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all in for trump in ohio wish me luck
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Mar 15, 2016 01:32
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:all in for trump in ohio good luck i like trump in ohio too but i don't feel that good about it yet i am all in on hillary in missouri i also have hillary in AZ, Hawaii god bless G-Hawk has issued a correction as of 01:46 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 01:42
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@28? I feel good
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Mar 15, 2016 01:46
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:@28? I feel good i want it closer to 20 but maybe i am greedy
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Mar 15, 2016 01:46
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If Kasich no in Ohio dips below 25c I'll max out, or close to it. e: What's everyones lottery ticket buys for tomorrow? I haven't bought any long shots yet. dangling pointer has issued a correction as of 01:59 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 01:50
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Looks like I'm on the opposite end of things in Ohio relative to the Goon Consensus.
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Mar 15, 2016 02:20
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I've bet paltry sums on No for Trump in Ohio and Yes for Sanders in Illinois and was content with my small (like $5 - $10) wagers but now I'm $60 in for Hillary Yes in Arizona and the price keeps dropping, making me want to invest more. Also, what do people think of Hawaii? Does she get Obama love by association?
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Mar 15, 2016 02:24
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Arkane posted:Public doc would be amazingly good. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1GfI8HMzqc7ChwTycD7zbVWWoG95AodIrtALjSzV6HW0/edit?usp=sharing Got one up, set to update every 5 min. Starting with: Sanders - IL BUY YES Sanders - IL Sell YES Copying the forms and such makes this super easy. I thought I was gonna have to make a new form each time with new IDs edit: Don't think I'll do less than 5 min, at least not until I break even in case they don't like me doing simple filtering of their page. Plus it's more up to date and prides a better detailed history than we have now  edit2: I'm no spreadsheet wizard, so feel free to make some code based off from the form I can throw up for you if you want fancy spreadsheet magic. I'm pretty sure one of you nerds qualify as such. edit3: I forgot to mention, this only tracks numbers, not transactions. Who the hell needs to know actual transactions if numbers are moving though. ThndrShk2k has issued a correction as of 02:45 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 02:32
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Fidel Castronaut posted:I've bet paltry sums on No for Trump in Ohio and Yes for Sanders in Illinois and was content with my small (like $5 - $10) wagers but now I'm $60 in for Hillary Yes in Arizona and the price keeps dropping, making me want to invest more. Hillary is a bad buy in Hawaii. It's the most liberal state and their congresswoman recently joined Team Bern. Also, Hillary's core voters (older black women and to a lesser extent latinos) are almost entirely absent.
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Mar 15, 2016 02:36
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Kasich takes Ohio fairly easily. Fairly well liked sitting governor in his home state? People will not vote against that.
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Mar 15, 2016 02:38
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My wacky lottery buy: Kasich Yes in Illinois. Kasichmentum!!!
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Mar 15, 2016 02:45
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Imo GOPBROKERED.2016 is going to go up after tomorrow's results because Trump will lose Ohio.
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Mar 15, 2016 02:49
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Yeah that's likely.
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Mar 15, 2016 02:54
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Oh thanks that's a good point
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Mar 15, 2016 02:59
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i'm bullish on hillary in hawaii. It isn't that liberal, just Democratic. Obama closeness good. Lacks Bernie's core demo, younger white disaffecteds. Bernie relatively unknown. Only (crappy) poll had Hillary up 30 points. It is a caucus, but at 30 cents or less im snapping up shares for Hillary there. also gently caress it picked up 1000 kasich no at 27 in Ohio G-Hawk has issued a correction as of 03:03 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 02:59
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Bugger, I got stuff behind the 37-39c 1k wall on Ohio  probably lose $5-7 if the wall gets to 35
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Mar 15, 2016 03:00
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I've got money on KASICH NO in Ohio, but only to flip it when results start coming in. I feel like it's going to be a fairly close race, so I think that the price will go up briefly before he nails it. Thoughts?
