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Arsenic Lupin posted:Queen's tweet, for the record: I was wondering if this would come up. It happens every loving time with the Republicans.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:02 |
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# ? May 28, 2024 10:28 |
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zoux posted:Because then they'd be accused of bias. It's the same reason they're afraid to use the word "lie". Every goddamn reporter in this country is afraid to use that word because then they get the inevitable follow-up "Are you calling so-and-so a liar", and literally every non-fictional news anchor and mainstream journalist is afraid to go "Yes!"
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:02 |
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thanks, 11-year-old episode of south park
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:02 |
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exquisite tea posted:Obama polled on average 2.5% ahead of Romney up through election night, where he ended up winning by about 4% nationally. On the day of the election, 538 gave Obama about a 90% chance of winning according to their model. Good chances, but if I said that if you had a 10% chance of being struck by lightning when you walked outside today, you'd probably stay indoors. Does Silver's polls plus model account for being unable to get a thread full of goons to Arzy about losing in the face of all contrary evidence? That seems like a pretty reliable indicator.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:03 |
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euphronius posted:Plagerism is an intentional act and it's not know if this was done intentionally.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:03 |
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Why are they so afraid to use the words Radical Slovenian Plagiarism??
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:03 |
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I mean if you can't even troll an SA thread into losing their minds about the Republican winning anymore, Trump really is in trouble.gregday posted:Why are they so afraid to use the words Radical Slovenian Plagiarism?? lol
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:04 |
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Vladimir Putin posted:Because it's just a couple of sentences. The bigger story is that it appears to have been taken form their mortal enemy. Honestly the biggest story to me is she couldn't come up with anything personal to say about her husband. It comes off like she barely knows him.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:04 |
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So far, Hillary has run a quietly competent campaign. I mean, her worst screwup in the last month (I'm not counting the email thing because that wasn't an unforced error) was probably the dumb Pokemon Go joke.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:04 |
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exquisite tea posted:If you say so. You're telling me what very well might happen due to voter demographics, but I'm just looking at the national polling trends in comparison to a state's Democratic or Republican lean, and I'm saying that in a scenario where it's 50/50 on election night, like it is right now, it's well within Trump's power to grab all of Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio for 273 EVs. Clinton could win every other swing state in contention right now, and it wouldn't matter. In fact if I were running Trump's campaign I would bet everything on that exact electoral map. Maybe this will change once the conventions are over, the polling picks up and all firms switch over to an LV model. But all metrics indicate that this is a tight race, at least as tight as it was in 2012, and I had more confidence in Obama's operation then to turn out votes. Trump doesn't ever have to get above 45% of the national vote, he just has to get more people than Hillary Clinton, who has favorability troubles of her own. Florida's population is 55% White, and 17% Black - if Trump wins with that demographic makeup, he will have won by a lot more than 273 EVs.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:04 |
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https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/755417290821230593
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:04 |
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Okay I couldn't catch up with thousands of posts. Is there anything I should absolutely know about from last night?
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:04 |
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WampaLord posted:You understand that 2012 wasn't a tight race at all, right? It wasn't the massive blowout that goons were predicting. Weird.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:05 |
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Xandu posted:Honestly the biggest story to me is she couldn't come up with anything personal to say about her husband. It comes off like she barely knows him. Or she didn't have anything personal to say that is unequivocally positive. Bryter posted:It wasn't the massive blowout that goons were predicting. Weird. Lol it was a 160 EV victory. And goons were predicting a Romney win, naturally.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:05 |
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exquisite tea posted:Obama polled on average 2.5% ahead of Romney up through election night, where he ended up winning by about 4% nationally. On the day of the election, 538 gave Obama about a 90% chance of winning according to their model. Good chances, but if I said that if you had a 10% chance of being struck by lightning when you walked outside today, you'd probably stay indoors. It's "possible" but it isn't likely at all. Ok. If Clinton keeps her professional, pos Samurai Sanders posted:How could it not have been intentional? I mean, maybe whoever wrote it just Googled "first lady speech" but even if they didn't know it was Michelle's they would still know it was ripped off, because they ripped it off. That's a reasonable inference but news agencies don't like making those inferences when less negative language reports the news. Unless it's Hillary and then all inferences are allowed.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:05 |
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Alter Ego posted:So far, Hillary has run a quietly competent campaign. I mean, her worst screwup in the last month (I'm not counting the email thing because that wasn't an unforced error) was probably the dumb Pokemon Go joke. peggy hill stuff like that is actually endearing to a lot of people
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:05 |
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euphronius posted:Plagerism is an intentional act and it's not know if this was done intentionally. Nah I disagree. Seems like the defnition of plagiarism differs based on who you talk to, but I am not sure if intent is part of the definition for most people. gregday posted:Why are they so afraid to use the words Radical Slovenian Plagiarism?? I like you
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:06 |
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gregday posted:Why are they so afraid to use the words Radical Slovenian Plagiarism??
