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Magres
Jul 14, 2011

Holy poo poo this is amazing

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VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011
Probation
Can't post for 3 days!

Evil Fluffy posted:

IIRC the short version is he was poo poo when he was younger, realized he was being awful and spent years/decades working to make amends and help minorities. The NAACP doesn't give high marks to ex-klansmen just because they're Democrats, which is probably what your friend is going to keep arguing they did.

Some idiot brings this up on my friend's dad's Facebook all the time. Said idiot's response to the NAACP's 100% rating for Byrd is "the NAACP can be bought".

They don't care about the truth if they're bringing up Byrd, they just want a narrative that will let them ignore black people without admitting it to themselves/others. If they had an honest interest in civil rights they wouldn't be conservatives.

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.
I lost :( I got caught by the poll inspectors

canepazzo
May 29, 2006



ABC sprung a new tracking poll by surprise, now 47-43 Clinton from 47-44 earlier today.

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/794668933710249984

Geostomp
Oct 22, 2008

Unite: MASH!!
~They've got the bad guys on the run!~

climboutonalimb posted:

Unironically, by in large, the press has been absolutely derelict of duty this season. There has been some very good reporting this season but sensationalist headlines and a the overwhelming focus on Trump's spectacle over substance and facts has horrifying consequences. Trump's politifact rating is in the toilet vs Hillary's objectively decent rating however the recent ABC tracking poll has voter trustworthiness scale at 46:38 in favor of Trump.

Obviously a republican congressional investigation into the "corrupt media" won't be held in good faith but it still pisses me off.

Daring to ever question a Republican on what they actually plan to do or not posting every single conspiracy theory from Drudge is intolerable "bias" to conservatives these days much like not being sufficiently fanatical makes you a liberal RINO. They're angry that they don't benefit enough from the media outside their propaganda outlets and want to show off their cred to the base. Needless to say, there is no way such an investigation would lead to anything remotely positive.

Feldegast42
Oct 29, 2011

COMMENCE THE RITE OF SHITPOSTING


This is top tier right here.

GalacticAcid
Apr 8, 2013

NEW YORK VALUES

VitalSigns posted:

Some idiot brings this up on my friend's dad's Facebook all the time. Said idiot's response to the NAACP's 100% rating for Byrd is "the NAACP can be bought".

They don't care about the truth if they're bringing up Byrd, they just want a narrative that will let them ignore black people without admitting it to themselves/others. If they had an honest interest in civil rights they wouldn't be conservatives.

It's the exact same "logic" you see in YouTubesque comments like "Actually the Democrats were the party of slavery :smuggo: and of the Jim Crow South :smuggo: ergo the libs are the real racists :smuggo:"

Nosre
Apr 16, 2002



Eugene V. Dabs posted:

...If Trump outperforms polls by 2 percent. Which, with his anemic ground game is unlikely to be true and will probably mean he under performs polls by that or more.

Is there a slider on 270towin (or another site) that can show you different maps based on other values of outperforming? I can't find one. Curious what Hilldawg would do at +3 or 4

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Geostomp posted:

Daring to ever question a Republican on what they actually plan to do or not posting every single conspiracy theory from Drudge is intolerable "bias" to conservatives these days much like not being sufficiently fanatical makes you a liberal RINO. They're angry that they don't benefit enough from the media outside their propaganda outlets and want to show off their cred to the base. Needless to say, there is no way such an investigation would lead to anything remotely positive.
Yeah they're kind of in a bind here, because like, 30% of their message is "MEDIA BIAS!!!" but at this point the media bias is almost entirely in their favor where it exists at all? Like it's not that you can't ever see positive words about a Democrat, but compare Trump to Clinton coverage on even a casual basis. They ignored her rallies entirely to show footage of an empty podium Trump might speak at in a while.

Lemming
Apr 21, 2008

canepazzo posted:

ABC sprung a new tracking poll by surprise, now 47-43 Clinton from 47-44 earlier today.

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/794668933710249984

-0.7% for Hillary

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



canepazzo posted:

ABC sprung a new tracking poll by surprise, now 47-43 Clinton from 47-44 earlier today.

