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joepinetree posted:For the record, and once again. PEC and Drew Linzer (now at KOS) have better track records than Nate over the last few presidential elections. It's difficult to evaluate investment funds until they've gone through both good and bad times, preferably with at least one crisis in the mix. It's easy to overoptimize for one environment, then do poorly when that environment changes. It's not hard to point to multiple sea changes that Trump's candidacy has brought to this election. I mentioned the changes in the parties' voter outreach and GOTV strategies upthread; another is the potential decoupling of the top of the GOP ticket from the bottom. Even if the models you cite were the most accurate in 2008 and 2012, it remains to be seen if they will be in 2016. Also: SNYPE 4 HRC
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Nov 3, 2016 02:31
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GalacticAcid posted:
For max cold war fun make sure you overlay the max strength Tsar Bomba, 100 megatons. Do an airburst a few hundred feet up. It takes me half an hour to drive to my grandparents one state over. The tsar bomba dropped on their house would kill me 30 miles away.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:31
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I'm in Manhattan right now and this is...pretty discomfiting!
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Axetrain posted:Holy poo poo this thread is barely 2 days old and more than 120 pages already. Did something big happen or is that just the speed this thing moves at? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8X48RiKQmFQ&t=77s
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Nov 3, 2016 02:31
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The voices in his head are coming out to play 
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Nov 3, 2016 02:31
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David Duke is now chatting with some white supremacist radio host and just said "milquetoast cuckservative"
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Nov 3, 2016 02:33
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Here is video of Trump's crazy comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNMeKSJC9ao they start at 24:00
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Nov 3, 2016 02:35
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Mr Hootington posted:Here is video of Trump's crazy comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNMeKSJC9ao At first I thought the classical music was from the rally and not the stream, and was thinking "holy poo poo Trump really is losing his loving mind if he thinks his supporters want to hear that."
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Nov 3, 2016 02:36
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Texas Early Vote http://www.sos.state.tx.us/Elections/earlyvoting/archive.shtml 2012 --- 3,407,497 votes through Nov 2nd out of 8,653,889 registered voters 2016 ---- 3,311,159 votes through Nov 1st out of 9,759,797 registered voters
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Nov 3, 2016 02:38
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Hillarys lead is slipping day by day
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Nov 3, 2016 02:38
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Mr Hootington posted:Here is video of Trump's crazy comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNMeKSJC9ao Oh, okay, he's just making a joke.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:39
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This rally is pretty cool. Tons of people and Gabby Giffords in on stage. She's got the whole crowd chanting "Gabby! Gabby!" If you skipped this. You're a sucker. Data is limited so I can't post pictures.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:39
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xrunner posted:Doctors and lawyers are both subject to mandatory reporter laws, fyi (It gets tricky with client privilege, and can be a minefield to navigate, but they definitely are subject to them). But not in all cases (iirc: Defense Attorneys aren't expected to tell prosecutors if their client confesses their guilt?) which would be the same for priests. Someone saying "hey father I did X terrible thing" when they see them in church is not the same as going in to confession. ComradeCosmobot posted:Gloria La Riva believes Hugo Chavez did no wrong because anti-imperialists can do no wrong by definition. I'm guessing she's also too stupid to realize that Chavez would've gone full imperialist in a heartbeat if he thought he could've pulled it off. Like, there wasn't much good or noble about Chavez. He was a legit awful monster of a person and people defended his actions because AMERIKKKA BAD.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:41
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This election is tearing this forum apart
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Nov 3, 2016 02:44
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St. John Coltrane posted:This election is tearing this forum apart Post a map that proves this and toxx.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:45
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GalacticAcid posted:George W Bush lost Connecticut twice tbf it's hard to find those smaller states on the map in Where in the U.S.A. is Carmen Sandiego.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:47
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Hahaha holy poo poo i'm streaming HRC's speech in Tempe and had to close the comments because they're basically all KILLARY! LOCK HER UP! and its gross. And basically every little reaction emoji across the bottom is an angry face. If thats any indication you guys, I think Trump may have this one in the bag.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:48
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I've never been anxious about a election result till now. I'm having a bit of a crisis that this is actually happening, wtf.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:48
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Iron Lung posted:Hahaha holy poo poo i'm streaming HRC's speech in Tempe and had to close the comments because they're basically all KILLARY! LOCK HER UP! and its gross. And basically every little reaction emoji across the bottom is an angry face. If thats any indication you guys, I think Trump may have this one in the bag. That's X amount of Trump people not doing anything productive GOTV-wise
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Nov 3, 2016 02:49
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Mr Hootington posted:https://twitter.com/apblake/status/793972795634020352 Why is there only one single person sitting in the audience
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Nov 3, 2016 02:50
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Evil Fluffy posted:But not in all cases (iirc: Defense Attorneys aren't expected to tell prosecutors if their client confesses their guilt?) which would be the same for priests. Someone saying "hey father I did X terrible thing" when they see them in church is not the same as going in to confession. At least for attorneys the broad rule of thumb is you have a duty to break confidentiality when your client is about to seriously harm or kill someone and he tells you about it. Most states include serious financial harm too.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:51
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What happened with the press conference with the victim?
