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The Insect Court
Nov 22, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Cingulate posted:

Not sure if I'm reading you correctly, but Clinton's favourables aren't particularly bad. She's at like 45%.

quote:

Registered voters see Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in a nearly identical negative light, mirroring a persistently close split in overall vote preference in a new Washington Post-ABC News Tracking Poll.

Nearly 6 in 10 registered voters have an unfavorable impression of Clinton (59 percent), and an identical percentage see Trump negatively. Nearly half of registered voters, 47 percent, have a "strongly unfavorable" view of Clinton and Trump alike.

The parity in basic popularity undermines a key advantage for Clinton throughout most of a presidential campaign where Trump set records as the most unpopular presidential candidate in polling history. Clinton's ratings were consistently negative, but were only rarely as troubled as those of her opponent.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...ing-poll-finds/

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/yougov-economist-26618

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Literally Elvis
Oct 21, 2013

Ogmius815 posted:

No loving way. Too much. I won't believe this until a real news source is reporting it.

The article posted:

The Democratic Coalition Against Trump reported [...] Rep. Chaffetz lists his personal Gmail address on business cards brandished with the Congressional seal.
Yeah, I think this is just wishful thinking on many people's part.

Sinners Sandwich
Jan 4, 2012

Give me your friend's BURGERS and SANDWICHES, I'll put out the fire.

canepazzo posted:

https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/793936316262219776

Lisa Bloom just said her client was "living in fear" and did not want to show her face and ended the press conference.

welp

That loving sucks

Edit: I'm guessing her client was ready to do this and had an attack right before the conference and decided against this. I'd hate to be in that building right now

Guy Goodbody
Aug 31, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo

Pyrolocutus posted:

Wrong thread? :v:

I like Krylon flat white for my needs.

I didn't intend to post it in this thread, but it got an answer so maybe it was the right thread all along

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer
I know I'm late to "will Hillary run in 2020?" chat but my big fear is that Bill dies in the next two odd years and she just says gently caress it and peaces out. :smith:

CascadeBeta
Feb 14, 2009

by Cyrano4747

canepazzo posted:

https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/793936316262219776

Lisa Bloom just said her client was "living in fear" and did not want to show her face and ended the press conference.

welp

:burger:

NoEyedSquareGuy
Mar 16, 2009

Just because Liquor's dead, doesn't mean you can just roll this bitch all over town with "The Freedoms."

BROCK LESBIAN posted:

Whoa I don't think America's at the point we'll drown Trump's accusers yet.

What about when he's president?

Trilas
Sep 16, 2004

Tiny Brontosaurus posted:

They usually don't get probated, anyone who makes the mistake of admitting they're a POC and then arguing with them gets probated. Like within the next 24 hours I'll have a probate or ban for this poo poo and MattyD and his Ku Klux Kru won't.

Ugh, yeah. As someone who reads most of this thread but is more often than not 10+ pages behind, I'll frequently find myself thinking "how the gently caress is this person still allowed to post this poo poo," 10 pages into some /pol/ jackass's time here, knowing there's probably 10+ more to go before it stops, and getting disheartened as gently caress when I see good posters with probated avatar pics.

I don't have that bird .gif from a while ago handy, but I'll just voice my support for KoalasMarch for mod. I raise one of my mom's Olivia Pope wine glasses to you in salute.

Pakled
Aug 6, 2011

WE ARE SMART

The Insect Court posted:

The idea that the (tied for) least popular politician in America is doing exactly as well as the most popular politician in America would have done in her place is batty. Yes, it's a counterfactual, but so is insisting that while the rollout of your new 'asphalt and dead skunk' flavored ice cream has gone poorly, strawberry ice cream wouldn't have sold any better.

It's not so far-fetched when you consider the idea that Bernie wouldn't have the same favorables if he'd won the nomination. Neither Hillary nor Republicans ever really brought out the big guns against Sanders, because he never really stood a chance of winning. Hillary had no reason to antagonize him, so her primary campaign treated him with kid gloves. Republicans saw more benefit in driving a wedge in the Democratic party so they never attacked him as much as they could have either, and in some cases even complimented him (see Trump during the debates)

It's the same reason Kasich has high favorables, nobody ever really attacked him because he was never going to win.

Moatman
Mar 21, 2014

Because the goof is all mine.

Deified Data posted:

Without daily douchebags the thread instantly reverts to a circular firing squad and gets a lot more tedious to read, so as far as I'm concerned keep 'em coming.

Yeah but people like you and I (i.e. white guys) aren't the ones who have to deal with that sort of douchebags all day every day, then come into the thread and see basically the same douchebags.

stone cold
Feb 15, 2014

NoEyedSquareGuy posted:

What about when he's president?

....so, never?

KittenofDoom
Apr 15, 2003

Me posting IRL

Agrajag posted:

i refuse to show empathy for those that show none to others and think being a racist sexist rear end in a top hat is a virtue
Eh while it's true that many of them are racist scum, from a practical standpoint wouldn't it be worthwhile to engage their concerns to prevent them from turning further away from the political mainstream?

