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Nirvikalpa posted:Florida shares are pretty low That's one hell of a deal. Florida is extremely close to being a Clinton lock in the real world.
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Oct 27, 2016 18:35
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Vox Nihili posted:That's one hell of a deal. Florida is extremely close to being a Clinton lock in the real world. quote:RubberDUcky69 PredictCeratops • 10 minutes ago
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Oct 27, 2016 18:45
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I have been reading this thread for months and enjoying the show, but never had the patience to dive in, particularly when things were the most interesting back during primary season. Is it worth getting into a few markets now, since the election is close and I don't have to hold things forever, or will the marginal gains on share's I'd be buying at 75-85 cents not be worth the effort after all the fees? I don't think I'll have a lot of interest in the lower profile stuff predictit will be offering after November 8th, and the volume of casual idiots will be greatly reduced, likely making it more difficult to make money at that point. I think someone mentioned on the last page they do promotions for first-time users, maybe these would help offset the fees to some extent? bawfuls has issued a correction as of 19:06 on Oct 27, 2016 |
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Oct 27, 2016 18:59
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bawfuls posted:I have been reading this thread for months and enjoying the show, but never had the patience to dive in, particularly when things were the most interesting back during primary season. Is it worth getting into a few markets now, since the election is close and I don't have to hold things forever, or will the marginal gains on share's I'd be buying at 75-85 cents not be worth the effort after all the fees? I don't think I'll have a lot of interest in the lower profile stuff predictit will be offering after November 8th, and the volume of casual idiots will be greatly reduced, likely making it more difficult to make money at that point. A good rewards CC can also offset some of the fees. I don't know if putting money on a national Hillary win and then withdrawing is really worth it right now, but there are more lucrative markets that could be worth it. You can make a ton playing the wild swings on election day, but that's also where newcomers tend to get ground to dust as well.
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Oct 27, 2016 19:14
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Yeah I assume I'd need to be in more markets than just HRC to win. The FL market just linked is obviously tempting, and for some reason "will a woman be elected" is like 3-5 cents cheaper than "will Hillary win" which seems odd to me. The EV count market also has some potential since you can spread things around a bit. I don't know that I'd have much interest in playing the wild swings on election night, based on what I've read here on previous primary days. There's also the complication that I may be traveling for work on election day and not be able to just park in front of my computer that evening to play the swings. bawfuls has issued a correction as of 19:33 on Oct 27, 2016 |
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Oct 27, 2016 19:29
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Republican Winning White House is still at 78/79, if you invest a bit you'll still come out on top  https://www.predictit.org/Contract/558/Will-the-Republican-party-win-the-White-House#data
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Oct 27, 2016 19:35
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LinYutang posted:Republican Winning White House is still at 78/79, if you invest a bit you'll still come out on top i maxed out on this a few hours ago and got a piece of the FL GOP.NO market and will now just be fingers crossed that there isn't some psychopathic october/nov surprise against hrc
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Oct 27, 2016 19:37
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Ok where are these first-timer bonuses or whatever someone mentioned in the last few pages? I'm ready to throw away some money.
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Oct 27, 2016 19:42
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Sign up but don't deposit and you should get an email
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Oct 27, 2016 19:56
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Vox will you please let me pump FL in peace? I want more cheap Dem Yes
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Oct 27, 2016 21:18
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bawfuls posted:Ok where are these first-timer bonuses or whatever someone mentioned in the last few pages? I'm ready to throw away some money. Check their twitter. If they don't have anything active straight up tweet at them asking for one and they'll probably give it to you.
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Oct 27, 2016 21:25
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Maxes are dumb. I will never not be jealous of whoever was able to snag FL GOP NO for 55c.
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Oct 27, 2016 21:40
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dik-dik posted:Vox will you please let me pump FL in peace? I want more cheap Dem Yes The chart I posted is being misread by the Trumpers, don't worry. Prices are somehow hitting a new low on GOP No (Trump people showing up like flies on poo poo and dumping max orders). Put an order in the high 50s and wait. Don't touch the Dem side unless you've maxed on the GOP side.
