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Mr. Pumroy posted:also why the gently caress is trump campaigning in maine jesus christ he really wanted a lobster roll anyone have a better explanation?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:14
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Necc0 posted:are they straight up claiming that the video didn't even exist now? Which video is this?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:17
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Mirthless posted:anyone have a better explanation? He is a moron and his campaign is run by other morons.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:17
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Mirthless posted:he really wanted a lobster roll https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/746904825728753664
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Jun 27, 2016 19:17
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Mirthless posted:he really wanted a lobster roll https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/747485233767923713
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Jun 27, 2016 19:18
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 obligatory
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Jun 27, 2016 19:18
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GobiasIndustries posted:Which video is this? "The Innocence of Muslims," a very shoddily-made "movie" with a production budget of like a couple nickels that features Muhammad as a comical rapist chasing women around tables and such.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:19
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even if he raise as much sick campaign dosh as he said what is the point if he keeps spending it doing dumb poo poo
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Jun 27, 2016 19:19
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GobiasIndustries posted:Which video is this? The Innocence of Muslims
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Jun 27, 2016 19:19
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GobiasIndustries posted:Which video is this? The one that made Benghazi happen (that actually did at least in part spark the protests that happened at the same time in Cairo and a few other places or some poo poo and probably also Benghazi and that were used as cover for the attack. Or something.)
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Jun 27, 2016 19:20
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GobiasIndustries posted:Which video is this? There was some insane anti-islamic propaganda video that somebody in the US was putting out that year, the trailer had hit for it on youtube that week and there were a lot of protests across the arab world. It was a boneheaded thing for her to say (Really, really boneheaded) but the video in question was pretty offensive, as was the movie it was attached to I'm not going to unskew it but something feels off about those results given Maine's traditional leanings. Is there a trend of polling like this, or is it an outlier?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:20
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even if he's got a chance in that one district is it really worth it to be going after that 1EV?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:21
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Jesus is this 42%undecided?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:22
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Oh, that video. Why is she bri...Benghazi, never mind.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:22
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Trump may have realized he can't win the normal way so he's trying to shoot the moon and win with a crazy map like Romney + CO + IA + WI + OH + PA + NH + ME2. Something like that. Or else he's just doing random things like he always does.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:23
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this is a fun article https://twitter.com/politico/status/747486179185033217 quote:“I am not attending,” said South Carolina Rep. Trey Gowdy
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Jun 27, 2016 19:24
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Zelder posted:Jesus is this 42%undecided? Maine has some of the wealthiest & whitest liberals in the country so I imagine there are some crotchety BorBers that haven't
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Jun 27, 2016 19:24
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Mirthless posted:There was some insane anti-islamic propaganda video that somebody in the US was putting out that year, the trailer had hit for it on youtube that week and there were a lot of protests across the arab world. It was a boneheaded thing for her to say (Really, really boneheaded) but the video in question was pretty offensive, as was the movie it was attached to It wasn't that boneheaded. Like 50 people died in the protests that WERE about that movie. It just probably didn't spur the attacks in Benghazi, as far as I know. https://www.rt.com/news/rally-pakistan-movie-us-297/
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Jun 27, 2016 19:24
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Zelder posted:Jesus is this 42%undecided? I was just about to say something. Is this angry former Bernie supporters or just hatred of both candidates?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:25
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Mirthless posted:There was some insane anti-islamic propaganda video that somebody in the US was putting out that year, the trailer had hit for it on youtube that week and there were a lot of protests across the arab world. It was a boneheaded thing for her to say (Really, really boneheaded) but the video in question was pretty offensive, as was the movie it was attached to it was also what the cia briefed her as the catalyst for the attack- don't know if i'd call it bone-headed
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Jun 27, 2016 19:25
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Reminder that Maine is a bit crazy. See the 1992 results: B. Clinton (D)....38.8% R. Perot (I)....30.4% G.H.W. Bush (R)....30.4% (yes, in third place)
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Jun 27, 2016 19:27
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Defiance posted:It wasn't that boneheaded. Like 50 people died in the protests that WERE about that movie. It just probably didn't spur the attacks in Benghazi, as far as I know. Necc0 posted:it was also what the cia briefed her as the catalyst for the attack- don't know if i'd call it bone-headed Representatives from the white house shouldn't go on record as directly blaming a terrorist attack on somebody exercising their freedom of speech. It was a boneheaded thing for her to say, especially given she was going to be running for president in four years.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:27
