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Bunleigh
Jun 6, 2005

by exmarx
It's too early in the campaign for Trump to be acting like Bunker Hitler, what the gently caress.

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CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

He's already burned his chances. His very lackluster attempt to call out Trump was never followed through.

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

Mozi posted:

I think there's a growing chance he may not make it to the convention, but I have absolutely no idea of what that would look like.

Literal bloodshed and murder of the GOP by the GOP on national TV at the convention.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Trump isn't dropping out and honestly the stupid comments can't really hurt him anymore. As if Democratic super PACs would let Hispanic voters forget his previous comments about Mexicans.

The people who hate Trump still hate him and attacking some judge doesn't turn away his supporters.

A Winner is Jew
Feb 14, 2008

by exmarx

Evil Fluffy posted:

Literal bloodshed and murder of the GOP by the GOP on national TV at the convention.

Teddybear
May 16, 2009

Look! A teddybear doll!
It's soooo cute!


I don't believe that a party can realistically change its candidate after formal nomination at the convention. If he were to burn out in August or September and go completely off the rails, the GOP has to ride that train all the way to the station. Admittedly, I'm no expert on the laws of nominating and the procedure that each state does, and I reckon that a few states would just be "yeah, sure, swap him in," but I guarantee there are a good amount of states that would seal that name in stone.

I wouldn't miss the GOP convention. Put it in your calendar. It'll be a hoot.

german porn enthusiast
Dec 29, 2015

by exmarx

Trabisnikof posted:

Trump isn't dropping out and honestly the stupid comments can't really hurt him anymore. As if Democratic super PACs would let Hispanic voters forget his previous comments about Mexicans.

The people who hate Trump still hate him and attacking some judge doesn't turn away his supporters.

the judge thing proves that american citizens are in trump's targets to some of those "clinton and trump are equally bad" types

EwokEntourage
Jun 10, 2008

BREYER: Actually, Antonin, you got it backwards. See, a power bottom is actually generating all the dissents by doing most of the work.

SCALIA: Stephen, I've heard that speed has something to do with it.

BREYER: Speed has everything to do with it.

Evil Fluffy posted:



A few years ago I read about a guy who basically was geting hounded by collection agencies and instead of paying them went and found all the relevant laws and learned them then started recording all conversations and would read out to the collectors the exact laws they were breaking and then inform them that he's going to sue them (and then started doing so). IIRC he basically got all his debt wiped out and even got some money due to suing or settling with some of the agencies. Not everyone is going to be able to do this but collection agencies are such shitshows that someone who knows how to play the game can probably get away with clearing some legitimate debt while also nailing some scummy fuckers to the wall on occasion and getting some money out of them in the process.
There's a thread in the business/finance forum of people doing this. Some of them will just stop collecting if you threaten to sue. They make enough money anyways, and your $200 DirecTV bill is cheaper then paying attorneys

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.
I wonder do they have to put a name with a political party on the presidential election ballot.

Could they just have "Republican party Canidate"?

BobTheJanitor
Jun 28, 2003

Trabisnikof posted:

The people who hate Trump still hate him and attacking some judge doesn't turn away his supporters.

True, but the base doesn't win you the election. Yes, you need a base to be a national party, but like the 9th vote is what really decides most Supreme Court decisions that split along partisan lines (at least, until recently, but that's a different problem), the low-information "independent" voters are the ones who decide the presidency. And even the lowest-information voter living under a rock in a cave on the moon knows Trump's feelings on Mexico by now. Candidates like Mitt and Jeb and Cruz and Rubio and etc. can be polished up and smile and look electable. And that's all it takes for a really uninformed voter. Trump is proving over and over that he's never going to be able to sit still and shut up long enough to let the rubes be fooled into thinking he's electable.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
I hope some smoking gun level information comes out saying that Trump has told his insiders that one of his highest priorities for trying to become President is be able to strong arm the judicial system into not being able to go after him regarding his criminal actions.

Hell he might publicly admit it ffs.

Shimrra Jamaane fucked around with this message at 22:39 on Jun 6, 2016

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

I hope some smoking gun level information comes out saying that Trump has told his insiders that one of his highest priorities for trying to become President is be able to strong arm the judicial system into not being able to go after him regarding his criminal actions.

Hell he might publicly admit it ffs.

not until after the convention tho. Jesus those things are still more than a month away.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
And all of the people, and there are somehow still some in this thread, who keep drumming on about "durr like this will matter to anyone, the American electorate are retards (not me though I'm not one of those proles!), nothing matters lol!" need to shut up already because it's been shown overwhelmingly that all of this is making a huge difference.