That is, these are real people with real concerns for their future, and if the only time they're mentioned is as the butt of a joke on TV, why would they want to be part of that? I held some pretty lovely views as a kid and I wasn't willing to listen to opposing viewpoints until someone engaged me respectfully. Otherwise I might have lived in that narrow-minded bubble. We want them to change, so why shouldn't we make the effort?

Push El Burrito
May 9, 2006

Soiled Meat

Moatman posted:

Yeah but people like you and I (i.e. white guys) aren't the ones who have to deal with that sort of douchebags all day every day, then come into the thread and see basically the same douchebags.

https://vine.co/v/Ouug2zWXAlg

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Teriyaki Koinku posted:

Oh no, I can empathize with the disadvantages of being born in rural Bumfuck, Nowhere, getting a poor/stunting education and struggling for lack of jobs/mental health issues in places without adequate resources/drug abuse/etc.

I still think they're pieces of poo poo for throwing their hopes and dreams behind and find their political voice in a vile bigot and misogynist when they have choices of who to vote for, though.
Ok, I'm saying: you can emphasize with everyone, and that is not inherently, necessarily (although, in fact, rather often) indicative of political sympathies or agreement.


Ah, she's dropped recently: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/clinton_favorableunfavorable-1131.html
She was at 45 before.

Yeah, that's pretty unfavourable right now.

FactsAreUseless
Feb 16, 2011

Lightning Knight posted:

I know I'm late to "will Hillary run in 2020?" chat but my big fear is that Bill dies in the next two odd years and she just says gently caress it and peaces out. :smith:
You think Hillary "I WILL be President" Clinton would turn down the chance at a second term?

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH

Donkwich posted:

Turns out you don't even need the Got Mine for FYGM to take effect. See: any working-class Republican.

Kind of. I look at wealth redistribution as similar to any other resource: the entire world can't live as well as Americans do, and to try to accommodate them means Americans will have to make do with less. I am completely down with hoarding our nation's good things to build the best society we can and being FYGM to the rest of the world outside our borders.

I'm not against any and all immigration, but undocumented immigration is almost always poor and uneducated and is going to cost our own poor in lowering the standard share of benefits for them before it harms the wealthy.

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

Instant Sunrise posted:

to be fair, the AP did call the primary for hillary and she gave a victory speech the night before the california primary, which probably influenced the california primary results.

but otherwise yeah that's a really good point.

The Democratic primary ended Super Tuesday.

FuturePastNow
May 19, 2014


I live in Bumfuck, Nowhere surrounded by Trump voters, and I have no empathy for them. My neighbors are white trash (gasp racism)

Aves Maria!
Jul 26, 2008

Maybe I'll drown

Wonder how many Republicans are going to donate to fix the Church to show "bipartisanship" and "solidarity"

the answer is none

Wyld Thang
Feb 23, 2016

Nonsense posted:

As long as the president can accomplish a lot with a 50-50 that's better than losing it. I fear the GOP is going to take the Obama strategy to 11 with her administration though, just outright idiotic obstinate governing ahead.

The GOP will have a willing partner in the White House for the first time in years.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

As usual:

quote:

One particular group where Clinton saw a drop-off in favorability was among white men. In mid-October, 32 percent were favorable of the former secretary of state while 67 percent were unfavorable, but negative ratings have ticked up to 74 percent while positive marks are down to 24 percent. Trump's ratings stayed pretty stable among this group since earlier this month, standing at 45 percent today compared with 43 percent following the final presidential debate.

The Iron Rose
May 12, 2012

:minnie: Cat Army :minnie:

Eugene V. Dabs posted:

Wonder how many Republicans are going to donate to fix the Church to show "bipartisanship" and "solidarity"

the answer is none

Actually, no

The Iron Rose
May 12, 2012

:minnie: Cat Army :minnie:
E: Whoops double post

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

Agrajag posted:

i refuse to show empathy for those that show none to others and think being a racist sexist rear end in a top hat is a virtue

This, there's no excuse for backing the guy even if he was a saint to women and not a racist and you're basing it on policies alone.

1) Trump is a real estate developer who benefits from things like "pro business" tax handouts, adverse usage of eminent domain, and international labor arbitrage. Arguing that poor rural economically disenfranchised whites are voting for him as a reaction to how economic globalization and free trade gutted their communities is accepting, then, that they are too stupid to recognize that the guy whose name was associated with buildings, casinos staffed by immigrants, and faux-luxury clothing/accessories/knick-knacks has an interest in promoting a free trade system which makes those faux-luxury products cheaper to produce, those buildings more profitable, and those casinos more likely to draw immigrant labor for wage-depressing salaries.

2) If they're somehow instead supposed to be aware of the root causes of their pain and simply voting for the guy because he says he'll take actions detrimental to practically all aspects of his business operations, then they're cognizant of his headline plan for mass deportations and a Berlin-style border wall and at best consider it fair collateral damage.

