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FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

EngineerSean posted:

realclearpolitics said that she was going to win so we didn't bother to do our job

:laffo:

if that's true then yeah i shouldn't bet on predictit because every source depends too much on horrible polling and i'm honestly unwilling to play swings.

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abelwingnut
Dec 23, 2002


49.9 - 48.1

gman14msu
Mar 10, 2009
And Hillary just closed gap to 1.8% according to CNN... and no website...

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo

WhiskeyJuvenile posted:

why did i just buy trump in idaho

go to bed whiskeyjuvenile you're drunk

why do I keep making impulse purchases right before the market crashes (both in price and in lol the servers) because I bought at 20 cents and then it fell to 10 and i'd still buy

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
hilldawg made up some more votes in wayne

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo

gman14msu posted:

And Hillary just closed gap to 1.8% according to CNN... and no website...

lol

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011
i guess detroit just came in buuuuut the site is dead

biznatchio
Mar 31, 2001


Buglord
14th precinct in Michigan (part of Detroit) just reported their first numbers and they're breaking 64/32 for Hillary. There'll be another one or two jumps like that, as only half of the 14th is in, and none of the 13th yet.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
Most Bernie areas have reported. Mainly Hillary left. Actually plausible she pulls it out after all.

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
Hillary was at 2 cents at one point. Insane value bet at that price.

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
gently caress WHY DIDN'T I BUY AT THREE CENTS

biznatchio
Mar 31, 2001


Buglord

Concerned Citizen posted:

Most Bernie areas have reported. Mainly Hillary left. Actually plausible she pulls it out after all.

She's going to get some big bumps, but I'm personally skeptical it'll be enough to close the gap. But then again I'm in at 86 cents on Bernie NO so here's hopin'.

gman14msu
Mar 10, 2009

biznatchio posted:

14th precinct in Michigan (part of Detroit) just reported their first numbers and they're breaking 64/32 for Hillary. There'll be another one or two jumps like that, as only half of the 14th is in, and none of the 13th yet.

If you are using the Michigan Secretary of State website, you are about 350,000 votes behind CNN and other news sites. Not sure why, but that's what it is.

Upside Potential
Jun 14, 2006
If you think this guy is terrible, wait till next year.

WhiskeyJuvenile posted:

gently caress WHY DIDN'T I BUY AT THREE CENTS

Bought at 3 sold at 20.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Concerned Citizen posted:

Most Bernie areas have reported. Mainly Hillary left. Actually plausible she pulls it out after all.

Nope, check Kent.

tinstaach
Aug 3, 2010

MAGNetic AttITUDE


I spent my last $1.42 on 2c Bernie No's. Still down $250 :homebrew:

e: in the time it took for me to post this I'm "up" to -$150

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

tinstaach posted:

I spent my last $1.42 on 2c Bernie No's. Still down $250 :homebrew:

Same. All in, baby.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Vox Nihili posted:

Nope, check Kent.

I'm aware, Kent is relatively small though. I think this is within 1 point.

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
Tonight has dropped Hillary in Illinois down to 75c

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
cruz is gonna take 2nd in Michigan if you weren't following that

Garrand
Dec 28, 2012

Rhino, you did this to me!

WhiskeyJuvenile posted:

cruz is gonna take 2nd in Michigan if you weren't following that

Man, he really jumped ahead. Thanks for telling me to dump my kasich's earlier. I love this thread.

abelwingnut
Dec 23, 2002


OH GODDAMNIT AP CALLED IT

JosefStalinator
Oct 9, 2007

Come Tbilisi if you want to live.




Grimey Drawer
:rip: all goons

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
trump in idaho is good value

Trash Trick
Apr 17, 2014

MSNBC just calle it too (for sanders)

tinstaach
Aug 3, 2010

MAGNetic AttITUDE


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-GaXa8tSBE

Upside Potential
Jun 14, 2006
If you think this guy is terrible, wait till next year.
The fun should move to Hawaii soon. Trump leading at 48c.

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
check early returns in ada county (1/3 of idaho population)

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011
.

FourLeaf has issued a correction as of 00:47 on Feb 9, 2017

tinstaach
Aug 3, 2010

MAGNetic AttITUDE


over 1.3 million shares traded in the MI DEM market today.

It's been real, goons. I'm okay with gambling away money I could afford to lose.

Trash Trick
Apr 17, 2014

Idaho is a closed primary, correct?

Arkane
Dec 19, 2006

by R. Guyovich
Not sure why I ever got involved in that stupid Democratic Michigan market. Had a bunch of people I trust tell me that Clinton had it as the results were coming in.

Thank goodness I was able to cut my losses to only a couple hundred.

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo
Idaho was polled 2 weeks ago, Trump 30, Cruz 19, Rubio 16

Trump's currently selling at 20

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
welp, that was a brutal night. Time to rebuild!

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo

a cop posted:

Idaho is a closed primary, correct?

yeah

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!

Arkane posted:

Not sure why I ever got involved in that stupid Democratic Michigan market. Had a bunch of people I trust tell me that Clinton had it as the results were coming in.

Thank goodness I was able to cut my losses to only a couple hundred.

literally nobody saw this coming tonight. It's the biggest polling error in decades on the democratic side.

Trash Trick
Apr 17, 2014

WhiskeyJuvenile posted:

Idaho was polled 2 weeks ago, Trump 30, Cruz 19, Rubio 16

Trump's currently selling at 20

Def a good value for at least trading on swings but reminder that nearly all the states trump has underperfomed in have been closed (and I think idaho is closed)

User Error
Aug 31, 2006
gently caress this site, I'm out. Oh well.

Arkane
Dec 19, 2006

by R. Guyovich
By the way, in case you ever trusted those clowns at Decision Desk HQ (and I never have), they have no idea what is going on. They can barely spell, let alone project elections.

The fact that they called it for Clinton is laughable, and probably cost a lot of people money. Wouldn't be shocked if some of them were trading.

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Trash Trick
Apr 17, 2014

Also yet another reminder: if the site's ever not loading for you, open it in an incognito window in chrome. If that works then you have to delete your PI cookies.

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