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GalacticAcid posted:She already included the tweet in a fundraising email haha. I expect it to show up in quite a few fundraising emails. That poo poo is just a gimme to Democrats.
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Mar 16, 2016 22:37
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Total lie. Toomey won't be in the senate then.
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Mar 16, 2016 23:58
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lol toomey nooooooo pull up
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Mar 17, 2016 00:05
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I think he was trying to take the Republican motto of "It's not the person, it's the principle!" thing to it's logical end and show how he was being principled in his obstruction, but messed up the execution.
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Mar 17, 2016 03:54
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I'm surprised the senate GOP caucus didn't let him break ranks on this issue. Would be a perfect "moderate" thing to do before what promises to be a nasty election for him, and it wouldn't swing the nomination either way.
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Mar 17, 2016 04:50
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it is surprising, i had thought he was considered a pretty good maneuverer when it came to pretending to be centrist too. i guess aside from the immediate fundraising there's no real repercussions this early, but if he's gonna act like this all year he probably hurts his chances, and therefore his party's chances at holding this stupid legislative body as for the issue at hand, i kinda hope the gop fucks themselves out of this guy and we end up with a younger more leftist nominee - but i dont really know what to think
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Mar 17, 2016 04:53
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McCain's holding out on Garland until after the election as well. Kirkpatrick is a strong candidate - won't be strong enough to unseat McCain of course but I'm hoping if she keeps it close a few House districts might turn. But lol gerrymandering.
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Mar 17, 2016 20:33
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if you're talking about arizona's house map, it isn't gerrymandered, it's drawn by an independent commission that republicans hate and have been trying very hard to subvert https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redistricting_in_Arizona http://azredistricting.org/ if anything the requirement their commission has for creating "potentially competitive" seats probably helps democrats
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Mar 17, 2016 20:48
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Oo sweet, I had heard Kirkpatrick's district had been redrawn into tougher borders, so I assumed it was gerrymandering at work. Thanks for clarifying.
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Mar 17, 2016 21:03
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GalacticAcid posted:McCain's holding out on Garland until after the election as well. Kirkpatrick is a strong candidate - won't be strong enough to unseat McCain of course but I'm hoping if she keeps it close a few House districts might turn. https://twitter.com/scottwongDC/status/710552711838769152 
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Mar 17, 2016 21:08
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GalacticAcid posted:Oo sweet, I had heard Kirkpatrick's district had been redrawn into tougher borders, so I assumed it was gerrymandering at work. Thanks for clarifying. yw. i'm not totally attuned to the details of arizona districting, i don't know what last decade's map was like, so i know less than you about that part of your point as far as mccain losing, it could happen but in a republican-leaning state it's likely that those undecideds will disproportionately fall in behind him once the primary is over. i think he got lucky with his primary opponent, though, it's just the lady who held a hearing on chemtrails right? if the establishment completely fucks over the will of their voting base at the presidential convention i guess he'd be among the candidates who would suffer most from the anti-establishment backlash. at the same time, arizona could be a site for democrat gains in the dream trumpocalypse scenario of heavily increased hispanic turnout and heavily decreased republican turnout. so the combination of being an unpopular establishment figure and running in a state with lots of hispanics could make mccain uniquely vulnerable by millionth-term incumbent standards this year. could be interesting
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Mar 17, 2016 22:01
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https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/710558139876302852 would not have guessed this given AZ hasn't been mentioned in a lot of toss-up lists
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Mar 17, 2016 23:57
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thethreeman posted:https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/710558139876302852
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Mar 18, 2016 00:00
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FlamingLiberal posted:Sadly I think it's because he's not conservative enough for a lot of the GOP voters there That combined with a brewing clusterfuck on the presidential ticket could produce a decent suppressive effect. I'm not holding my breath for Arizona, but a bunch if I satisfied republican voters isn't a bad thing.
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Mar 18, 2016 03:04
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FlamingLiberal posted:Sadly I think it's because he's not conservative enough for a lot of the GOP voters there Yeah, if you look at the tabs it is because he gets very low marks from Democrats, but he also only gets about 50% from Republicans. If he was closer to the "normal" 80-85% support from your own party, he'd be close to 50/50.
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Mar 18, 2016 21:51
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thethreeman posted:https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/710558139876302852 That'd be fun, to see McCain taken down. And it'd leave poor Lindsey Graham all alone in the Senate. The man would probably drink himself to death. 