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/794668933710249984

Gotta get in the herd.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Nosre posted:

Is there a slider on 270towin (or another site) that can show you different maps based on other values of outperforming? I can't find one. Curious what Hilldawg would do at +3 or 4
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/
Similar?

HookedOnChthonics
Dec 5, 2015

Profoundly dull


Cingulate posted:

Well, as I said:


But are you saying that this is where the moral outrage (don't mean to use the term to belittle anyone, it's just the best words I can think of) comes from - that if I had said the above more, and earlier, it would have not been as controversial, morally speaking?

I'm not wondering about people who think I'm empirically wrong, but about those who think I'm stating something morally abhorrent.

Oh, it's no more abhorrently wrong than whatever agenda it gets used to push (for probably the vast majority of white people, you and I included, a better world is a whiter world at some unconscious 'yes, this jibes with my gut' way, and progress narratives have made it easy for e.g. Communist regimes to paper over liquidating the undesirables). It's just an impressively unhelpful narrative and whenever someone parrots it online a historian sighs and knocks back a shot of something foul.


e: Here's a good example. There's a massive mural, painted in 1995, by an artist who was really prolific in the space art scene. Picture books about space exploration, posters, prints, that sort of thing, NASA commissioned a bunch of official portraits and stuff from him. You've probably seen his work. This mural goes all the way from abiogenesis and cell division on the left through evolution and civilization and then space exploration and utopia. The centerpiece is portraits of luminary figures of science and discovery floating, beneficent, around a Voyager-plaque style depiction of a full family group of Homo Sapiens: young Matthew McConaughey father, Kate Upton mother, little tow-headed kids. Among Newton, da Vinci, Crick and Watson, Einstein, Magellan, the only non-Europeans (in the entire 6x10 mural in fact) were MLK and Qin Shi Huan.

HookedOnChthonics fucked around with this message at 23:52 on Nov 4, 2016

Geostomp
Oct 22, 2008

Unite: MASH!!
~They've got the bad guys on the run!~

Nessus posted:

Yeah they're kind of in a bind here, because like, 30% of their message is "MEDIA BIAS!!!" but at this point the media bias is almost entirely in their favor where it exists at all? Like it's not that you can't ever see positive words about a Democrat, but compare Trump to Clinton coverage on even a casual basis. They ignored her rallies entirely to show footage of an empty podium Trump might speak at in a while.

Yes, but they also make Trump look crazy by talking about the things he actually says and does instead listing his positive message of ..........

Thus proving that they are evil LIEberals unlike their propaganda friends who are the only truth tellers they care to hear. That's the level of delusion they have instilled in their base.

Samuel Clemens
Oct 4, 2013

I think we should call the Avengers.

I really wanna see a post-mortem on the ABC tracking poll because that thing is crazy.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Schizotek posted:

The modern USA is more religious than when it was founded.

That's just completely bullshit. Early America was religious as all hell, what with the amount of people being Christian being way over 90% and regular attendance at churches being way more common.

To say nothing of how for a very long time, until Supreme Court rulings of the 50s-80s, all sorts of explicitly religious stuff was mandated in government and education.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Geostomp posted:

Yes, but they also make Trump look crazy by talking about the things he actually says and does instead listing his positive message of ..........
Ah yes, the slanderous misrepresentation of quoting him verbatim from a couple of weeks ago

Shammypants
May 25, 2004

Let me tell you about true luxury.

Geostomp posted:

Yes, but they also make Trump look crazy by talking about the things he actually says and does instead listing his positive message of ..........

My favorite part of MSM punditry is when Trump surrogates say "people want to talk about the issues not scandals," which, when translated directly from Trumplethinskin is "we want to talk about Clinton scandals exclusively."

Bicyclops
Aug 27, 2004

Hollismason posted:

I lost :( I got caught by the poll inspectors



Me too, twice as two different characters. What the heck?! It's like someone's trying to rig this game to get certain players to lose!

;)

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

canepazzo posted:

ABC sprung a new tracking poll by surprise, now 47-43 Clinton from 47-44 earlier today.

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/794668933710249984

So how much does this decrease Hillarys chances on 538.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



fishmech posted:

That's just completely bullshit. Early America was religious as all hell, what with the amount of people being Christian being way over 90% and regular attendance at churches being way more common.

