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asio posted:No underbelly. These guys: http://www.atccq.com.au Taiwan number 1
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Apr 17, 2016 10:46
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New Fairfax Ipsos poll. 50% 2pp.
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Apr 17, 2016 10:52
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The Lord Bude posted:New Fairfax Ipsos poll. 50% 2pp. I don't trust IPSOS just yet. Their polling is all over the place.
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Apr 17, 2016 10:55
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That reminds me, I was curious about what the conventional wisdom is regarding the accuracy of the various different polls. Is there one that's generally regarded as more accurate than the others?
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Apr 17, 2016 11:23
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I thought Roy Morgan were one of the better ones. It's going to be great watching the LNP squirm as they careen towards a self inflicted early election with the polls increasingly turning against them. I wonder if they'll succumb to the temptation of pulling the ABCC legislation and holding a regular election in November.
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Apr 17, 2016 11:33
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I think the last time it was asked the conclusion was that they're all much of a muchness and generally pretty good. Anyone saying that landline polls skew too old was talking poo poo and there wasn't any statistically significant difference in Australia. I could be completely wrong though, I think the conversation was had around the last general election. Here's one from that time which I might be thinking of rather than this thread. http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2013/08/a-field-guide-to-australian-opinion.html WhiskeyWhiskers fucked around with this message at 11:43 on Apr 17, 2016 |
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Apr 17, 2016 11:37
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50 50 is not where you want to be near an election. Ask Newman
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Apr 17, 2016 12:11
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A newspoll is also expected tonight. I want an ALP lead shitstorm.
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Apr 17, 2016 12:13
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OTOH, look at the Scottish Referendum - the second the polls hit 50/50, the tories were north of the border as fast as you can blink. They won.
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Apr 17, 2016 12:13
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tithin posted:OTOH, look at the Scottish Referendum - the second the polls hit 50/50, the tories were north of the border as fast as you can blink. scots are idiots though
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Apr 17, 2016 12:16
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Yeah but the Federal LNP has no stardom to rush in like the Tories in the UK. Basically in Australian politics momentum against a government is hard to reverse.
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Apr 17, 2016 12:24
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And isn't Scottish Referendum 2: Electric Boogaloo going to happen if the EU referendum votes OUT?
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Apr 17, 2016 12:29
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WhiskeyWhiskers posted:And isn't Scottish Referendum 2: Electric Boogaloo going to happen if the EU referendum votes OUT? It's not going to go away just because the Tories won a vote, if that's what you mean. But it's true, we do vote out, not in. Making that choice difficult has always been the task here, but I think the ability to do it has degraded greatly in both major parties. We're going to have a big scare campaign the minute the Budget hits and it's the same old poo poo, the Libs have no other weapons than to demonize and hope they scrape over the line. And I think the public will hate it, but I don't know how they'll vote.
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Apr 17, 2016 13:52
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ewe2 posted:It's not going to go away just because the Tories won a vote, if that's what you mean. I doubt the budget will be the same old poo poo, in the "a 2014 repeat" sense. It will be a same old poo poo in the "election 1996-2004" sense. ScoMo will do his best Oprah impression. EVERYONE GETS CASH! Sure, not as big as before, but it will be there and with a ramped "LABOR WANT YOUR BOOMER MONEY!" scare campaign for 8 weeks... the ALP will need more than 50/50 now to get up at the election.
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Apr 17, 2016 14:08
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20 minutes till newspoll omg
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Apr 17, 2016 14:39
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I demand 52-49 to ALP for MAXIMUM CARNAGE
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Apr 17, 2016 14:50
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Omg 51-49 to labor 
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Apr 17, 2016 14:50
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Wait it's got a (0) movement. is this NXT?
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Apr 17, 2016 14:56
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Jumpingmanjim posted:Omg 51-49 to labor 
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Apr 17, 2016 15:00
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Newspoll is preferencing NXT to ALP?
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Apr 17, 2016 15:00
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Same 2pp as last time, but a slight drop in Turdball's rating, and a slight increase in Shorten's. At least we know the last result wasn't a fluke.
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Apr 17, 2016 15:12
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Mrs Bishop's media spokesman could not be reached on Sunday but there is speculation she will go public with her view on the so-called choppergate scandal - likely to the detriment of Mr Abbott.