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Nov 3, 2016 02:51
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Pastrymancy posted:That's X amount of Trump people not doing anything productive
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Nov 3, 2016 02:52
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blue squares posted:Why is there only one single person sitting in the audience The university chose to have the debate in an empty auditorium because Duke was there.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:52
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Pastrymancy posted:That's X amount of Trump people not doing anything productive GOTV-wise Arzy's until next week (i'm kidding). Gabby Giffords just spoke and she is just amazing.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:52
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Spaced God posted:So, do you think the team of Special Agents who have to visit people who threaten the President/candidates are gonna get a super big Christmas bonus this year? Due to the high workload, over one third of Secret Service agents have hit their salary maximum and are now being required to work unpaid overtime.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:53
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disjoe posted:At least for attorneys the broad rule of thumb is you have a duty to break confidentiality when your client is about to seriously harm or kill someone and he tells you about it. Most states include serious financial harm too. In a lot of states, it's discretionary and not mandatory. The ABA Model Rules say that a lawyer "may" break confidentiality in those circumstances
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Nov 3, 2016 02:53
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https://twitter.com/MajorCBS/status/793954005743452161
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Nov 3, 2016 02:53
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blue squares posted:Why is there only one single person sitting in the audience Because the meeeeeeeeeedia.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:54
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Almost All Last-Minute Bets Are for Trump, Paddy Power Saysquote:In the betting markets at least, Donald Trump is crushing Hillary Clinton. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9D-QD_HIfjA
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Nov 3, 2016 02:54
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Charlz Guybon posted:Texas Early Vote I should note that those are 2012's totals. 2016 has three more days of early voting to go.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:55
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That Hillary ad that just aired during the World Series is new right? Holy poo poo.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:55
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Gail Wynand posted:That Hillary ad that just aired during the World Series is new right? Holy poo poo. Which one?
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Nov 3, 2016 02:55
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Denzer posted:Almost All Last-Minute Bets Are for Trump, Paddy Power Says How do you run a book where you don't balance the money?
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Nov 3, 2016 02:56
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Nevvy Z posted:What happened with the press conference with the victim? She decided not to go public after receiving numerous death threats from deplorables.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:57
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:Which one?
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Nov 3, 2016 02:57
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Denzer posted:Almost All Last-Minute Bets Are for Trump, Paddy Power Says Thats because Trump has longer odds but the media is portraying it as a coinflip so they think Paddy's lines are exploiyable. Paddy's lines are not wrong.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:58
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Iron Lung posted:Hahaha holy poo poo i'm streaming HRC's speech in Tempe and had to close the comments because they're basically all KILLARY! LOCK HER UP! and its gross. And basically every little reaction emoji across the bottom is an angry face. If thats any indication you guys, I think Trump may have this one in the bag. That's only indicative of people who comment on YouTube videos. Lord knows they don't count for much. BI NOW GAY LATER posted:Which one? The one that's just Trump's comments on women, in his own words. It's kind of amazing how much better her ads are.
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Nov 3, 2016 02:58
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Bret Baier: FBI Sources Believe Clinton Foundation Case Moving Towards "Likely an Indictment"
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Nov 3, 2016 02:59
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Ganon posted:Bret Baier: FBI Sources Believe Clinton Foundation Case Moving Towards "Likely an Indictment" Wait, I thought the Clinton Foundation case was well and truly closed? And in any case gently caress the FBI.
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Nov 3, 2016 03:01
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Ganon posted:Bret Baier: FBI Sources Believe Clinton Foundation Case Moving Towards "Likely an Indictment" yeah, ok bret I hope Shep Smith gives him a big ol' noogie whenever they see each other.
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Nov 3, 2016 03:01
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