3) If they believe free trade agreements depress wages and promote offshore labor, then it would follow that they're aware that those agreements mean lower costs of production for retail goods manufactured elsewhere. Knowing that, they accept that an increase in retail prices is acceptable collateral damage for bringing manufacturing back onshore, and would presumably accept an increase in the minimum wage but they do not, as Trump has publicly opposed a MW hike and has opined that maybe it should be lower.

Basically, all that policy poo poo makes no sense unless your motivation lies in getting rid of non-white people, building a wall, and then adopting religious discrimination as government directive.

goethe.cx
Apr 23, 2014


Can't wait for Clinton's win probability on 538 to be 53% by next Tuesday

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

FactsAreUseless posted:

You think Hillary "I WILL be President" Clinton would turn down the chance at a second term?

If my longtime spouse and partner died while I was in high office I wouldn't be overly keen to keep dealing with all the bullshit.

I guess she's more motivated than me tho. :v:

Ogmius815
Aug 25, 2005
centrism is a hell of a drug

Wyld Thang posted:

The GOP will have a willing partner in the White House for the first time in years.

I don't think it's prudent to serve takes at this temperature, you're likely to face civil liability.

Donkwich
Feb 28, 2011


Grimey Drawer

KittenofDoom posted:

Eh while it's true that many of them are racist scum, from a practical standpoint wouldn't it be worthwhile to engage their concerns to prevent them from turning further away from the political mainstream?

That is, these are real people with real concerns for their future, and if the only time they're mentioned is as the butt of a joke on TV, why would they want to be part of that? I held some pretty lovely views as a kid and I wasn't willing to listen to opposing viewpoints until someone engaged me respectfully. Otherwise I might have lived in that narrow-minded bubble. We want them to change, so why shouldn't we make the effort?

I do hope that Dems can message well enough to engage with legitimate concerns of white working class voters and prevent them for falling for xenophobic demagoguery.

But a lot of Trump's base is unsalvageable and it's a wasted effort to try and reason with them.

Captain Fargle
Feb 16, 2011

Craptacular! posted:

Kind of. I look at wealth redistribution as similar to any other resource: the entire world can't live as well as Americans do, and to try to accommodate them means Americans will have to make do with less. I am completely down with hoarding our nation's good things to build the best society we can and being FYGM to the rest of the world outside our borders.

I'm not against any and all immigration, but undocumented immigration is almost always poor and uneducated and is going to cost our own poor in lowering the standard share of benefits for them before it harms the wealthy.

Hoooooooooooly poo poo you're scum.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Wyld Thang posted:

The GOP will have a willing partner in the White House for the first time in years.

Why would Hillary be a willing partner?

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
Anything from the last 10 hours that I should be aryzing over?

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

Lightning Knight posted:

I know I'm late to "will Hillary run in 2020?" chat but my big fear is that Bill dies in the next two odd years and she just says gently caress it and peaces out. :smith:

Bill's doing great healthwise as far as I've seen. He had some heart trouble a few years ago but changed up his diet and hasn't had any trouble since. Anyway, I think the deathbed entreaty of either one of them would be for the surviving spouse to continue on their work. Power couples don't play around.

spacetoaster
Feb 10, 2014

canepazzo posted:

https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/793936316262219776

Lisa Bloom just said her client was "living in fear" and did not want to show her face and ended the press conference.

welp

Well then why even set all that up?

Guy Goodbody
Aug 31, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo

Charlz Guybon posted:

Anything from the last 10 hours that I should be aryzing over?

The woman who is accusing Trump of raping her when she was 13 announced she was going to hold a press conference, but then decided not to at the last minute

Aves Maria!
Jul 26, 2008

Maybe I'll drown

Well, at least cynicism didn't pay off for once. Though I do wonder how many of those people donating are Rs.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Charlz Guybon posted:

Anything from the last 10 hours that I should be aryzing over?

White men don't like Hillary as much.

Mel Mudkiper
Jan 19, 2012

At this point, Mudman abruptly ends the conversation. He usually insists on the last word.

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

Why would Hillary be a willing partner?

Something something nafta

Gen. Ripper
Jan 12, 2013


I loving hate that this has to be a November 8th election.

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

Craptacular! posted:

Kind of. I look at wealth redistribution as similar to any other resource: the entire world can't live as well as Americans do, and to try to accommodate them means Americans will have to make do with less. I am completely down with hoarding our nation's good things to build the best society we can and being FYGM to the rest of the world outside our borders.

I'm not against any and all immigration, but undocumented immigration is almost always poor and uneducated and is going to cost our own poor in lowering the standard share of benefits for them before it harms the wealthy.

So many of our nation's good things don't belong to us though. We took them from other people.

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Northjayhawk
Mar 8, 2008

by exmarx

spacetoaster posted:

Well then why even set all that up?

More than likely she was up for it this morning, and then received thousands of death threats

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