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Joementum posted:Donald Trump will be campaigning in Bangor, Maine on Wednesday.  This has to be one of the worst presidential campaigns of all time, holy poo poo. The miniscule campaign staff, the complete lack of fundraising, loving off to Scotland for a week, and now he's campaigning in loving rural Maine? Why would you possibly do that? How does that idea even come up?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:28
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He may be banking on building enough enthusiasm by visiting a state usually ignored by Republicans he can flip it. He's wrong of course. Maine 2 if anything is libertarian, not Republican and for every 1 vote he gets in it he's going to lose 2 in the 1st district which is about as ascot-wearing, wine sipping, summer home having New England as you can get. If he was smart it MIGHT be a good strategy for him to do a bus tour through Northern New England, then to Albany, then to Pennsylvania. He's obviously flying home after his Bangor rally though so lol.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:28
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Where's the variable number tandem repeat length certificate?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:28
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/747496608372228096
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Jun 27, 2016 19:29
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Pook Good Mook posted:He may be banking on building enough enthusiasm by visiting a state usually ignored by Republicans he can flip it. The only state that voted for Obama by a greater margin of victory in 2012 than New York was Vermont (and Wash DC). E: Forgot Hawaii. Well anyway the point is no candidate is gonna be in NY this year unless it's to raise money. exquisite tea fucked around with this message at 19:33 on Jun 27, 2016 |
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Jun 27, 2016 19:31
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Pook Good Mook posted:He may be banking on building enough enthusiasm by visiting a state usually ignored by Republicans he can flip it. I'll guarantee you those polling numbers have more to do with Sanders' popularity in the region than Trump's popularity over Hillary, in any event. There is no way Trump flips Maine, lol, it's really impossible Maine is one of the whitest states in the country, it'd be a bad bet to base anything off Obama's performance there in 2012 considering he lost whites nationwide by 20 points. Obama winning with 53% of the vote should be a pretty clear sign the state is not in play. 6 points is a lot of room to have to make up in a short period of time.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:36
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HAahhahahaha Scott Brown so salty
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Jun 27, 2016 19:37
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Mirthless posted:I'm not going to unskew it but something feels off about those results given Maine's traditional leanings. Is there a trend of polling like this, or is it an outlier? https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2902368/DataTablePresidential.pdf this is the source for that poll and unless I am reading it wrong they put the wrong data on there / mislabeled it clinton's favorability is 28% and trump's is 30% in the 2nd CD the presidential vote polling in 2nd CD is 37% Trump 36% Clinton 23% Other 4% Undecided
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Jun 27, 2016 19:37
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Badger of Basra posted:jesus bqhatevwr
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Jun 27, 2016 19:39
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I hope Hillary makes a serious play in AZ, now that would be a smart move.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:39
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Trouble is lepage won a three way race so that's a lot less predictive.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:40
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Slate Action posted:The last Republican to win Maine was George H.W. Bush, who also won: Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Vermont. (Plus 32 other states) He then lost it in his bid for re-election. It is famously the only state where Ross Perot finished second, relegating Bush to third party status. edit: I was wrong Perot also finished second in Utah.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:40
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mannerup posted:https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2902368/DataTablePresidential.pdf favorability  Figured it was something like that. the 23/4 other/undecided split on the actual election polling is probably overwhelmingly leaning D given Maine's voting history. Trump's dumb and is squandering his money, this shouldn't surprise me but somehow it still does
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Jun 27, 2016 19:41
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Slate Action posted:I hope Hillary makes a serious play in AZ, now that would be a smart move. Yeah, Trump is so vulnerable in some of the GOP stronghold states, winning AZ may be a long shot for her but if she campaigns there she forces him to spend money defending the state, and considering her fundraising advantage and the size of her ground game she can afford to do it. I really hope we start seeing her campaigning in these places.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:44
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Ha. You really can't see why Trump can't win? Did Wasserman care to notice that Maine elects governors on non-Presidential election years? Pook Good Mook fucked around with this message at 19:50 on Jun 27, 2016 |
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Jun 27, 2016 19:45
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mannerup posted:https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2902368/DataTablePresidential.pdf also the moe for that district would be like 6.5%
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Jun 27, 2016 19:46
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HappyHippo posted:even if he's got a chance in that one district is it really worth it to be going after that 1EV? That's not the point. The point is giving a rally where there are people who love him so he can feel loved and say he did rallies and felt like he was #winning.
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Jun 27, 2016 19:46
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Joementum posted:Donald Trump will be campaigning in Bangor, Maine on Wednesday. Bangor, hardly knew' er! But seriously why is Trump spending time in Maine. Shouldn't he be out in like Ohio, Pennsylvania or Florida...?
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Jun 27, 2016 19:47
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