Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Locked thread
Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

HannibalBarca posted:

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/11/hillary-clinton-loses-2016-election-214439

"Bill Clinton complained throughout that Mook was too focused on the ground game and not enough on driving a message-based campaign. Without a chief strategist in the mold of Penn or David Axelrod, the campaign was run by a committee of strong-willed aides, struggling to assert themselves in the same space."

bill is scum but goddamn the man knows how to run for president

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

HannibalBarca
Sep 11, 2016

History shows, again and again, how nature points out the folly of man.

Venom Snake posted:

Nobody expected it but it makes 100% sense looking back. We got Kristol'd

God. I'm sorry, I know people like you put in the work and did the best they can do. But we're gonna be living with the consequences of Mook's (and Podesta's and Clinton's and whoever else) staggering ineptitude for a long, long time.

Fidel Cuckstro
Jul 2, 2007

Timeless Appeal posted:

The trend of people going "It's not that America's racist, it's that she failed to court midwestern voters" is dumb. Yes, obviously in hindsight she should have done that. What people are ignoring is that it's Trump. It's a man who a month ago the sheer notion of becoming president was thought as impossible with numerous sexual assault claims. A person who called for banning the immigration of Muslim Americans. A person who openly mocked a disabled reporter. A person who showed profound ignorance every time he stepped on a debate stage.

Do you remember how the 47% tape or Dukakis in the tank or Dean's yell are remembered for helping tank their campaigns?

The shock is around the fact that none of that poo poo mattered whatsoever. The shock is around that Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio would have probably done just as well.

And like there are a dozen things you can nitpick about. If those campaign tanking moments actually were campaign tanking moments or the fact that the worst of the Trump presidency is probably going to be based on him being a Republican more than anything else or if people should've known better about who the people in our country are.

But people are shocked because they assumed that people would rise to the occasion or at least not vote for that guy. And that's not what happened. They voted for a guy openly hostile to women and people of color and Muslims and who was more than willing to destroy the premise of peaceful transfer of power if he didn't get his way and may very really pursue trying to jail his opponent. And going "WELL ACTUALLY..." and simply talking about Hilary's failure to assume almost every single poll that showed her strategy was working was wrong doesn't make you some amazing realist. It makes you a dummy who's failing to understand why actual real human beings are upset.

Yes, if only there had been some evidence for her team to go off of that Trump could play the outsider card to get away with things others would be destroyed for. If only there had been several months of this. IF only he had said things like "John McCain's not a war hero, just a bad pilot." or "Bush didn't keep us safe" or "Ted Cruz's dad killed Kennedy" before even starting the general election.

Welp, no way she could have known that might be a problem. Smart move raising $500M to only get 60M votes nationwide. Definitely should not have gone for 70M. That would have looked like she was running up the score, which is classless.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

HannibalBarca posted:

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/11/hillary-clinton-loses-2016-election-214439

"Bill Clinton complained throughout that Mook was too focused on the ground game and not enough on driving a message-based campaign. Without a chief strategist in the mold of Penn or David Axelrod, the campaign was run by a committee of strong-willed aides, struggling to assert themselves in the same space."

was bill ever wrong about anything even in 2008?

The_Politics_Man
Aug 25, 2015

Slime Bro Helpdesk posted:

What was the worst slogan of the campaign?

We must secure the existence of our people and a future for white children?

that one seems to have worked

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Typo posted:

was bill ever wrong about anything even in 2008?

consent

Mia Wasikowska
Oct 7, 2006

Typo posted:

was bill ever wrong about anything even in 2008?

obama lol

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011
Bill was wrong about whether third wayism would work in the long run. This is basically all his fault if you really drill down on it.

Patter Song
Mar 26, 2010

Hereby it is manifest that during the time men live without a common power to keep them all in awe, they are in that condition which is called war; and such a war as is of every man against every man.
Fun Shoe

mrmcd posted:

Honestly the thing that is most important to me is how low the turnout was compared to 08 and 12, in both columns. Fair or not, I don't think anyone in the DNC or campaign was honest with themselves about just how disliked Hillary is. The electorate hated her as much as they hated Trump.

Given what they perceive as two poo poo choices, people are gonna either stay home, or give the edge to the bomb throwers and "change" candidate.

Could people stop it with "turnout was low?" We know there are several million votes left to be counted, and 126 million votes have already been counted, compared to 129 million cast in 2012 and 131 million in 2008. We'll end up slightly over 2012 in voter turnout.

The_Politics_Man
Aug 25, 2015

Typo posted:

was bill ever wrong about anything even in 2008?

welfare and criminal justice reform

Zythrst
May 31, 2011

Time to join a revolution son, its going to be yooge!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gyBMhmK79tg

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold
anyway does anyone know when the DNC chair is chosen? brazile is only the interim chair. bernie is too old to run in 2020 but he could literally run the dnc

HannibalBarca
Sep 11, 2016

History shows, again and again, how nature points out the folly of man.

