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Kavak
Aug 23, 2009


I remember all the obituaries of Chavez basically fellating him back in 2013, but I imagine there was more than that. I knew he was a dictator no matter what he said, despite some (low-info) sympathy towards him during the Iraq War.

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Arkane
Dec 19, 2006

by R. Guyovich
Venezuela's problems are a manifestation of a hard left regime/economic policies mixed with unchecked graft. Pretending otherwise is dumb. What is happening in Venezuela is not unique. Scarcity of basic goods and the coalescence of power in the hands of a few are commonplace and completely predictable problems in that system. What is unique is perhaps the speed at which it is happening, because of spiraling inflation and dependence on an export that has decreased dramatically in value.

M. Discordia
Apr 30, 2003

by Smythe
Nationalization of "the means of production" and the destruction of the rule of law and civil liberties in the name of "populism" is always bad and always leads to what is happening in Venezuela. If you want to be a "democratic socialist" the best way to help the poor is to keep the economy strong (i.e. privatized) so that you have something to tax in order to fund redistributive programs. Venezuela is a great example of this and I don't plan on ceasing to point out facts that are of the utmost contemporary relevance just because they are triggering to left-wingers' safe spaces.

I support the initiative to send people who defend PSUV to Venezuela. Where is the Kickstarter?

fnox
May 19, 2013



Chuck Boone posted:

Like Hugoon Chavez said, the reason why Jimmy gets so much flak is because his understanding on the situation in Venezuela is extremely limited because whatever he knows appears to come either from the PSUV or the fringiest fringe sites out there. This isn't the "Socialism in General" thread. It's the Venezuela thread. The fact that there are people actually living in Venezuela right now posting in this thread guarantees that there'll be backlash whenever Jimmy comes in here and calls them murderers for supporting the opposition and says that their fridges being empty is a product of their imagination.

If it makes you feel any better, I think socialism is good. I also think that Venezuela is a kleptocracy that the PSUV is trying to disguise as a socialist country, so it makes little sense to say "Venezuela is a failed state, therefore socialism is bad".

I'm really struggling to understand Jimmy's motivation, is he going for the long con, or is he legit THAT committed to defend the Venezuelan government? Like, I don't think he's a troll, particularly because he deliberately avoids arguments he's going to lose instead of continuing just to fish for reactions. But the type of fervor that goes behind going to the same thread after years and years, causing him to get repeatedly probated, just to regurgitate some radical PSUVista crap goes beyond even what I usually see from Chavistas in Venezuela. He's committed to try and show the world that we're wrong.

Spacewolf
May 19, 2014

fnox posted:

I'm really struggling to understand Jimmy's motivation, is he going for the long con, or is he legit THAT committed to defend the Venezuelan government? Like, I don't think he's a troll, particularly because he deliberately avoids arguments he's going to lose instead of continuing just to fish for reactions. But the type of fervor that goes behind going to the same thread after years and years, causing him to get repeatedly probated, just to regurgitate some radical PSUVista crap goes beyond even what I usually see from Chavistas in Venezuela. He's committed to try and show the world that we're wrong.

I think, frighteningly, he is just that committed.

Or delusional. Maybe both.

I'm not sure it matters anymore?

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'
The PSUV has thousands of Twitter accounts that spend all day creating trending hashtags, nothing would surprise me at this point.

Any time you see on Twitter some poo poo like #ChavezVive or whatever it's always the same accounts and if you go to the history of those accounts you see they only ever tweet about La Revolucion and nothing ever about any normal life stuff.

fnox
May 19, 2013



El Hefe posted:

The PSUV has thousands of Twitter accounts that spend all day creating trending hashtags, nothing would surprise me at this point.

Any time you see on Twitter some poo poo like #ChavezVive or whatever it's always the same accounts and if you go to the history of those accounts you see they only ever tweet about La Revolucion and nothing ever about any normal life stuff.

