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Minnesota went loving blue for Water Mondale I think it's gonna be blue, Nate. Also, have genuinely wondered this--are the Clintons too far from Arkansas to still get Arkansas?
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Mar 8, 2016 02:10
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Pick posted:Also, have genuinely wondered this--are the Clintons too far from Arkansas to still get Arkansas? Romney won AR by 24%. There is no chance in hell.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:12
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Nate is trolling you guys. He runs the models thousands of times each and they always produce some wacky outlier maps on the tail ends of the curve.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:13
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Slate Action posted:Romney won AR by 24%. There is no chance in hell. I figured, but people can be weirdly possessive of people from "their state" (even if Bill was the one born there/governor of).
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Mar 8, 2016 02:14
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Joementum posted:Nate is trolling you guys. He runs the models thousands of times each and they always produce some wacky outlier maps on the tail ends of the curve.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:15
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This is our world now. https://twitter.com/frankthorpNBC/status/707011902803677184
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Mar 8, 2016 02:16
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Trump is literally the antithesis of the RNC 2012 Autopsy
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Mar 8, 2016 02:17
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Joementum posted:This is our world now. Hahaha
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Mar 8, 2016 02:17
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:I mean that's obviously a worst case scenario for anyone not Trump, but still, Minnesota??? There's always this periodic thing every election where all the media is like "but no this could TOTALLY be the year the GOP flips Minnesota!!!11" and it never happens. I have no clue why.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:17
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Joementum posted:This is our world now. Paul Ryan staring at the 'Donald Trump' contact in his phone while his thumb hovers over the dial button.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:19
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One by one they will be assimilated. (from Jacki Schechner's twitter)
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Mar 8, 2016 02:19
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Von Sloneker posted:One by one they will be assimilated. Biden??
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Mar 8, 2016 02:20
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THA TITTY THRILLER posted:Paul Ryan staring at the 'Donald Trump' contact in his phone while his thumb hovers over the dial button. the tears won't stop coming. Is that blood?
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Mar 8, 2016 02:20
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Well, at least Trump can stop saying "I get along with Mitch McConnell and I think I'll get along with Paul Ryan." Now they've actually talked! Somewhere in some shithole in western Ohio Jon Boehner pours himself a triple shot of the finest bourbon, lights a cigar, and thanks God he's out of that awful job.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:23
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I love the music choice in this Cruz Super PAC sugar subsidies ad. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W4xihEISsuU
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Mar 8, 2016 02:24
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*Paul Ryan initiates conference call with candidates to discuss his agenda * *other candidates listen in closely and give their perspective except Donald trump who clearly has the call on speaker and is heard yelling "boringgggggg" every time Ryan begins speaking
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Mar 8, 2016 02:24
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"Little Paul, he calls me- he calls me, and he says 'Mr. Trump, here's our plan.' And I said what? What is this plan? It stinks. It stinks. Get it out of here. This plan, this plan here is the worst, I mean the worst plan I have ever seen. Very low energy. These guys have no idea how to make a deal. They have no- no idea what they're doing. So I said to Little Paul, 'Paul, your plan is garbage. It's terrible. The American people don't want it. I am going to write a plan- a big plan. I'm going to write a plan, and it's going to be the best plan you've ever seen. It'll, it'll make your head spin. Believe it.'"
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Mar 8, 2016 02:24
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radical meme posted:What's way more unsettling to me is the implication that all of those tech oligarchs support the GOP. quote:along with Democratic Rep. John Delaney, who represents Maryland quote:Democratic officials, including Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.), Jason Furman, the chair of Barack Obama's Council of Economic Advisers, Gene Sperling, another top Obama economic adviser, and former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, were listed as 2015 attendees, Bloomberg reported at the time. It's just a business/politics conference, not a republican thing. My guess is it's a lot like a mini davos. So they're all wealthy/out of touch/etc, but not necessarily republicans
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Mar 8, 2016 02:25
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DAD LOST MY IPOD posted:"Little Paul, he calls me- he calls me, and he says 'Mr. Trump, here's our plan.' And I said what? What is this plan? It stinks. It stinks. Get it out of here. This plan, this plan here is the worst, I mean the worst plan I have ever seen. Very low energy. These guys have no idea how to make a deal. They have no- no idea what they're doing. So I said to Little Paul, 'Paul, your plan is garbage. It's terrible. The American people don't want it. I am going to write a plan- a big plan. I'm going to write a plan, and it's going to be the best plan you've ever seen. It'll, it'll make your head spin. Believe it.'"
