FL, IL, MO, CNMI, NC, OH GOP/DEM PRIMARIES MARCH 15. 4AM ET "Super Threesday" Rubiout

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > FL, IL, MO, CNMI, NC, OH GOP/DEM PRIMARIES MARCH 15. 4AM ET "Super Threesday" Rubiout

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sexpig by night: Sep 8, 2011; by Azathoth

Bernie's Missouri lead has become .9%

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:21

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# ? Jun 2, 2024 06:21

Slate Action: Feb 13, 2012; by exmarx

CNN calls Illinois for Hilldawg.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:21

Prof. Lurker: Mar 10, 2015; I've got the fire of human liberty!

I'm setting fires everywhere!

And humans are turning on everywhere!

Is Missouri GOP in recount territory?

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:21

QuoProQuid: Jan 12, 2012; Tr*ckin' and F*ckin' all the way to tha
T O P

he just posted a picture of julius caeser getting shanked

edit: now his profile picture

QuoProQuid has issued a correction as of 05:25 on Mar 16, 2016

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:22

OAquinas: Jan 27, 2008; Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

Slate Action posted:

CNN calls Illinois for Hilldawg.

Yeah, Bernie's tightened it up from 40K+ to ~35K, but that's not happening.

He's still up by 5-6K in MO though.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:22

Trash Trick: Apr 17, 2014

Prof. Lurker posted:

Is Missouri GOP in recount territory?

According to MSNBC, yes. Delegate allocation is dependent upon leads in individual precincts. A recount could make a difference.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:23

Tainen: Jan 23, 2004

Prof. Lurker posted:

Is Missouri GOP in recount territory?

Chuck Todd said that if Cruz is really going for a convention strategy then he should request a recount in Missouri.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:23

sexpig by night: Sep 8, 2011; by Azathoth

a cop posted:

According to MSNBC, yes. Delegate allocation is dependent upon leads in individual precincts. A recount could make a difference.

Same for DNC or is it gonna be like Iowa where winning by less than 1% means 'ok well gently caress it you tied'?

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:24

farraday: Jan 10, 2007; Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

OAquinas posted:

Yeah, Bernie's tightened it up from 40K+ to ~35K, but that's not happening.

He's still up by 5-6K in MO though.

almost all the remaining votes are out in St Louis or Kansas city and Hillary is winning those by margins large enough to probably let her eke out the state.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:25

Tainen: Jan 23, 2004

Tatum Girlparts posted:

Same for DNC or is it gonna be like Iowa where winning by less than 1% means 'ok well gently caress it you tied'?

No it doesn't really matter for the Dems due to the way delegates are handed out.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:26

QuoProQuid: Jan 12, 2012; Tr*ckin' and F*ckin' all the way to tha
T O P

Tainen posted:

Chuck Todd said that if Cruz is really going for a convention strategy then he should request a recount in Missouri.

that reminds me, if this goes to the convention floor, trump might get screwed out of his votes in nevada due to "irregularities"

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:27

Dr.Zeppelin: Dec 5, 2003

farraday posted:

almost all the remaining votes are out in St Louis or Kansas city and Hillary is winning those by margins large enough to probably let her eke out the state.

worth mentioning that ddhq has it as a checkmark for bernie still, that would be a second embarrassing un-call for them right on the heels of the first one

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:27

Yoshifan823: Feb 19, 2007; by FactsAreUseless

farraday posted:

almost all the remaining votes are out in St Louis or Kansas city and Hillary is winning those by margins large enough to probably let her eke out the state.

are you ready for some voter fraud accusations? Because we're about to be in salty socialist heaven if Hillary pulls out a Missouri win.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:27

fknlo: Jul 6, 2009; Fun Shoe

Dr.Zeppelin posted:

worth mentioning that ddhq has it as a checkmark for bernie still, that would be a second embarrassing un-call for them right on the heels of the first one

Yet they're still playing it safe with IL

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:29

OAquinas: Jan 27, 2008; Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

farraday posted:

almost all the remaining votes are out in St Louis or Kansas city and Hillary is winning those by margins large enough to probably let her eke out the state.

Could be right on that. Just jumped down to a 2K lead for Bernie. 76 precincts left, all but two of them are split between Jackson or St Louis counties.

QuoProQuid posted:

that reminds me, if this goes to the convention floor, trump might get screwed out of his votes in nevada due to "irregularities"

Nevada was a massive clusterfuck even by caucus standards. You had more honest elections run in Iraq in 2001; if nothing else they're probably getting shoved back later in the year next cycle.

OAquinas has issued a correction as of 05:31 on Mar 16, 2016

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:29

Dr.Zeppelin: Dec 5, 2003

QuoProQuid posted:

that reminds me, if this goes to the convention floor, trump might get screwed out of his votes in nevada due to "irregularities"

this is why i don't understand everyone who says that the democrats should want to face trump, the sheer amount of poo poo that has to happen to get him off the ticket is going to create a blood feud

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:29

triple sulk: Sep 17, 2014

suck

it

bernouts

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:29

farraday: Jan 10, 2007; Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

Hmm Rest of St Louis city came in and Hillary still 2k down. depends how big the remaining precincts are but bernie could hold out.

Probably around 1k total vote difference by the end?

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:30

Montasque: Jul 18, 2003; Living in a hateful world sending me straight to Heaven

OAquinas posted:

From the Flatlander Woman herself

https://twitter.com/ananavarro/status/709926071735484416
https://twitter.com/ananavarro/status/709910520439152640

Bonus:
https://twitter.com/ananavarro/status/709894561972232192

https://twitter.com/RogerJStoneJr/status/709941794872492032

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:30

ScrubLeague: Feb 11, 2007; Nap Ghost

Did I win as many primary states tonight as Bernie Sanders, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz?