Patter Song posted:

Could people stop it with "turnout was low?" We know there are several million votes left to be counted, and 126 million votes have already been counted, compared to 129 million cast in 2012 and 131 million in 2008. We'll end up slightly over 2012 in voter turnout.

It was down by a lot in the Midwestern states that made the difference. And that turnout was most notably missing among key elements of the Obama coalition.

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Raskolnikov38 posted:

of course not but its like "loving really dude? you're posting that in october of an election that's very anti-elitest. did you think for a loving second?"

Trumpinmosttastelessgoldapartment.png poo poo like that doesn't matter. Its what you make your message and campaign about that matters.


Raskolnikov38 posted:

bill is scum but goddamn the man knows how to run for president

He is from Arkansaw. She is from Chicago/NY. He saw the writing on the wall tbqh.

Zythrst
May 31, 2011

Time to join a revolution son, its going to be yooge!

Raskolnikov38 posted:

anyway does anyone know when the DNC chair is chosen? brazile is only the interim chair. bernie is too old to run in 2020 but he could literally run the dnc

Its not the worst idea, Our Revolution is trying to be a sort of progressive wing DNC already.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

resar posted:

welfare and criminal justice reform

that was 1994

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Zas posted:

obama lol

fair enough lol

Deki
May 12, 2008

It's Hammer Time!
Anecdotally all of the people I know who hated Bernie for being a socialist ended up voting Trump anyway, so who fuckin knows how bad that would have actually hit him.

Patter Song
Mar 26, 2010

Hereby it is manifest that during the time men live without a common power to keep them all in awe, they are in that condition which is called war; and such a war as is of every man against every man.
Fun Shoe

HannibalBarca posted:

It was down by a lot in the Midwestern states that made the difference. And that turnout was most notably missing among key elements of the Obama coalition.

A lot of people are only looking at Trump and Clinton's figures vs Romney's and Obama's and ignoring that 6 million people voted third party rather than 2 million last cycle.

Zythrst
May 31, 2011

Time to join a revolution son, its going to be yooge!

HannibalBarca posted:

It was down by a lot in the Midwestern states that made the difference. And that turnout was most notably missing among key elements of the Obama coalition.

Even more granular, Detroit and Milwaukee.

HannibalBarca
Sep 11, 2016

History shows, again and again, how nature points out the folly of man.

Patter Song posted:

A lot of people are only looking at Trump and Clinton's figures vs Romney's and Obama's and ignoring that 6 million people voted third party rather than 2 million last cycle.

It's the same thing at the end of the day when you're talking about turnout. Someone voting for Johnson or Stein is functionally equivalent to them staying home, at the Presidential level at least.

Mia Wasikowska
Oct 7, 2006

Patter Song posted:

A lot of people are only looking at Trump and Clinton's figures vs Romney's and Obama's and ignoring that 6 million people voted third party rather than 2 million last cycle.

not to mention no confidence :nihilst:

Man Whore
Jan 6, 2012

ASK ME ABOUT SPHERICAL CATS
=3



Patter Song posted:

A lot of people are only looking at Trump and Clinton's figures vs Romney's and Obama's and ignoring that 6 million people voted third party rather than 2 million last cycle.
Third parties cost us the election!

Zythrst
May 31, 2011

Time to join a revolution son, its going to be yooge!

Deki posted:

Anecdotally all of the people I know who hated Bernie for being a socialist ended up voting Trump anyway, so who fuckin knows how bad that would have actually hit him.

The socialist poo poo is the spookiest sort of amnesia. Obama (a neolib btw) got called a socialist on a running loop for years. What extra group of people was going to give a poo poo about it?

Necc0
Jun 30, 2005

by exmarx
Broken Cake
another thing i just remembered: why the gently caress weren't they going through the wikileaks site and posting highlights of things they were proud of? it was clear wikilieaks wasn't reading all of that and just releasing their shockers amidst tens of thousands of emails so there was plenty of material to choose from. that seemed obvious to me just a month or two into that whole circus

turn your weakness into your strength and all that

Oh Snapple!
Dec 27, 2005

Fiction posted:

Bill was wrong about whether third wayism would work in the long run. This is basically all his fault if you really drill down on it.

Oh Snapple! posted:

In realtalk, just lol if you can't find some karmic justice in every single awful, poor-and-minority-loving thing that Bill and Hillary championed in the 90s coming back around to utterly annihilate their legacy. The American people don't deserve the further, seemingly unending consequences of their bullshit, but the Clintons absolutely do.

