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Nah, I made 193 off Hawaii. I had negative risk there.
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Mar 9, 2016 14:10
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Arkane posted:Romney Run traded up to 35 cents earlier tonight. This was actually me selling my NO shares down to 65c so that I could throw more money at Bernie.NO 
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Mar 9, 2016 14:19
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Aliquid posted:jesus christ Seriously. I started hedging after I lost some sure bets earlier this month. I bought MI.Bernie YES at $.09 because eh, it was cheap 
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Mar 9, 2016 14:23
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Sylink posted:Seems the class traitors all lost a fitting end
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Mar 9, 2016 14:23
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don't go crazy in north carolina  e: on the other hand, NC's population centers are pretty white, but on the other other hand, Clinton in Tennessee. WhiskeyJuvenile has issued a correction as of 14:55 on Mar 9, 2016 |
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Mar 9, 2016 14:52
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all i'll say is this: methinks there's work left to do with likely voter model theory
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Mar 9, 2016 15:16
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Blah. I lost all my profits and part of my original investment tonight. I'm done.
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Mar 9, 2016 15:51
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Sylink posted:Seems the class traitors all lost Actually I think you'll find that we were the most aggressive when it comes to redistributing the wealth
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Mar 9, 2016 16:17
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railroad terror posted:Blah. I lost all my profits and part of my original investment tonight. I'm done. But how are you going to get your original investment back if you don't double down?
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Mar 9, 2016 16:35
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Gyges posted:But how are you going to get your original investment back if you don't double down? I tell you, maybe the only thing keeping me on the site after last night is that I am ahead now, but I'll be behind if I accept the withdrawl tax right now.
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Mar 9, 2016 16:44
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Before last night i was mostly convinced the GOP side could get messy on predictit and people were too over-confident on the favorites in each state based on limited data and mostly unreliable pollsters. Turns out my idea was right but it was Michigan Democratic side  March 15th is going to be really interesting. My only play so far was picking up a bunch of Hillary at discount last night because the Bernie surge last night went real overboard. Florida at 80 cents? sure. GOP side i'm really, really happy I profit took on FL a couple days ago and got out of trump no. Also I like Trump NO for DC Conv right now, around 60~
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Mar 9, 2016 16:46
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Any thoughts on the DC GOP convention or whatever weird thing they do there? I'm leaning trump at the moment. Gonna try and hold out.
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Mar 9, 2016 17:01
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Why would Republican voters in DC, a majority of whom work for the federal government or as a government contractor (or rely on these people to supplement their income), vote for the candidate most likely to alter the foundation of their well-being? I just don't see it, no matter what the betting market says.
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Mar 9, 2016 17:07
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G-Hawk posted:Before last night i was mostly convinced the GOP side could get messy on predictit and people were too over-confident on the favorites in each state based on limited data and mostly unreliable pollsters. I poured the rest of my money into Hillary IL at a discount after last night. It was trading in the 70s yesterday with a brief dip into the 60s. Another "sure thing" since it's her birth state and the last poll had her +30.5!
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Mar 9, 2016 17:29
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Is there a better api to this site? Trying to see actual trends is hard as gently caress, though maybe deliberately.
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Mar 9, 2016 18:02
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Gyges posted:But how are you going to get your original investment back if you don't double down? The gambling addict in me 5 years ago would have said the same thing!
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Mar 9, 2016 18:08
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Congratulations to that ballsy fucker who bet on Sanders winning Michigan based on his debate performance.
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Mar 9, 2016 18:09
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Soooo so loving glad I decided to just get a small profit on my Sanders NO and not let it ride when I went to the store. Managed to sell all my 37 cent shares at 38 and avoided a massive blowout. Sorry for the losses in this thread.
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Mar 9, 2016 18:26
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RIP to those who fell
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Mar 9, 2016 18:31
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Peachstapler posted:Why would Republican voters in DC, a majority of whom work for the federal government or as a government contractor (or rely on these people to supplement their income), vote for the candidate most likely to alter the foundation of their well-being? I just don't see it, no matter what the betting market says. Anecdotal so take this with a grain of salt: I live in NoVA and regularly hang out in DC and Trump is massively unpopular here. Take note that NoVA massively went for Rubio in the VA election despite Trump ultimately winning it. If I weren't stuck in a conference for the next two weeks Id put money on Trump.No
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Mar 9, 2016 19:26
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*Also I don't know how conventions work
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Mar 9, 2016 19:28
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lol
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Mar 9, 2016 19:32
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Necc0 posted:*Also I don't know how conventions work
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Mar 9, 2016 19:46
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The DC thing is a really good bellwether for what the establishment does now that Rubio is dead and there is no one to turn to. I wouldn't be surprised to see Kasich win it but Cruz will probably run close.