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Mar 18, 2016 21:59
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Kazak_Hstan posted:That combined with a brewing clusterfuck on the presidential ticket could produce a decent suppressive effect. I'm not holding my breath for Arizona, but a bunch if I satisfied republican voters isn't a bad thing. I've seen a lot of speculation that a Cruz nom could lead to an even worse loss in the prez election than a Trump nom, given Cruz's rigid, far-right ideology and lack of space to move to the center - but given how they're behaving, it's clear the GOPe is more comfortable with Cruz in the GE (which I assume is 99% driven by down ticket races, since neither should win prez). Do they just reject the "Trump could do better in the general given independents and reagen dems" premise altogether? Or is the fear that there would be a lot of voters that would split their tickets between Trump for Prez and Dems for Senate/House? That seems... unlikely to me, but I've never paid much attention to senate/house voting before this year. I would intuitively assume that whoever drives greater total GOP turnout for prez in states with tight down ticket races (lots of purple/blue states) would do the same for those other races Or maybe we'll get messy convention leaving 40% of GOP voters feeling spiteful so it really won't matter 
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Mar 18, 2016 23:07
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Sharron Angle is running for Senate again!  https://nvsos.gov/index.aspx?page=1556
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Mar 19, 2016 00:05
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thethreeman posted:I've seen a lot of speculation that a Cruz nom could lead to an even worse loss in the prez election than a Trump nom, given Cruz's rigid, far-right ideology and lack of space to move to the center - but given how they're behaving, it's clear the GOPe is more comfortable with Cruz in the GE (which I assume is 99% driven by down ticket races, since neither should win prez). I think the fear is of Trump permanently pissing off certain parts of the population. edit: Also, Jesus loving Christ, Angle. Previous years' polling always showed her doing awfully but I bet she's going to try to hitch onto the Trump wagon. Unfortunately for her Nevadans have already voted for president. Cliff Racer has issued a correction as of 00:21 on Mar 19, 2016 |
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Mar 19, 2016 00:17
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Cliff Racer posted:I think the fear is of Trump permanently pissing off certain parts of the population. Yeah, the overriding fear of Trump is that he drives a bunch of people into political participation who then stay there. They're paying lip service to the idea that he's setting back minority outreach by the Republicans by decades, but they've already been doing quite a good job of pissing any attempts away on their own. The only real difference between Trump and the rest of the field on the border is that they're not being blunt about thinking all Mexicans should die in a tire fire.
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Mar 19, 2016 19:22
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The DSCC officially endorsed McGinty today, which I'm sort of shocked hadn't happened already. The polls are still pretty close but I would bet on her outperforming them given the union endorsements (SEIU, AFT, Steelworkers, probably others but those alone should swing it), ad buys coming from Emily's List, and probably additional buys from the DSCC hoard.
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Mar 24, 2016 03:49
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DKE is speculating that they are doing it to try to boost her fundraising, which points to her needing more money. Its funny that people are bitching that Sestak spent his time walking around the state instead of donation seeking but you look now and he's still got more money than her.
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Mar 25, 2016 01:22
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Sen. Jerry Moran (R-KS) has called for hearings on the Garland nomination. Seems that it's more than just the moderates who think that the Senate should be doing their jobs. Either that, or he's reading the same polls we are and going "if we don't do this we'll be in the minority again in November".
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Mar 25, 2016 17:26
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Cook report moved Toomey (R-PA) and Portman (R-OH) to toss up from lean GOP http://cookpolitical.com/senate/charts/race-ratings/9421
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Mar 25, 2016 18:57
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Cliff Racer posted:DKE is speculating that they are doing it to try to boost her fundraising, which points to her needing more money. Its funny that people are bitching that Sestak spent his time walking around the state instead of donation seeking but you look now and he's still got more money than her. I know you're bullish on the guy but I think you'd be crazy to bet against the union choice in a low-turnout primary.
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Mar 25, 2016 19:19
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e: How is Kirk considered a toss-up? Isn't he consistently losing by a good bit in polls?Alter Ego posted:Sen. Jerry Moran (R-KS) has called for hearings on the Garland nomination. Tea Party babies in his state are looking to primary him in response to his decision to do his job. 
