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Necc0 posted:ffs DO NOT DEPOSIT ANY MONEY YOU ARENT WILLING TO WATCH VANISH BEFORE YOUR EYES Don't listen to this guy. Hit up your local loan shark immediately.
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Sep 24, 2016 21:18
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Vox Nihili posted:Don't listen to this guy. Hit up your local loan shark immediately. thats what I did and now I'm as rich as TRUMP thanks to predictit
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Sep 24, 2016 22:06
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I'm really tempted to make a big bet on Most Watched Debate NO - Everyone is touting viewership numbers but I really believe they'll be skewed due to percentage of people watching in non-trackable ways like streaming online. The absolute record of 80 million was set in the 80s when there was literally no other way to watch the debates other than TV. At the same time.... Necc0 posted:ffs DO NOT DEPOSIT ANY MONEY YOU ARENT WILLING TO WATCH VANISH BEFORE YOUR EYES
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Sep 25, 2016 02:15
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It's not like that. I damaged my credit card proper and I ordered a replacement card but in the mean time I'm card-less.
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Sep 25, 2016 02:36
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RandomPauI posted:It's not like that. I damaged my credit card proper and I ordered a replacement card but in the mean time I'm card-less. sir, this is a mcdonalds drivethru
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Sep 25, 2016 02:38
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The price of biggest debate No is at 30c now, so now really is the time if you've got spare predictit bux that you are willing to risk. The hype reminds me of bidenrun, tons of media speculation without much of a core. I maxed No.
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Sep 25, 2016 19:55
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Vox Nihili posted:The price of biggest debate No is at 30c now, so now really is the time if you've got spare predictit bux that you are willing to risk. Is there a time when they're going to close the market? I can't stay up all night waiting for Nielsen to reveal figures.
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Sep 25, 2016 20:37
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EngineerSean posted:Is there a time when they're going to close the market? I can't stay up all night waiting for Nielsen to reveal figures. "PredictIt may suspend trading in this market after conclusion of the debate and prior to publication of the settlement data." Sounds like it will stay open while the debate is going on, anyway.
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Sep 25, 2016 22:28
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Vox Nihili posted:"PredictIt may suspend trading in this market after conclusion of the debate and prior to publication of the settlement data." That's fine with me, maybe I'll just close out positions five minutes from the end to make sure.
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Sep 25, 2016 22:31
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Joining the No army on biggest debate ever. Hard to not convince myself to max out but I'm sitting at $200 right now.
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Sep 25, 2016 23:47
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kaishek posted:I'm really tempted to make a big bet on Most Watched Debate NO - Everyone is touting viewership numbers but I really believe they'll be skewed due to percentage of people watching in non-trackable ways like streaming online. The absolute record of 80 million was set in the 80s when there was literally no other way to watch the debates other than TV. Yeah, this article written in February takes Nielsen to task for not adapting with the times for their measurements. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/03/business/media/nielsen-playing-catch-up-as-tv-viewing-habits-change-and-digital-rivals-spring-up.html?_r=0
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Sep 25, 2016 23:54
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Trumptards going all-in on ME-2; Republican NO is currently worth 28 cents. I highly recommend snapping this up considering that all ME-2 polls are either junk polls conducted by drooling idiots or small-sample crosstabs.
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Sep 26, 2016 05:23
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TheDeadFlagBlues posted:Trumptards going all-in on ME-2; Republican NO is currently worth 28 cents. I highly recommend snapping this up considering that all ME-2 polls are either junk polls conducted by drooling idiots or small-sample crosstabs. I managed to get Republican.YES for 55 a couple weeks ago but I think you're right and will sell for now (not buying the other side though).
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Sep 26, 2016 08:23
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TheDeadFlagBlues posted:Trumptards going all-in on ME-2; Republican NO is currently worth 28 cents. I highly recommend snapping this up considering that all ME-2 polls are either junk polls conducted by drooling idiots or small-sample crosstabs. 28 cents is probably oversold, but for the reasons I said a few weeks ago Trump will win ME-2. I've missed out on oversold bounces but I don't like to be on the wrong side of what I think will actually happen. But the Trumptards are insufferable. It's unbelievable that you can still buy into Clinton not dropping out by the 30th for 95 cents on September 26th. I am lukewarm at best on Hillary, but the idea that a woman who has been running for president for the last 25 years is anything less than tough as steel and can't hold on for the next 6 weeks, say nothing of the next 4 days is crazy talk.
