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Puntification
Nov 4, 2009

Black Orthodontromancy
The most British Magic

Fun Shoe

goddamnedtwisto posted:

What? No they won't, everybody knows mid-term local council elections are completely meaningless when it comes to Westminster, and vice versa - look at how well the Lib Dems have always done despite rounding-error polling nationally. Local issues always prevail, so national polling is meaningless in predicting swing. It'll probably be unpleasant for them but I'd be surprised if it'll be the wipeout being predicted.

Meanwhile barring a natural disaster, Khan will obliterate Goldsmith in the London mayoral election, and that will be a fairly major bloody nose for the Tories because they very obviously believed Bozza winning it was some kind of tidal shift and they were able to beat Labour in London, and where CCO have been concentrating all their efforts. Cameron has had to back Goldsmith very publicly, and he's about to find out why national leaders haven't done that before.

An ouster of an opposition leader as a result of a big loss in locals would be basically completely unprecedented in UK politics, and there's pretty much no mechanism by which they *could* oust him even if they wanted to.

There may not be any mechanism to oust him directly but I'm certain the blairites in the PLP would seize it as an opportunity to pressure him into going: there'd be a concerted campaign of the usual suspects telling every media outlet that will listen for days on end that Corbyn's been rejected by the electorate regardless of what the membership wants and we need new leadership, whether local elections reflect Westminster performance or not.

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stev
Jan 22, 2013

Please be excited.



Pork Pie Hat posted:

If you're drinking rum and it's not



you're drinking the wrong rum.

I drink this for the label and name alone. I can't tell if it's good rum but I enjoy it.

ThomasPaine
Feb 4, 2009

We have no compassion and we ask no compassion from you. When our turn comes, we shall not make excuses for the terror.

Puntification posted:

There may not be any mechanism to oust him directly but I'm certain the blairites in the PLP would seize it as an opportunity to pressure him into going: there'd be a concerted campaign of the usual suspects telling every media outlet that will listen for days on end that Corbyn's been rejected by the electorate regardless of what the membership wants and we need new leadership, whether local elections reflect Westminster performance or not.

And I have no doubt that in this case he would shrug and carry on and give zero fucks as he has been doing up till now. Hell, even if they forced another leadership election he'd win again, and be even firmer in his position as a result.

Pork Pie Hat
Apr 27, 2011

Steve2911 posted:

I drink this for the label and name alone. I can't tell if it's good rum but I enjoy it.

Sane here, I like the bottle too.

thespaceinvader
Mar 30, 2011

The slightest touch from a Gol-Shogeg will result in Instant Death!

Milotic posted:

Ignoring the PLP, is he divisive in the wider Labour party or general electorate? That said, he's not a great manager. He needs to get a better media team around him, and a better handle on some things. Otherwise he's not going to be able to cope with all the demands and threads that go on during the run up to a General Election. He's in the Gordon Brown camp of 'not being good at responding to events'.

He's not divisive in the party. If he were, he wouldn't have smashed the living poo poo out of the leadership election in one of the biggest landslides in leadership election history. In general I think he has a lot more public support than his media presence would indicate.

But he's also faced with the major problem, if you want to call it that, of his responses to events not being reported fairly - because they're longer and more considered and less sound-bite-able than the papers are used to, and because the papers have a distinct set against him anyway, even the nominally-leftie ones which are by and large full of blairites.

He's divisive among the upper echelons, perhaps, but among the base of the party, not so much.

I'm very much of the belief that the best media team in the world couldn't make him more palatable to the media at large, because they're not interested in making him palatable, they're interested in character assassination at every possible turn, and if they don't have anything to go on, they'll just fabricate some nonsense about his dress sense or his cat or not bowing his head low enough at the Remembrance ceremony or whatever.

Puntification
Nov 4, 2009

Black Orthodontromancy
The most British Magic

Fun Shoe

ThomasPaine posted:

And I have no doubt that in this case he would shrug and carry on and give zero fucks as he has been doing up till now. Hell, even if they forced another leadership election he'd win again, and be even firmer in his position as a result.

I am probably being overly alarmist about this but I don't see them stopping til he's gone and even if he ignores it they seem more than willing to sabotage his chances as much as they can.

Taear
Nov 26, 2004

Ask me about the shitty opinions I have about Paradox games!
So BHS is collapsing. The start of the next credit crunch?

To be fair it sounds a lot like it's falling apart for the same reason as Peacocks did - people bought it, rinsed it, sold it.

Cerv
Sep 14, 2004

This is a silly post with little news value.

Taear posted:

So BHS is collapsing. The start of the next credit crunch?

To be fair it sounds a lot like it's falling apart for the same reason as Peacocks did - people bought it, rinsed it, sold it.

Also it's poo poo

thespaceinvader
Mar 30, 2011

The slightest touch from a Gol-Shogeg will result in Instant Death!

