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triple sulk posted:she should insinuate that his hands are too small or something and have him freak out and call her a dumb bitch on national television When they shake hands before the debate, she should look down and say "wow, they really are tiny"
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Jul 31, 2016 19:10
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A GIANT PARSNIP posted:on the other hand they're a bunch of politicians who don't want to lose their seats in November there is a zero percent chance paul ryan or most of the house GOP caucus loses their seats, same with any senators not up for re-election
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Jul 31, 2016 19:10
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My maximum irony scenario is that the FSB hacks voting machines for a Donald win, but its lead by computer guys and intel folks who know more about NATO force deployment capabilities than American politics. Hillary takes OH and PA, trump wins by taking California and New York. Hilariousness and or nukes ensue.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:10
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DrPlump posted:Trump will schedule 2 additional debates not authorized by the debate commission. In the lead up to these debates he will leak dubious internal polling numbers showing Johnson at over 15%. He will then include the Johnson in his debates even if the debate commission does not agree to do the same. If Hillary does not attend these debates Gary and Donald will debate and empty chair just like Ronald Reagan hero of our democracy once did. and Alex Jones will be the moderator of said debates
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Jul 31, 2016 19:12
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Can someone please explain to me why the #1 weighted national poll on 538's tracker is a Quinnipiac poll from five weeks ago.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:13
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Good article about what's going on in Missouri and how Ferguson has basically left white Republicans there frothing mad about how the police didn't use enough force. http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/07/2016-missouri-ferguson-gubernatorial-election-racism-214127
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Jul 31, 2016 19:14
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Slate Action posted:everything is fine I like people who weren't killed.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:15
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Slate Action posted:Can someone please explain to me why the #1 weighted national poll on 538's tracker is a Quinnipiac poll from five weeks ago. I have a theory that Nate Silver is going to make this election look much closer than it really is to generate hype and click revenue. I have no evidence for this, I feel it is true, and that's all I need during this election.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:15
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Like, I get that 538 sorts polls by rigor and sample size and not simply by date. But a five week old Quinnipiac is still the best one? Bull loving poo poo.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:19
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Slate Action posted:Can someone please explain to me why the #1 weighted national poll on 538's tracker is a Quinnipiac poll from five weeks ago. Nate Silver's mind and hairline have been broken.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:19
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Mokelumne Trekka posted:I have a theory that Nate Silver is going to make this election look much closer than it really is to generate hype and click revenue. I have no evidence for this, I feel it is true, and that's all I need during this election. A lot of people have been saying that. Upshot, which has 7 different prediction sites listed has 5 saying Hillary and two saying tossup. Guess which is one of the two (the other is Roth, which uses seven ratings instead of five)!
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Jul 31, 2016 19:21
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpYegSmJO2w
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Jul 31, 2016 19:22
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Mokelumne Trekka posted:I have a theory that Nate Silver is going to make this election look much closer than it really is to generate hype and click revenue. I have no evidence for this, I feel it is true, and that's all I need during this election. You do have evidence, part of the model this year is a significant bump to Trump's overall numbers partly because Nate Silver is shook as gently caress from completely airballing the GOP primary, partly because Hillary landslide doesn't get as many Arzying f5 page views from either side's supporters
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Jul 31, 2016 19:23
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This is one of the most disqualifying things I can imagine - he has no idea that Russia already invaded Ukraine, he says he guarantees they won't do it??
