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Tainen
Jan 23, 2004

JHomer722 posted:

Are reports of early vote margins based on exit polling or actual ballot counting? If the former, are exit polls generally reliable?

Party registration and demographics. The votes don't get counted till polls close on Tuesday and I don't think anyone does exit polls for early voting other than the standard pollsters adding a question about it in their regular surveys.

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VAGENDA OF MANOCIDE
Aug 1, 2004

whoa, what just happened here?







College Slice

Night10194 posted:

It's going to be hilarious if the LV screens all missed that a shitload of minority voters were about to bury him.

this is a thing that is happening

anecdotally, one of my friend's entire circle is evangelical asian and hence fairly anti-democratic (though usually barely vote)

they've all been activated this year

and they're not voting R

jarofpiss
May 16, 2009

WEH posted:

The US and maaaaaybe Israel both have programs to utilize dolphins to detect stuff like mines etc in the ocean, yes

hmm this is very disturbing. do we have a statement from either of the candidates regarding this shocking revelation?

eonwe
Aug 11, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
hey guys, trump is gonna get owned on election day

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



WEH posted:

The US and maaaaaybe Israel both have programs to utilize dolphins to detect stuff like mines etc in the ocean, yes

That's badass

unlimited shrimp
Aug 30, 2008
funny how a donald will change things
it's funny how a donald will change things
funny how donald can change things
funny how donald can change things
funny how change can donald things
funny how change can donald things
funny how things can donald change
funny how things can donald change
donald
donald
donald
donal
donnoh
donnoh
dunno
doh no
oh no
oh no
oh no
oh no

corn in the bible
Jun 5, 2004

Oh no oh god it's all true!

Epic High Five posted:

I think he said he was going to cast it for Bernie

HILLARY 269

MariusLecter
Sep 5, 2009

NI MUERTE NI MIEDO

Epic High Five posted:

I wear size 9.5 and everywhere I go has shoes my size and at a reasonable price

I used to envy not getting the tall genes so common in my family until I looked at what big and tall people have to pay for clothes

you end up paying like a million bucks for shoes that still dun fit right and make your feet hurt

i was just at a Ross here in Austin not a few hours ago

went to the 13+ rack of shoes where another guy was browsing, asked him, "See any 13 wides? heh"



guy had a pair of size 17s

about the same height as me but
his feet were like the way ann coulter's hands are

:stare:

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



HILLARY CURES DEPLORABLES posted:

hey guys, trump is gonna get owned on election day

hell, same

Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

so this is how the third cold war begins...

Decius
Oct 14, 2005

Ramrod XTreme

Ages posted:

If Nate's model gives Hillary a 51% chance of victory, and she beats Trump badly, he can still claim it worked, I guess.

If she get's 270 EV he can, but if she wins with 5% or more, or 300+ EV? Then the hedging poo poo doesn't fly. Because that never was a 51 or 65 % win chance race, but a 98-98 % one.

WEH
Feb 22, 2009

Hell yea



wait what



jarofpiss posted:

hmm this is very disturbing. do we have a statement from either of the candidates regarding this shocking revelation?

"dolphins are wonderful people i eat them every day" and "check my emails"

MariusLecter
Sep 5, 2009

NI MUERTE NI MIEDO
I think I met a Tall Grey - Human hybrid in Austin

jarofpiss
May 16, 2009

it's gotta be tough being a seal sharpshooter with just flippers and no fingers

yaleforks
Dec 2, 2007

I drank a quart of bourbam and now my wife is making Mr sleep on the couch.
Ed balls

DEEP STATE PLOT
Aug 13, 2008

Yes...Ha ha ha...YES!



WEH posted:



He's actually not wrong about this though I'm suspicious that it would be that cheap to shield against a significant solar event which is the bigger threat not some moron country blowing nukes up way over the US

yeah if a cme ever hits earth directly, we are extremely hosed. it would be a massive catastrophe.

NecroMonster
Jan 4, 2009

saving the whales
an agenda for some
nuking them
sits well with me

Tom Guycot
Oct 15, 2008

Chief of Governors



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x72w_69yS1A

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/794757748265095168

This is a good deal beyond historically low for the GOP

It is half of what Romney got, which was almost half of what Dubbya got

VAGENDA OF MANOCIDE
Aug 1, 2004

whoa, what just happened here?