To say nothing of how for a very long time, until Supreme Court rulings of the 50s-80s, all sorts of explicitly religious stuff was mandated in government and education.
While religious belief was widespread, sentiment against public recognition of religion save in a very generic sense was surprisingly contentious. We all know about the Barbary Pirates treaty quote, but there is also the fact that "Under God" wasn't added to the pledge of allegiance OR our currency until after World War II, and there were many efforts to oppose funding of parochial schools on the grounds that that would be supporting a religious institution. The Bible was more widely used for educational purposes but I believe at least part of this would be that a Bible would be one of the most readily available books, even going back into the 19th century.

Schizotek
Nov 8, 2011

I say, hey, listen to me!
Stay sane inside insanity!!!

Cingulate posted:

Well, as I said:


But are you saying that this is where the moral outrage (don't mean to use the term to belittle anyone, it's just the best words I can think of) comes from - that if I had said the above more, and earlier, it would have not been as controversial, morally speaking?

I'm not wondering about people who think I'm empirically wrong, but about those who think I'm stating something morally abhorrent.

It's not morally abhorrent. It's just factually wrong, and breeds complacency. Some posters think you're garbage for other reasons I guess, but I'm not familiar enough with your posting to say so one way or the other. But your view of history is wrong, and every historian on earth would tell you so.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

HookedOnChthonics posted:

for probably the vast majority of white people, you and I included, a better world is a whiter world at some unconscious 'yes, this jibes with my gut' way
I'm living in a very homogenous society right now, and if I'm thinking of the brightest future, I actually do subconsciously think of something a good bit more Californian and diverse than what I have here.
Maybe that is just my immediate association because my scientist friends are more diverse than the people in my immediate surroundings, or because California has nicer weather ... but still, San Francisco or Chicago feel more like THE FUTURE to me than the super-white european places I know.
Although I guess Switzerland is nice.


HookedOnChthonics posted:

It's just an impressively unhelpful narrative
That is I think not necessarily true - I think it can be a powerful progressive message. But that's a different topic.

Teddybear
May 16, 2009

Look! A teddybear doll!
It's soooo cute!


So this'll be a fun story this weekend, possibly:

http://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2016-11-04/washington-state-elector-says-he-wont-vote-for-clinton

Northjayhawk
Mar 8, 2008

by exmarx
https://twitter.com/michaelsderby/status/794669445931274240

"Stay the gently caress out, or else"

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...




He won't have a job Monday.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Schizotek posted:

It's not morally abhorrent. It ... breeds complacency
I think these two are actually somewhat contradictory (though abhorrent would be too strong a word). If progress is achievable, complacency is morally bad.

I guess he's not a historian, but one of the few, and definitely most famous person to hold the view is of course Barack Obama:
https://www.wired.com/2016/10/president-obama-guest-edits-wired-essay/

Obama posted:

I believe we can work together to do big things that raise the fortunes of people here at home and all over the world. And even if we’ve got some work left to do on faster-than-light travel, I still believe science and technology is the warp drive that accelerates that kind of change for everybody.

Here’s another thing I believe: We are far better equipped to take on the challenges we face than ever before. I know that might sound at odds with what we see and hear these days in the cacophony of cable news and social media. But the next time you’re bombarded with over-the-top claims about how our country is doomed or the world is coming apart at the seams, brush off the cynics and fearmongers. Because the truth is, if you had to choose any time in the course of human history to be alive, you’d choose this one. Right here in America, right now.

That doesn't look like complacency to me either. Looks like a call for action.

Iron Lung
Jul 24, 2007
Life.Iron Lung. Death.

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

So how much does this decrease Hillarys chances on 538.

Unless im reading 538 wrong, it doesn't seem to reflect this poll yet under the national polls section. Trump and Johnsons numbers are off.

Sulphagnist
Oct 10, 2006

WARNING! INTRUDERS DETECTED

I keep doing this every day by now, but here's a thought experiment: what if Clinton's transition chief Ken Salazar's staffers from his stint in the the Department of the Interior were convicted of fraud and conspiracy the Friday before election day. The election would be over. Pundits would be stumbling over each other demanding her to step down in favour of Tim Kaine. There'd be a vast congressional investigation.