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Jul 31, 2016 19:23
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Slate Action posted:Like, I get that 538 sorts polls by rigor and sample size and not simply by date. But a five week old Quinnipiac is still the best one? Bull loving poo poo. Their method breaks down a bit with the current situation of so few state polls. Every single poll swings the whole state extremely in the model, something they try to smooth out with the polls-plus model (the "unskew" one, that puts economic situation, demographics and other assumption into the calculation). I hope we see more polls now that the conventions are over.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:25
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thethreeman posted:This is one of the most disqualifying things I can imagine - he has no idea that Russia already invaded Ukraine, he says he guarantees they won't do it?? In the Berenstein Bears timeline something else came up and Putin's attention was elsewhere, so they didn't take Crimea yet. When our Trump collapses from diet pill exhaustion, Manafort brings Trump-Prime through the rift to fill in for interviews and such, but there's the occasional thing like this where the details get hazy.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:26
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thethreeman posted:This is one of the most disqualifying things I can imagine - he has no idea that Russia already invaded Ukraine, he says he guarantees they won't do it?? Do you think that Trump could even locate Donbas on a map let alone know that there has been an ongoing Russian backed war going on there for two years?
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Jul 31, 2016 19:27
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crazy cloud posted:In the Berenstein Bears timeline something else came up and Putin's attention was elsewhere, so they didn't take Crimea yet. When our Trump collapses from diet pill exhaustion, Manafort brings Trump-Prime through the rift to fill in for interviews and such, but there's the occasional thing like this where the details get hazy. edit: nevermind I JUST GOT THE JOKE WOOSH
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Jul 31, 2016 19:27
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I expect Hillary to do extremely well with the electoral map and win, with it being extremely close in popularity votes. The one million or so majority votes in Hillary's favor will certainly be the illegal Mexicans and perhaps an ISIS member or two infiltrating the polls and ruining America.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:28
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I still can't get over Reince giving Trump a blank cheque endorsement from the RNC on all current and future opinions. https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/759805641510846465
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Jul 31, 2016 19:28
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Piquai Souban posted:I still can't get over Reince giving Trump a blank cheque endorsement on all current and future opinions. it's also the most hilariously lackluster endorsement ever. like oh yeah we're obligated to agree, so we agree
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Jul 31, 2016 19:29
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I get that Trump is better off in a multiple party debate, but would having only Johnson really benefit him? Feel like Johnson will pull votes equally from Clinton and Trump in the absolutely best-case scenario for Trump,.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:30
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etalian posted:Yeah it boils down to FL, OH, PA, NH and NC. Slate Action posted:PA is not a coin flip state.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:30
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By the end of the week we'll be drowning in gotcha journalism deflections re: the Ukraine thing
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Jul 31, 2016 19:30
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Dogstoyevsky posted:Who is standing in for Trump during Hillary's debate prep? I desperately wish to know. Biden? Just call in someone's uncle, get him loaded and let him fly
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Jul 31, 2016 19:31
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Dogstoyevsky posted:Who is standing in for Trump during Hillary's debate prep? I desperately wish to know. Biden? i volunteer my dad
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Jul 31, 2016 19:32
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nachos posted:By the end of the week we'll be drowning in gotcha journalism deflections re: the Ukraine thing I don't think so. Republicans are so loving dumb that none of this matters. Taking away gay and women's rights Trumps any ridiculous thing this dumb rear end says. If I were a Republican I have no idea what I would do other then kill myself. Snowmankilla fucked around with this message at 19:35 on Jul 31, 2016 |
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Jul 31, 2016 19:33
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Trump needs to have Jeb! on stage as a whipping boy to get any traction In a debate.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:33
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crazy cloud posted:In the Berenstein Bears timeline something else came up and Putin's attention was elsewhere, so they didn't take Crimea yet. When our Trump collapses from diet pill exhaustion, Manafort brings Trump-Prime through the rift to fill in for interviews and such, but there's the occasional thing like this where the details get hazy. (((berenstein)))
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Jul 31, 2016 19:35
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fade5 posted:Yep, the problem is that if Colorado, Virginia, and Pennsylvania aren't swing states anymore, then Hillary starts at 270+ as a baseline, before Ohio/Florida even enter into the equation. That makes for a boring horse-race, because it's not a horse-race anymore. I've been wondering what happens if, in a couple/few cycles, it becomes clear that the D baseline is >270. Like, so abundantly clear, that you can't sell horserace narrative with a straight face. Increased coverage of the D primaries, like in the mayoral races of one-party cities? A shift to horserace congressional coverage?
