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chitoryu12 posted:I can't tell if you're playing along with a joke or if Canada really has cheese crime.
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Sep 22, 2016 22:20
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I'm going to start calling poutine "cheese crime" now, thanks.
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Sep 22, 2016 22:20
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Baronjutter posted:I'm going to start calling poutine "cheese crime" now, thanks. Also, Putin.
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Sep 22, 2016 22:23
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Destroying cheese is a crime
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Sep 22, 2016 22:27
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Ardennes posted:Yeah, the url of that article is misleading, it is talking about primarily the budget reserve not FX reserves. The FX reserves are the actual issue but they are fairly stable, while the much smaller budget reserve (there to cushion the budget during a recession) is running out due to Russia running a 3% budget deficit. Supposedly, the solution is probably going to be higher taxes on Russia's energy industry to stabilize the budget, but we will see. Yeah, that's going to work. How much is a percentage of zero income?
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Sep 22, 2016 23:27
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chitoryu12 posted:I can't tell if you're playing along with a joke or if Canada really has cheese crime.  I knew about the Ocean's Eleven heist on the Strategic Maple Syrup Reserve, but not about Canadian cheese smugglers.Next we will have a story about actual Canadian river pirates stealing from agricultural produce barges.
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Sep 22, 2016 23:31
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chitoryu12 posted:I can't tell if you're playing along with a joke or if Canada really has cheese crime. Wait, is this why Canadians come down to the US in droves to buy car-loads of milk from Cosco?
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Sep 23, 2016 01:39
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https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwegian_butter_crisis Well, about 5 years ago this happened to the wealthiest country in Scandinavia.
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Sep 23, 2016 01:51
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Young Freud posted:Yeah, that's going to work. How much is a percentage of zero income? Energy companies, especially natural gas companies in Russia are still making a profit even if it is only a potion of what it was two years ago. http://seekingalpha.com/news/3206141-gazprom-q2-net-profit-falls-less-expected-ruble-strengthens Gazprom for example still had a net income of $3.8 billion in Q1 2016, it is debatable if expect enough to really plug the budget. That said on average natural gas prices have been rising from their low in 2015. Ardennes fucked around with this message at 02:24 on Sep 23, 2016 |
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Sep 23, 2016 02:14
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Ardennes posted:Energy companies, especially natural gas companies in Russia are still making a profit even if it is only a potion of what it was two years ago. The other issue is if they can even pull off a tax increase on the energy sector. It's needed but it alone isn't going to stem the bleeding, so I'm wondering if the oligarchs are going to go for it or they will rebel in their own ways.
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Sep 23, 2016 02:22
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Young Freud posted:The other issue is if they can even pull off a tax increase on the energy sector. It's needed but it alone isn't going to stem the bleeding, so I'm wondering if the oligarchs are going to go for it or they will rebel in their own ways. As far as the energy industry goes, Putin has nearly completely consolidated control over it and to be honest there aren't many oligarchs left to oppose him. It is almost to the point the Russian energy industry is practically an extension of the state, so basically the state taxing another portion of itself. If it will be enough to plug the Russian deficit is far more debatable. The Russian deficit at this point is 3.3% and will likely eat up the budget reserves next year, although very tepid growth might shave it down a bit. After that the Russian state is probably going to rely on a combination of energy taxes, raiding other reserve funds and budget freezes. That said, as far as the Russian state running out of money, Russia currently has 400 billion in FX reserves. It is fairly unlikely. Ardennes fucked around with this message at 02:35 on Sep 23, 2016 |
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Sep 23, 2016 02:27
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Ardennes posted:That said, as far as the Russian state running out of money, Russia currently has 400 billion in FX reserves. It is fairly unlikely. Although it seems they are regaining some of the FX reserves and they are not going to spend it as far as I know, their central bank is just going to print money to cover the deficit.
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Sep 23, 2016 08:50
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Either sales or income taxes are going to increase next, Ministry of Finance keeps proposing one or the other constantly lately.
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Sep 23, 2016 09:48
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Dwesa posted:Their reserves dropped by quite a bit since 2014 though http://www.tradingeconomics.com/russia/foreign-exchange-reserves The Central Bank tried to actively defend the Ruble then gave up because it acts completely as a proxy for oil prices and it was just throwing good money after bad. Azerbaijan learned that lesson far more slowly and nearly spend all of their reserves before they let the Manat float. The Bank of Russia actually made the right decision in that case. While devaluation of the Ruble is what has caused consumer prices to spike, but in all likelihood spending their reserves probably wouldn't have stopped that. Also, the FX reserves the "ultimate backup" of the state and they are going to wait until they absolutely need to liquidate them. woodenchicken posted:Either sales or income taxes are going to increase next, Ministry of Finance keeps proposing one or the other constantly lately. There has been talk, they may wait until after the presidential elections to do so.
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Sep 23, 2016 10:01
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Are you guys keeping up with the 'Poland under Trump' kerfuffle? It's kind of entertaining, if depressing. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...9fd9_story.html Zmieścisz się śmiało!
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Sep 23, 2016 10:08
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GreyjoyBastard posted:
Just, the quotes in these articles. quote:"The network involved the purchasing of cases of cheese and other food items and transporting these cases into Canada, without declaring the items or paying duty," police said.