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Sep 26, 2016 15:56
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I was going to put some small money on debate rating NO, but predictit filled all my open buys to various Hillary wins. You guys ain't kidding Hillary stock will trend low before the debate.
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Sep 26, 2016 18:53
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Reminder: most debate contracts will suspend before the debate begins, so keep an eye out for this if you don't want to be holding when it starts!
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Sep 26, 2016 19:37
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Looks like Birther market is back down to about 60c NOs, if anyone still wants in before the debate. Far from a sure thing, but the rules actually require "birther" or some variant, so it seems pretty unlikely.
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Sep 26, 2016 20:48
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I dunno man, 90min is a long time for two people, one of whom slurs random drivel for sport. I'd buy YES in everything to cover my bases
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Sep 26, 2016 21:24
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theflyingexecutive posted:I dunno man, 90min is a long time for two people, one of whom slurs random drivel for sport. I'd buy YES in everything to cover my bases Has to be a questioner, doesn't count from the candidates. The only mention market that counts for the candidates is "Crooked Hillary" I believe.
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Sep 26, 2016 21:25
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Vox Nihili posted:Has to be a questioner, doesn't count from the candidates. Yup; this came up with the “Platonic gamble on a Platonic coin”. Sanders mentioned the coin‐flip, but the moderator did not. Resolved NO.
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Sep 26, 2016 21:29
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Vox Nihili posted:Has to be a questioner, doesn't count from the candidates. ah, the reverse my option and also ignore it because I'm not touching it at all
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Sep 26, 2016 21:33
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Auuugh I waited to late to buy No on the alt-right mention market and now i can't even get shares at 80c!!!
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Sep 27, 2016 01:20
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Is there a working promo code? WWTD25 is not validating.
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Sep 27, 2016 02:26
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Soooo this debate is loving amazing. Good luck fellow "not most watched" buddies
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Sep 27, 2016 02:46
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Is the US Election market actually closed? I keep seeing 0 shares available even though it says open. This page specifically: https://www.predictit.org/Market/1234/Who-will-win-the-2016-US-presidential-election
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Sep 27, 2016 02:49
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a cop posted:Soooo this debate is loving amazing. Good luck fellow "not most watched" buddies Good luck with that. You guys have a way stronger stomach than I do
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Sep 27, 2016 02:49
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Just for the record I put some money on "not most watched." Thanks political gambling goons(?)
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Sep 27, 2016 02:52
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a cop posted:Soooo this debate is loving amazing. Good luck fellow "not most watched" buddies I bailed a few hours ago and took a $1.00 hit. Oh well, I'll still make 30 cents on the debate happening.
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Sep 27, 2016 03:03
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Birther No gets away by the skin of its loving teeth.
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Sep 27, 2016 03:14
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Vox Nihili posted:Birther No gets away by the skin of its loving teeth. Made my heart skip, but yeah, figured Holt wouldn't actually say it. Now, let's see if we can thread the Bengazi needle. I think we moved past Libya just now, so fingers crossed. Gotta have some wins to offset Ratings NO.
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Sep 27, 2016 03:17
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e: THIS WAS THE WRONG THREAD!!!!
Trash Trick has issued a correction as of 03:26 on Sep 27, 2016 |
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Sep 27, 2016 03:23
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So, was that another set of straight NOs on debate questions?
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Sep 27, 2016 03:42
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Betfair Hillary.Pres went from -175 to -225 in 90 minutes what'd PredictIt do
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Sep 27, 2016 03:42
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Parakeet vs. Phone posted:So, was that another set of straight NOs on debate questions? I think so.
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Sep 27, 2016 03:44
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Adar posted:Betfair Hillary.Pres went from -175 to -225 in 90 minutes Predictit swung toward Hillary a bit it looks like.
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Sep 27, 2016 03:46
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Adar posted:Betfair Hillary.Pres went from -175 to -225 in 90 minutes .60 to .69, in that neighborhood.
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Sep 27, 2016 03:45
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Vox Nihili posted:Birther No gets away by the skin of its loving teeth.  I got my revenge for the platonic coin.
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Sep 27, 2016 03:54
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How likely is Nielsen to give a number tonight?
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Sep 27, 2016 04:15
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Only a million on the youtube huh? I feel pretty good about less than 80 mill now.
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Sep 27, 2016 04:17
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Only question is whether I'm up $100 or $2400 tonight.
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Sep 27, 2016 04:21
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