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Mar 8, 2016 02:26
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Trump says it's been decades since the President got all of Congress in a room and said, "let's get things done". https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNPLYqNTj-4 Guessing he doesn't watch the State of the Union often.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:27
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Joementum posted:I love the music choice in this Cruz Super PAC sugar subsidies ad. I can't wait to fight BiG Sugar in dark souls 3!
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Mar 8, 2016 02:27
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Patter Song posted:Somewhere in some shithole in western Ohio Jon Boehner pours himself a triple shot of the finest bourbon, lights a cigar, and thanks God he's out of that awful job. I bet he wishes he'd done it sooner. Herding increasingly vicious and stupid cats.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:27
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Joementum posted:I love the music choice in this Cruz Super PAC sugar subsidies ad. They couldn't get rights to this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UIyRXvHmXxo&t=51s
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Mar 8, 2016 02:28
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Joementum posted:Trump says it's been decades since the President got all of Congress in a room and said, "let's get things done". Is 2010 decades ago now? I lose track here in CURRENT YEAR. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R5vOMIN673A
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Mar 8, 2016 02:28
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Joementum posted:This is our world now. Hey, at least they're all being civil enough to keep each other's phone numbers to themselves now, instead of putting them on /b/ or whatever the hell happened last year.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:31
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Two gin-scented tears ran down the side of Marco's nose. And as the call came in from Paul Ryan, he won the victory with himself. He loved Big Donald.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:31
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Joementum posted:Oh wow, Trump is running attack ads. That's a pretty good ad.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:31
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obama won minnesota 53-45 in 2012 so if the model saw clinton/sanders (the fact that model apparently considers the two as interchangeable is the silliest thing i'm seeing here btw) and bloomberg as splitting the democratic vote especially evenly there, i can get how minnesota might be the closest trump win looking at the table of state results sorted by obama's margin of victory here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2012#Results here are the states that map gives the democrats/denies trump that went for obama by less than he got in minnesota: new hampshire (???) nevada so now i'm thinking the real crazy thing here is pretending a split democratic vote wouldn't hand new hampshire to the republican candidate, especially the republican candidate who won its primary anyway my point is just that minnesota is about as blue as georgia is red (according to that table). in fact if you did the inverse of my map the other night where i simulated a romney candidacy by giving him utah and giving clinton every state obama lost by less than 10%, i.e. if you gave trump every state romney lost by less than 10%, the only differences between that and nate's model here would be that trump would also get nevada, new hampshire, michigan, and maine's 2nd congressional district presumably that difference arises from some analysis of where republican voters would go to bloomberg as well. i guess he sees a lot of live free or die republicans voting for st michael the big gulp slayer oystertoadfish fucked around with this message at 02:36 on Mar 8, 2016 |
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Mar 8, 2016 02:32
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Real Bloomberg ad for his potential run: http://www.nytimes.com/video/us/politics/100000004256626/michael-bloomberg-advertisement.html?smid=tw-share
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Mar 8, 2016 02:34
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Donald Trump is the most dangerous man in the World. He really should run towards this.
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Mar 8, 2016 02:35
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a lot of the news now is basically people who haven't been paying attention to this shitshow taking it all in in one shot and freaking the gently caress out we've been taking it in through variolation over the course of most of a year, they're getting hit with the pure strain trump without the built-up immunity
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Mar 8, 2016 02:38
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Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:Trump is literally the antithesis of the RNC 2012 Autopsy Vox did a write up about how he actually proved one of their minor points/theories correct, specifically the issue of the "missing white voter". Turns out all you need to do to activate them is to be an authoritarian strong man!
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Mar 8, 2016 02:41
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Mar 8, 2016 02:41
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oystertoadfish posted:a lot of the news now is basically people who haven't been paying attention to this shitshow taking it all in in one shot and freaking the gently caress out nowadays, I need hourly trump tweets just to feel normal
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Mar 8, 2016 02:42
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Donald Trump PLEASE call out ted cruz for being a brony
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Mar 8, 2016 02:43
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I only have one question: how can they possibly top the last debate?
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Mar 8, 2016 02:44
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Apparently Ben Carson endorsed Donald Trump on Hannity's radio show this morning? How did I miss this? Can someone confirm it?
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Mar 8, 2016 02:44
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Rocks posted:Apparently Ben Carson endorsed Donald Trump on Hannity's radio show this morning? How did I miss this? Can someone confirm it?
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Mar 8, 2016 02:45
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dorkasaurus_rex posted:I only have one question: how can they possibly top the last debate? donald trump calls out cruz for being a huge liar who nevertheless claims the pony of honesty is his favorite
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Mar 8, 2016 02:45
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 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vUgcWlX-rk
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Mar 8, 2016 02:45
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