ThomasPaine posted:

And I have no doubt that in this case he would shrug and carry on and give zero fucks as he has been doing up till now. Hell, even if they forced another leadership election he'd win again, and be even firmer in his position as a result.

The challenge would be to get MPs to nominate him again. He literally scraped in in like the last ten minutes this time.

But the rules are weird on this; the party's rules about leadership elections don't account for the idea that an incumbent would have to defend leadership from a challenge, so they imply but don't outright state that the incumbent would run automatically in that case.

However, the impact on the party membership at large from any election in which he or an appointed successor wasn't able to run would be huge, they'd lose vast numbers of members.

And this would be taken as a tacit acknowledgement that leftist socialism doesn't work and we'd go back to Tories and slightly less Tories forever.

I think there was talk about clarifying the rules in the event of a leadership challenge last year, but I don't know that it went anywhere.

Taear posted:

So BHS is collapsing. The start of the next credit crunch?

To be fair it sounds a lot like it's falling apart for the same reason as Peacocks did - people bought it, rinsed it, sold it.
Not the next big crunch, almost certainly. BHS has been limping for some time AFAICT, this doesn't surprise me in the least, and it won't cause a crunch any more than Woolworth's did.

It might be symptomatic of a coming (or indeed, already-commenced) crunch, but it's not causative.

Puntification
Nov 4, 2009

Black Orthodontromancy
The most British Magic

Fun Shoe
It's also probably not gonna cause a run on department stores unless they are all touting BHS debt as assets or whatever.

DrWrestling69
Feb 4, 2008

Tracyanne...

StoneOfShame posted:

Its not a great rum really, diplomatico reserva especial as mentioned is excellent and probably the best value for money sipping rum about, if you wanna spend more Zacapa XO is excellent.

Although I would accept the polling is perhaps exaggerating the Tory lead I don't think its exaggerated so much that Labour will not lose a lot of councils. If that means they get rid of Corbyn fair enough, I dont like it but I can see why they would, a new leader doing worse than the previous one with an incompetent government could be seen as a reason, if that happens I just wont support Labour, a Blairite would be as awful as Cameron, even if they would be likely to win.

For some reason in cigar speak anything non-Cuban is referred to as new world, I'm not sure why.

I got given a bottle of diplomatico vintage 2000 and it is the best booze I have ever drank.

Taear
Nov 26, 2004

Ask me about the shitty opinions I have about Paradox games!

thespaceinvader posted:

Not the next big crunch, almost certainly. BHS has been limping for some time AFAICT, this doesn't surprise me in the least, and it won't cause a crunch any more than Woolworth's did.

It might be symptomatic of a coming (or indeed, already-commenced) crunch, but it's not causative.

I didn't say it was going to cause it. But in the same way as Woolworths was the first casualty before everything started going really badly.

ThomasPaine
Feb 4, 2009

We have no compassion and we ask no compassion from you. When our turn comes, we shall not make excuses for the terror.

thespaceinvader posted:

The challenge would be to get MPs to nominate him again. He literally scraped in in like the last ten minutes this time.

But the rules are weird on this; the party's rules about leadership elections don't account for the idea that an incumbent would have to defend leadership from a challenge, so they imply but don't outright state that the incumbent would run automatically in that case.

However, the impact on the party membership at large from any election in which he or an appointed successor wasn't able to run would be huge, they'd lose vast numbers of members.

And this would be taken as a tacit acknowledgement that leftist socialism doesn't work and we'd go back to Tories and slightly less Tories forever.

I think there was talk about clarifying the rules in the event of a leadership challenge last year, but I don't know that it went anywhere.

If they prevented him running in another contest via some contrived procedural technicality Labour would either face open rebellion amongst the membership or it would implode completely and they'd all bail. I like to think that even the most Blairite members of the PLP aren't stupid enough to let this happen - their whole schtick is 'electability' and nothing would sabotage 2020 (and therefore their own careers) like forcing the party into meltdown.

thespaceinvader
Mar 30, 2011

The slightest touch from a Gol-Shogeg will result in Instant Death!

ThomasPaine posted:

If they prevented him running in another contest via some contrived procedural technicality Labour would either face open rebellion amongst the membership or it would implode completely and they'd all bail. I like to think that even the most Blairite members of the PLP aren't stupid enough to let this happen - their whole schtick is 'electability' and nothing would sabotage 2020 (and therefore their own careers) like forcing the party into meltdown.

The impression I get of them is that they can't see it that way, they're ideologically incapable of believing that any way but their own is electable, so they're more than willing to gently caress Corbyn in order to get their way, even when their way seems self-evidently dumb as gently caress to people who aren't stuck in the PLP bubble.

I can absolutely see the likes of Simon Danczuk and Liz Kendall loving up the Labour party to further their own ends. And getting ringing support from the Graun for doing so.

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



Steve2911 posted:

I drink this for the label and name alone. I can't tell if it's good rum but I enjoy it.

I'm a big fan of rums and that's one of my favorites in the 'sensibly priced' range.