Teddybear
May 16, 2009

Look! A teddybear doll!
It's soooo cute!


Oh, apparently Politico picked this up back on the 12th, too. http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/washington-elector-hillary-clinton-rejection-229647

So I'm guessing that the Washington Dems can't toss him? Who knows.

Northjayhawk
Mar 8, 2008

by exmarx

Well, the 270-268 scenario is very unlikely anyway

Feldegast42
Oct 29, 2011

COMMENCE THE RITE OF SHITPOSTING


God drat it. Yeah, American Indians will be treated just dandy if Trump takes office and he totally won't instruct the national guard / military to shoot all the protesters blocking the oil pipeline.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Antti posted:

I keep doing this every day by now, but here's a thought experiment: what if Clinton's transition chief Ken Salazar's staffers from his stint in the the Department of the Interior were convicted of fraud and conspiracy the Friday before election day. The election would be over. Pundits would be stumbling over each other demanding her to step down in favour of Tim Kaine. There'd be a vast congressional investigation.
To indict the staffers
They'd have to hurry
It's late on Friday
I wouldn't worry

Burma Shave

Samuel Clemens
Oct 4, 2013

I think we should call the Avengers.


There was an elector in Georgia who said the same thing for Trump. It won't matter.

Acropolis
Feb 21, 2014

Bicyclops posted:

Me too, twice as two different characters. What the heck?! It's like someone's trying to rig this game to get certain players to lose!

;)

In real life I'm a White Male Programmer from California and I had no problem in the game or in real life. Obviously, you just need to git gud. :smuggo:

But for reals, the game actually understates how easy it is for me to go vote. I've gotten an absentee ballot in the past, forgotten to mail it, and walked into a completely empty polling place to drop it off on election day with zero harassment from Picketing Family Value Voting Christians across the street. The fact that voter suppression is a thing that happens at all anywhere in this country is loving monstrous and needs to stop.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

Nessus posted:

While religious belief was widespread, sentiment against public recognition of religion save in a very generic sense was surprisingly contentious. We all know about the Barbary Pirates treaty quote, but there is also the fact that "Under God" wasn't added to the pledge of allegiance OR our currency until after World War II, and there were many efforts to oppose funding of parochial schools on the grounds that that would be supporting a religious institution. The Bible was more widely used for educational purposes but I believe at least part of this would be that a Bible would be one of the most readily available books, even going back into the 19th century.

Like, dude, many states had state-composed prayers to god that the public school students were required to say, up until they were made illegal in the 50s and 60s by supreme court rulings. There was no pledge of allegiance until a group of socialists invented it in the late 1800s, so of course under god wasn't there. There was no "need" to try to fund religious schools so long as the public schools were heavily Christian, as they were, and incidentally those same public schools were kept largely white.

The very fact that the Bible was so particularly widely available as to be a basic educational tool by necessity is an example of how Christian early America was.


The Barbary Treaty and the personal opinions of some of the founding fathers towards Deism are nice and all, but they don't reflect how the average American behaved or how they were governed. Resistance to having a state church largely came out of the fact that choosing to have all of America be Catholic, say, or all of it Anglican or whatever other thing? That would have alienated a large swathe of the rest of the country that was trying to be built, dating back to the kinds of religions that the colonies tended to enforce. We essentially got federal religious tolerance as a result of political expedience.

Alec Bald Snatch
Sep 12, 2012

by exmarx

Nosre posted:

Is there a slider on 270towin (or another site) that can show you different maps based on other values of outperforming? I can't find one. Curious what Hilldawg would do at +3 or 4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/08/15/which_state_will_push_clinton_or_trump_over_the_top_131483.html

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax
Lol the only mod response in the QCS thread is a tone argument. Never fails.

Alec Bald Snatch
Sep 12, 2012

by exmarx

oh no we'll disrupt their barely functional quasi-third world kleptocracy

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botany
Apr 27, 2013

by Lowtax

Tiny Brontosaurus posted:

Lol the only mod response in the QCS thread is a tone argument. Never fails.

By a dude who doesn't post in this entire subforum, ever. "Let me tell you how I think you should run the place..."

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