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Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump. ed balls to the walls
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Nov 6, 2016 05:03
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Rubber Tucky posted:Conservatives don't know who Marina Abramovic is and Podesta went to a performance art thing she did and now they think he's a Satanist Lets be honest here when are democrats not the great Satan to these people? Repub's sound like fuckin' Al Qaeda these days.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:02
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theflyingexecutive posted:That night I got to scratch off "coked up dude dressed as a conceptual anti-clown culturally relativistically explained how Christianity provided the monotheistic martial structure necessary for the eastern Roman Empire to conquer Europe while wedding together Gnosticism, mysticism, and Buddhism into a feminist sexual framework to justify being catholic, gay, and attracted to me while a man springs from nowhere to spout memes nearly verbatim from the post-structural subforum of the serious politics subforum of a humor forum of a dying gay comedy website" sounds like you won life bingo d0g also idk about the one guys thesis wrt martial monotheism but his thing about wanting to gently caress you seems to check out
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Nov 6, 2016 05:02
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Big McHuge posted:Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump. There is very little one can do to mend the mind on abortion. You either understand it or you don't. I refuse nuance on the topic because in order for it to exist, it must be fully accessible Full Stop.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:04
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Let me tell you about the Catholic principle of transubstantiation, and how all catholics are literally cannibals. Now Lying Hillary says she is a methodist, but her running mate is a proud unrepentant cannibal. So can we really trust her?
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Nov 6, 2016 05:03
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Big McHuge posted:Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump. I'm sorry about your breakup 
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Nov 6, 2016 05:04
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Minnesota anecdote party time: both of the African immigrant uber drivers that picked me up tonight excited to vote for Hillary and pointed out how hosed up Trumps "rigged" poo poo is. One quote "what the gently caress? Am I back in Africa with this guy?!" And now I'm all drunk and misty eyed about the ideal of America. 5 stars all around.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:03
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Big McHuge posted:Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump. good luck friend
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Nov 6, 2016 05:04
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The guy who caused Trump to be shuffled off stage was holding a Republicans Against Trump sign. And the judges say..... BIRDDOG 
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Nov 6, 2016 05:04
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mango sentinel posted:Nationals should get their first World Series appearance against the Indians, then beat them. yes please i think the indians are the last pre-expansion team with a streak dating back to before expansion started
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Nov 6, 2016 05:04
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jackofarcades posted:Re: Nate and 538 I agree with all of this, but I think the main takeaway is that, regardless of what specific thing Nate is doing, he's putting his thumb on the scales in a way no other polling aggregator is 
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Nov 6, 2016 05:04
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Big McHuge posted:Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump. 
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Nov 6, 2016 05:04
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Joementum posted:john podesta is in league with satan Oh word? I thought that was in referene to a specific event, I knew about the general witchcraft accusation. Someone repost that tweet about the Republican party reverting back to the 17 century and using witchcraft accusations to bring down a woman they don't like.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:06
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Prorat posted:The guy who caused Trump to be shuffled off stage was holding a Republicans Against Trump sign. For fucks sake how does no one know how to properly plant these days?
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Nov 6, 2016 05:06
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oystertoadfish posted:sounds like you won life bingo d0g gf isn't bout that poly life tho
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Nov 6, 2016 05:06
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Big McHuge posted:Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump. Also baby parts and sell them
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Nov 6, 2016 05:07
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fart blood posted:I'm sorry about your breakup We actually get along quite well when not talking about politics, religion, race relations, etc.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:07
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Big McHuge posted:Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump. Spend ~5 minutes explaining to her why she's wrong. If she listens, cool. If not, save yourself a lot of time and break up.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:08
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anime tupac posted:I agree with all of this, but I think the main takeaway is that, regardless of what specific thing Nate is doing, he's putting his thumb on the scales in a way no other polling aggregator is he's p-hacking and doing that thing where p-hackers justify it to themselves because they're doing "the most statistics"
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Nov 6, 2016 05:07
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Big McHuge posted:We actually get along quite well when not talking about politics, religion, race relations, etc. I was with a girl where I thought this didn't matter. It did. Prepare. I mean "human beings would be beasts and anarchy reign without religion"
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Nov 6, 2016 05:08
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Big McHuge posted:Found out tonight that my GF totally buys into the O'Keefe planned parenthood videos and there's probably nothing I can do to change her mind. Thankfully I'm fairly certain she's not voting for Trump.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:08
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I don't understand, is this the same Khan who Hillary got killed when she voted to go into Iraq? And the Nugent thing, how is this different than the Jayz Beyoncé concert last night? The one that had less people show up to than Trumps rally that same day? Trump will be the next president. Feels great!