StoneOfShame
Jul 28, 2013

This is the best kitchen ever.

DrWrestling69 posted:

I got given a bottle of diplomatico vintage 2000 and it is the best booze I have ever drank.

Had a bottle of that when I was working at last years rum in brum festival, it was glorious, bit of a pain to get now if you can at all, not sure what the 2001 is like may have to get a bottle, I also need to drink the ambassador bottling but it is very expensive.

Coohoolin
Aug 5, 2012

Oor Coohoolie.
Dark Matter's quite nice. My bar actually has a massive selection of rums and I've never properly gone exploring.

DrWrestling69
Feb 4, 2008

Tracyanne...

Coohoolin posted:

Dark Matter's quite nice. My bar actually has a massive selection of rums and I've never properly gone exploring.

Dark matter is shite.

DrWrestling69
Feb 4, 2008

Tracyanne...

StoneOfShame posted:

Had a bottle of that when I was working at last years rum in brum festival, it was glorious, bit of a pain to get now if you can at all, not sure what the 2001 is like may have to get a bottle, I also need to drink the ambassador bottling but it is very expensive.

https://twitter.com/LR1872/status/723822923765690368

£196. Welp.

DrWrestling69
Feb 4, 2008

Tracyanne...
I pasted the wrong link but I am not fixing it.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

I like this.

Surprise Giraffe
Apr 30, 2007
1 Lunar Road
Moon crater
The Moon
I have a feeling some new labour mps and some of the more centrist new tories (didnt some speak against such harsh cuts to benefits?) would could see eye to eye in a new center-right tory lite party.

serious gaylord
Sep 16, 2007

what.

Judging by the space in that bin I'd wager his local council still do weekly collections and thus his area is very desirable to live in.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
Isn't the brown bin for grass cuttings and other gardening related waste, or does that vary by area?

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
My garden waste bin is green.

DrWrestling69
Feb 4, 2008

Tracyanne...

serious gaylord posted:

Judging by the space in that bin I'd wager his local council still do weekly collections and thus his area is very desirable to live in.

His twitter bio says he is from Kilmarnock. You have wagered poorly

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead
I too have a green garden waste bin, but I have to pay the council an extra £32 per year to collect it.

serious gaylord
Sep 16, 2007

what.

DrWrestling69 posted:

His twitter bio says he is from Kilmarnock. You have wagered poorly

Any area with weekly bin collections is a desirable area in this age of fortnightly and even monthly collections.

stev
Jan 22, 2013

Please be excited.



More frequent collections just means I have to remember to drag bags out the front more often.

Do it yearly.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

Pissflaps posted:

My garden waste bin is green.
Green is recyclables here. Black is general waste. Brown is an optional gardening waste one that costs 50p a week.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Guavanaut posted:

Green is recyclables here. Black is general waste. Brown is an optional gardening waste one that costs 50p a week.

My general waste bin is black as is the recycling bin but that bin has a blue lid.

We have weekly collections of general waste and don't pay a surcharge for anything.

Coohoolin
Aug 5, 2012

Oor Coohoolie.


That's our rum selection and I don't even know what most of those are, but we do have Ron De Jeremy and Diplomatico.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Coohoolin posted:



That's our rum selection and I don't even know what most of those are, but we do have Ron De Jeremy and Diplomatico.

this is a truly awful post. even following the dead link its impossible to see anything

Renaissance Robot
Oct 10, 2010

Bite my furry metal ass
Goondolences on your awful workplace.

Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.

Steve2911 posted:

More frequent collections just means I have to remember to drag bags out the front more often.

Do it yearly.

Pffft. I'm taking my rubbish to my grave.

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction
Wales has five bins (Non-recyclable Waste, Biodegradable, Plastics + Metal, Glass and Paper) and we get the recyclables collected every week and Non-recyclable every fortnight. It's madness I tell you, I don't know how we survive.

Doctor_Fruitbat
Jun 2, 2013



I have no idea what this man is doing or saying.

Renfield
Feb 29, 2008

Fans posted:

Wales has five bins (Non-recyclable Waste, Biodegradable, Plastics + Metal, Glass and Paper) and we get the recyclables collected every week and Non-recyclable every fortnight. It's madness I tell you, I don't know how we survive.

Bins ? In Cardiff we have plastic bags - Green recyclable (weekly), Pink/Browny colour Non-recyclable(2-weekly) and a Tiny bin for bio-waste (weekly).. and you have to use the proper council-provided bags as well

winegums
Dec 21, 2012


Junior doctors’ strike set to go ahead as Hunt rejects compromise
Junior doctors' strikes: Jeremy Hunt rejects plan to pilot contract

I'm liking the movement of the narrative. Jeremy Hunt has painted himself into a corner and now looks unreasonable and stubborn. His position is getting harder and harder to defend.

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MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Doctor_Fruitbat posted:

I have no idea what this man is doing or saying.

He's in his loving bin, man

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