UnoriginalMind has issued a correction as of 03:11 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 03:08
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I've held the same bets I think will win tomorrow for about a week. Went from +20% a couple days ago to -5% now. Don't gently caress me, Hillary.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:10
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UnoriginalMind posted:I've got money on KASICH NO in Ohio, but only to flip it when results start coming in. I feel like it's going to be a fairly close race, so I think that the price will go up briefly before he nails it. Thoughts? Florida might be a safer flip market. My feeling is it will look something like what happened jn Louisiana between trump and Cruz. The early voting dumps will come in early and show Rubio close, but then he will trail off as same day votes get counted. Thinking there will be a slight bump for Rubio to play with, and at 8 cents right now it's a low risk gamble.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:15
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Aliquid posted:I've held the same bets I think will win tomorrow for about a week. Went from +20% a couple days ago to -5% now. Don't gently caress me, Hillary. She could easily lose in any one (or all) of Ohio, Missouri, and Illinois. Might be best to cut and run from positions in those three.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:23
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watwat posted:Florida might be a safer flip market. My feeling is it will look something like what happened jn Louisiana between trump and Cruz. The early voting dumps will come in early and show Rubio close, but then he will trail off as same day votes get counted. Thinking there will be a slight bump for Rubio to play with, and at 8 cents right now it's a low risk gamble. Hmm. Interesting. Eight cents huh? Well, the KASICH NO market just went up by three cents, so that's ten more free dollars for me today. Those marginal gains, baby. I might put some money down on Rubio, just because I feel like it has to go up from that low of a price. Even if it's just a little.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:27
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Instead of doing brokered convention I wonder if Romney.run might spike as well? A lot of people seem to think that he'll get picked at the convention and suddenly become a candidate. Romney's been sitting at about .15 for a while now, while brokered is in the mid .40s.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:29
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I'm not sure about flipping Florida. The Trump wave is big and Rubio could potentially be pinned at virtually zero by tomorrow.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:30
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Vox Nihili posted:She could easily lose in any one (or all) of Ohio, Missouri, and Illinois. Might be best to cut and run from positions in those three. If she loses all three and my money is lit on fire, i'd be too busy doing bernflips to care much
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Mar 15, 2016 03:31
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Aliquid posted:If she loses all three and my money is lit on fire, i'd be too busy doing bernflips to care much IMO the median outcome is that she loses 2 of those 3 tomorrow. We'll see!
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Mar 15, 2016 03:37
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UnoriginalMind posted:I've got money on KASICH NO in Ohio, but only to flip it when results start coming in. I feel like it's going to be a fairly close race, so I think that the price will go up briefly before he nails it. Thoughts? Trump will probably lead at first, and if people haven't learned their lesson about that, yeah it could go up. But it's pretty risky.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:40
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Woo the wall on OH is coming down. Comeon spike to 44 so I can come out $1 more and learn to not invest so much in the morning Also an hour in, you guys like the IL spreadsheet?
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Mar 15, 2016 03:43
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Remember site lag when trying to flip on game day. Put in some early sell orders I guess.
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Mar 15, 2016 03:44
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nachos posted:Remember site lag when trying to flip on game day. Put in some early sell orders I guess. I have my sell orders in now already
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Mar 15, 2016 03:51
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ThndrShk2k posted:edit3: I forgot to mention, this only tracks numbers, not transactions. well let's say for instance the daily volume is 500 when you first check, and then 700 when you next check, you'd know there were 200 shares traded in that time span
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Mar 15, 2016 04:10
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zen death robot posted:Trump is gonna win Ohio tomorrow by .5% SAME W/ MO.
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Mar 15, 2016 04:16
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Arkane posted:well let's say for instance the daily volume is 500 when you first check, and then 700 when you next check, you'd know there were 200 shares traded in that time span Basically, or someone removed 200 from order. Updated it, now includes BUY/SELL YES for SANDERS on: IL OH FL NC MO - 5min update interval https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1GfI8HMzqc7ChwTycD7zbVWWoG95AodIrtALjSzV6HW0/edit#gid=837971065 ThndrShk2k has issued a correction as of 04:22 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 04:18
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ThndrShk2k posted:Basically, or someone removed 200 from order. no, i was suggesting a somewhat easy way to pull how much was traded in the time period and thanks for this
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Mar 15, 2016 04:21
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Arkane posted:no, i was suggesting a somewhat easy way to pull how much was traded in the time period Oh right, the volume data. I duno how much I'd have to redo to include that :x Edit:I can easily do it for future ones, but it's too much of a pain to do ones ending tomorrow. ThndrShk2k has issued a correction as of 04:29 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 04:25
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ThndrShk2k posted:Oh right, the volume data. yeah no worries
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Mar 15, 2016 04:31
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Buy Sell  Trend in OH YES showing a spike. It's working already  Seriously though, I'm a novice at spreadsheets and rather go to bed tonight if someone could just throw formulas at me or w/e I need to do. ThndrShk2k has issued a correction as of 04:49 on Mar 15, 2016 |
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Mar 15, 2016 04:45
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nachos posted:Remember site lag when trying to flip on game day. Put in some early sell orders I guess.
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Mar 15, 2016 04:46
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Tyler Pedigo changed his IL call to Bernie YES, FWIW.
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Mar 15, 2016 04:59
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Apparently I hate doing things I want to do and just do this stuff It's under the sheet of 'gently caress Magic' And seriously you're just better off refreshing their page for this, it's only there to see crap crammed together to see all at once, when I finish it up.
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Mar 15, 2016 05:10
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lmao
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Mar 15, 2016 05:12
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