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Mar 9, 2016 19:53
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Necc0 posted:Anecdotal so take this with a grain of salt: I live in NoVA and regularly hang out in DC and Trump is massively unpopular here. Take note that NoVA massively went for Rubio in the VA election despite Trump ultimately winning it. If I weren't stuck in a conference for the next two weeks Id put money on Trump.No Yep I'm going huge on Trump No here and playing up his chances in the comments like a complete dick. What have I become.
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Mar 9, 2016 20:49
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Vox Nihili posted:Yep I'm going huge on Trump No here and playing up his chances in the comments like a complete dick. What have I become. Did...did you mean what you said in the mo market..
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Mar 9, 2016 20:50
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Closed for maintenance, ugh gently caress i want to bet on the rubio dropout market even though i don't know if it exists yet
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Mar 9, 2016 21:13
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something significant happening while the market was down would be quite the refresh race
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Mar 9, 2016 21:14
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It's back
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Mar 9, 2016 21:21
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a cop posted:Did...did you mean what you said in the mo market.. what he said is true and exactly why i've got trump MO YES
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Mar 9, 2016 21:27
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Aliquid posted:what he said is true and exactly why i've got trump MO YES ride together die together
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Mar 9, 2016 21:29
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I'm hoping tonights debate inflates Sanders a bit in IL and MO so I can dump them for a small gain. Then I'll buy more roulette tickets if it goes back to single digits.
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Mar 9, 2016 21:35
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Sylink posted:I'm hoping tonights debate inflates Sanders a bit in IL and MO so I can dump them for a small gain. That's what I'm doing with Bernie FL Yes. Bought at $0.09, gonna sell on any rise.
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Mar 9, 2016 21:48
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a cop posted:Did...did you mean what you said in the mo market.. I think Trump will win there on the strength of independent/crossover support, yeah.
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Mar 9, 2016 21:49
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Not touching Trump.MO with a hundred foot pole. There is a debate tomorrow where something retarded is guaranteed to happen and three other states where dead money candidates are getting massive points. No need to get greedy.
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Mar 9, 2016 22:35
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Man thanks again for that tip on the Bloomberg market whoever that was. Market's already almost back to sanity.
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Mar 9, 2016 23:56
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Ya'll need to buy all these cheap Clinton Wins OH/FL/MO shares so I can get some diversified Bernie lottery tickets.
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Mar 10, 2016 00:04
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Rubio and Kasich dropout markets are live and evil - Will he drop out within 2 days after FL/OH? I guess NO is what you take if you think he gets pushed out before Florida. Made some money flipping Rubio NO, but greatly underestimated the thirst for Rubio NO and only made 5 cents a share instead of doubling my money like I could've dang. edit: fun fact, currently Joe Biden is more likely to win the general election for president than Marco Rubio in PredictIt. edit edit: How did I miss this gem of a market: https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2281/Will-Trump-be-bleeped-during-the-CNN-Univision-debate#data pathetic little tramp has issued a correction as of 00:52 on Mar 10, 2016 |
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Mar 10, 2016 00:11
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pathetic little tramp posted:Rubio and Kasich dropout markets are live and evil - Will he drop out within 2 days after FL/OH? Biden's the horse to bet on if you think that (1) Clinton is going to get charged over the email server and (2) in some hypothetical universe where she does get charged, they'd give Biden the nomination instead of Sanders. He has a route to it but you'd have to pretty loving stupid to believe these two not-going-to-happen things will happen. Meanwhile Rubio has no route whatsoever. edit: quote:edit edit: How did I miss this gem of a market: This guy's got it: quote:Shang Tsung • a minute ago He did that poo poo when he called invading Iraq a "big fu- big fat mistake" and it ruled Shear Modulus has issued a correction as of 00:56 on Mar 10, 2016 |
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Mar 10, 2016 00:54
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I sold my TRUMPYES in FL for a solid profit. If Rubio drops out, I would expect Trump to go down and Cruz to go up, right?
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Mar 10, 2016 01:11
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