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Bernie's been speaking and...I don't feel a dropout coming. My god.
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Jun 17, 2016 01:39
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He's talking about the convention. God bless this man.
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Jun 17, 2016 01:42
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oh my god bernie you fool you fool
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Jun 17, 2016 01:42
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Transcript of the speech is here - https://berniesanders.com/political-revolution-continues/ Yea, not really a dropout unless you try to get really, really rules-lawyery about it EDIT: Here's a line "And I personally intend to begin my role in that process in a very short period of time" that means his dropout could be coming later. But I went ahead and sold at a loss. Got out while I could.
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Jun 17, 2016 01:44
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I honestly do not get Bernie Sanders. The man lost the election in a massive way, by over 4 million votes. It was never close. He's doing literally all the things that a dropped out candidate would do, but he just refuses to say the words concede or drop out. What a sore loser. edit: You know what it reminds me of? Wrestlemania IV, Randy Savage beats Ted DiBiase in the main event for the world title and Hulk Hogan runs to the ring to shake hands with Randy and prance around the ring with him while Savage's music is playing and he's trying to hold the title aloft. It's like, dude, Randy worked hard for this push and he got it. Give him his moment. Hillary won this election fair and square and Bernie is just refusing to let her have her moment. It's a dick move. pathetic little tramp has issued a correction as of 02:08 on Jun 17, 2016 |
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Jun 17, 2016 01:55
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pathetic little tramp posted:I honestly do not get Bernie Sanders. The man lost the election in a massive way, by over 4 million votes. It was never close. He's doing literally all the things that a dropped out candidate would do, but he just refuses to say the words concede or drop out. What a sore loser. Welp, that's it for me. Walking away from the table for a little while. The total amount of money that I put into PredictIt since the last time I wiped myself out: $1700. The total amount of the check that I'm getting mailed to myself right now: $1,838.11. Could have won more, definitely could have lost more. Never going to put money on trying to predict the acts of a ancient egomaniacal socialist again.
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Jun 17, 2016 02:00
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Selling off my Bernie dropout shares, and then putting in a crazy low purchase bid to buy some more. He's clearly not dropping out right now, but I still think odds are good he does so by the end of the month. Then again my two biggest losses in the last couple months were betting on Bernie doing the rational thing.
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Jun 17, 2016 02:21
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ugh this bernie thing is so irrational and complicated *goes back to the johnson fundraising market*
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Jun 17, 2016 02:28
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I'm riding this poo poo to the end. gently caress Bernie sanders.
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Jun 17, 2016 02:32
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http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-trailguide-ahead-of-speech-bernie-sanders-1466117525-htmlstory.html Weaver's statement about no longer pursuing superdelegates could be interpreted as a cessation of "his active campaigning for president or for the Democratic nomination for president in the 2016 election." I wonder if someone from PI will chime in with a ruling.
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Jun 17, 2016 02:32
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nachos posted:I'm riding this poo poo to the end. gently caress Bernie sanders. Same here. If it bottoms out I'm out 1300 and only have 3000 around on PI, but screw it. He's a shithead.
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Jun 17, 2016 02:42
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nachos posted:gently caress Bernie sanders.
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Jun 17, 2016 02:43
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gently caress y'all Bernie owns
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Jun 17, 2016 02:59
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i don't like bernie but if his capriciousness means craven speculators lose money his staying in the race is ok by me
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Jun 17, 2016 03:15
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Homework Explainer posted:i don't like bernie but if his capriciousness means craven speculators lose money his staying in the race is ok by me perhaps the craven political speculator........is u
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Jun 17, 2016 03:33
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nachos posted:I'm riding this poo poo to the end. gently caress Bernie sanders. I'm with you dude. I maxed out and I'm not selling that poo poo at a loss. Everyone else, even batshit Ted Cruz knew when to hang it up.
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Jun 17, 2016 03:37
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Sunk. Cost. Fallacy.
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Jun 17, 2016 03:52
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Meanwhile, I purchased 666 shares of VP Gingrich at 17c for fun. Probably slightly overpriced, but if Trump himself makes the pick I think he'll choose a ... fellow traveler. I doubt anyone in an actual elected position will be willing to give up their career to join this shitshow, and Christie is so widely disliked that he just seems like another liability. Gingrich to the moon, I say.
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Jun 17, 2016 04:40
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Gingrich is totally possible, but if ever there was a market where NO on everyone was the smart money it's Trump's VP. None may know the mind of Trump, not even Trump. I wouldn't even be surprised if does less vetting and contemplation than McCain in '08. His first choice will obviously be Donald Trump, then when informed he can't be both President and Vice President there is no possible way of knowing which shiny object will catch his attention and lead to him blurting out a name at near random.
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Jun 17, 2016 04:57
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Gyges posted:Gingrich is totally possible, but if ever there was a market where NO on everyone was the smart money it's Trump's VP. None may know the mind of Trump, not even Trump. I wouldn't even be surprised if does less vetting and contemplation than McCain in '08. His first choice will obviously be Donald Trump, then when informed he can't be both President and Vice President there is no possible way of knowing which shiny object will catch his attention and lead to him blurting out a name at near random. Is there a Donald Trump Jr option in that market? Cause that's where I'd put my money.
