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Kro-Bar
Jul 24, 2004
USPOL May

lozzle posted:

Still not convinced it isn't a wig that's been surgically attached to his scalp.

It's technically a weave. A very expensive one, believe it or not.

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UFOTacoMan
Sep 22, 2005

Thanks easter bunny!
bok bok!

Nocturtle posted:

I'm still not clear what you're arguing, but apparently you're doing it from total ignorance? Fine.

Description of Medenbach's theft, indictment
Copy of actual federal indictment, check count 4
Description of Medenbach's pathetic defense

From Medenbach's defense:


You don't actually need to know what they used the truck for, that's completely irrelevant to whether it was theft aside from a few exceptional circumstances. Just to be clear it was theft, getting groceries isn't reason enough to take someone else's car without their permission. I feel like I shouldn't have to explain this.

I'd actually assumed this was the charge the jury was divided on, given how straightforward it was and the incompetent defense. I don't understand people here who've suggested that jurors have a tough job and the instruction process is too complex. People get convicted for stealing cars every day, it's not some huge burgen. The fact they unanimously voted not guilty on this charge is even worse than I thought.

Is there a way to know what evidence was presented at the trial? I honestly don't know what is known about the evidence presented.

botany
Apr 27, 2013

by Lowtax

Nocturtle posted:


You don't actually need to know what they used the truck for, that's completely irrelevant to whether it was theft aside from a few exceptional circumstances. Just to be clear it was theft, getting groceries isn't reason enough to take someone else's car without their permission. I feel like I shouldn't have to explain this.

You feel that way because you think theft is easy to understand in a legal context when it's not. Theft typically requires the intent to relieve somebody of their property permanently, which is why it absolutely matters what they did with the truck and which is why -- even if you don't believe Medenbach's intention was to bring the truck back -- his stated intention absolutely matters. (For the record "theft" isn't even defined in most states, but larceny is, and it requires intent to permanently take poo poo away from somebody.)

Agrajag
Jan 21, 2006

gat dang thats hot

Harrow posted:

God drat that's a serious combover.

I wonder what his hair looks like when he wakes up in the morning.

Now imagine it drooping over your face while he sweats and grunts on top of you...

Harrow
Jun 30, 2012

lozzle posted:

Still not convinced it isn't a wig that's been surgically attached to his scalp.

I'm fascinated by that picture so I can't avoid analyzing it:

It looks like, like some men with male pattern baldness, he's got a patch of hair that still grows at the front of his head, just above his forehead, so he's growing that out and combing it back. And it's so, so long, and I can't imagine the desperation necessary to go through all of that. I'm definitely going to be bald within the next ten years or so and I'm just going to shave it off and retain some level of dignity.

Agrajag posted:

Now imagine it drooping over your face while he sweats and grunts on top of you...

:froggonk:

Tom Guycot
Oct 15, 2008

Chief of Governors



How would this ever matter? Every single ISP will just throw it in somewhere in the contract, and everything will be exactly as it ever was.

Ogmius815
Aug 25, 2005
centrism is a hell of a drug


You'd think this would help me but in my nightmare Trump wins by flipping Michigan or Wisconsin so it doesn't.

Goatman Sacks
Apr 4, 2011

by FactsAreUseless

Agrajag posted:

Now imagine it drooping over your face while he sweats and grunts on top of you...

haha like Trump ever does any work, I'm sure he's cowgirl-only.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Ogmius815 posted:

You'd think this would help me but in my nightmare Trump wins by flipping Michigan or Wisconsin so it doesn't.

That's a loving stupid nightmare.

Goatman Sacks
Apr 4, 2011

by FactsAreUseless
So what are the chances that all DNC networks associated with their GOTV operation get DDoSed by Russia on election day?

Tricky D
Apr 1, 2005

I love um!

botany posted:

You feel that way because you think theft is easy to understand in a legal context when it's not. Theft typically requires the intent to relieve somebody of their property permanently, which is why it absolutely matters what they did with the truck and which is why -- even if you don't believe Medenbach's intention was to bring the truck back -- his stated intention absolutely matters. (For the record "theft" isn't even defined in most states, but larceny is, and it requires intent to permanently take poo poo away from somebody.)

https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/641

There is no requirement for permenancy under the US code for theft of public property.

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
An alright dude.

Goatman Sacks posted:

So what are the chances that all DNC networks associated with their GOTV operation get DDoSed by Russia on election day?

Probably pretty likely.

CascadeBeta
Feb 14, 2009

by Cyrano4747

Ogmius815 posted:

You'd think this would help me but in my nightmare Trump wins by flipping Michigan or Wisconsin so it doesn't.

botany
Apr 27, 2013

by Lowtax

Tricky D posted:

https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/641

There is no requirement for permenancy under the US code for theft of public property.