Yeah, but that's Twitter. An actually large part of the Venezuelan population uses it every day just to get the news since all other media is censored, so the presence of PSUV in Twitter is actually valuable enough to warrant paying some folk to run Twitter accounts just retweeting poo poo that the government says. But here? Where there's something like 10 Venezuelans who are all educated enough to actually use the internet beyond just social media and thus are immune to these poo poo attempts at propaganda? Nah I find it hard to believe he's actually on the PSUV's payroll.

Celexi
Nov 25, 2006

Slava Ukraini!
I was watching these vivo play youtube videos on expropriaciones/ reclamations and gently caress this is bad

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

fnox posted:

I'm really struggling to understand Jimmy's motivation, is he going for the long con, or is he legit THAT committed to defend the Venezuelan government? Like, I don't think he's a troll, particularly because he deliberately avoids arguments he's going to lose instead of continuing just to fish for reactions. But the type of fervor that goes behind going to the same thread after years and years, causing him to get repeatedly probated, just to regurgitate some radical PSUVista crap goes beyond even what I usually see from Chavistas in Venezuela. He's committed to try and show the world that we're wrong.

because he is your typical California hipster leftist. everything that isnt left leaning is either AmeraKKKa or "problematic". he reminds me of my old govemerment college teacher, who would defend every monster in the world because the US did and does awful poo poo, therefor we cant judge.

Dapper_Swindler fucked around with this message at 22:43 on May 15, 2016

hypnorotic
May 4, 2009
I can't remember where I read this but during the late 80s the lower ranked officers in the Venezuelan military became much representative of the overall racial makeup of Venezuela (much more Brown/Black). One of these officers was Chavez himself. My theory is that this cadre essentially replaced the old "bourgeoisie" though Chavez and his anti-capitalist policies, becoming the new ruling class in the process. The best comparison I can make is Nasser and the Free Officers Movement in Egypt, where the vast majority of private assets were nationalized, but eventually were privatized again through corrupt methods, creating a new class of oligarchs. Eventually the Egyptian military became a state within a state, owning an estimated 40% of all wealth in the country.

My predication is that Maduro and the hardliners will be overthrown by an alliance between an opportunist opposition group and the military, with an agreement between these two groups that much of appropriated wealth now in the hands of the military and the militaries privileged position in society will be maintained. Does this sound overly conspiratorial to you Venezuelan goons?

Explosive Tampons
Jul 9, 2014

Your days are gone!!!
marx did nothing wrong

M. Discordia
Apr 30, 2003

by Smythe
American socialists defended Chavez for 10 years after he fired oil workers for going on strike. Lol

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'

hypnorotic posted:

I can't remember where I read this but during the late 80s the lower ranked officers in the Venezuelan military became much representative of the overall racial makeup of Venezuela (much more Brown/Black). One of these officers was Chavez himself. My theory is that this cadre essentially replaced the old "bourgeoisie" though Chavez and his anti-capitalist policies, becoming the new ruling class in the process. The best comparison I can make is Nasser and the Free Officers Movement in Egypt, where the vast majority of private assets were nationalized, but eventually were privatized again through corrupt methods, creating a new class of oligarchs. Eventually the Egyptian military became a state within a state, owning an estimated 40% of all wealth in the country.

My predication is that Maduro and the hardliners will be overthrown by an alliance between an opportunist opposition group and the military, with an agreement between these two groups that much of appropriated wealth now in the hands of the military and the militaries privileged position in society will be maintained. Does this sound overly conspiratorial to you Venezuelan goons?

No, that sounds like something that could perfectly happen here.

The MUD aren't as united as their name would have you believe and they are going to need the military's support to get rid of the PSUV.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

hypnorotic posted:

I can't remember where I read this but during the late 80s the lower ranked officers in the Venezuelan military became much representative of the overall racial makeup of Venezuela (much more Brown/Black). One of these officers was Chavez himself. My theory is that this cadre essentially replaced the old "bourgeoisie" though Chavez and his anti-capitalist policies, becoming the new ruling class in the process. The best comparison I can make is Nasser and the Free Officers Movement in Egypt, where the vast majority of private assets were nationalized, but eventually were privatized again through corrupt methods, creating a new class of oligarchs. Eventually the Egyptian military became a state within a state, owning an estimated 40% of all wealth in the country.