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Oct 27, 2016 21:42
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Vox Nihili posted:The chart I posted is being misread by the Trumpers, don't worry. Prices are somehow hitting a new low on GOP No (Trump people showing up like flies on poo poo and dumping max orders). Put an order in the high 50s and wait. Don't touch the Dem side unless you've maxed on the GOP side. Yeah I maxed GOP NO a while ago and I'm just sitting around like a dope waiting for my 55c DEM yes orders to hit. I love that these Trumpsters are so willing to put their cash where their mouths are but I wish they understood that DEM NO = GOP YES. dik-dik has issued a correction as of 22:13 on Oct 27, 2016 |
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Oct 27, 2016 21:44
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dik-dik posted:I love that these Trumpsters are so willing to put their cash where their mouths are quote:BillsCustomCalls a month ago
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Oct 28, 2016 04:36
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img:thatGrowingAAAAAAgifThatGetsMoreAndMoreRed
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Oct 28, 2016 04:38
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Necc0 posted:img:thatGrowingAAAAAAgifThatGetsMoreAndMoreRed current market rate is at 39c
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Oct 28, 2016 04:58
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Y'all are being really bold with Florida. I don't see it as a lock for Clinton, polling hasn't all been for her like her safer battlegrounds.
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Oct 28, 2016 05:29
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LinYutang posted:Y'all are being really bold with Florida. Not a lock for Clinton imo It's not but the winning strategy on this site is buying low and selling high.
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Oct 28, 2016 05:31
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I think the concession is a pretty safe Yes considering how close the election won't be??
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Oct 28, 2016 05:34
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ScrubLeague posted:I think the concession is a pretty safe Yes considering how close the election won't be?? Are you willing bet on Trump behaving honorably and graciously in the face of his greatest defeat Godspeed
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Oct 28, 2016 05:39
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ScrubLeague posted:I think the concession is a pretty safe Yes considering how close the election won't be?? You must be new here. A losing strategy is betting on your ability to read a single person's mind. A YOOGELY losing strategy is betting on your ability to read Donald Trump's mind.
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Oct 28, 2016 05:42
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Necc0 posted:A losing strategy is betting on your ability to read a single person's mind. I can confirm this.
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Oct 28, 2016 05:47
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Bahahaha Pence no is hilarious.
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Oct 28, 2016 14:22
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Florida poll (@ppppolls) Clinton 48% Trump 44% Rubio 46% Murphy 46%
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Oct 28, 2016 16:18
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I don't want to put anymore money into the market so I'm seriously considering selling off the "which party wins?" shares I bought at 71c and 65c at 79c and 75c respectively and then putting it in 60c for Florida.
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Oct 28, 2016 17:29
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Dear god my poor, poor G/L
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Oct 28, 2016 19:08
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is it time to max out on repub no if i haven't already or is this email stuff going to drive it further down?
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Oct 28, 2016 19:09
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Considering the most recent email leaks and FBI thing has dropped HRC-win into the low 70's I think it's worth throwing some money in now even though PredictIt hasn't tossed me a discount code yet. Next 10 days should be fun! edit: "We have reached the maximum number of traders for this contract." uhhhhh what? That's a thing? bawfuls has issued a correction as of 19:20 on Oct 28, 2016 |
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Oct 28, 2016 19:15
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bawfuls posted:Considering the most recent email leaks and FBI thing has dropped HRC-win into the low 70's I think it's worth throwing some money in now even though PredictIt hasn't tossed me a discount code yet. Next 10 days should be fun! bet in the parallel markets like woman president or vp or party
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Oct 28, 2016 19:28
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Thanks, the woman for prez market is also full but VP isn't yet. What is their explanation for capping markets, just to keep the total volume low enough to prevent bigger money more sophisticated traders out?
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Oct 28, 2016 19:36
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bawfuls posted:Thanks, the woman for prez market is also full but VP isn't yet. What is their explanation for capping markets, just to keep the total volume low enough to prevent bigger money more sophisticated traders out? Wikipedia says they were required to do so in order to get around online gambling laws.
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Oct 28, 2016 19:44
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:i maxed out on this a few hours ago and got a piece of the FL GOP.NO market and will now just be fingers crossed that there isn't some psychopathic october/nov surprise against hrc dik-dik posted:Dear god my poor, poor G/L IM DAY DAY IRL has issued a correction as of 19:51 on Oct 28, 2016 |
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Oct 28, 2016 19:46
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Ugh right after I maxed out.
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Oct 28, 2016 19:56
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gently caress me have to deposit more money now Jesus
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Oct 28, 2016 19:58
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got in at .68 for republican no. no on repubs winning 370 ev is now down to .88/share, about to max out on that i think.
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Oct 28, 2016 19:58
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quote:I'm probated so I can't post in the predictit thread, but due to the FBI "we're looking at new emails" release, the Trump folks are going absolutely bonkers on predictit. There are huge opportunities to buy in right now. They will probably not last.
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Oct 28, 2016 20:12
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and here I am, a dollar short and a day late
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Oct 28, 2016 20:13
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Hope everyone's buying the dip! I'd be extremely surprised if the new email story gains any significant traction past today's freak out.
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Oct 28, 2016 21:59
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Seems the dip is already over. Hope y'all had fun
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Oct 28, 2016 22:20
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