Hm, alright. I admit I'm out of my depth here, but I'd be interested if a lawyer couldn't still argue that the same defense (I was only borrowing) applies. If anyone can do a legal analysis on that I'd be happy to hear it.

dwarf74
Sep 2, 2012



Buglord

Tom Guycot posted:

How would this ever matter? Every single ISP will just throw it in somewhere in the contract, and everything will be exactly as it ever was.
This is one reason why you get a good, solid VPN like PrivateInternetAccess.

(You should also get one kind of in general, especially if you ever use public wifi.)

James Garfield
May 5, 2012
Am I a manipulative abuser in real life, or do I just roleplay one on the Internet for fun? You decide!

Cingulate posted:

Yeah but how much do you like it really? The SEM estimation seems rather optimistic to me.

Also, is all of it public? From the description, it sounded like some parts of the analytic probability calculation are patented.

You can read the code including for the patented bits, admittedly that's not the greatest way. I think most of it is explained in old posts that are hard to search for.

99% is a high probability but it's not hard to believe considering how little the polls have been moving this election. Certainly Nate Silver has consistently been way more optimistic about Trump than any of the other forecasters, most of the other forecasts (that are shown on the NYT page) have Clinton in the mid-90% range.

Devor
Nov 30, 2004
Lurking more.

botany posted:

Hm, alright. I admit I'm out of my depth here, but I'd be interested if a lawyer couldn't still argue that the same defense (I was only borrowing) applies. If anyone can do a legal analysis on that I'd be happy to hear it.

Please go do this in the Y'allqueda thread instead of continuing to make educated guesses here

Push El Burrito
May 9, 2006

Soiled Meat
What? No, I was only borrowing this guy's wallet. Look I took a video of myself saying I would give back any wallets I stole. Now I'll be back in a bit.

*drives off in police cruiser*

Tricky D
Apr 1, 2005

I love um!

botany posted:

Hm, alright. I admit I'm out of my depth here, but I'd be interested if a lawyer couldn't still argue that the same defense (I was only borrowing) applies. If anyone can do a legal analysis on that I'd be happy to hear it.

The phrase "knowingly converts to his use" coupled with "without authority" precludes the defense of "I was only borrowing it."

Harrow
Jun 30, 2012


You know what I love about this little election tool? If you give Trump every single state that is under a 90% chance for Clinton to win it, Clinton still wins.

MizPiz
May 29, 2013

by Athanatos

Mr Hootington posted:

Crossposting this to Dadchat:

I am currently looking for beginner level books, podcasts, or movies for understanding liberalism, conservatism, libertarianism, neoliberalism, neoconservativism, socialism, and fascism. A good book that explains the differences between them, the under lying philosophy of each, and the strengths and weakness of the ideologues.

I am also looking for some beginner level books, podcasts, or movies that explain the differences between the major US parties, the factions with in them, and outlines of the policies they push.

Anything would be of help. Thank you.

I suggest basically going along the history of these political philosphies, starting with enlightenment era liberalism (John Locke's work is a great starting point). That way you can see how they developed and can form your own outlook on the theories.

RuanGacho
Jun 20, 2002

"You're gunna break it!"

Hollismason posted:

Probably pretty likely.

Last I heard the Russians thought Oklahoma was an important electoral college state so I'm not convinced they are competent at hacking anything they can't Google for reference.

eviltastic
Feb 8, 2004

Fan of Britches

Tom Guycot posted:

How would this ever matter? Every single ISP will just throw it in somewhere in the contract, and everything will be exactly as it ever was.

Requiring customer agreement to do that in the service contract is one of the things the proposed rules would prohibit, as is charging more for elevated privacy protection.

TheBigAristotle
Feb 8, 2007

I'm tired of hearing about money, money, money, money, money.
I just want to play the game, drink Pepsi, wear Reebok.

Grimey Drawer

beejay posted:

I know people say this a lot about people but he does not look like a human.

It's that bizarre toupee.

Tricky D
Apr 1, 2005

I love um!

eviltastic posted:

Requiring customer agreement to do that in the service contract is one of the things the proposed rules would prohibit, as is charging more for elevated privacy protection.

That's good news.

CascadeBeta
Feb 14, 2009

by Cyrano4747

Harrow posted:

You know what I love about this little election tool? If you give Trump every single state that is under a 90% chance for Clinton to win it, Clinton still wins.

Which us why the idea that Trump will win by flipping Michigan is so absurd. There's no realistic path to a Trump victory and there hasn't been for months.

eviltastic
Feb 8, 2004

Fan of Britches

Mr Hootington posted:

Crossposting this to Dadchat:

I am currently looking for beginner level books, podcasts, or movies for understanding liberalism, conservatism, libertarianism, neoliberalism, neoconservativism, socialism, and fascism. A good book that explains the differences between them, the under lying philosophy of each, and the strengths and weakness of the ideologues.