My predication is that Maduro and the hardliners will be overthrown by an alliance between an opportunist opposition group and the military, with an agreement between these two groups that much of appropriated wealth now in the hands of the military and the militaries privileged position in society will be maintained. Does this sound overly conspiratorial to you Venezuelan goons?
Not Venezuelan but I'm hearing Latin America analysts warning about exactly such a scenario:

quote:

I, like many others, believe that the situation in Venezuela comes down to the military. Do they side with the president as in Peru 1992? Do they side with the president’s opponents, as they did in Honduras 2009? Or do they simply toss out the whole system and install themselves in charge as occurred in Chile 1973? Whatever occurs will not be an exact replica of a previous coup, but if there is a coup, the military will be involved and you’ll likely know it when you see it.

And even if an officially classified “coup" doesn’t occur, the end results of these sorts of situations can be rather dramatic and involve the military's decisions, at least indirectly. In Bolivia 2003 and Ecuador 2005, the military withdrew their support of the sitting president amid large protests, an implicit threat that forced the presidents to resign. In backroom negotiations in Paraguay 2012, the military made clear that they supported the legislature’s flash impeachment process, causing Lugo to back down and admit defeat rather than attempt to maintain power. In Venezuela’s own 2014 La Salida protests, the military and other security forces engaged in heavy repression to avoid the escalation of protests, forcing the protests to end and leading to the arrests of numerous opposition politicians. None of those situations today are generally classified as coups or coup attempts (though some people think they should be), but they are the results of institutional struggles that had fairly important consequences.

http://www.bloggingsbyboz.com/2016/01/in-weeks-and-months-before-coup.html

M. Discordia
Apr 30, 2003

by Smythe
Ultimately it comes down to a respect for the rule of law, which means neither localized criminality, nor large-scale corruption, nor autocracy can be tolerated. Economies can't function without some confidence in the system -- defined property rights, defined welfare systems (i.e. taxation funding redistributive cash payments, not the government seizing factories when it feels like). Right now Venezuela is in actual fact a military-backed dictatorship; changing to a right-wing military dictatorship from a left-wing one won't help anything. The sad fact is that Venezuela was one of the better countries in Latin America at understanding and implementing the importance of civil society and rule of law before Chavez and Maduro began a deliberate effort to destroy it.

William Bear
Oct 26, 2012

"That's what they all say!"
NYTimes article about the state of Venezuela's hospitals. Truly horrifying stuff. Plus, it has one of the most delusional Maduro quotes I've ever heard.

quote:

[...]
The president’s opponents declared a humanitarian crisis in January, and this month passed a law that would allow Venezuela to accept international aid to prop up the health care system.

“This is criminal that we can sit in a country with this much oil, and people are dying for lack of antibiotics,” says Oneida Guaipe, a lawmaker and former hospital union leader.

But Mr. Maduro, who succeeded Hugo Chávez, went on television and rejected the effort, describing the move as a bid to undermine him and privatize the hospital system.

“I doubt that anywhere in the world, except in Cuba, there exists a better health system than this one,” Mr. Maduro said.
[...]
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/16/world/americas/dying-infants-and-no-medicine-inside-venezuelas-failing-hospitals.html

How modest!

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'
Hospitals here are so good that when one of the regime's top shots get sick they always go to the private clinics.

I dont know
Aug 9, 2003

That Guy here...
Are the photos in that article broadly representative, or at least somewhat cherry picked? I have literally seen footage of hospitals and clinics in active warzones that are less squalid.


El Hefe posted:

Hospitals here are so good that when one of the regime's top shots get sick they always go to the private clinics.

I assumed that they quietly went out of country for healthcare.

beer_war
Mar 10, 2005

I dont know posted:

I assumed that they quietly went out of country for healthcare.

Now what on Earth would make you think that?

Adventure Pigeon
Nov 8, 2005

I am a master storyteller.