Tobermory
Mar 31, 2011

Teddybear posted:

I don't believe that a party can realistically change its candidate after formal nomination at the convention. If he were to burn out in August or September and go completely off the rails, the GOP has to ride that train all the way to the station.

I wouldn't miss the GOP convention. Put it in your calendar. It'll be a hoot.

If the RNC changed candidates after the convention, it would do a whole lot of damage to the party. But if keeping the candidate in the race would do more damage than replacing the candidate, the committee will grit their teeth and swap candidates.

For instance, look at 1972. The Democratic Convention selected Thomas Eagleton as the VP candidate. A couple weeks later, it turned out that Eagleton was suicidally depressed, had an illegal prescription for Thorazine, and was secretly checking himself into mental institutions for electroshock therapy. The DNC did a special session and replaced him with Sargent Shriver.

Admittedly, Trump would have to do something absolutely horrible to get replaced, but it's totally possible. Based on Trump's actions so far, it even seems plausible.

MC Nietzche
Oct 26, 2004

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

And all of the people, and there are somehow still some in this thread, who keep drumming on about "durr like this will matter to anyone, the American electorate are retards (not me though I'm not one of those proles!), nothing matters lol!" need to shut up already because it's been shown overwhelmingly that all of this is making a huge difference.

To be fair I think that the unspoken caveat to "lol nothing matters" is "lol nothing matters (to the GOP base)" because if poo poo mattered to them they'd have put up a literal sock puppet before they nominated Trump.

Stultus Maximus
Dec 21, 2009

USPOL May

sean10mm posted:

Because his message was what the hardcore Republican base actually wanted to hear, and nobody was willing to say that message as loud as Trump.

The hardcore Republican base is a small minority of the electorate however, so winning over the former says little about winning over the latter.

Look, I don't think he'll win. However, the reason I think he won't win is that the electoral map and demographics are strongly opposed to any Republican winning rather than because he's a grotesque billionaire who has no business being let near control of the trade policy and military of the richest and most powerful nation on earth and that is terrifying.

boner confessor
Apr 25, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Stultus Maximus posted:

Look, I don't think he'll win. However, the reason I think he won't win is that the electoral map and demographics are strongly opposed to any Republican winning rather than because he's a grotesque billionaire who has no business being let near control of the trade policy and military of the richest and most powerful nation on earth and that is terrifying.

but at the same time the only reason trump was able to end up with the possibility of being elected president is because the GOP is completely hopeless and lost for a candidate to run

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Stultus Maximus posted:

Look, I don't think he'll win. However, the reason I think he won't win is that the electoral map and demographics are strongly opposed to any Republican winning rather than because he's a grotesque billionaire who has no business being let near control of the trade policy and military of the richest and most powerful nation on earth and that is terrifying.

Utah had a new poll today that has Trump leading Hillary by only single digits. Tell me, would that be the case if it was literally any other Republican candidate aside from Trump?

Trump has single handily turned swing states solid blue and solid red states purple.

Zoph
Sep 12, 2005

Tobermory posted:

If the RNC changed candidates after the convention, it would do a whole lot of damage to the party. But if keeping the candidate in the race would do more damage than replacing the candidate, the committee will grit their teeth and swap candidates.

For instance, look at 1972. The Democratic Convention selected Thomas Eagleton as the VP candidate. A couple weeks later, it turned out that Eagleton was suicidally depressed, had an illegal prescription for Thorazine, and was secretly checking himself into mental institutions for electroshock therapy. The DNC did a special session and replaced him with Sargent Shriver.

Admittedly, Trump would have to do something absolutely horrible to get replaced, but it's totally possible. Based on Trump's actions so far, it even seems plausible.

Replacing their nominee is contingent on the assumption that the GOP possesses introspection, which the last two general elections casts significant doubt upon. I half expect them to learn nothing from Trump and nominate Literal Yosemite Sam in 2020.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Popular Thug Drink posted:

but at the same time the only reason trump was able to end up with the possibility of being elected president is because the GOP is completely hopeless and lost for a candidate to run

Pretty much. Trump is just their attempt to hide the panic and disbelief at how far the Tea Party drug them to hell.

yoctoontologist
Sep 11, 2011

Eagleton voluntarily withdrew when McGovern asked him to. There's no way Trump would ever do that.