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Jun 17, 2016 05:04
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Gyges posted:Gingrich is totally possible, but if ever there was a market where NO on everyone was the smart money it's Trump's VP. None may know the mind of Trump, not even Trump. I wouldn't even be surprised if does less vetting and contemplation than McCain in '08. His first choice will obviously be Donald Trump, then when informed he can't be both President and Vice President there is no possible way of knowing which shiny object will catch his attention and lead to him blurting out a name at near random. Buying noes is, as usual, the smart move, of course.
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Jun 17, 2016 05:40
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Achievement unlocked:
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Jun 17, 2016 06:36
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OlSpazzy posted:Achievement unlocked: "Today, Hillary Clinton announced a revolutionary new approach she calls 'Vice President by committee'"
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Jun 17, 2016 07:08
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JosefStalinator posted:"Today, Hillary Clinton announced a revolutionary new approach she calls 'Vice President by committee'" Impossible. That's not constitutional.
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Jun 17, 2016 07:14
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Bernie is not hard to 'get'--he has a core following of the progressive base that Hillary wants/needs to secure an easy victory in the general. He has policy positions that he wants integrated/codified in the party platform and for HRC to at least give verbal attention. So his endorsement will be given at the convention, once he gets the policy concessions. It's a game of leverage, pure and simple, and it's been the plan the entire time. That he actually came within spitting distance of the nomination without any establishment backing (Obama only made it because he was backed by the Kennedy's) was utterly amazing and unprecedented. So he's not about to give up his leverage early. If he was in this purely for the nom, absolutely he should be cutting losses and moving on. So he's either Trumpian-level egotistical--not impossible, but also not really supported by evidence--or the policy concessions are his goal.
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Jun 17, 2016 08:30
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Free money because people can't read (YES): https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2792/Will-Debbie-Wasserman-Schultz-remain-DNC-chair-through-Junequote:Debbie Wasserman Shultz has handed the day-to-day operations of the Democratic Party over to Clinton’s hand picked operator Brandon Davis. Oh poo poo do I win a prize? Sent them an email the other day and they're implementing my suggestion right now: quote:Could you please consider adding a column in the https://www.predictit.org/Profile/MyShares page showing where and why our ultimate Gain/Loss ratio was affected next to the market that affected it? Even just a "+1c" or whatever next to the affected market would help immensely. When invested in multiple markets, it's extremely hard to track why you're up or down on your G/L and follow current trends (especially since G/L is dependent on last price sold [short flukes] but not necessarily what the shares are actually going for). quote:Thanks for your feedback. I will pass this along to the rest of the development team for their consideration. We welcome suggestions about ways to improve the site and appreciate your input. If you would like to share any more ideas or need any further assistance, please don't hesitate to contact us again. The Joe Man has issued a correction as of 09:29 on Jun 17, 2016 |
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Jun 17, 2016 09:19
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The Joe Man posted:Free money because people can't read (YES): https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2792/Will-Debbie-Wasserman-Schultz-remain-DNC-chair-through-June "Trading is temporarily suspended."
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Jun 17, 2016 09:24
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I'd just like it on record here that even PredictIt is taking advice from The Joe Man.
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Jun 17, 2016 09:45
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I've been waiting for that feature for ages.
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Jun 17, 2016 09:46
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OAquinas posted:"Trading is temporarily suspended." Isn’t that just for the nightly maintenance period? e: I traded some just now. Platystemon has issued a correction as of 09:58 on Jun 17, 2016 |
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Jun 17, 2016 09:50
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lol it even says "Trading is suspended from 4:00 to 4:30" like every night. Digging the new interface. Also, which is a better bet, DWS @ 93 or Trump.RNOM @ 90 (doesn't matter I maxed both).
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Jun 17, 2016 09:59
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I'd say DWS is more of a lock but they're both solid bets.
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Jun 17, 2016 10:03
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EngineerSean posted:lol it even says "Trading is suspended from 4:00 to 4:30" like every night. Digging the new interface. Also, which is a better bet, DWS @ 93 or Trump.RNOM @ 90 (doesn't matter I maxed both). DWS because it pays out in two weeks while Trump.RNOM won’t move till the convention.
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Jun 17, 2016 10:03
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I'm actually maxed on Trump.RNOM @ 46 but I'm always just pouty that my sell order @ 98 hasn't filled
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Jun 17, 2016 10:06
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Never actually tried refreshing at this hour, so hey, learn something new. Makes sense they have a daily downtime. DWS absolutely, just for the turnaround. Johnson polling 11+% NO on 6/30 is probably better, but not a guarantee (he theoretically could get a few 15% polls in a row in the next two weeks?)--currently at 80c
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Jun 17, 2016 10:13
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I worry about Johnson becoming “flavour of the month”. I feel like if it was going to happen it would have happened already, but I’ll stick to betting on rules interpretation.
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Jun 17, 2016 10:19
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lmfao (it was retracted)
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Jun 17, 2016 15:35
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I finally bailed out of the June dropout market. Worst loss I've taken in months.
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Jun 17, 2016 17:03
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The Joe Man posted:I'd just like it on record here that even PredictIt is taking advice from The Joe Man. next up: markets about which middle aged politicians are the most attractive
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Jun 17, 2016 21:38
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With all the news today about convention delegates and the rules committee (chair is critical of Trump, some delegates quit rather than vote for Trump, other delegates talking up Plan J), I'm beginning to think that https://www.predictit.org/Contract/1565/Will-Republicans-have-a-brokered-convention-in-2016 might be due for a run-up. Am I wrong?
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Jun 17, 2016 22:10
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