HannibalBarca
Sep 11, 2016

History shows, again and again, how nature points out the folly of man.

Necc0 posted:

another thing i just remembered: why the gently caress weren't they going through the wikileaks site and posting highlights of things they were proud of? it was clear wikilieaks wasn't reading all of that and just releasing their shockers amidst tens of thousands of emails so there was plenty of material to choose from. that seemed obvious to me just a month or two into that whole circus

turn your weakness into your strength and all that

That would have required an ounce of creative thought. That seems to have been in short supply in top echelons of the Clinton Campaign.

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Necc0 posted:

another thing i just remembered: why the gently caress weren't they going through the wikileaks site and posting highlights of things they were proud of? it was clear wikilieaks wasn't reading all of that and just releasing their shockers amidst tens of thousands of emails so there was plenty of material to choose from. that seemed obvious to me just a month or two into that whole circus

turn your weakness into your strength and all that

Imagine I quoted that article about too many cooks and all that. There was never any focus.

Necc0
Jun 30, 2005

by exmarx
Broken Cake

Kithkar posted:

Am I insane or is this actually not a bad choice at all, given everything that's happened? Give Bernie the DNC and let him push the party to the left, but Franken could actually be a good choice for 2020. He's pretty liberal, and isn't seen as a Hillaryman so adopting the Bernie platform wouldn't look disingenuous, he can counter Trump being Trump by being genuinely engaging and funny, and he's from the rust belt and knows their issues intimately.

yeah this could be a good idea maybe

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

Venom Snake posted:

Imagine I quoted that article about too many cooks and all that. There was never any focus.

why so many aides

donors

trying to hire twelve overqualified people and not actually letting one run the show?

Necc0
Jun 30, 2005

by exmarx
Broken Cake

Venom Snake posted:

Imagine I quoted that article about too many cooks and all that. There was never any focus.

do you know if this was even floated?

Oh Snapple!
Dec 27, 2005

anime was right posted:

why so many aides

donors

trying to hire twelve overqualified people and not actually letting one run the show?

it takes a lot to make a stew

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Necc0 posted:

yeah this could be a good idea maybe

the honest truth is things are so unpredictable right now I have no idea what constitutes a "good idea" by 2020

maybe running kanye?

Thundercracker
Jun 25, 2004

Proudly serving the Ruinous Powers since as a veteran of the long war.
College Slice

Mrit posted:

Back in 2006, I was angry. Angry at the Republicans, angry at the weakness of the Dems. I was hard left, and wanted to destroy the current government.
Then later Obama happened. Yea! He was a good person. I started to calm down.
We got piddling reforms, and I supported the Dems and blamed Republicans for not getting more done.
And by the the 2016 came around, my personal life was more secure, therefore more of the same was a great idea, right? So I supported Hillary.

Never again. Burn the loving DNC to the ground. I want a socialist, and I want him to force his agenda on America, Stalin style. Letting Trump win is disgusting. Democratic hubris will destroy years of progress, and hurt millions.
gently caress weak willed centrists. Never again.

Minus your first paragraph and this is me. I supported the establishment fullstop until today. Now I want to burn it to the ground.

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Necc0 posted:

do you know if this was even floated?

No. I dealt with surrogates and talking points. Not super high level poo poo like "what do we make the campaign about". What I do 100% know is I got told at times that I shouldn't be worried about keeping the dem base excited :suicide:

Necc0
Jun 30, 2005

by exmarx
Broken Cake

anime was right posted:

why so many aides

donors

trying to hire twelve overqualified people and not actually letting one run the show?

i'm in consulting and it's unfortunately a real easy trap to fall into- i see it all the time. it usually takes a catastrophic project failure plus a trusted third party with the balls to firmly tell management they're bloated and wrong after the fact in order to get reform. a campaign doesn't get second chances

HannibalBarca
Sep 11, 2016

History shows, again and again, how nature points out the folly of man.

Venom Snake posted:

No. I dealt with surrogates and talking points. Not super high level poo poo like "what do we make the campaign about". What I do 100% know is I got told at times that I shouldn't be worried about keeping the dem base excited :suicide:

You've got to be loving kidding me.

Thundercracker
Jun 25, 2004

Proudly serving the Ruinous Powers since as a veteran of the long war.
College Slice

Venom Snake posted:

No. I dealt with surrogates and talking points. Not super high level poo poo like "what do we make the campaign about". What I do 100% know is I got told at times that I shouldn't be worried about keeping the dem base excited :suicide:

Did the DNC not just ..... arggh.. just not pay attention to loving anything?

"Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line." is a trope for a loving reason.

Oh Snapple!
Dec 27, 2005

Venom Snake posted:

No. I dealt with surrogates and talking points. