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bernie i know you're optimistic about the good inside all people but that shell of economic anxiety is pretty much translucent
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Nov 5, 2016 18:10
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Schnorkles posted:I haven't seen the county by county numbers from yesterday, but R overperformance in a lot of counties has started to slow. I think there's a lot of cannibalized vote and they're running out of olds [as I noted yesterday], but I'll need to see numbers from a few counties before I put much credence in it. good thing we have a couple more days of numbers to parse, right?
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Nov 5, 2016 18:11
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man this thread is so different today. Sojenus posted:bernie i know you're optimistic about the good inside all people i dunno if he believes it irl, just doing the stay-positive-politician thing. or maybe he believes it, i dont know the man
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Nov 5, 2016 18:11
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https://twitter.com/mongo_ebooks/status/794925719600119808?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Nov 5, 2016 18:11
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alnilam posted:srsly i keep saying this, you would have to go laughably out of your way to take transit to your polling station in philly or pittsburgh for that matter Philly goon here. There is a polling station literally on the ground floor of my apartment. Y'all need to chill.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:12
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https://twitter.com/HenryLovesYou/status/794949335838523392 Hail Satan 
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Nov 5, 2016 18:12
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Also hearty lols on Melania being an illegal immigrant just lol
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Nov 5, 2016 18:12
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Agrajag posted:So, do we get to have a database of tweets/names to name and shame all the people who supported racism, bigotry, sexism, sexual assault, throughout the Cheeto's campaign? I want to call it the Trumpism database or the Trumpism list. I really would like a list of people to follow on Twitter to watch the meltdowns on Tuesday night.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:12
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Zas posted:man this thread is so different today. Yeah our politics are basically going to turn into the battle of the bastards from GOT.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:12
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Zas posted:i dunno if he believes it irl, just doing the stay-positive-politician thing. or maybe he believes it, i dont know the man "Please think we don't think you're awful so you're slightly less likely to violently disenfranchise our voters on election day"
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Nov 5, 2016 18:13
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VAGENDA OF MANOCIDE posted:good thing we have a couple more days of numbers to parse, right? Yup. I actually think FL looks better for dems than NC right now and NC doesn't actually look that bad. 
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Nov 5, 2016 18:13
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zen death robot posted:Ty for reminding me to add a few extra backend servers ill serve you a back end, handsome
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Nov 5, 2016 18:14
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Is this were USPol refugees go to for their pillow and sleeping bag, until we can be vetted to integrate into the population?
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Nov 5, 2016 18:13
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Trick tweet, he has no friends
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Nov 5, 2016 18:14
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Schnorkles posted:There's a lot of questions in both NC and FL about who's turning out low probability voters and who's just cannibalizing their day-of share. Are there? Because from all I have seen there is speculation that Trump is turning out low probability voters but his base is entirely white men which are the highest probability voters already. I'm really suspect to the idea that Trump is really turning out a significant group of voters that previously felt disenfranchised. Frankly I think to the extent that those voters exist they are honestly too loving stupid to figure out how to vote in the first place. Keep in mind that Trump basically made no effort at voter registration at any of his events, I honestly would not be surprised if many of his supporters turn up at polls on the 8th to find that they aren't even registered to vote or they are registered to vote at an old address.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:14
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Schnorkles posted:Yup. I actually think FL looks better for dems than NC right now and NC doesn't actually look that bad. Lol if we just end up with 2012, exactly.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:14
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https://twitter.com/bryanmimsWRAL/status/794939592445227008
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Nov 5, 2016 18:15
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Night10194 posted:Lol if we just end up with 2012, exactly. I'll be pretty surprised if HRC wins Iowa. Though I guess it isn't impossible.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:14
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industrial music has become so dominated by actual nazis that Hanzel und Gretyl dropped a goofy command and conquer-esque nazi schtick for a much more boring satan schtick  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7FbqLzygvA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PFFJ3zvstl4 industrial isn't the same without ironic fascist themes
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Nov 5, 2016 18:15
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skylined! posted:Is this were USPol refugees go to for their pillow and sleeping bag, until we can be vetted to integrate into the population? well you're not getting mine without a fight and I've been here since the beginning
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Nov 5, 2016 18:15
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Schnorkles posted:Also there's a real important thing here. Turnout in EV =/= Greater turnout on election day. There's a lot of questions in both NC and FL about who's turning out low probability voters and who's just cannibalizing their day-of share. also need to point out that the black turnout in nc for the past 3/4 days matched 2012 levels (around 27/28% of the daily total), so it's more people are voting later in the ev cycle and there seems to be a dropoff in white/republican vote which could point to election day cannibalization
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Nov 5, 2016 18:15
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Three Olives posted:Are there? Because from all I have seen there is speculation that Trump is turning out low probability voters but his base is entirely white men which are the highest probability voters already. My feeling is generally this. Trump's support votes at high levels anyways. The higher turnout gets, the better it gets for Democrats.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:15
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Pomp posted:industrial music has become so dominated by actual nazis that Hanzel und Gretyl dropped a goofy command and conquer-esque nazi schtick for a much more boring satan schtick every time i try to play industrial on nite crew radio everyone votes skip 
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Nov 5, 2016 18:16
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skylined! posted:Is this were USPol refugees go to for their pillow and sleeping bag, until we can be vetted to integrate into the population? yes be warned however, stay away from the water if you have a background of bad posting 
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Nov 5, 2016 18:17
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Ratspeaker posted:Philly goon here. There is a polling station literally on the ground floor of my apartment. Y'all need to chill. i think philly is ⅓ cspam posters by population just drivin down market st, you roll down yr window and shout "epic mra president" and the street rings out w a reply of "bernie porn"
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Nov 5, 2016 18:17
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exploding mummy posted:https://twitter.com/mongo_ebooks/status/794925719600119808?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw I thought the title of most successful businessman went to Bill "motherfucking riches fucker in the world" Gates or Warren Buffet. The gently caress that Trumpist on about?
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Nov 5, 2016 18:17
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F U K K E N U B E R
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Nov 5, 2016 18:17
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Jazerus posted:yes be warned however, stay away from the water looks like we're gonna need a bigger turdfuzz
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Nov 5, 2016 18:17
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Alec Bald Snatch posted:also need to point out that the black turnout in nc for the past 3/4 days matched 2012 levels (around 27/28% of the daily total), so it's more people are voting later in the ev cycle Actually a bit higher iirc. The black vote has steadily been catching up to where it was in 2012. Is only about 10k votes down this morning.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:17
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Mo_Steel posted:Yeah there's basically no way MN goes for Trump. He's not Minnesota Nice.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:17
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Schnorkles posted:Actually a bit higher iirc. The black vote has steadily been catching up to where it was in 2012. Is only about 10k votes down this morning. Any good data out there on cross over voting, particularly Republican women?
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Nov 5, 2016 18:18
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Slate Action posted:I'll be pretty surprised if HRC wins Iowa. Though I guess it isn't impossible. the (bad) polls have actually narrowed the lead trump opened up in iowa, so depending on how you think the RCP average correlates to the final tally this year iowa might teeter over to D
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Nov 5, 2016 18:19
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Good idea. Might call himself Dictator Ryan for the week he is in office. Because not only would the Trumpenstaffel riot, but also the around 48 % that voted for Clinton.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:18
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Latest poll (B- pollster per 538) has Clinton +1 in Iowa.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:19
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https://twitter.com/realKentron/status/794948260830085120 Trump's campaign is flinging poo poo against a wall at this point, they know that they're toast.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:19
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Schnorkles posted:Also there's a real important thing here. Turnout in EV =/= Greater turnout on election day. There's a lot of questions in both NC and FL about who's turning out low probability voters and who's just cannibalizing their day-of share. Nah, lots of low likelihood voters turning out, they're predominantly young and minority, they're not being counted in any polls that already show Hillary winning Also doesn't Florida have this weekend still for early voting, so souls to the polls tomorrow will bring African American totals up to or past 2012
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Nov 5, 2016 18:20
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Blurred posted:Latest poll (B- pollster per 538) has Clinton +1 in Iowa. -2% incoming from Nate
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Nov 5, 2016 18:20
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Adar posted:Over the past year, I've gone from buying Bad Nate's book and being proud of him as a fellow poker pro makes good story to making excuses to calling the model out and now I'm about 1.5 days of bad editorials and broken models away from pissing in the well Results 👏🏻 don't 👏🏻 matter 👏🏻
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Nov 5, 2016 18:20
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deathbysnusnu posted:Any good data out there on cross over voting, particularly Republican women? Polls that include EV seem to indicate that there's some, but not a lot. Small samples and very high MoE's though, so I'd take it with a grain of salt. I'd assume D's are voting for D's and R's are voting for R's in EV statistics, doing more is reading a bit too much into the tea leaves imo.
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Nov 5, 2016 18:20
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RVProfootballer posted:Nah, lots of low likelihood voters turning out, they're predominantly young and minority, they're not being counted in any polls that already show Hillary winning Pollster: Hmmm i see, but what does the White Male think of all this?
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Nov 5, 2016 18:20
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