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:30

sexpig by night: Sep 8, 2011; by Azathoth

Yoshifan823 posted:

are you ready for some voter fraud accusations? Because we're about to be in salty socialist heaven if Hillary pulls out a Missouri win.

If this turns into a total sweep I genuinely can't imagine Sanders gets to keep going. I mean 'ok well I barely got one state so, ya know, STILL IN THE GAME BABY' is hardly an argument at all but considering the diverse types of voting blocs at play today I really can't see any argument against a total loss. He can't hide behind 'well, ya know, the south...smarter voters up north....that stuff...' this time

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:30

Tainen: Jan 23, 2004

Yoshifan823 posted:

are you ready for some voter fraud accusations? Because we're about to be in salty socialist heaven if Hillary pulls out a Missouri win.

Bernie fans already saying Hillary was not a legitimate winner in Florida and North Carolina due to the voter ID laws... That were passed by republicans in those states. How dare she!

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:31

fknlo: Jul 6, 2009; Fun Shoe

Looks like decision desk finally called IL for Hillary

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:31

sexpig by night: Sep 8, 2011; by Azathoth

e: n/m

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:33

fosborb: Dec 15, 2006; Chronic Good Poster

a cop posted:

According to MSNBC, yes. Delegate allocation is dependent upon leads in individual precincts. A recount could make a difference.

It's insanely disappointing that Republicans have veto-proof majorities in both houses of the Missouri General Assembly.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:33

Dr.Zeppelin: Dec 5, 2003

Tatum Girlparts posted:

If this turns into a total sweep I genuinely can't imagine Sanders gets to keep going. I mean 'ok well I barely got one state so, ya know, STILL IN THE GAME BABY' is hardly an argument at all but considering the diverse types of voting blocs at play today I really can't see any argument against a total loss. He can't hide behind 'well, ya know, the south...smarter voters up north....that stuff...' this time

if he's serious about pushing his message he needs to go all the way to the convention, fading away just tells hillary that it's ok to go back to ignoring all the issues he brought up and DWS will happily pretend their threat to the party's status quo was overblown

bernie forcing hillary to organize nationwide and keeping her honest on policy proposals would do a world of good as long as the campaign continues to remain relatively civil by campaign standards

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:33

Jewel Repetition: Dec 24, 2012; Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Math report 2

~22k votes left to count in Missouri, Trump leading by 2.4k.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:34

Dr.Zeppelin: Dec 5, 2003

Tainen posted:

Bernie fans already saying Hillary was not a legitimate winner in Florida and North Carolina due to the voter ID laws... That were passed by republicans in those states. How dare she!

drat hillary's black voter base and their high statistical likelihood to have IDs

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:34

SpiderHyphenMan: Apr 1, 2010; by Fluffdaddy

The decision desk is going to be kicked out from under someone if Missouri goes to Clinton.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:35

OJ MIST 2 THE DICK: Sep 11, 2008; Anytime I need to see your face I just close my eyes
And I am taken to a place
Where your crystal minds and magenta feelings
Take up shelter in the base of my spine
Sweet like a chica cherry cola
-Cheap Trick; Nap Ghost

zen death robot posted:

Which will be hilarious because the vote fuckery accusations in MO are usually that there aren't ever enough ballot booths in N St Louis and the whole deal with the need to show some kind of ID to vote.

so if Hillary wins, its going to be because cities like Ferguson, MO had their votes recorded properly?

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:35

Yoshifan823: Feb 19, 2007; by FactsAreUseless

Tainen posted:

Bernie fans already saying Hillary was not a legitimate winner in Florida and North Carolina due to the voter ID laws... That were passed by republicans in those states

and that's she also outspokenly against! She's in favor of automatic voter registration when you turn 18, so her win isn't because of anything she did re:voter IDs.

Also, it's really funny that they're claiming states in which she won by 20+ points are not legitimate. I mean, Illinois at least was within 5.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:35

OAquinas: Jan 27, 2008; Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

Plus, these are the democratic primaries--proportional allotment and all that. "Winning" by 1% means jack poo poo beyond the cheap headline; in terms of delegate math (where he's still screwed and has been for weeks) it means flipping one delegate between the C and S camps.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:36

sexpig by night: Sep 8, 2011; by Azathoth

SpiderHyphenMan posted:

The decision desk is going to be kicked out from under someone if Missouri goes to Clinton.

Decision Desk just releases a string of tweets reading "gently caress you too I guess" followed by a picture of a noose

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:36

farraday: Jan 10, 2007; Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

zen death robot posted:

County is much larger

Yes but fewer of the precincts were still outstanding, about 40 in county vs about 100 in city(before they all came in).

On average right now it's about 220 people per precinct in the city vs 295 in the county. With 40 outstanding that's about 11,765 votes left, and at current split thats 6435 for Clinton to 5330 for Sanders.

Not enough to cover the spread, but it depends on the size of the precincts left and the split, a little larger and a little more clinton and it's hers.

farraday has issued a correction as of 05:39 on Mar 16, 2016

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:37

Dr.Zeppelin: Dec 5, 2003

apologies if this came up already but unsurprisingly the general GOP turnout blowout trend continued. dems dominated in IL which isn't a surprise, and NC was about even which was also surprising given that GOP turnout in missouri was 1.5x the dems

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:37

Yoshifan823: Feb 19, 2007; by FactsAreUseless

Sanders is gonna stay in until the convention, and Clinton herself (discounting any surrogates, who could go off message) won't make the argument that he should drop out because she stayed in until June in 2008.

Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if Hillary or at least some in her camp think that having Sanders in the race is good for her visibility. She's gonna get overshadowed by the Battle for the GOP's Soul if there's no competition in the Dem primary.

# ? Mar 16, 2016 05:38