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Nov 6, 2016 05:08
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Big McHuge posted:We actually get along quite well when not talking about politics, religion, race relations, etc.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:08
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Doesn't really make sense that a trump crowd would be afraid of someone with a gun. They want everyone to carry guns all of the time. Weird.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:09
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fart blood posted:For fucks sake how does no one know how to properly plant these days? don't need to be good at deceiving people when all those people already want to get deceived by you muscles that go unused eventually atrophy
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Nov 6, 2016 05:09
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Nonsense posted:I had a girl where I thought this didn't matter nor would ever come up. It did. Prepare.  get yourself a nasty and/or godless woman
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Nov 6, 2016 05:10
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anime tupac posted:I agree with all of this, but I think the main takeaway is that, regardless of what specific thing Nate is doing, he's putting his thumb on the scales in a way no other polling aggregator is Hillary will win and he'll still be able to claim his model was correct because it says she was more likely to win than not.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:09
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Prorat posted:I don't understand, is this the same Khan who Hillary got killed when she voted to go into Iraq? source yr quotes
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Nov 6, 2016 05:09
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https://twitter.com/chrimifi/status/795114976432095232
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Nov 6, 2016 05:10
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Slate Action posted:Tracking Polls Are Dumb It's true. He did call it https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/794355146822221824 anime tupac posted:I agree with all of this, but I think the main takeaway is that, regardless of what specific thing Nate is doing, he's putting his thumb on the scales in a way no other polling aggregator is It could honestly just be a think where other models don't really account for the possibility of a huge undecided break toward Trump. It's hard to model because it's unusual. We're going to have record turnout but a bunch of RVs are undecided??? It's weird. Edit: I want to be clear: I don't think Silver is "fudging," I think he's acting in good faith but his model just is a bit fragile because it's complicated. It also might just be sensing something that other people aren't, or it senses it quicker with the trendlines. That could be valuable, but maybe it's being hosed by lovely polls this time around. jackofarcades fucked around with this message at 05:12 on Nov 6, 2016 |
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Nov 6, 2016 05:10
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Prorat posted:I don't understand, is this the same Khan who Hillary got killed when she voted to go into Iraq? Of course he will. More halloween costumes of him were sold. Try to keep up
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Nov 6, 2016 05:10
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anotherone posted:Doesn't really make sense that a trump crowd would be afraid of someone with a gun. They want everyone to carry guns all of the time. Weird. Yeah totally why would the Trump crowd care if some psycho democrat who hates Trump had a gun at a Trump rally! It's not like the Democrats have used firebombs this election or destroy any and all property with a Trump sign/Sticker on it. I SHARE MY ACCOUNT WITH OTHER PEOPLE
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Nov 6, 2016 05:11
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theflyingexecutive posted:gf isn't bout that poly life tho sounds like she needs to give his case a fair hearing
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Nov 6, 2016 05:11
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GAYS FOR DAYS posted:Hillary will win and he'll still be able to claim his model was correct because it says she was more likely to win than not. hillary will win and trump will give a presser that he beat romney, who is a poor schmuck by the way
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Nov 6, 2016 05:11
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Sai posted:hillary will win and trump will give a presser that he beat romney, who is a poor schmuck by the way He ruined my carpets!
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Nov 6, 2016 05:13
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theflyingexecutive posted:source yr quotes source: himself. I'll give him the Beyonce and Jay-Z thing, though, if you ignore that Nugent is a racist hick.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:13
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My guess: the tracking polls will return to HRC +3-7 all around, he'll end up with an EC projection of about 320, it'll be close, and everyone will forget this poo poo anyway.
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Nov 6, 2016 05:13
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Big McHuge posted:We actually get along quite well when not talking about politics, religion, race relations, etc. "So, uh, that second round Chopped basket, huh? Crazy, right? We can build a shared foundation on our TV shows, right?"
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Nov 6, 2016 05:14
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https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/795113007173009409
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Nov 6, 2016 05:14
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Prorat posted:Yeah totally why would the Trump crowd care if some psycho democrat who hates Trump had a gun at a Trump rally! It's not like the Democrats have used firebombs this election or destroy any and all property with a Trump sign/Sticker on it. 
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Nov 6, 2016 05:14
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