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fatherboxx posted:https://twitter.com/538politics/status/780396485007605760
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Sep 26, 2016 14:42
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fatherboxx posted:https://twitter.com/538politics/status/780396485007605760
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Sep 26, 2016 14:43
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fatherboxx posted:the buttplug is complete
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Sep 26, 2016 14:42
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https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/780399008023977984
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Sep 26, 2016 14:44
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Grey Fox posted:Needs some structural support in the middle or else you're going on a fishing expedition, friend. it has a handle though unless it's a two-stage buttplug which sounds dangerous to me
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Sep 26, 2016 14:44
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Strange this all happens right before a highly hyped debate...
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Sep 26, 2016 14:44
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... Wait, does that poll show Trump leading with white voters in CO by only 4-5 points? Romney won white voters by 10 points in 2012 and still lost the state by 5 points. DaveWoo fucked around with this message at 14:49 on Sep 26, 2016 |
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Sep 26, 2016 14:45
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wait, don't the blue states on that map get Hillary to 272?
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Sep 26, 2016 14:46
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yoYZf-lBF_U
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Sep 26, 2016 14:45
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it's so strange it's almost like the news channels are gearing up for being relevant for a few hours and are trying to milk it for all they can like trump at a rally
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Sep 26, 2016 14:46
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Martout posted:it has a handle though unless it's a two-stage buttplug which sounds dangerous to me
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Sep 26, 2016 14:46
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Swedgin posted:wait, don't the blue states on that map get Hillary to 272? of course they do shook nate is a calculating bastard
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Sep 26, 2016 14:47
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John Oliver had a great bit on Hillary's vs. Trump's scandals: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1Lfd1aB9YI
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Sep 26, 2016 14:47
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The Trump is leaking, there's a 70 year old man in paris who apparently got a shotgun and tried to take out some muslims in a supermarket. He's holed up in his apartment now.
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Sep 26, 2016 14:48
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Its going dangerously close to unskewing but every ORC pool having under 30s n/a'ed in their cross tabs makes me question their LV screen pretty hard
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Sep 26, 2016 14:48
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Grey Fox posted:I'm saying it's going to become a two-stage plug whether you want it to or not. the real threat to america
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Sep 26, 2016 14:49
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a multi-stage buttplug is just anal beads
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Sep 26, 2016 14:50
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WAR DOGS OF SOCHI posted:Pacific Day Crew reporting for duty Nice seizure glasses dog
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Sep 26, 2016 14:50
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fart blood posted:Because we are all realists who understand the very real possibility Trump can win...??? Didn't you have a post that was "Hillary is winning in every poll but I think she's losing." You're entitled to bad feelings but please don't pretend your pants making GBS threads terror is measured analysis. Zelder posted:Honestly this thread is at its nadir when we move past jokes and dip our toes into political analysis. Everyone keeps getting every prediction wrong and then confidently makes two more predictions. A thread full of kristol What's important is that we talk about how many times we were correct earlier, hoping no one calls us on it.
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Sep 26, 2016 14:50
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pathetic little tramp posted:The Trump is leaking, there's a 70 year old man in paris who apparently got a shotgun and tried to take out some muslims in a supermarket. He's holed up in his apartment now. it's more like the le pen leaked over here trump's just catching america up on the latest in nationalist demagogeury
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Sep 26, 2016 14:51
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Squizzle posted:a multi-stage buttplug is just anal beads Anal bead polls would straight up kill us all.
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Sep 26, 2016 14:51
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Squizzle posted:a multi-stage buttplug is just anal beads Ive studied at your feet for 10 years now guru, surely you have some other piece of wisdom to impart
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Sep 26, 2016 14:53
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Krazyface posted:Anal bead polls would straight up kill us all. quotin this because it sounds like a '90s ska lyric
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Sep 26, 2016 14:53
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fatherboxx posted:https://twitter.com/538politics/status/780396485007605760 I feel like this graph does nothing but illustrate how useless all these early polls are. It seems to exist only to invalidate itself.
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Sep 26, 2016 14:54
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SHY NUDIST GRRL posted:Didn't you have a post that was "Hillary is winning in every poll but I think she's losing." You're entitled to bad feelings but please don't pretend your pants making GBS threads terror is measured analysis. No, I did not. I did, however, make statements where the general theme was "i'm thrilled she's winning now by like 98%, but don't be surprised if she loses that lead because we can never underestimate angry white people in flyover states." Given recent events, even if you're still confident in a Hillary victory, I think that fear is perfectly valid.
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Sep 26, 2016 14:56
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Swedgin posted:wait, don't the blue states on that map get Hillary to 272? Nate is counting on putting on his hat and trenchcoat and sneaking out the back with a briefcase full of money when everyone is too relieved by a trump loss to notice
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Sep 26, 2016 14:57
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pathetic little tramp posted:The Trump is leaking, there's a 70 year old man in paris who apparently got a shotgun and tried to take out some muslims in a supermarket. He's holed up in his apartment now. France has had problems for a while
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Sep 26, 2016 14:58
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DJT ain't gonna win Florida ANd Ohio and Johnson isn't getting 8% of the popular vote I'll stake my account on that
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Sep 26, 2016 14:59
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fatherboxx posted:https://twitter.com/538politics/status/780396485007605760
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Sep 26, 2016 14:58
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Karl Sharks posted:it takes a moment for it to sink in before it dawns on him Nice. Someone should catalogue the 2019 stories, and intersperse them with our best graphs and charts. Call it a A Grapher Badly.
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Sep 26, 2016 15:00
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The only "flyover state" that matters this year is Colorado. Its been breaking towards trump but he still needs to close the deal with unsure Clinton and Johnson voters. I don't know that not making GBS threads his pants on stage in the debate is enough to do that but we'll know by the end of the week.
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Sep 26, 2016 15:00
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fart blood posted:No, I did not. I did, however, make statements where the general theme was "i'm thrilled she's winning now by like 98%, but don't be surprised if she loses that lead because we can never underestimate angry white people in flyover states." Fear is valid. A lot is at stake. But confidence is valid too. Hillary still has every advantage. And at the risk of corn cobbing myself the lv screens this cycle seem like poo poo.
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Sep 26, 2016 15:01
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WithoutTheFezOn posted:By the way, I happened to check his polls only prediction(which that chart shows) right before this last update. That one poll took Trumps chance from 42.8 to 48.5. nate slatherin' on the secret sauce thick today
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Sep 26, 2016 15:02
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brocretin posted:nate slatherin' on the secret sauce thick today https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/780407066708086785 https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/780396156295770112 DEAD HEAT
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Sep 26, 2016 15:03
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i've kinda stopped caring for now i think. if trump gets elected i'm fine and i voted clinton so it ain't my fault, literally fygm to any idiots of any race who think he'd be a good president
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Sep 26, 2016 15:02
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Al! posted:Ive studied at your feet for 10 years now guru, surely you have some other piece of wisdom to impart san dimas high school football rules
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Sep 26, 2016 15:02
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as long as trump doesn't cough onstage he's declared the winner, right
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Sep 26, 2016 15:04
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SHY NUDIST GRRL posted:lv screens this cycle seem like poo poo. minorities = n/a
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Sep 26, 2016 15:03
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if people want this idiot in office so bad i'm just gonna get to laugh at their horrible misfortune as they don't get better jobs because they voted for a fascist orange baby
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Sep 26, 2016 15:03
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