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NY DEM MoV market down to 91 cents now, largely because people think its Missouri all over again. Free money for anyone who wants to wait. Unfortunately for me, I have to wait.
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Apr 23, 2016 14:09
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How long are we expecting the wait to be on the NY MOV?
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Apr 23, 2016 15:24
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Gyges posted:How long are we expecting the wait to be on the NY MOV? Missouri wait was almost a month. The only good thing was by the time I got the money, I had forgot it existed.
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Apr 23, 2016 15:27
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Gyges posted:How long are we expecting the wait to be on the NY MOV? A few of the Super Tuesday states took about 6 days to close.
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Apr 23, 2016 21:34
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Bernie "not dropping out in april" shares dipped about 0.06 to 0.77--easy cash if you're looking it.
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Apr 23, 2016 22:52
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I think these two articles are spooking that market. http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/insiders-to-bernie-dont-take-the-fight-to-philly-222291 http://www.npr.org/2016/04/23/475326726/sanders-adviser-says-campaign-may-have-to-reevaluate-after-tuesday
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Apr 23, 2016 23:13
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OAquinas posted:Bernie "not dropping out in april" shares dipped about 0.06 to 0.77--easy cash if you're looking it. Don't be so sure about that. It's a long shot but his campaign has been giving very real signals that they'll tap out after Tuesday if they get swept. Don't know what the fair price is here but buying in at .10 like I did was a no-brainer. tldr: the time to buy into this was two weeks ago. I wouldn't touch this now
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Apr 23, 2016 23:17
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It's easy money. He's not dropping.
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Apr 23, 2016 23:20
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Sunk everything into Pence NO, Indy Star is going to release their local polls soon and I think it won't be too great for ol' Pencey boy
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Apr 23, 2016 23:22
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He probably won't drop but I'm near certain that people will panic on Tuesday night thinking he will drop and get the price at least around 40 for at least enough time to scoop some profits out.
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Apr 23, 2016 23:45
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Just saw the Hillary's VP speculation thread and thought about how fun that market is going to be.
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Apr 23, 2016 23:48
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OAquinas posted:Bernie "not dropping out in april" shares dipped about 0.06 to 0.77--easy cash if you're looking it. Although that's liable to swing violently on Tuesday around 7PM Eastern.
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Apr 24, 2016 00:05
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Peachstapler posted:Easier money: Trump NO 50% in all five states. I think you lose this bet in Delaware nearly every time and in CT something like 60%.
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Apr 24, 2016 00:09
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Adar posted:I think you lose this bet in Delaware nearly every time and in CT something like 60%. There's a bet on predictit for all five at the same time.
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Apr 24, 2016 00:27
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^^e:f,bAdar posted:I think you lose this bet in Delaware nearly every time and in CT something like 60%. No, its a single market that he will get 50% in all five states. The way his Pennsylvania and Maryland polls are going, this is a very good No bet.
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Apr 24, 2016 00:27
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I bought some no shares at 85, I might max it out if it goes lower.
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Apr 24, 2016 00:35
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I'm kind of tempted to buy Trump Trumping all 5 states YES just on the probability that it's probably going to bounce back a little bit as he starts winning/looking like he's gonna sweep.
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Apr 24, 2016 03:15
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Does the gain/loss number reflect profit fees? The balance info leaves a lot to be desired on Predictit.
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Apr 24, 2016 06:02
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Fidel Castronaut posted:Does the gain/loss number reflect profit fees? The balance info leaves a lot to be desired on Predictit. Net gain/loss is your unrealized gains/losses. It's mostly irrelevant (and doesn't include fees).
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Apr 24, 2016 15:58
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Adar posted:I think you lose this bet in Delaware nearly every time and in CT something like 60%. Yes only wins if Trump gets 50% in each of the five states. Also, glad I got in on Sanders dropout, yes is rising at a good clip again.
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Apr 24, 2016 18:01
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Kasich two primaries No and Trump 50% all five No are the closest things you can find to free money IMO, both below 90c right now.
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Apr 24, 2016 18:06
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Hey I don't know if anybody is in the Pence market but based on the general election numbers released this morning, I'd think Yes is the better bet right now.