I am also looking for some beginner level books, podcasts, or movies that explain the differences between the major US parties, the factions with in them, and outlines of the policies they push.

Anything would be of help. Thank you.

Regarding fascism, this essay by Umberto Eco gets referenced in D&D all the time: http://www.nybooks.com/articles/1995/06/22/ur-fascism/

Augus
Mar 9, 2015


eviltastic posted:

Requiring customer agreement to do that in the service contract is one of the things the proposed rules would prohibit, as is charging more for elevated privacy protection.

That's pretty ballin'

botany
Apr 27, 2013

by Lowtax

Tricky D posted:

The phrase "knowingly converts to his use" coupled with "without authority" precludes the defense of "I was only borrowing it."

I see, thanks! You're a lawyer? What's your best guess about the situation then? If you had to defend Medenbacher, what would your argument look like?


edit:

Devor posted:

Please go do this in the Y'allqueda thread instead of continuing to make educated guesses here

Yeah thanks poster with 4 whole posts in this thread I'm going to stop discussing this topic at once if it displeases you

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

cant cook creole bream posted:

By the way. Do we know anything about how the Russians hacked Podesta? If it was a large scale breach of the servers, I'd imagine there would be mails from other accounts of his subordinates. What account was it anyway? Is he just one of those people who use 1233456 as a password?

Clever phishing using an url shortener from what I've read.

http://motherboard.vice.com/read/how-hackers-broke-into-john-podesta-and-colin-powells-gmail-accounts

Roland Jones
Aug 18, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo
In better news, this is good:

https://twitter.com/FlaDems/status/792017994276675585

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010

botany posted:

Hm, alright. I admit I'm out of my depth here, but I'd be interested if a lawyer couldn't still argue that the same defense (I was only borrowing) applies. If anyone can do a legal analysis on that I'd be happy to hear it.

People have tried that argument before. It isn't valid for 641. US v Rehak has a good discussion of it.

Kit Walker
Jul 10, 2010
"The Man Who Cannot Deadlift"

Harrow posted:

You know what I love about this little election tool? If you give Trump every single state that is under a 90% chance for Clinton to win it, Clinton still wins.

Ah yes, but it doesn't take into account NY flipping red, which will definitely happen because Trump is just so loved in the city

botany
Apr 27, 2013

by Lowtax

Kalman posted:

People have tried that argument before. It isn't valid for 641. US v Rehak has a good discussion of it.

Yeah I figured there would be case law on it. Thanks, I'll read up on that!

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

Kalman posted:

People have tried that argument before. It isn't valid for 641. US v Rehak has a good discussion of it.

Would it even be appropriate for a defense attorney to bring up questions of interpretation of law with a trial jury? That seems like the sort of thing that should be in jury instructions...

Pakled
Aug 6, 2011

WE ARE SMART

It would be good for Murphy to win, but I'm not holding my breath. This is one poll, and in aggregate, Rubio's been in +4 or +5 territory for practically the entire race.

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

He's not going to win. He also sucks.

Tricky D
Apr 1, 2005

I love um!

botany posted:

I see, thanks! You're a lawyer? What's your best guess about the situation then? If you had to defend Medenbacher, what would your argument look like?


edit:


Yeah thanks poster with 4 whole posts in this thread I'm going to stop discussing this topic at once if it displeases you

I'm not a lawyer. If it is your sincere belief that a lawyer is required to read and interpret that section of the US criminal code, then go pay for one to do it for you. Perhaps, you should keep one on retainer to advise you of whether or not you can "borrow" federal property.

EDIT: I guess that was a little snarky. I mistakenly thought you were addressing me with the second part of your post.

Tricky D fucked around with this message at 16:09 on Oct 28, 2016

Roland Jones
Aug 18, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo

Pakled posted:

It would be good for Murphy to win, but I'm not holding my breath. This is one poll, and in aggregate, Rubio's been in +4 or +5 territory for practically the entire race.

Yeah, I'm aware. Still, I'm trying to be optimistic instead of lingering on things that are worrisome and/or infuriating.

mcmagic posted:

He's not going to win. He also sucks.

Better than Rubio, at least.

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Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

James Garfield posted:

You can read the code including for the patented bits, admittedly that's not the greatest way. I think most of it is explained in old posts that are hard to search for.

99% is a high probability but it's not hard to believe considering how little the polls have been moving this election. Certainly Nate Silver has consistently been way more optimistic about Trump than any of the other forecasters, most of the other forecasts (that are shown on the NYT page) have Clinton in the mid-90% range.
I'm speaking purely methodologically for now: from what I can tell, Sam Wang treats individual state polls as being independent, which they simply are not. Assuming errors to be uncorrelated is a good way to get your confidence intervals much too small - I learned this analyzing neuroimaging data actually.

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