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The Joe Man posted:I just got hosed so hard in the NY DEM primary market. uhh... Did you really bet on Bernie in NY? edit: Not only that but did you throw serious 'I can't lose' money on it as well?
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Apr 20, 2016 03:48
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The Joe Man posted:I just got hosed so hard in the NY DEM primary market. 
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Apr 20, 2016 03:49
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I present to you- PredictIt: the post historyThe Joe Man posted:How much do you think a strong showing by Sanders in Thursday's debate will shake up some of these ratios? The Joe Man posted:poo poo. On the other hand, he has a tendency to continue closing the gap even days before an election and with a strong debate performance, I feel those shares can double at the very least. If he actually wins I'll be freaking the hell out but I'll probably have cashed out before then (which I'll also be freaking out about re: lost profit). The Joe Man posted:Invested too much already though so I need to see how hosed/rich I am after the weekend...and if I profit, I'll likely use some of that money to support down-ticket races instead of plopping it back into the markets. MAYBE invest in CT Bernie but ehhhhh. The Joe Man posted:The FIFTY THOUSAND people at his Washington Square rally last night helped too. The Joe Man posted:I'm counting NY's homeless population The Joe Man posted:I just got hosed so hard in the NY DEM primary market. ~fin
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Apr 20, 2016 03:52
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Thanks for giving me your money, I guess ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Apr 20, 2016 03:53
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Necc0 posted:I present to you- PredictIt: the post history i hope this is a troll
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Apr 20, 2016 03:53
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SHINEBLOCKA posted:I retract my statement about MOV. I've been flipping and watching counties and I believe it'll resolve NO. I sold my yes, anyway.
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Apr 20, 2016 03:55
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Vox Nihili posted:I sold my yes, anyway. I freaked out and sold my No to buy some Yes. This is going to be a freakin' nail biter.
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Apr 20, 2016 04:05
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I'm going to laugh if the race ends up being +14.8 or something
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Apr 20, 2016 04:08
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Somehow I ended up loving up every single swing I tried and ended up down 200. I think I'm walking away from MOV.
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Apr 20, 2016 04:14
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jisforjosh posted:I'm going to laugh if the race ends up being +14.8 or something Man, right now the NYS Board of Elections is showing it at +15.2, but the NY Times is saying it's +16, and the price of Yes is climbing. Fortunately, I sold my "No" shares for a small loss, but Yes when it was still relatively cheap, and I'm finishing the night about 30% up. Withdrawing that money now so I'm not tempted to make more bets. This is my first time I've managed to play the swings the right way since the Republican MOV market in Louisiana.
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Apr 20, 2016 04:16
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MOV yes is practically a lock. At least 50k votes still out of counties with hillary up 30 points. Made a good $100 tonight playing fairly conservatively. I'm almost even again lol.
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Apr 20, 2016 04:18
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Bought yes again. Only going to break even on this stupid market. Bad day overall (though a good future for my 2000x 1200-1236 Trump delegate count shares perhaps).
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Apr 20, 2016 04:19
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MOV Yes is down to 70 if anyone wants to pick up some shares. Edit: And back to 88. This market is great. The North Tower has issued a correction as of 04:22 on Apr 20, 2016 |
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Apr 20, 2016 04:20
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The North Tower posted:MOV Yes is down to 70 if anyone wants to pick up some shares. Gone in a flash.
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Apr 20, 2016 04:22
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The North Tower posted:MOV Yes is down to 70 if anyone wants to pick up some shares. Lmao yeah I managed to pick up 200 shares at 67 right after I made my last post.
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Apr 20, 2016 04:22
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Back to my pre-Michigan balance. Praise Allah.
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Apr 20, 2016 04:47
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Necc0 posted:Thanks for giving me your money, I guess ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ You are welcome my friend  . Was expecting to flip for a small profit after the debate/massive campaigning in NY but the market never budged.
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Apr 20, 2016 05:01
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I put in a sell order for my RI shares this evening so I'd be liquid enough for tonight. Just got home. I'm doing this wrong.
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Apr 20, 2016 05:06
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Apparently some Sanders campaign guy said they would "reassess" the situation after the next round of primaries. Drop out might be imminent?