I dont know posted:

Are the photos in that article broadly representative, or at least somewhat cherry picked? I have literally seen footage of hospitals and clinics in active warzones that are less squalid.


I assumed that they quietly went out of country for healthcare.

Involvement in narco trafficking makes leaving the country a risky proposition for some of them. Besides, they still control enough dollars to ensure their preferred clinics are well stocked.

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'
Every public hospital here looks like one of Assad's torture dungeons.

And the regime's top shots do go to the USA, UK, etc for surgeries and stuff but for emergencies or small stuff they always go to private clinics and never to public hospitals.

Saladman
Jan 12, 2010

I dont know posted:

Are the photos in that article broadly representative, or at least somewhat cherry picked? I have literally seen footage of hospitals and clinics in active warzones that are less squalid.

Yeah, holy poo poo. It literally looks worse than some of the hospital photos I've seen of Syria and Libya. (As a local) I'd rather take my chances in Raqqa than that hospital Nick Casey went to. At least there you'll get a clean death by beheading rather than gradual amputations of your limbs as the bacteria grows.


In other news, what's up with the Guri dam? I thought it was supposed to be out of water in mid-May, but I can't find any articles online about it -- searching in English -- newer than end of April.

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'

beer_war posted:

Now what on Earth would make you think that?

And his "Cuban cancer care" was actually a specially built room for him with doctors from all over the world.

Hugoon Chavez
Nov 4, 2011

THUNDERDOME LOSER
As someone who has lots of doctor friends working in Venezuela, public hospitals have been in terrible conditions for a while, but the lack of medicines is making things impossible.

Actually one of my friends worked in emergencies for a huge public hospital in Valencia until a month ago (that he moved here to Madrid) and his stories and pictures are insane.

beer_war
Mar 10, 2005




~~~ HECHO EN SOCIALISMO ~~~

fnox
May 19, 2013



As the son of a doctor who also suffers from a number of chronic diseases, this medicine poo poo is possibly the most criminally incompetent thing the government has ever done, and the amount of grief and suffering they've caused due to their corruption is absolutely hideous. I don't think there is a single person alive that can justify just how loving awful Venezuela's healthcare and access to medicine is.

We have a loving AIDS epidemic in one of our states, for gently caress's sake.

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'
They are selling some cheap no brand condoms now too, durex and stuff are impossible to find.

Woolie Wool
Jun 2, 2006


Celexi posted:

I was watching these vivo play youtube videos on expropriaciones/ reclamations and gently caress this is bad

Was Maduro really just pointing at things and saying "expropriate it" without even bothering to think about what the government would do with them? Expropriation sounds like something you want to plan well in advance.

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'

Woolie Wool posted:

Was Maduro really just pointing at things and saying "expropriate it" without even bothering to think about what the government would do with them? Expropriation sounds like something you want to plan well in advance.

He's just copying Chavez since that was his MO.

Woolie Wool
Jun 2, 2006


That is like collectivization as imagined by a five-year-old.

Scaramouche
Mar 26, 2001

SPACE FACE! SPACE FACE!

beer_war posted:



~~~ HECHO EN SOCIALISMO ~~~

Gotta lot of respect for those hospital staff who still bother to get up and show up to work in those conditions. Be pretty easy to say "gently caress it. Shits hosed, I'm out." Are they still getting paid on time?

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
The opposition has another march planned for Wednesday, but the mayor of the western half of Caracas, Jorge Rodriguez, said today that his side of the city would be closed off that day, and that no protest would be allowed to take place there. This is completely unconstitutional, of course, because the Libertador municipality (of which Rodriguez is mayor) isn't his personal fiefdom, and the constitution grants Venezuelans the right to peaceful protest and peaceful assembly.

Rodriguez is also in charge of overseeing the verification of the signatures for the recall referendum, and he's been featured in the media predominantly over the last few days because he keeps saying that the opposition didn't collect enough signatures for the referendum because all the signatures were faked. Yesterday he said that the opposition hadn't collected "even close to half" of the approximately 195,000 signatures it needed, even though it handed in around 2 million signatures.