The Republican Party rules say:

quote:

The Republican National Committee is hereby authorized and empowered to fill any and all vacancies which may occur by reason of death, declination, or otherwise of the Republican candidate for President of the United States or the Republican candidate for Vice President of the United States, as nominated by the national convention, or the Republican National Committee may reconvene the national convention for the purpose of filling any such vacancies.

The position has to be vacant before they can fill it. This only applies after the convention. (The Democratic rules are the same, except that they specify "death, resignation or disability" instead of "death, declination, or otherwise.")

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.

yoctoontologist posted:

Eagleton voluntarily withdrew when McGovern asked him to. There's no way Trump would ever do that.

The Republican Party rules say:


The position has to be vacant before they can fill it. This only applies after the convention. (The Democratic rules are the same, except that they specify "death, resignation or disability" instead of "death, declination, or otherwise.")

What if those Rules happen to change with no one knowing before the delegates vote.

Franco Potente
Jul 9, 2010

yoctoontologist posted:

Eagleton voluntarily withdrew when McGovern asked him to. There's no way Trump would ever do that.

The Republican Party rules say:


The position has to be vacant before they can fill it. This only applies after the convention. (The Democratic rules are the same, except that they specify "death, resignation or disability" instead of "death, declination, or otherwise.")

Does that "otherwise" give them some leeway?

ComradeCosmobot
Dec 4, 2004

USPOL July
I mentioned this in the D&D Chat thread where it got drowned out, but I'll mention it here too in case some of you don't read that thread or missed it:

The Anthony Weiner documentary that just came out is pretty good and I think a number of people in this thread would get a kick out of it. It's really just another bullet point in favor of the "All politics is just Veep" theory.

Also there's a wonderful clip which features a likely future-D&D-poster at the end which warmed the cockles of my heart.

Stultus Maximus
Dec 21, 2009

USPOL May

Popular Thug Drink posted:

but at the same time the only reason trump was able to end up with the possibility of being elected president is because the GOP is completely hopeless and lost for a candidate to run

Rubio, Bush, or Kasich would have been objectively better choices. Sure they suck but Trump is the only major party nominee in living memory who is actually completely unequipped to fundamentally perform the duties required of the president of the United States.

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

Utah had a new poll today that has Trump leading Hillary by only single digits. Tell me, would that be the case if it was literally any other Republican candidate aside from Trump?

Trump has single handily turned swing states solid blue and solid red states purple.


The fact that he's polling in the 40s is scary enough. Nearly half the country thinks that Trump should be given nuclear weapons.

boner confessor
Apr 25, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Stultus Maximus posted:

Rubio, Bush, or Kasich would have been objectively better choices. Sure they suck but Trump is the only major party nominee in living memory who is actually completely unequipped to fundamentally perform the duties required of the president of the United States.

yeah but the failure of the party to support a single candidate during the clown car primary meant that the grown ups all fought over the grown up vote while trump sailed off on the racist nativist vote which made him look more popular and competent than he actually is

Islam is the Lite Rock FM
Jul 27, 2007

by exmarx
Reminder that over 40% of Americans were ok with Sarah loving Palin being a stroke away from those nukes too.

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

yoctoontologist posted:

Eagleton voluntarily withdrew when McGovern asked him to. There's no way Drumpf would ever do that.

The Republican Party rules say:


The position has to be vacant before they can fill it. This only applies after the convention. (The Democratic rules are the same, except that they specify "death, resignation or disability" instead of "death, declination, or otherwise.")

If Trump drops out it'll be received by his crowd as him being strongarmed by "insiders." If he's drummed out, it's a dolch being stossed.

For years I've said the GOP is dealing with a growing conundrum in which they need to figure out how to keep the evangelical and business wings of the party voting for them when their respective platforms are beginning to diverge over social issues. I would have never in a million years imagined that the Palin wing would just explode out of control in the way it did. It's really something.

BRAKE FOR MOOSE
Jun 6, 2001

Evil Fluffy posted:

Followed by the Anti-Arzy Election Map:


This is if Trump gets +5% and Clinton gets -5% compared to the Romney/Obama 2012 numbers I think? Or maybe a 5% shift total.

Nobody should ever feel good about a map that shows an election turning on New Hampshire

Brother Entropy
Dec 27, 2009

BRAKE FOR MOOSE posted:

Nobody should ever feel good about a map that shows an election turning on New Hampshire

the point of that map is that even if trump managed to strongly exceed romney's numbers(he won't) it still wouldn't be a guarantee he'd win

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
North Carolina, being the upstanding place that it is, has a high school that allowed their 'Students for Trump' group to do this:

http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2016/06/06/latino-students-upset-after-nc-high-school-prank-involves-building-wall-boxes/

quote:

Latino students at a western North Carolina high school are upset after some of their classmates decided to build a wall made of boxes that blocked access to a common area as part of a senior prank.

