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lol if he skips the debates, Hillary wins Texas, Missouri, Mississippi, and probably Montana. Then Kentucky becomes razor thin on election night.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:00
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Schnorkles posted:I'm not 100% in agreement with this anymore. State level polling is a little too strong. We're probably heading for something more in the 6 range. I'm sticking to my guns for now. Nearly all the polls still reflect the week immediately following the convention. If the numbers are the same in 2-3 weeks I will change my mind.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:01
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Chances we start seeing polls soon with the question "If Trump does not do the debates, how does this change your support of him" ? Someone tweet at PPP to get on this.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:01
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Regardless of the outcome I'm dying for the tell-all book about the chatter and atmosphere inside the Clinton campaign at this stage in the race.Eonwe posted:so the Evan McMullin thing is happening for real? He is gonna play GOP spoiler? This owns. He needs to get on the ballot somewhere that matters and even then I'll be shocked if he gets more votes than Jill Stein.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:01
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Zeroisanumber posted:Must make some sort of sense in Trumpland, but why someone who's down in the polls would skip the debates is way beyond me. Because he would be eaten alive. No matter how down he is, there's space to fall.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:01
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Zeroisanumber posted:Must make some sort of sense in Trumpland, but why someone who's down in the polls would skip the debates is way beyond me. because hes a perpetually owned little punkass coward
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Aug 9, 2016 17:01
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Eonwe posted:if he doesn't debate, I imagine they'll still have Hillary on, and maybe she would just turbodunk on Trump the whole time. I can't imagine they'd cancel them, even if its just Hillary get the trump impersonator dude to fill in for him
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Aug 9, 2016 17:02
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 SHOCK POLL TRUMP WINS ALL 50 STATES! Source: Google Trends Election Polling
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Aug 9, 2016 17:02
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http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/harry-sloan-endorses-clinton-226815quote:Sloan, who serves on the board of trustees of the McCain Institute, a think tank founded by Arizona Sen. John McCain, adds that “if we had a different Republican presidential candidate this year, I would likely be proudly supporting them." nelsonhaha.gif
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Aug 9, 2016 17:02
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Uh oh! Assange is literally working with the Trump campaign lmao.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:02
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Slate Action posted:I'm sticking to my guns for now. Nearly all the polls still reflect the week immediately following the convention. If the numbers are the same in 2-3 weeks I will change my mind to reflect this new evidence. Really shouldn't take polling with too much of a grain of salt until after Labor Day anyways, I'm more just saying that there's no state level polling to indicate a tightening race right now. The only tightening is two weekly trackers, the rest continue to remain the same or move even further towards Clinton.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:03
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zoux posted:Uh oh! roger stone is not known for his truthfulness
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Aug 9, 2016 17:03
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you blockhead
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Aug 9, 2016 17:04
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zoux posted:Uh oh! im totally shocked that the two biggest bullshit artists of the year are collaborating
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Aug 9, 2016 17:04
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mannerup posted:mcmullin has a campaign adviser on cnn now Holy poo poo. loving love me some Rick Wilson https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bqlHkJQbIlM
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Aug 9, 2016 17:04
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zoux posted:Uh oh! a trump campaign is collaborating with a pedophile i am shocked
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Aug 9, 2016 17:04
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 WAKE UP SHEEPLE! #WOKE 
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Aug 9, 2016 17:05
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Roger Stone is the political version of that kid with the Nintendo uncle
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Aug 9, 2016 17:04
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Schnorkles posted:Really shouldn't take polling with too much of a grain of salt until after Labor Day anyways, I'm more just saying that there's no state level polling to indicate a tightening race right now. The only tightening is two weekly trackers, the rest continue to remain the same or move even further towards Clinton. The main thing that makes me think Trump will lose isn't the polls but rather the vast difference in campaign infrastructure. Trump says he doesn't need that stuff until Labor Day and I'm 98% sure he's wrong.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:06
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paranoid randroid posted:Roger Stone is the political version of that kid with the Nintendo uncle So you're saying that this MK nude code he gave me is bullshit?!
