11
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Miss me yet? Well, if you need a proven conservative leader at the convention, you know where to find me. I love my mom.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:12
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SHUT UP JEB
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Mar 7, 2016 22:13
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H5N1 posted:um, I think you've got me confused with someone else? I've been buckled in...for Kasich!!! from the get-to. loving lol
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Mar 7, 2016 22:13
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Jeb! posted:Miss me yet? Well, if you need a proven conservative leader at the convention, you know where to find me. I love my mom. You're a mess. (TOOT! TOOT!)
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Mar 7, 2016 22:14
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H5N1 posted:um, I think you've got me confused with someone else? I've been buckled in...for Kasich!!! from the get-to. goddamn you're such a good poster
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Mar 7, 2016 22:16
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Majorian posted:The state voted for McCain above Huckabee in 2008, and Romney absolutely swept it in 2012, plus the Beltway neocons love Rubio. So I'm saying Rubio until events overtake everything, which they will. Can't you say the same about Virginia though? You've got a bunch of socially liberal fiscally conservative hawks right around the beltway, which happen to be the bluest areas of the state, and then a bunch of flyover areas that aren't doing to well and are more social conservative and love them some social security. NOVA didn't save Rubio, and I don't MD is going for him either.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:16
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Zohar posted:it's worth noting actually on this point that people are thinking there's a 100% chance the convention will give the nom to someone else if Trump doesn't get a majority, but I'm not sure this is true particularly if it's close -- I think Lindsey Graham of all people said they should probably give it to Trump if he comes out on top reminder that the funniest possible result is trump winning anyway after thousands of rounds at the convention
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Mar 7, 2016 22:19
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fishmech posted:reminder that the funniest possible result is trump winning anyway after thousands of rounds at the convention 
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Mar 7, 2016 22:20
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fishmech posted:reminder that the funniest possible result is trump winning anyway after thousands of rounds at the convention People say "maximum chaos result" a lot but that is the literal absolute maximum of chaos.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:21
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Early voting pulling for rubio in FL doesn't make any sense to me. What we should expect (and what we've seen so far in other states with early voting) is that the candidate that was way ahead early outperformed in early voting, and then fell in primary-day voting as momentum shifted away - regardless of whether one was Trump or a more traditional or even local politician Easy examples: Cruz/Trump in TX, Trump/Cruz in LA What's the logic for Rubio have massively outperformed in early voting given he's only just started to take off and trump only started showing serious weakness in the last week and a half? Unique pull among Cuban Americans? Or FL Trump early voters are more apathetic than LA Trump early voters?  Not trying to unskew, just legitimately confused
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Mar 7, 2016 22:21
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Trump is going to win the nomination then run the general with the most ridiculous left/liberal agenda, making Hillary the far right candidate forcing the Republicans to vote for her. Maximum chaos.
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Mar 7, 2016 22:21
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