"Wait, isn't the CNE in charge of verifying the signatures? And doesn't the verification process start on May 26? How could Rodriguez be talking about the signatures like he's already verified all of them himself?". Those are valid points, and the answer is that

Saladman posted:

In other news, what's up with the Guri dam? I thought it was supposed to be out of water in mid-May, but I can't find any articles online about it -- searching in English -- newer than end of April.

Last Sunday, Minister of Electrical Energy Luis Motta Dominguez said that the water level at the dam was "very critical".

My understanding is that the level at which the water level was decreasing has slowed somewhat, but it is still decreasing.

The Guri dam's water level isn't the most immediate threat to electricity in the country, though. CORPOELEC (the national electrical company) workers are threatening to go on strike by the end of the week because their collective bargaining agreement expired five years ago and the government hasn't moved a finger to work with them on a new one. 18,000 CORPOELEC workers have signed a petition calling for the strike. The PSUV is the party of the workers, though: don't let anyone tell you otherwise!

Woolie Wool posted:

Was Maduro really just pointing at things and saying "expropriate it" without even bothering to think about what the government would do with them? Expropriation sounds like something you want to plan well in advance.

Here's a classic video showing Chavez expropriating buildings on a whim on live television: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jOjvJAfIMSI

Even if you don't speak Spanish, you can see him pointing at random buildings and saying "expropiese", which means "expropriate it".

Saladman
Jan 12, 2010

Chuck Boone posted:

Last Sunday, Minister of Electrical Energy Luis Motta Dominguez said that the water level at the dam was "very critical".

That link completely causes Chrome to freeze and crash on my computer. There's probably symbolism in there somewhere.

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'
Polar only has enough white corn to make Harina PAN until the end of the month.

Sometimes I feel like not reading any more news and just watch movies and play games or whatever to occupy the mind because this poo poo is so depressing.

Demiurge4
Aug 10, 2011

Looking at that video of Chavez randomly picking out buildings I just realised how much he reminds me of Chris Roberts. His body language exudes feigned competence and he relies entirely on a cult like following to maintain his image.

fnox
May 19, 2013



Demiurge4 posted:

Looking at that video of Chavez randomly picking out buildings I just realised how much he reminds me of Chris Roberts. His body language exudes feigned competence and he relies entirely on a cult like following to maintain his image.

Maduro's presidency and Star Citizen are alike in that they serve as a clear example of how far people are willing to go due to the sunk cost fallacy. When you realize that the Venezuelan people elected a bus driver as president because Chavez told them to, it suddenly doesn't seem that unfeasible that people are willing to dish out hundreds of dollars to purchase JPEGs.

ugh its Troika
May 2, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

fnox posted:

Maduro's presidency and Star Citizen are alike in that they serve as a clear example of how far people are willing to go due to the sunk cost fallacy. When you realize that the Venezuelan people elected a bus driver as president because Chavez told them to, it suddenly doesn't seem that unfeasible that people are willing to dish out hundreds of dollars to purchase JPEGs.

hahahahahahahhaa

Vlex
Aug 4, 2006
I'd rather be a climbing ape than a big titty angel.



The Guardian are asking Venezuelans to share their stories about life in the country.

It's small comfort but this might (sadly) be the best way for some of you Venegoons to get your voices heard.

Hugoon Chavez
Nov 4, 2011

THUNDERDOME LOSER

Vlex posted:

The Guardian are asking Venezuelans to share their stories about life in the country.

It's small comfort but this might (sadly) be the best way for some of you Venegoons to get your voices heard.

Time to campaign and translate everything my friends have to share. If I can get my doctor friend to publicly open up about the "Colosseum Tuesdays" on his emergency unit that would be pretty sweet.

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BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

William Bear posted:

NYTimes article about the state of Venezuela's hospitals. Truly horrifying stuff. Plus, it has one of the most delusional Maduro quotes I've ever heard.
Now take a look at Venezuela's homicide rate, which I've read is comparable to active war zones, and note that all those bodies have to go somewhere. So we're not even seeing the worst photos.

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