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fishmech posted:Go all in on Hillary Wins Georgia. lol
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Jul 29, 2016 22:18
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Somehow still trading at 23c, a good bet if you ask me forums user a cop.
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Jul 29, 2016 22:23
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FourLeaf posted:I thought you were back in the game? What happened? Lost it all betting on polls.......
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Jul 29, 2016 23:00
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a cop posted:Lost it all betting on polls....... Bad, a cop!!! Bad!!!
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Jul 29, 2016 23:02
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a cop posted:Lost it all betting on polls....... Please put this in the OP.
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Jul 29, 2016 23:18
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29.8m viewers, really??? gently caress OFF!!!
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Jul 29, 2016 23:40
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That .2 was a real big difference for me, crazy that it was so close
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Jul 29, 2016 23:55
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Vox Nihili posted:29.8m viewers, really??? gently caress OFF!!! Lmao God drat
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Jul 29, 2016 23:59
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Vox Nihili posted:29.8m viewers, really??? gently caress OFF!!! PRAISE JESUS
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Jul 30, 2016 00:03
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ahhh gently caress I thought everyone was gonna watch this "historical" nomination speech, especially given the amount of "this is my fight song" estrogen thats been pumping through my facebook feed this week. and she comes in way lower than trump. jesus christ.
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Jul 30, 2016 00:31
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Same. I only put  on a high one though, cause in the end it's still hillary speaking
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Jul 30, 2016 00:41
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Yeah, super glad I bought in on Hillary having less viewers when it was cheaper - she was on 2 fewer stations and on top of that everyone knows what Clinton's going to say. People tuned in to Trump to see if he'd take a big dump on the stage and say "You're still votin for me!" Surprised it came so close though. She probably would have easily beat him if they had as many stations.
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Jul 30, 2016 00:51
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Baddog posted:ahhh gently caress I thought everyone was gonna watch this "historical" nomination speech, especially given the amount of "this is my fight song" estrogen thats been pumping through my facebook feed this week. *click*
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Jul 30, 2016 01:27
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I called B5 early on, but then the DNC posted 25m each night. So I exited at a loss and took a "safe" position. Goddamn, I say, goddamn.
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Jul 30, 2016 03:12
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Some Trumpling took $600 right out of my pocket. I am utterly undone.
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Jul 30, 2016 03:13
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Why is DWS winning her primary only on 75 right now?
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Jul 30, 2016 16:03
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Nirvikalpa posted:Why is DWS winning her primary only on 75 right now? People are reacting to the considerably bad press she's been getting. I think it's a fair drop since she's become a personal target for bernouts country-wide which is unusual notoriety for someone in the house.
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Jul 30, 2016 16:09
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Necc0 posted:People are reacting to the considerably bad press she's been getting. I think it's a fair drop since she's become a personal target for bernouts country-wide which is unusual notoriety for someone in the house. Yeah, her opponent is ridiculously well-funded for a House run (esp a primary run at that). She's still the massively popular incumbent though.
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Jul 30, 2016 21:58
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Why does Trump have to say something dumb every day. How am I supposed to pick up Hilary share for cheap?
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Jul 30, 2016 23:03
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whatever7 posted:Why does Trump have to say something dumb every day. How am I supposed to pick up Hilary share for cheap? You could take this as an opportunity to get cheap Hillary NO's that you can sell when the price is where you want to buy Hillary YES's.
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Jul 31, 2016 01:46
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EngineerSean posted:You could take this as an opportunity to get cheap Hillary NO's that you can sell when the price is where you want to buy Hillary YES's. Hillary is going to have to really gently caress up to get to a worse place than she was prior to the DNC. Best hope is that Trump succeeds in pulling a Romney in the first debate.
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Jul 31, 2016 03:54
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Gyges posted:Hillary is going to have to really gently caress up to get to a worse place than she was prior to the DNC. Best hope is that Trump succeeds in pulling a Romney in the first debate. Look, you either a) Think the price will never go down again - Buy YES today, hold til election day. b) Think the price will go down to a price that you like in the future - Buy NO today, sell when the price gets to the price that you like, buy YES then.
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Jul 31, 2016 07:13
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Baddog posted:ahhh gently caress I thought everyone was gonna watch this "historical" nomination speech, especially given the amount of "this is my fight song" estrogen thats been pumping through my facebook feed this week. Clinton supporters are more likely to be young cord-cutters. Trump supporters are the people who help make NCIS the most-watched drama on network television. If they ever made a market on the number of times the Clinton balloon meme gets shared compared to some Trump meme, that would be a contest.