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:06 |
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Bryter posted:It wasn't the massive blowout that goons were predicting. Weird. I don't recall anyone predicting a massive blowout, but a 100+ EV victory is a pretty robust victory, so
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:06 |
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Is there no Student Honor Council who can tell us if this is plagiarism or not?
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:06 |
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Bryter posted:It wasn't the massive blowout that goons were predicting. Weird. Pretty sure almost all goons just copy-pasted what 538 said, which was mostly right.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:07 |
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TheTatteredKing posted:Okay I couldn't catch up with thousands of posts. Is there anything I should absolutely know about from last night? chaos reigns
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:07 |
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Louisgod posted:I was wondering if this would come up. It happens every loving time with the Republicans. Laws don't apply if it's something I want!
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:08 |
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Michael Scott posted:Nah I disagree. Seems like the defnition of plagiarism differs based on who you talk to, but I am not sure if intent is part of the definition for most people. If the academic definition is anything to go by, no, intent is irrelevant. I expect any spokespeople from the DNC to go full Matt Santos on this issue--anyone that gets asked for it will immediately pivot the answer to a different issue. It's too hard for an opposing party to frame it without seeming like they're attacking Melania Trump, who is fast coming off as the more sympathetic figure here. Fritz Coldcockin fucked around with this message at 16:10 on Jul 19, 2016 |
# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:08 |
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Alter Ego posted:If the academic definition is anything to go by, no, intent is irrelevant. Yeah that's what I remember from my schoolin' days
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:09 |
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Obama blew out Romney in the popular election too. He had like 5 million more votes.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:09 |
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TheTatteredKing posted:Okay I couldn't catch up with thousands of posts. Is there anything I should absolutely know about from last night? A good tl;dr got linked a few pages back:
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:10 |
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Dr.Zeppelin posted:a reminder that we're living in the best timeline Newt isn't Trump's Running Mate, sonwe are in a middling timeline at best.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:10 |
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Alter Ego posted:Problem is that if even if it is similar to that map, the theme for the next few weeks will be "Why did Hillary only get X amount of EVs? Trump must not have been conservative enough!" Vitiligo is a hell of a thing
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:10 |
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https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/755416451163521024
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:10 |
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TheTatteredKing posted:Okay I couldn't catch up with thousands of posts. Is there anything I should absolutely know about from last night? (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST) Somebody fucked around with this message at 19:05 on Jul 19, 2016 |
# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:10 |
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zoux posted:Is there no Student Honor Council who can tell us if this is plagiarism or not?
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:11 |
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https://twitter.com/HowardKurtz/status/755419253700907009 Yeah whoever that was!
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:11 |
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Takoluka posted:Laws don't apply if it's something I want! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfLD-7bCtME
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:11 |
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euphronius posted:Plagerism is an intentional act and it's not know if this was done intentionally. Yeah, it' probably a coincidence that she expressed the same sentiments as Michelle Obama, using the same words, in the same order.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:11 |
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Samurai Sanders posted:Plagiarism is also unacceptable in a professional context. who said it wasnt
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:11 |
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plot twist, Trump wrote the speech
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:11 |
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zoux posted:Is there no Student Honor Council who can tell us if this is plagiarism or not? Having been in all stages of academia there's a difference between a student who was lazy a didn't want to do the work and copy and pasted a term paper vs a couple of sentences in a 200 page thesis that are ultimately inconsequential. In the latter case technically it is plagiarism but there's only a limited number of ways you can say something so most likely the PhD won't be revoked.
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:12 |
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zoux posted:who said it wasnt
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:12 |
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# ? May 28, 2024 10:28 |
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/HowardKurtz/status/755419253700907009 I'm guessing he had the biggest poo poo-eating Cheshire Cat grin on his face while he said this?
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# ? Jul 19, 2016 16:12 |