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Jul 31, 2016 19:37
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Dr.Zeppelin posted:(((berenstein))) (((berenstain)))
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Jul 31, 2016 19:37
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Piquai Souban posted:I still can't get over Reince giving Trump a blank cheque endorsement from the RNC on all current and future opinions. Well when the other option is responding daily to whatever dumb poo poo trump just said I can't blame a man for just giving up and creating a form letter response.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:38
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Despite the Tweet, it's not really a rebuke, more of a "The Khans* are great. What Republican nominee?" https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/759817418466291712 * (or 'Kahns' as McConnell calls them at one point in his statement) Slate Action fucked around with this message at 19:44 on Jul 31, 2016 |
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Jul 31, 2016 19:41
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Squizzle posted:I've been wondering what happens if, in a couple/few cycles, it becomes clear that the D baseline is >270. Like, so abundantly clear, that you can't sell horserace narrative with a straight face. Increased coverage of the D primaries, like in the mayoral races of one-party cities? A shift to horserace congressional coverage? If the Republicans unfuck themselves and dump the Trump base to bring back neocons and such then they could get competitive again. If they double down on the retard and nominate Cruz in 2020 yeah they are hosed.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:47
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Venom Snake posted:If the Republicans unfuck themselves and dump the Trump base to bring back neocons and such then they could get competitive again. If they double down on the retard and nominate Cruz in 2020 yeah they are hosed. after trump 2016 and cruz 2020 the rnc would figure out how to rig the nomination process to get someone more palatable to hispanics and moderates nominated
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Jul 31, 2016 19:49
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Slate Action posted:Despite the Tweet, it's not really a rebuke, more of a "The Khans* are great. What Republican nominee?" Nothing says 'respect' like not being able to spell the name of the people you're talking about e: damnit just saw your edit but yeah..
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Jul 31, 2016 19:50
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fade5 posted:Yep, the problem is that if Colorado, Virginia, and Pennsylvania aren't swing states anymore, then Hillary starts at 270+ as a baseline, before Ohio/Florida even enter into the equation. That makes for a boring horse-race, because it's not a horse-race anymore. Not if NH goes red due to a 3rd party vote split. Also the tie chaos possibility depends on being able sweep a majority of battleground states.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:51
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the talent deficit posted:after trump 2016 and cruz 2020 the rnc would figure out how to rig the nomination process to get someone more palatable to hispanics and moderates nominated WELL DWS IS AVAILABLE HAHA
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Jul 31, 2016 19:52
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Venom Snake posted:If the Republicans unfuck themselves and dump the Trump base to bring back neocons and such then they could get competitive again. If they double down on the retard and nominate Cruz in 2020 yeah they are hosed. i don't think the neocon base is larger than the trumpist base?
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Jul 31, 2016 19:53
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| # ? May 26, 2024 17:39 |
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Calling for NBC/WSJ today! Four surveys in the past 1.5 hours. Survey #1: Retired Woman from Ohio, on the fence between Trump and Clinton. Big fan of Rob Portman and other "socially moderate" Republicans. Upset about Trump's anti-Muslim rhetoric and the fact he may refuse to debate Clinton, who she thinks is much smarter, but less trustworthy than Trump. Survey #2: Alt-right Man in his 40s from Pennsylvania. Ranted about Globalists and Jews for most of the survey. Unmarried and unemployed. Survey #3: Nice old white lady from Georgia. Excited to vote for Hillary. Thinks Trump is "a nasty, nasty man." Registered Republican who is a fan of Paul Ryan AND Barack Obama. Survey #4: Spiteful middle aged housewife, also from Ohio. Hates Hillary with a passion. Wanted Cruz, but is settling for Trump. Wants "homosexuals and other deviants" to be put in mental hospitals. Bizarrely fixated on Melania Trump.
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Jul 31, 2016 19:53
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