College Slice

Epic High Five posted:

https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/794757748265095168

This is a good deal beyond historically low for the GOP

It is half of what Romney got, which was almost half of what Dubbya got

most polls are detecting the usual 70-30-ish split

I'm pretty sure LD will be closer to the mark nationally

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



Epic High Five posted:

https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/794757748265095168

This is a good deal beyond historically low for the GOP

It is half of what Romney got, which was almost half of what Dubbya got

t e x a s

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Cubey posted:

yeah if a cme ever hits earth directly, we are extremely hosed. it would be a massive catastrophe.

or a GRB, that's my main fear

sterlize the planet down to the bedrock in a ~12 hours

Karl Sharks
Feb 20, 2008

The Immortal Science of Sharksism-Fininism

Epic High Five posted:

lol isn't the Trump campaign barred from sending poll watchers?

is that nationwide or just in ohio?

iospace
Jan 19, 2038


https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/794772840507543552
:getin:

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



is it only self hating latinos voting for trump or is it (more likely) strictly a single issue religion thing?

DEEP STATE PLOT
Aug 13, 2008

Yes...Ha ha ha...YES!



Epic High Five posted:

or a GRB, that's my main fear

sterlize the planet down to the bedrock in a ~12 hours

we already know the stars that could potentially gently caress us with a grb. the only one in range that may go off soon is betelgeuse and it appears unlikely that its poles are pointed towards us so we're fine. cmes are a lot more common and there's basically jack we could do about them. humanity would survive but the modern way of life would come to a grinding halt for years and years. i dunno that society would outright collapse but poo poo would be real bad for a good while.

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

Epic High Five posted:

or a GRB, that's my main fear

sterlize the planet down to the bedrock in a ~12 hours

perhaps some extremely racist comic book panels will ease your fears

Ostentatious
Sep 29, 2010

publishko
Feb 16, 2014

WEH posted:

The US and maaaaaybe Israel both have programs to utilize dolphins to detect stuff like mines etc in the ocean, yes

this is a thing in Johnny Pneumonic (the short story at least). I never knew it was based in reality

NecroMonster
Jan 4, 2009

Epic High Five posted:

or a GRB, that's my main fear

sterlize the planet down to the bedrock in a ~12 hours

brain aneurysm

also alligators and crocodiles

cams
Mar 28, 2003


MariusLecter
Sep 5, 2009

NI MUERTE NI MIEDO

triple sulk posted:

is it only self hating latinos voting for trump or is it (more likely) strictly a single issue religion thing?

Mostly column A and a bit of columb B

People really loving hate foodstamps welfare queens that buy junk food or really good food and cook out and stuff
want trump to cut all the foodstamps and get rid of section 8 housing etc

i guess some idiots also voting cause of abortion lol

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

triple sulk posted:

is it only self hating latinos voting for trump or is it (more likely) strictly a single issue religion thing?

There are a lot of self-hating latinos who look down on just-arrivals, versus the fact their own grandparents/great-grandparents, perhaps even as soon as their parents made it successfully here (illegally). Anybody bragging about getting here legally, yeah big red flag in our community.

Phyresis
Nov 2, 2004

I can't sleep, I hope I stay awake

Cause I've been running, running, running all day

Long nights, no peace

I feel like everybody's eyes on me

uncurable mlady posted:

i get a little bit

genghis khan

Lathespin.gif
May 19, 2005
Pillbug

Essential Inks posted:

Fun Fact: To crucify every Trump voter along the perimeter of the continental US (each on a 6 ft cross), they need to be arrayed 20 deep.



hail satan

MariusLecter
Sep 5, 2009

NI MUERTE NI MIEDO
T E X A S S

WEH
Feb 22, 2009

Epic High Five posted:

or a GRB, that's my main fear

sterlize the planet down to the bedrock in a ~12 hours

not remotely possible given our neighborhood and even then the rich would survive because it would just amplify UV for a while unless it was implausibly strong

Neeksy
Mar 29, 2007

Hej min vän, hur står det till?
I'm not worried about Trump winning so much as I'm worried about the GOP keeping the senate and preventing basic governance/appointments, or forcing Clinton to make lovely decisions like appointing Republicans to the FBI that has created half of this nightmare scenario.

Also post-Trump violence from legit crazy separatists that have been riled up to even higher madness than during Obama's term.

eonwe
Aug 11, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
trump is bad

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the bitcoin of weed
Nov 1, 2014


me gusta

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