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https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/791241549547966464
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Oct 26, 2016 12:47
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| # ? May 20, 2024 01:21 |
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reek reek it rhymes with possible criminal charges http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/10/chris-christie-is-over/505241/ quote:“Sobbing mother of four” plus “thrown water bottle” is light years away from the Chris Christie that America thought it knew, way back in 2012 when he was the blue state Republican who rolled up his sleeves and hugged a Democratic president in the wake of a devastating hurricane. Back then, Christie was a straight talker with a heart of gold: screaming curse words at a single mother of four and throwing objects at her was not part of the profile. Now it is. Christie kinda reminds me of Rob Ford, for no other reason than they're vindictive petty assholes who got to play the funny fat guy card to diminishing returns while their houses collapsed around them
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Oct 26, 2016 12:47
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Who the heck is Bpolitics?
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Oct 26, 2016 12:51
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Welp, this sucks. Killery losing to Cheeto is horrifyingly bad and I hate everyone who is voting for that fascist.
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Oct 26, 2016 12:52
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Christie getting impeached would make my Motherfucker deserves it as much as Joe Arpaio deserves to rot in the hellhole of his own creation.
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Oct 26, 2016 12:54
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Charlz Guybon posted:Who the heck is Bpolitics? click on @bpolitics and all your dreams come true
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Oct 26, 2016 12:53
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Unrated on 538 EDIT: nevermind. Article mentions Seltzer & Co, gets an A+ from 538. Chin Strap fucked around with this message at 12:56 on Oct 26, 2016 |
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Oct 26, 2016 12:54
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Charlz Guybon posted:Who the heck is Bpolitics? Bloomberg. That was a Bloomberg/Selzer poll.
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Oct 26, 2016 12:56
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Agrajag posted:Welp, this sucks. Killery losing to Cheeto is horrifyingly bad and I hate everyone who is voting for that fascist. *ignores all the other polls showing Clinton up by 3-7 points in Florida* You literally want to just feel anxious and lovely about the election for the next 13 days
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Oct 26, 2016 12:56
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How are the third parties doing in early voting? I have a hard time believing they'll actually pull 12% of the final vote in a large state.
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Oct 26, 2016 12:56
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"Trump to 2020 prospects: You don't have a chance"quote:Donald Trump is the only candidate who can defeat Hillary Clinton, he suggested Tuesday, laughing at Republicans who may be considering mounting a run in 2020. Ahahahahahaha.
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Oct 26, 2016 12:57
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Prolly an outlier. It also has the Senate race, which has been pretty close as +10 Rubio.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:01
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Interesting to have this poll one the same day as the one which shows Clinton +6. https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/791159168946335744 I'd assume both are outliers and the real value is somewhere around Clinton +2-3. That would also conform to what we've seen from early voting so far.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:05
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Trump is running 3rd party in 2020
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Oct 26, 2016 13:06
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:Prolly an outlier. It also has the Senate race, which has been pretty close as +10 Rubio. The Senate race as +10 Rubio is probably similar to what the Democrats internal polling picked up when they pulled their spending.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:06
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Samuel Clemens posted:I'd assume both are outliers and the real value is somewhere around Clinton +2-3. That would also conform to what we've seen from early voting so far. Which is also what every single other poll has showed for weeks.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:08
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Counter: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/791118889761505280
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Oct 26, 2016 13:09
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:Prolly an outlier. It also has the Senate race, which has been pretty close as +10 Rubio. How has Florida decided to keep Rubio? The best thing Christie did was call Rubio out back in the primaries, I was hopeful that might have hurt him longer term.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:09
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Not related to the Presidental election, but holy poo poo anyway. https://twitter.com/onetoughnerd/status/791020509253152768
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Oct 26, 2016 13:13
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Despite the fact that this was a Selzer poll, it does seem to be more of an outlier. I know Cuban-Americans vote Republican, but Trump up 2 points with Hispanic voters in Miami, and only down by 15 points statewide seems off. Obama actually beat Romney among Cuban voters, so I highly doubt Trump is doing better than that. Especially when we have seen prominent Cuban Republicans/donors flip and back Hillary and put money into voter registration efforts to defeat Trump. Early voting among Hispanics was up 99% so that alone should raise skepticism about Hillary doing worse with Cuban and non-Cuban Hispanic voters.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:21
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We'll see if other polls show a similar sudden shift, but it's nothing to worry about yet.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:22
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Even if that poll is an outlier, it does sort of point to a relatively modest Clinton win and a razor thin majority (if that) in the Senate, which doesn't bode well for effective government or for anyone learning anything from this entire shitshow.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:26
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BUG JUG posted:Yo, Hibbing uesd to be rich as gently caress from mining revenue back in the 1920-50s. Check out their High School. This is their PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL'S auditorium: Yeah, I know they had money (and it IS a bitchin' school) but I meant more that it actually built up, had a population in the 6 digits and everything that comes along with that.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:27