According News 13, about 30 students were allowed into school Wednesday night to perform the prank with a teacher supervising them. They then shared a photo on Instagram with them standing in front of it.

“We built the wall first,” the photo was captioned.

A student sitting front and center of the photo is wearing a “Trump” T-shirt.

According to school Principal Edwin Spivey, one of the students wanted to a put a Donald Trump logo on the wall, but was told he couldn’t do that.

The wall was taken down before classes began on Thursday, however, two Latino students met with the principal on Friday to talk about their concerns over the wall, the photo and what they said were racist comments that followed, News 13 reported.

Grey Fox
Jan 5, 2004

CommieGIR posted:

North Carolina, being the upstanding place that it is, has a high school that allowed their 'Students for Trump' group to do this:

http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2016/06/06/latino-students-upset-after-nc-high-school-prank-involves-building-wall-boxes/
We really need to increase teacher pay so they don't feel compelled to pull these kinds of stunts to get fired and wind up on wingnut welfare.

highme
May 25, 2001


I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!


A couple of weeks ago an high school in a western Portland suburb that is more than 50% Latino had a kid hang a banner that read "Build the Wall" from a 2nd floor balcony. It lead to walkouts by students at quite a few area schools. http://www.kgw.com/news/local/washington-county/forest-grove-students-protest-build-a-wall-banner-hung-in-high-school/204340695

Periodiko
Jan 30, 2005
Uh.

No, Scott Adams is 58 years old. He's just a new agey weirdo that's really into hypnotism as a form of self-help/therapy. It's why he's attracted to Trump's persona, believe it or not - the whole self-affirmation, believe it and you can do it, "the secret" sort of thing.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000

Antti posted:

This is actually an interesting question. He is a legal resident in Russia but I don't think there's absentee balloting abroad so he'd have to go in person to the polling place at the embassy in Moscow. Could the embassy detain him? The embassy grounds are not actually sovereign US soil despite a common misunderstanding to the contrary so it seems unlikely. Obviously as Snowden I would never take the chance.
There is and you don't need to go to the embassy to set it up.

TeenageArchipelago
Jul 23, 2013


CommieGIR posted:

North Carolina, being the upstanding place that it is, has a high school that allowed their 'Students for Trump' group to do this:

http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2016/06/06/latino-students-upset-after-nc-high-school-prank-involves-building-wall-boxes/

the real shameful bit is that a teacher let them in to do a "prank" that was cleaned up before school even started the next day

Heck Yes! Loam!
Nov 15, 2004

a rich, friable soil containing a relatively equal mixture of sand and silt and a somewhat smaller proportion of clay.
This is too much

quote:

Bloomberg talked with two people on the call who spoke on anonymity and said Trump instructed his surrogates to let what he portrayed as hypocritical TV reporters "have it."

"The people asking the questions—those are the racists," Trump reportedly said, seeming irritated. "I would go at 'em."

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/trump-instructs-surrogates-go-at-reporters

"I'm not racist, you're the real racist." is literally a knee jerk reaction that we've all seen 1000 times. This man has no self awareness. I don't see how he is going to make it to November, let alone the convention. It's like a bad D&D poster's arguments coming out of the mouth of the GOP nominee.

Heck Yes! Loam! fucked around with this message at 00:18 on Jun 7, 2016

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

Wow take a look at this article

Trump Does Not Have A Campaign

There's too much in here to just quote select parts of it, you need to read it all. But it's worth it.

Lol @

quote:

The good news for Trump is that it can only get better from here. 

“It’s not difficult to be far more responsive than not responsive,” a campaign source said.

Trump's campaign is so terrible it can only get better!!

Luminous Obscurity
Jan 10, 2007

"The instrument you know as a piano was once called a pianoforte, because it can play both loud and quiet notes."
What are the chances of the GOP losing control of the House if the Trumpenreich continues as is until November? It seems like he's fracturing the Right far harder than most people were expecting him to.

Furthermore, what are the chances the Dems would seize the opportunity to actually make laws if they actually got control of it?

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FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

gently caress You And Diebold posted:

Drumpf's campaign is so terrible it can only get better!!

I too am in Flensburg eagerly awaiting news of the recapture of Berlin :v:

Has anyone christened Trump's campaign the poo poo Talk Express yet?

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