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Mar 26, 2016 06:54
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It'd be kind of great if a bunch of Tea Party assholes tried to primary Senators for talking about maybe, just maybe, doing their job and just lost across the board. Not a single incumbent ousted for supporting doing their Constitutional duty. Then all those Senators lost in the general for pussyfooting around doing their loving job.
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Mar 26, 2016 07:04
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Alter Ego posted:Kirk is losing his seat anyway, so this is his last-ditch attempt to stop Duckworth from taking it. Never doubt how much democrats can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
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Mar 30, 2016 05:41
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Obama and Biden both endorsed McGinty.
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Mar 30, 2016 21:22
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Obama endorses Senate, Attorney General candidates in Pennsylvania
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Mar 31, 2016 07:51
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Just saw a commercial by Kelly Ayotte defending her stance in blocking the Supreme Court nomination process. Yeah, RIP
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Apr 2, 2016 03:33
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Are you sure that wasn't an outside group's?
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Apr 2, 2016 05:09
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http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/investigators-find-numerous-potential-ethics-violations-by-alan-grayson/2271978 Yikes. Anyone following the FL race more closely than me know if this is as bad as it reads? I was under the impression Grayson was the Dem to beat but I'm way out of date on this vv haha, k thanks thethreeman has issued a correction as of 04:01 on Apr 7, 2016 |
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Apr 7, 2016 03:56
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thethreeman posted:http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/investigators-find-numerous-potential-ethics-violations-by-alan-grayson/2271978 Murphy is the Dem to beat. Grayson is Donald Trump without charisma and nominating him would hand the seat to the republicans.
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Apr 7, 2016 03:58
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afaik grayson is a corrupt finance industry rich guy who decided to become the louie gohmert of the left that can earn a guy a following but it turns out maybe he should've been satisfied with coasting in a safe house district 'cause now his poo poo is falling apart. but i'm guessing he's an egomaniac, so here we are this whole thing where the democrats are going to spend a shitload of money propping up a demonstrably lesser candidate against sestak because he hosed up the deal they made with arlen specter when he switched parties six years ago by beating him in a primary seems pretty ugly, but i guess if you're gonna be a political machine you have to follow through when somebody goes against you. it's not exactly hopey or changey is it i say mcginty's demonstrably lesser because she doesn't have an impressive electoral history and trails by a large margin in primary polls even as undecideds seem to be dwindling (although it's really way too early for the polling point) while sestak not only beat sestak but barely lost in the biggest republican wave election of our generation oystertoadfish has issued a correction as of 04:16 on Apr 7, 2016 |
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Apr 7, 2016 04:10
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thethreeman posted:http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/investigators-find-numerous-potential-ethics-violations-by-alan-grayson/2271978 Short version is the Florida branch of the Democratic party is by and large poo poo. Case in point: Debbie Wasserman Schultz.
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Apr 7, 2016 04:49
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oystertoadfish posted:afaik grayson is a corrupt finance industry rich guy who decided to become the louie gohmert of the left Sestak also apparently was a terrible campaigner and wouldn't play ball with anyone. Also a complete rear end according to what I've heard from folks I know back in PA in politics. Like Ted Cruz but a Dem.
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Apr 7, 2016 04:57
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axeil posted:Sestak also apparently was a terrible campaigner and wouldn't play ball with anyone. Also a complete rear end according to what I've heard from folks I know back in PA in politics. Like Ted Cruz but a Dem. im not surprised to hear any of that, but man he must have pissed everybody off for the whole democratic party all the way up to obama to pile in without mcginty really showing anything (i guess they got her a good fundraising report) i bet there's a lot of horrible assholes in politics who dont get this sort of treatment i dunno i dont really have any care about it, it just seems like an odd occurrence. i guess that's because sestak is so hateable
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Apr 7, 2016 05:20
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oystertoadfish posted:im not surprised to hear any of that, but man he must have pissed everybody off for the whole democratic party all the way up to obama to pile in without mcginty really showing anything (i guess they got her a good fundraising report) Sestak is just a guy who doesn't listen to anyone and is impossible to work with. I think the only thing anyone fears more than losing that seat is having to work with Sestak for 6 years.
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Apr 7, 2016 05:24
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Sestak and Cruz will become inseparable friends.
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Apr 7, 2016 05:42
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