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Apr 24, 2016 18:25
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Daniel Bryan posted:Hey I don't know if anybody is in the Pence market but based on the general election numbers released this morning, I'd think Yes is the better bet right now. Did something new come out? Last I checked, Trump had a comfy lead that is about to get comfort and Pence is solidly the choice of the Cruz crowd
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Apr 24, 2016 18:33
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Epic High Five posted:Did something new come out? Last I checked, Trump had a comfy lead that is about to get comfort and Pence is solidly the choice of the Cruz crowd A general election poll released this morning shows even Trump beats Clinton in the state by a comfortable margin. That doesn't bode well for Gregg.
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Apr 24, 2016 18:35
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Finally, RI polls. Clinton has a pretty daunting lead.
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Apr 24, 2016 20:20
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Daniel Bryan posted:A general election poll released this morning shows even Trump beats Clinton in the state by a comfortable margin. That doesn't bode well for Gregg. Well this is worrying on a lot of levels. I'll dig into it later tonight and if I think anything will fudge a race I'll let yall know
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Apr 24, 2016 20:34
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Is there any rhyme or reason for when new markets go up? I was thinking a Hillary Sweeps market would be good but it would be no different from "Does Hillary win Rhode Island."
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Apr 24, 2016 21:50
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Fidel Castronaut posted:Is there any rhyme or reason for when new markets go up? I was thinking a Hillary Sweeps market would be good but it would be no different from "Does Hillary win Rhode Island." Doesn't seem like it, no.
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Apr 24, 2016 21:58
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Fidel Castronaut posted:Is there any rhyme or reason for when new markets go up? I was thinking a Hillary Sweeps market would be good but it would be no different from "Does Hillary win Rhode Island." Yeah, it'd be great to get another market but unfortunately I think the Dem RI and Sanders Dropout markets are kind of the de facto Hillary Sweeps at this point.
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Apr 24, 2016 22:36
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How likely do you think it is that Bernie actually drops out after Tuesday? I'm fairly certain he'll pickup at least one primary in May, and I doubt he's going to be losing money. Hell, I'm getting even more calls to help out Bernie now than even when we had our primary. Seems like a decent strategy would be to buy Bernie Drop out YES, sell off Tuesday nigh, then buy the cheap Drop out NOs right away.
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Apr 25, 2016 02:37
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I think flipping dropout yes for Tues is a no-brainer but I don't know about holding either position. I plan to leave a couple hundred shares of dropout yes in to ride out on Wed. If he has no plans for appearances in Indiana, his campaign is sending mixed messages about what is going to happen, and he's polling poorly in RI, the one state he's hoping to win on Tuesday...I think he might throw in the towel. I'm not as cynical as people are here that he's just going to keep spending college kids' money as long as they send it to him. But I could be wrong!
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Apr 25, 2016 02:45
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This might be useful to know: https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/724410376419467264 https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/724410707555553280
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Apr 25, 2016 02:46
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Fidel Castronaut posted:I think flipping dropout yes for Tues is a no-brainer but I don't know about holding either position. I plan to leave a couple hundred shares of dropout yes in to ride out on Wed. If he has no plans for appearances in Indiana, his campaign is sending mixed messages about what is going to happen, and he's polling poorly in RI, the one state he's hoping to win on Tuesday...I think he might throw in the towel. I'm not as cynical as people are here that he's just going to keep spending college kids' money as long as they send it to him. I think he's actually going for something, but I don't know what it is. It can't be thinking he can win or something like that. However, if he was just going to drop out I feel like he should have done that after New York. Maybe he doesn't think Hillary has gone far enough left yet, or the concessions he's requesting from the DNC haven't been negotiated out yet.
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Apr 25, 2016 03:28
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This kasich Cruz agreement has thrown markets into chaos everywhere.
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Apr 25, 2016 03:55
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watwat posted:This kasich Cruz agreement has thrown markets into chaos everywhere. Chaos Kassich
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Apr 25, 2016 04:23
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He's not dropping out before the convention.
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Apr 25, 2016 04:24
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^^^lolwatwat posted:This kasich Cruz agreement has thrown markets into chaos everywhere.
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Apr 25, 2016 04:25
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The Joe Man posted:He's not dropping out before the convention. He has no money.
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Apr 25, 2016 04:26
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If those press releases are to be believed then Kasich dropout by April 30 is a free 6 cents on the dollar.
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Apr 25, 2016 04:34
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FourLeaf posted:He has no money. This is why I am 99% confident he won’t be the nominee. If anyone in the establishment was considering him, they would toss him enough money to keep his operation going.
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Apr 25, 2016 04:35
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