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Aug 1, 2016 03:15
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I ended up sitting out this week of TvC polls (except for a $6 lottery ticket that I turned into $1 lol) but I think the gap between TvC is going to widen next week and that C+4 or C+5 will be pretty decent bets, depending on the price you can get for them.
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Aug 1, 2016 14:45
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Here's an interesting market https://www.predictit.org/Contract/570/Will-President-Obama-transfer-or-release-all-Gitmo-detainees-before-leaving-office#data I bought a couple of shares of NO at 87
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Aug 1, 2016 15:21
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Interesting, but a long time to wait for a 10% payoff (unless he summarily closes it next week without congress ~somehow~). Market wouldn't close until late January, theoretically. Better to bet on VA going Dem--81c YES at the moment.
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Aug 1, 2016 15:30
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Nirvikalpa posted:Here's an interesting market Managed to grab a bunch of these in the low 60s and sold at 91 a while ago. It's a pretty safe bet if you're willing to hold on to it for the rest of his term.
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Aug 1, 2016 16:50
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in terms of safe bets, Minnesota dem yes can still be had in the low 80s.
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Aug 1, 2016 16:51
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How did dws resigning by end of july resolve? I still dont see any sort of formal resignation, just "after the convention". Any way to look up resolved contracts if you weren't involved in them?
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Aug 1, 2016 18:17
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Baddog posted:How did dws resigning by end of july resolve? I still dont see any sort of formal resignation, just "after the convention". You can't search for them but this link should work https://www.predictit.org/Contract/3017/Will-Debbie-Wasserman-Schultz-remain-DNC-chair-through-July#data
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Aug 1, 2016 18:43
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Just pop the topic into google and you can find old contracts Donna Brazile took over on Friday, and the contract resolved "no."
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Aug 1, 2016 19:18
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G-Hawk posted:in terms of safe bets, Minnesota dem yes can still be had in the low 80s. Awesome find, thanks!
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Aug 1, 2016 19:18
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If you're betting value bets out to the general election, just put it all here on "NO": https://www.predictit.org/Contract/612/Will-the-Democratic-presidential-nominee-win-at-least-370-electoral-votes-in-2016#data 370 Electoral votes is a LOT. It's not going to happen. For further evidence see here: https://www.predictit.org/Market/2336/How-many-Electoral-College-votes-will-be-cast-for-the-winner-of-the-2016-presidential-election combined odds this thing is a landslide: < 20 and I think that's generous. I'm hunting for bets that payoff before then though. SHINEBLOCKA has issued a correction as of 20:21 on Aug 1, 2016 |
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Aug 1, 2016 20:17
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SHINEBLOCKA posted:If you're betting value bets out to the general election, just put it all here on "NO": https://www.predictit.org/Contract/612/Will-the-Democratic-presidential-nominee-win-at-least-370-electoral-votes-in-2016#data Yeah, she would have to win all of the traditional swing states, plus probably... NC, Georgia, and Arizona? Maybe Indiana like Obama did in 2008 instead of one of those? Even if things get out of hand that seems extraordinarily unlikely.
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Aug 1, 2016 20:28
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SHINEBLOCKA posted:If you're betting value bets out to the general election, just put it all here on "NO": https://www.predictit.org/Contract/612/Will-the-Democratic-presidential-nominee-win-at-least-370-electoral-votes-in-2016#data You can still buy DWS winning her primary for less than 80 cents. Florida primaries are August 30th.
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Aug 1, 2016 21:49
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Gyges posted:You can still buy DWS winning her primary for less than 80 cents. Florida primaries are August 30th. already maxed that one out a week ago
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Aug 2, 2016 01:18
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Paul Ryan's primary market collapsed today when Trump tweeted about his opponent, Paul Nehlen: https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2634/Will-Paul-Ryan-win-the-Republican-primary-in-Wisconsin's-1st-Congressional-District#data prices still around 90c, and the vote apparently happens in 8 days
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Aug 2, 2016 01:52
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how long does an ACH withdrawal usually take to go through?
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Aug 2, 2016 07:46
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Gyges posted:You can still buy DWS winning her primary for less than 80 cents. Florida primaries are August 30th. http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/tim-canovas-poll-shows-he-is-eight-points-behind-debbie-wasserman-schultz/2287632 quote:Tim Canova's poll shows he is eight points behind Debbie Wasserman Schultz
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Aug 2, 2016 08:16
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Bullfrog posted:how long does an ACH withdrawal usually take to go through? It shouldn't take more than 5 days, more typically its under 3 days.
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Aug 2, 2016 15:37
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