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Sep 23, 2016 14:19
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steinrokkan posted:Trump has found another friend among Eastern European heads of state, this time it's a professional troll, Miloš Zeman of the Czech Republic. anilEhilated fucked around with this message at 19:56 on Sep 23, 2016 |
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Sep 23, 2016 19:53
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The truly effective way to take down PiS in Poland: Judo. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z-qXZzlNGg (Basically, the guy in the plaid shirt was a passerby who interrupted a press conference by PiS lawmaker Ryszard Terlecki to voice his opinion and question him. When his spokesman intervened to pull him away a final time, the passerby judo threw him and pinned him before parliamentary security could pull him off)
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Sep 25, 2016 06:17
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So, that referendum in Republika Srpska I was talking about several days ago is over, and apparently it had 51% turnout making it legal in the eyes of its organizers. Preliminary results are expected at 21:00 (in about an hour from now) and I wholly expect it to be heavily in favor of "Yes". Let us hope it won't spark a crisis and they somehow reach a compromise.
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Sep 25, 2016 18:56
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Is there any other country supporting this referendum, as in a larger European nation? Is this just for the interest of this small republic, and not much will happen as a result?
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Sep 25, 2016 20:21
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HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:Is there any other country supporting this referendum, as in a larger European nation? Is this just for the interest of this small republic, and not much will happen as a result? Russia.
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Sep 25, 2016 20:27
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I should have known that. 
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Sep 25, 2016 20:48
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Disco Infiva posted:So, that referendum in Republika Srpska I was talking about several days ago is over, and apparently it had 51% turnout making it legal in the eyes of its organizers. Preliminary results are expected at 21:00 (in about an hour from now) and I wholly expect it to be heavily in favor of "Yes". Let us hope it won't spark a crisis and they somehow reach a compromise. So far it's passage is near-unanimous.
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Sep 25, 2016 22:01
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The_Franz posted:So far it's passage is near-unanimous. Yeah.  71.09% of total votes has been counted.
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Sep 25, 2016 22:24
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Srpskxit
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Sep 25, 2016 22:25
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If I understand correctly, the content of the referendum is irrelevant. The fact that they are holding it is important because they are ignoring federal authorities.
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Sep 25, 2016 22:59
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The actual content of the referendum has to do with a national holiday, I believe. HE
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Sep 25, 2016 23:03
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Doctor Malaver posted:If I understand correctly, the content of the referendum is irrelevant. The fact that they are holding it is important because they are ignoring federal authorities. Yes, but referendum not passing or having less than 50% voter turnout would have probably diffused the situation, since RS politicians would have lost their momentum.
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Sep 25, 2016 23:08
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Again with the "if I understood correctly" caveat, there is no independent oversight so they can come up with any numbers they want.
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Sep 25, 2016 23:25
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Doctor Malaver posted:Again with the "if I understood correctly" caveat, there is no independent oversight so they can come up with any numbers they want.
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Sep 26, 2016 00:35
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mobby_6kl posted:Getting over 99% on any referendum is plenty suspicious already, as I'm pretty sure you could ask if water is wet and at least 10% would vote "no". As is getting a 51% turnout in an election with a majority participation clause.
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Sep 26, 2016 07:28
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Big week for MH17, on Wednesday the official criminal investigation into the case will have a press conference, 1pm local time in Holland, revealing information about the investigation, including what they believe is the launch site. Bellingcat first published a piece identifying the likely launch site in January 2015 (here), and an area in and around it was also identified as the launch site in the official Dutch Safety Board report (here), so if the JIT agrees with Bellingcat it'll make a lot of people take our work a whole lot more seriously. This is problematic for the Kremlin as we've also pointed the finger at them and to a specific Buk missile launcher we say they provided. So in the last week we've had two dodgy reports released in Russia that have attacked Bellingcat, and was widely covered in pro-Kremlin media, despite the fact one of the reports came from "anonymous Russian bloggers" who turned out to be led by A Russian Ultranationalist with close ties to the separatists, and works as the head of PR for a think tank set up by Putin himself. Now Almaz-Antey, the Russian state owned Buk manufacturer, has "discovered" what they claim is key radar data only days before the JIT press conference, which will be presented at a Russian MoD press conference taking place this afternoon in Russia. A pretty naked attempt to distract from the JIT press conference.
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Sep 26, 2016 08:13
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And ahead of the press conference, which should start in 20 minutes, I made a video about the last press conference https://twitter.com/bellingcat/status/780370204043911169
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Sep 26, 2016 12:37
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The Russian MH17 press conference presented radar data which they say proves there was nothing near MH17 when it was shot down, not even a missile. Of course, this completely contradicts their July 21st 2014 claim there WAS an aircraft near MH17 they identified as an SU-25. So they've helpfully proven they were liars, which is nice. https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-europe/2016/09/26/russian-defence-ministry-presents-evidence-faked-previous-mh17-evidence/
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Sep 26, 2016 13:48
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Brown Moses posted:And ahead of the press conference, which should start in 20 minutes, I made a video about the last press conference What music is that?
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Sep 26, 2016 16:25
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Discendo Vox posted:What music is that? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mgHxmAsINDk
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Sep 26, 2016 17:14
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Discendo Vox posted:What music is that? Possibly the greatest movement of a symphony ever written.
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Sep 26, 2016 18:18
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Russia's game with MH17 is becoming absurd at this point, they just. can't. let. it. go...
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Sep 26, 2016 20:03
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Jygallax posted:Russia's game with MH17 is becoming absurd at this point, they just. can't. let. it. go... Well they let that missile go which is why we are in this situation.
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Sep 26, 2016 23:35
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Jygallax posted:Russia's game with MH17 is becoming absurd at this point, they just. can't. let. it. go... Becoming? Did you not see the photoshopped fighter jet?
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Sep 27, 2016 11:45
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