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Apr 20, 2016 05:12
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Vox Nihili posted:Apparently some Sanders campaign guy said they would "reassess" the situation after the next round of primaries. Drop out might be imminent?
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Apr 20, 2016 05:19
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Him dropping out before CA would disappoint a whole lot of people. That can't be possible.
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Apr 20, 2016 05:48
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Aliquid posted:Him dropping out before CA would disappoint a whole lot of people. That can't be possible. Also, any money he makes and doesn't spend he can funnel into his future senate races. He basically never has to do any fundraising ever again after this presidential run. Might as well keep the donation lines open until the very end.
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Apr 20, 2016 06:06
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How are the polls looking in Rhode Island? I was able to nab some cheap Bernie.NO a while ago and think now might be a good time to duck out while I'm ahead. edit: Apparently there's basically zero. Just put up some sell offers to take my winnings and run. Necc0 has issued a correction as of 15:30 on Apr 20, 2016 |
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Apr 20, 2016 15:28
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Also I'm really glad I bought that Bernie dropout lottery ticket when the market first opened 
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Apr 20, 2016 15:41
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This right here is how you snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Also, I can recognize my own bad gambling instincts because I'm kicking myself for selling those MOV shares at $0.80 when now I see they are at $0.97. What's the line from Casino? The guy who wins, but doesn't see himself as winning what he bet, but instead losing what he wasn't willing to add to his bet, he's the guy with the problem.
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Apr 20, 2016 16:18
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Hahaha, Tubman got selected for the 20, not the 10. That whole market was worthless.
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Apr 20, 2016 17:21
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pathetic little tramp posted:Hahaha, Tubman got selected for the 20, not the 10. That whole market was worthless. I'm really glad I didn't buy into that market
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Apr 20, 2016 17:26
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I already know the answer but why in the world did Bernie improve his standing in RI after last night?
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Apr 20, 2016 17:27
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Aliquid posted:I already know the answer but why in the world did Bernie improve his standing in RI after last night? It's probably his best chance of winning a state next week so he'll probably make a big play for it.
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Apr 20, 2016 17:30
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Daniel Bryan posted:It's probably his best chance of winning a state next week so he'll probably make a big play for it. That's how I'm reading it too. This is his best chance for a victory so the Bernie betters are going to get themselves emotionally invested in it. Should be interesting to see how this one unfolds though. I'm wondering how big an impact the NY loss will have on morale. Also despite being his best shot it seems like Bernie is investing most of his resources into PA. If it's true that the Bernouts collectively decide that this is the market to get invested in it may be the best bet for the upcoming elections. This is if you think Hillary can win it, though. With the lack of data it's really hard to call this one.
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Apr 20, 2016 17:38
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There is also a RI poll suppose to come out today but it's all been dark over at Brown.
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Apr 20, 2016 17:39
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^^^ unlocking the post ^^^ e: link/twitter? I want to squat on that to see the results as they come out
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Apr 20, 2016 17:40
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You gotta figure the fact that he's basically mathematically done will drive voters away from him. What's the point voting for a guaranteed loser? That has to depress turnout. I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't win a single remaining state
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Apr 20, 2016 17:40
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pathetic little tramp posted:Hahaha, Tubman got selected for the 20, not the 10. That whole market was worthless. While yall were making tons of money on New York last night I just made a cool one dollar* by buying 50 Tubman nos at 97 and selling them at 99  *: 90 cents
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Apr 20, 2016 17:42
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For some reason the Helen Keller NO shares are going down
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Apr 20, 2016 17:44
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I managed to get my entire (small) bankroll in on Tubman NO at 80c.
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Apr 20, 2016 17:45
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I accidentally bought Keller NO and the market moved from underneath me before I could sell them off again. Just lost $30 god damnit
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Apr 20, 2016 17:55
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Holy poo poo and it's a good thing I sold them off when I did 
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Apr 20, 2016 17:56
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Just made mega gains on Keller YES because if she's on the back of the 10 it counts and apparently she's likely to be on the back.
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Apr 20, 2016 17:57
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Wait so is Keller going to be on the 10? That contract is bouncing around like loving crazy.
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Apr 20, 2016 17:58
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