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Aug 9, 2016 17:05
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zoux posted:Uh oh! If Assange had poo poo he'd have dropped it already to knock Hillary off her stride. This is just Stone bullshitting.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:06
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Zeroisanumber posted:If Assange had poo poo he'd have dropped it already to knock Hillary off her stride. This is just Stone bullshitting. Oh? https://twitter.com/jjmacnab/status/762386358614622209?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Aug 9, 2016 17:07
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Slate Action posted:The main thing that makes me think Trump will lose isn't the polls but rather the vast difference in campaign infrastructure. Trump says he doesn't need that stuff until Labor Day and I'm 98% sure he's wrong. I made a note of this in the Nate Silver thread, but the state of republican infrastructure in this election is shocking. If ground game does anything, it will be very obvious on November 8th in the results.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:08
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There's a good series of tweets (more to come, likely) from Maggie Habberman at the NYtimes: https://twitter.com/maggieNYT https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/763041660121088000 https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/763042472473788416
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Aug 9, 2016 17:09
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Schnorkles posted:I made a note of this in the Nate Silver thread, but the state of republican infrastructure in this election is shocking. If ground game does anything, it will be very obvious on November 8th in the results. I can sort of see the argument that Trump's unlimited free media makes up for not running ads, but I just can't believe that "having zero ground game" falls under Nothing Matters. We'll see.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:09
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Posted that in the Hillary thread, conclusion was that the 4chan thread was posted on Friday, and nothing came out of it. Assange is stunting again like he said he had something for her acceptance speech. In other news: https://twitter.com/Acosta/status/763043690155737088
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Aug 9, 2016 17:09
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iospace posted:Posted that in the Hillary thread, conclusion was that the 4chan thread was posted on Friday, and nothing came out of it. Assange is stunting again like he said he had something for her acceptance speech. The conclusion should have been instant upon reading "anonymous on 4chan says"
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Aug 9, 2016 17:10
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JHomer722 posted:Re: Mormon chat. Why do you guys think they're generally still #nevertrump, but evangelicals have embraced him? I mean, besides evangelicals' complete moral vacuity. Mormons tend to be almost absurdly pious, and Donald Trump is basically a greed and hatred avatar. Mormonism is a pretty hardcore faith with a history of persecution and serious outreach in the Third World (there's a pretty large Pacific Islander community in Utah mostly due to huge Mormon outreach in Samoa etc, for example). Trump is a xenophobe who wants to cut off large segments of humanity from entering the United States.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:10
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Aug 9, 2016 17:12
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DrPlump posted:
dirty brown kid as the lib in this is a nice touch by a notracist
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Aug 9, 2016 17:12
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i can't beleive huma is leaking her private videos with hillary clinton
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Aug 9, 2016 17:12
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" Bexter Dmitry who also wrote "Putin: Russia Is Ready To Show Proof That 9/11 Was An Inside Job"" Odd that such a scoop would go unremarked upon by the Journalism Awards Community.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:13
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Boosted buy the card.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:13
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Patter Song posted:Mormons tend to be almost absurdly pious, and Donald Trump is basically a greed and hatred avatar. Mormonism is a pretty hardcore faith with a history of persecution and serious outreach in the Third World (there's a pretty large Pacific Islander community in Utah mostly due to huge Mormon outreach in Samoa etc, for example). Trump is a xenophobe who wants to cut off large segments of humanity from entering the United States. The leaders of the mormon church have explicitly and unequivocally stated that accepting refugees and making them feel welcome and loved is not just "a good thing to do" but that it is required by doctrine and failing to do so is against the tenets of the church. This has... caused some palpitations. But yes, generally the mormon's sense of persecution and work with the third world [and the fact that the source of the growth in a very centralized religion is completely in SA and the Pacific Islands] requires them to take a very non-bigoted view of things. They're still white bread as all hell though. Mitt Romney is basically mormon stake president incarnate, they all look like him and have the same opinions.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:13
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triple sulk posted:Clinton winning Texas is real and people need to start accepting it come up to dnd and help us poll texas
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Aug 9, 2016 17:14
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Pretty sure he's lying, but stillquote:QUESTIONER: With regard to the October surprise, what would be your forecast on that given what Julian Assange has intimated he's going to do? https://mediamatters.org/video/2016/08/09/roger-stone-confirms-hes-communication-julian-assange/212261 edit: oops, beaten
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Aug 9, 2016 17:15
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Slate Action posted:I can sort of see the argument that Trump's unlimited free media makes up for not running ads, but I just can't believe that "having zero ground game" falls under Nothing Matters. We'll see. The more interesting thing, imo, will be what the state of the RNC and presidential campaign does to associated state parties [and, in conjunction] reps and senators. There's a lot of feedback there, and the state of the ground level infrastructure being so bad means that most reps will be flying blind and even senators will have limited GOTV efforts. There's a chance for a serious disaster.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:16
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Slate Action posted:I can sort of see the argument that Trump's unlimited free media makes up for not running ads, but I just can't believe that "having zero ground game" falls under Nothing Matters. We'll see. If Trump actually wins or makes it close with no ground game, no ad buys and no org to speak of: American presidential elections are hosed forever.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:17
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I called the Trump PA HQ number listed on the campaign website-- still no one home. Voicemail still not set up. I submitted my information (again) with the checkmark next to 'I want to volunteer' so we'll see what happens. I gave my personal information to the Ohio and Iowa Trump campaigns with the box checked for 'I want to volunteer' 2 weeks ago and haven't heard anything.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:17
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fart blood posted:Who the gently caress has heard Trump at all recently and thought "ah, that's better"? He hasn't shat the bed in like three days and people are forgetting exactly how bad he was a week ago. Plus some people are probably getting acclimated to how bad he is. Tribalism is a crazy powerful force.
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Aug 9, 2016 17:18
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