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Apr 17, 2016 15:18
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Jumpingmanjim posted:Mrs Bishop's media spokesman could not be reached on Sunday but there is speculation she will go public with her view on the so-called choppergate scandal - likely to the detriment of Mr Abbott. 
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Apr 17, 2016 15:24
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Apr 17, 2016 15:28
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sorry but Bill Shorten is not going to be PM.
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Apr 17, 2016 15:36
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Someone photoshop her head to be an onion
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Apr 17, 2016 15:58
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 Only then did Bronwyn realise what a terrible mistake she had made.
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Apr 17, 2016 16:32
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Higsian posted:
Taken at the unveiling of the revised $5 design, which Bronwyn Bishop described as being a better reflection of the style of the time. 
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Apr 17, 2016 16:54
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If our young men of this nation knew what was coming they would not be out drinking and partying til 2 in the morning, experimenting with drugs and wasting their money on pointless consumerist items. They would be training, becoming strong, fit and wise, mastering the art of warfare, battle hardening themselves to the elements. I propose this as we enter a new stage of Australian Nationalism. We are in the process of bringing together Australian Youth, to raise up the spirits of our young men, to train the mind and body for the future struggle our people will face. Stay strong and stay patient. The resurrection will come.
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Apr 17, 2016 22:17
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The full moon shines its light down upon a crude building of corrugated aluminium. Within, illuminated by a dying fire in an old oil drum, the four young initiates kneel in front of a robed figure. Behind him stands an effigy of their patron saint, Ned Kelly. The room is thick with the smell of kerosene. The master of the ceremony raises a knife, slashing his palm and letting the blood pool there. Placing the knife on an altar of wheel rims, he dips a finger into the blood and daubs the forehead of each initiate with five spots. Stepping back, he intones, "Aussie, Aussie, Aussie." In unison, the initiates chant, "Oi, oi, oi." The pact is complete. In the distance, a koala growls its mating call.
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Apr 17, 2016 23:03
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Anidav posted:Newspoll is preferencing NXT to ALP? Blog post from Antony on using preference flows from the last election with this year's primary polling - http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/04/a-few-thoughts-on-this-mornings-newpoll.html The 2013 poll had an unusually high 'Others' vote who voted for PUP. Unlikely that NXT will reach the same levels as PUP as NXT are only running in SA. With PUP collapse, a lot of those votes will flow back to the LNP giving them a 1% boost on 2PP. Using 2010 preference flows would make todays Newspoll 50-50, not 51-49.
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Apr 17, 2016 23:49
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V for Vegas posted:Blog post from Antony on using preference flows from the last election with this year's primary polling - http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/04/a-few-thoughts-on-this-mornings-newpoll.html NXT are running nationally, not just sa
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Apr 17, 2016 23:58
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Nxt?
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Apr 18, 2016 00:18
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tithin posted:Nxt? WWE show that doesn't have JOHN CENA.
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Apr 18, 2016 00:35
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tithin posted:Nxt? Nick Xenephon Terrists
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Apr 18, 2016 00:38
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tithin posted:Nxt?   I'd vote for Finn any day 
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Apr 18, 2016 01:14
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If we're going to be governed by a robot Arduino and Raspberry Pi are better and cheaper platforms to base it on.
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Apr 18, 2016 01:20
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Pre-emptive call to check your enrollment to avoid getting stuck with the wrong details at close of rolls (if they call it this week) https://oevf.aec.gov.au/
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Apr 18, 2016 01:29
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Does a Turdball float on elections eve
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Apr 18, 2016 01:36
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Neat, my first chance to vote in a federal election since citizenship. Will the electoral commission interpret me drawing an enormous dick next to a candidate's name as an endorsement or a dis-endorsement? E: possibly irrelevant but Canada removed my ability to vote at the last election when they decided people living overseas didn't have sufficient impact to their lives attached to the outcome of the election to be allowed to take part. Which is too bad, putting a dick next to Trudeau's name would have fulfilled a dream of mine Serrath fucked around with this message at 02:11 on Apr 18, 2016 |
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Apr 18, 2016 02:09
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