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Grats to everyone riding the swings today must be fun.
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Jul 15, 2016 00:56
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| # ? May 14, 2024 18:29 |
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Made a cool $250 on this one; straight bet, no flips. https://www.predictit.org/Contract/...tion#openoffers
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Jul 15, 2016 04:06
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Come on you fucker
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Jul 15, 2016 14:03
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You ready to lose $100, friend?
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Jul 15, 2016 15:43
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:Come on you fucker 
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Jul 15, 2016 16:00
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Second time I've taken a bath thanks to Trump 
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Jul 15, 2016 16:19
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Mike Pence officially announced as VP nominee. As of this moment there are still 98c shares available. Mike Pence GOP VP.
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Jul 15, 2016 16:42
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platzapS posted:Mike Pence officially announced as VP nominee. As of this moment there are still 98c shares available. Mike Pence GOP VP. Yeah it'll stay at .98 for a while, due to expiration at the end of the convention. What's your point?
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Jul 15, 2016 16:47
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Michael Scott posted:Yeah it'll stay at .98 for a while, due to expiration at the end of the convention. What's your point? Some people like guaranteed small gains!
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Jul 15, 2016 17:34
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It's not guaranteed, if the convention implodes and Trump doesn't get the POTUS nom, Pence doesn't get VPOTUS. Guess I'm being pedantic, though. But that's the reason why it's not at .99.
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Jul 15, 2016 17:47
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Michael Scott posted:It's not guaranteed, if the convention implodes and Trump doesn't get the POTUS nom, Pence doesn't get VPOTUS. Guess I'm being pedantic, though. But that's the reason why it's not at .99. He has to get the Potus nom now, the rules committee wasn't able to do poo poo to stop him. Only chance Pence is not the VPOTUS nom is if he dies.
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Jul 15, 2016 18:34
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:Second time I've taken a bath thanks to Trump https://twitter.com/DanaBashCNN/status/754007849022480384 
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Jul 15, 2016 18:45
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Yeah, I thought $.06 was way underpriced for Trump being Trump
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Jul 15, 2016 18:49
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platzapS posted:Mike Pence officially announced as VP nominee. As of this moment there are still 98c shares available. Mike Pence GOP VP. Easiest money I ever made on this site. (Biden.NO was excruciating even if I did win in the end )
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Jul 15, 2016 20:01
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:Yeah, I thought $.06 was way underpriced for Trump being Trump https://twitter.com/howardfineman/status/753970875242774528
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Jul 15, 2016 21:00
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Trump: Ban Muslims, deport Mexicans Newt: Deport Muslims? Trump: 
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Jul 15, 2016 21:07
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Fuschia tude posted:Easiest money I ever made on this site. (Biden.NO was excruciating even if I did win in the end It wasn't easy unless you have a very high risk tolerance IMHO. Trump himself was wavering on the decision as late as 11:59 on Thursday evening according to multiple sources. How much $ did you take home?
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Jul 15, 2016 21:24
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Michael Scott posted:How much $ did you take home? Stop asking people this
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Jul 15, 2016 21:46
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lol nothing matters
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Jul 15, 2016 21:47
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Given the reports of Trump already trying to get out of the Pence pick, general rules of volatility regarding Trump, and the desire to gently caress over Trump by a not insignificant portion of the RNC delegates, a couple bucks worth of Pence NO shares probably is a pretty defensible lotto ticket.
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Jul 15, 2016 22:29
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Necc0 posted:Stop asking people this Sorry, I didn't mean to be annoying. It's fun to discuss what people bought and sold PredictIt shares for in the PredictIt thread. Michael Scott has issued a correction as of 00:43 on Jul 16, 2016 |
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Jul 16, 2016 00:40
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Necc0 posted:Stop asking people this yeah, i think it's pretty clear that we are taking home all the money. all of us. all of the money
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Jul 16, 2016 00:56
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OAquinas posted:Johnson 8% NO for 7/31 is at 66 at the moment. Unless he gets another pair of 10s during the RNC and DNC this market is done. heh. just posted 13%, average now 8.1%. I picked up some NOs at 30c, but this is a tough bet now I think the conventions will help trump/hillary and drown out johnson, but wow people just really hate those two
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Jul 17, 2016 19:13
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thethreeman posted:heh. just posted 13%, average now 8.1%. I picked up some NOs at 30c, but this is a tough bet now ...We really need a "never bet on polls" smilie. It's still doable, but yeah, a lot tougher now.
