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Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK
Perhaps the only thing better than a win for each candidate tonight would be for Cruz to sweep tonight.

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G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

If those late decider numbers are right Kasich needs to be within 7-8 with early deciders. Really, really doubt that was the case. Looks like a 10 point trump win to me.

TROIKA CURES GREEK
Jun 30, 2015

by R. Guyovich

Hard to tell without knowing what % that represents and whether it's the last few days, last week etc.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
It's going to be Kasich/Cruz/Trump in Michigan. I don't know this with facts, I know it with my gut. Catch the wave! #kasichmentum

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
Kasich/Cruz/Trump would be great for my bank account

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK
So I've got 200 shares of Kasich Yes in Michigan, 384 in the queue for Rubio in Idaho, and I'm waiting on Cruz to do well early to finish out my arbitration in Hawaii where I should be guaranteed at least $120 if I get the Cruz NO I'm asking for.

If Kasich somehow wins Michigan and Hawaii I'm having a fantastic night.

JosefStalinator
Oct 9, 2007

Come Tbilisi if you want to live.




Grimey Drawer
That poll of late deciders, how much of the electorate did that make? Trump's lost among late deciders in every single race so far (or just about).

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
Well I think Trump also tends to get the "most certain of their decision" voters in those polls, though; something like 80% of Trump voters say they are unswayable.

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

JosefStalinator posted:

That poll of late deciders, how much of the electorate did that make? Trump's lost among late deciders in every single race so far (or just about).

unclear but the last week was 37%, which if you do the math on that most broad interpretation of late deciders, it suggests kasich needs to be within single digits of trump among non late deciders

Adar
Jul 27, 2001
Sitting tonight out except for a small trump.no in MI, gla

abelwingnut
Dec 23, 2002


well here's hoping those ms exit polls are off

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Abel Wingnut posted:

well here's hoping those ms exit polls are off
I rode that Trump up, then sold it. I could make another 3 cents but meh.

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
wow, I just bailed hard on Cruz in Mississippi

BigBobio
May 1, 2009
Hillary in Michigan is on sale

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011
HOLY poo poo MICHIGAN AGGGGGGGGHHHHH

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
Michigan Hillary YES down to 70 cents. I'm not dumb in thinking that's easy money right?

railroad terror
Jul 2, 2007

choo choo
Ohh boy....don't let me down hilldog

TROIKA CURES GREEK
Jun 30, 2015

by R. Guyovich
Looking good for Trump in MI /MS tbqh.

L-Boned
Sep 11, 2001

by FactsAreUseless

pathetic little tramp posted:

Michigan Hillary YES down to 70 cents. I'm not dumb in thinking that's easy money right?

Probably free money. Mostly rural precincts reporting.

JosefStalinator
Oct 9, 2007

Come Tbilisi if you want to live.




Grimey Drawer

pathetic little tramp posted:

Michigan Hillary YES down to 70 cents. I'm not dumb in thinking that's easy money right?

No, she'll probably win. But maybe it'll be closer, and could be a nailbiter.

L-Boned
Sep 11, 2001

by FactsAreUseless
Honestly, you guys should be getting in MO for Trump. He has rolled in the South and the Ozarks are likely to go heavily for him.

Trash Trick
Apr 17, 2014

L-Boned posted:

Honestly, you guys should be getting in MO for Trump. He has rolled in the South and the Ozarks are likely to go heavily for him.

:mrgw:

Racism = Trump prevails again.

L-Boned
Sep 11, 2001

by FactsAreUseless

a cop posted:

:mrgw:

Racism = Trump prevails again.

It's ok if it makes me money. :getin:

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo

L-Boned posted:

Honestly, you guys should be getting in MO for Trump. He has rolled in the South and the Ozarks are likely to go heavily for him.

Yeah, I bet against Trump today (:sigh: Michigan), and am betting for Trump in Missouri

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
On the other hand, if Kucinich somehow pulls this off... :getin:

Sylink
Apr 17, 2004

I have several hundred shares of bernie yes in michigan.

praise be

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin
Guess I should've waited til the MI results started coming in to max out.

Vox Nihili calling it for Sanders in the comments section with 5% in.

JosefStalinator
Oct 9, 2007

Come Tbilisi if you want to live.




Grimey Drawer

Sylink posted:

I have several hundred shares of bernie yes in michigan.

praise be

Uhhhh...

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
I'm flipping Bernie Michigan shares like

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011
should i buy more bernie NO

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
Just like other states, Bernie-friendly results are coming in first from small rural precincts. Detroit and Flint will come in last and Hillary will dominate those. Think Bernie's lead right now is far too narrow to survive that.

Zeta Taskforce
Jun 27, 2002

FourLeaf posted:

should i buy more bernie NO

I've been very risk adverse so I'm not, but probably. A way disproportionate number of votes are from Oakland county and Detroit and Flint are not reporting yet.

abelwingnut
Dec 23, 2002


the only thing preventing me from dumping everything into trump yes MO is rubio dropping out before then

railroad terror
Jul 2, 2007

choo choo

Peachstapler posted:

Guess I should've waited til the MI results started coming in to max out.



You and me both. There's not even any meaningful Wayne co vote yet, and I could have made so much more

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK
I forgot I had a bunch of Bernie No in Michigan. Too bad I didn't wait to buy it until tonight.

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
Just made 550 dollars on Hillary in Michigan. Flipping is the poo poo.

TROIKA CURES GREEK
Jun 30, 2015

by R. Guyovich
Idaho was an incredible steal at 15 yesterday.

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
welp my Cruz MS and Kasich MI lottery tickets failed me tonight

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011
DDHQ calls Michigan for Hillary

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/707385496826093569

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huge pile of hamburger
Nov 4, 2009

FourLeaf posted:

DDHQ calls Michigan for Hillary

and yet bernie prices still rise. lol

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