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Night10194 posted:We'll see if other polls show a similar sudden shift, but it's nothing to worry about yet. Also keep in mind that the Selzer poll, while really well regarded, does have a margin of error of 3.2. So...who knows.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:28
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HannibalBarca posted:Even if that poll is an outlier, it does sort of point to a relatively modest Clinton win and a razor thin majority (if that) in the Senate, which doesn't bode well for effective government or for anyone learning anything from this entire shitshow. If Republicans ever learned anything from their fuckups George W. Bush would have been laughed away as the legacy of Reagan and his father's bullshit reminded voters that the GOP are fuckups.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:28
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KiteAuraan posted:If Republicans ever learned anything from their fuckups George W. Bush would have been laughed away as the legacy of Reagan and his father's bullshit reminded voters that the GOP are fuckups. You could argue that Republican voters learned from losing in 2012, but learned the wrong things.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:29
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What's weird is that we keep getting hints that the internals have the GOP completely panicked and Dems extremely confident, but the public polling keeps fluctuating between suggesting Obama 2008/2012 levels of victory.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:32
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HannibalBarca posted:Even if that poll is an outlier, it does sort of point to a relatively modest Clinton win and a razor thin majority (if that) in the Senate, which doesn't bode well for effective government or for anyone learning anything from this entire shitshow. That seems to be where we were headed even before any poll tightening. The one hope for government actually governing after November is the prospect of a bloody GOP civil war fueled by Breitbart that makes some of the relatively sane Republicans say gently caress it, and work with Democrats on common sense issues.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:33
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Here's the operative factor IMO: Trump's support among lean-Rs is very elastic, but, ultimately, the gravitational pull of partisan polarization saves him from every gaffe and oppo dump. That's why the "landslide" polls seem to come and go. https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/791256321383202816
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Oct 26, 2016 13:35
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Does lead poisoning prevention involve torches and pitchforks outside Snyder's house?
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Oct 26, 2016 13:37
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The GOP is fine with a fascist. Their only problem with him is he's losing and they're not sure they could control him if he didn't.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:38
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Islam is the Lite Rock FM posted:Does lead poisoning prevention involve torches and pitchforks outside Snyder's house? We can only hope.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:37
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https://twitter.com/surveyusa/status/791228432701071361 Despite the fact that this shows Hillary up 3, the cross-tabs on this poll still doesn't match up with what we have seen in national polls. Trump pulling in 37% of non-Cuban Hispanics and 41% of Asian/Other is a lot higher than we have seen elsewhere.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:39
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TyrantWD posted:https://twitter.com/surveyusa/status/791228432701071361 Remember, parsing cross-tabs lies along the road to madness.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:40
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RevKrule posted:
How'd you go on the propositions? Colorado needs a primary again. The way they did it this year was terrible. Also, I hope ColoradoCare wins, even if it is going to be hard to implement on just a statewide basis. Polls looked back for it though.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:41
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In which an attorney general that took a $25k bribe to drop a trump university lawsuit says that trump will be "an excellent role model."
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Oct 26, 2016 13:42
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TyrantWD posted:Despite the fact that this was a Selzer poll, it does seem to be more of an outlier. I know Cuban-Americans vote Republican, but Trump up 2 points with Hispanic voters in Miami, and only down by 15 points statewide seems off. Obama actually beat Romney among Cuban voters, so I highly doubt Trump is doing better than that. Especially when we have seen prominent Cuban Republicans/donors flip and back Hillary and put money into voter registration efforts to defeat Trump. Yeah I think it was an outlier, which is fine.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:43
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Josef bugman posted:Why do people like Feinstein, Schumer and (formerly) Lieberman stick to the Dems? There seems to have been so much change in the party over even the last 8 years and yet they sort of just stick around. Feinstein and Schumer are basically down the line Democrats. Feinstein just really likes government anti-terrorism and spying programs and Schumer is from New York, which involves a certain amount of defending NY industries.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:42
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Grouchio posted:I went to Philly a year ago for a Model UN conference and thought the place at large looked like abandoned graffiti factory shite, I resided at a huge hotel right next to what has to be the world's largest Albanian Orthodox Church, we had no internet or room service and many, many of my fellow delegates were forced to sleep on the floor because they ran out of beds. I got selected to oversee the UN process over intellectual rights, which was the biggest snooze-fest ever and I had to excuse myself several times. I also forgot to pack more underwear for the five day trip. Everything downtown from coffee to whatever little groceries there were was overpriced compared to back home in Maine, and the nearest restaurant was a chipotle roughly 9 blocks away. We had a dance at the end but it played nothing but poo poo you'd hear on vine compilations with too many seizure-inducing lights and lasers, so it wasn't that enjoyable (except for a couple of lap dances I witnessed seeing). Oh and on the second/third day of the conference the Paris attacks happened, so that was really what I remembered from that trip. Was this the U Penn Model UN? If so, hello fellow ILMUNC attendee! We went to the high school version and all got in-school suspension for going to a party thrown by the former President of our model UN club. The Valedictorian was among those who got suspended, it was honestly rather hilarious.
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Oct 26, 2016 13:45
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| # ? May 20, 2024 01:21 |
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Also, wasn't the original Dem pullout from Florida Sen because of Schumer demanding money for his incredibly safe race in NY?
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Oct 26, 2016 13:48
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