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Jul 18, 2016 13:33
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Mike Pence GOP VP YES is down to 97 cents and the market closes at the end of the RNC, if anybody wants a guaranteed 3 cents.
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Jul 18, 2016 16:45
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pathetic little tramp posted:Mike Pence GOP VP YES is down to 97 cents and the market closes at the end of the RNC, if anybody wants a guaranteed 3 cents. 
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Jul 18, 2016 17:46
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Bought some Pence at 96c, why not.
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Jul 18, 2016 17:51
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Lord Hydronium posted:Holding onto my Newt shares in case Trump has a last minute change of mind! It is a shame since he evidently nearly had a change of heart.
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Jul 18, 2016 18:10
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Will Trump address the 2016 Republican National Convention on multiple days? predictit is really bad at making non-ambiguous market rules imo 
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Jul 18, 2016 18:20
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the image in those comments, lol
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Jul 18, 2016 18:46
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Pence trading at 94c. 
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Jul 18, 2016 21:52
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Ted Cruz YES is at 2 cents, hahahaha.
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Jul 18, 2016 22:32
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Haha lost $14 by buying $500 worth of "Will Donald Trump speak twice?" and PredictIt saying that his opening there didn't count. edit: apparently I got played by comments drat EngineerSean has issued a correction as of 03:29 on Jul 19, 2016 |
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Jul 19, 2016 03:26
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EngineerSean posted:Haha lost $14 by buying $500 worth of "Will Donald Trump speak twice?" and PredictIt saying that his opening there didn't count. That moment was hilarious. It was gradually climbing at 93, 94, 95... then he walks up onto stage, says a few words, the price shoots up to 98 then down to 70 within a minute, and now is back up to 92. I have no idea how PredictIt is going to rule on this, since their wording is ambiguous as hell, but it's drat good supplementary entertainment to this convention.
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Jul 19, 2016 03:32
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how on earth is that not an address? and they acknowledged it is pre-planned in the third clarification
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Jul 19, 2016 03:41
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one of my favorite things about predictit is when markets have those weirdly ambiguous rules. it seems like they try and word it to sound as if it's very legal and official, but if you try and unpack the sentences logically the only conclusion a person can come to is that they have no loving idea what they're doing i'm honestly curious about what kind of legitimate academic research can be derived from their behavior in these instances. i have two guesses. one is that they throw out the markets once they realize they didn't specify WTF was going on. the other is that the research they are doing doesn't actually concern the markets at all really. like for example if they are studying the effects of how a prediction market shifting in a certain mathematically-defined way affects the people looking at it, for example depending on their holdings, the thing is that the rules (and clarifications to them) might not actually matter depending on how their hypotheses and methods are defined. i'm not a social scientist but to me it doesn't seem outright unreasonable to model a rules clarification post any different than a development in the news cycle i really do want to read the papers they publish using PI as the source though 
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Jul 19, 2016 03:44
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They just acknowledged that it counts.
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Jul 19, 2016 03:45
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I bought at 93 and sold at 90 so I'm not gonna cry about it.
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Jul 19, 2016 03:47
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I bought at 90 and am selling at 99, but that's about a dollar total profit because I'm a Small Fry playing meaningless games.
Ditocoaf has issued a correction as of 03:55 on Jul 19, 2016 |
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Jul 19, 2016 03:52
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| # ? May 14, 2024 18:29 |
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Been a long road, all. Cheers to whoever made money off this madness and will continue to do so.
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Jul 20, 2016 00:34
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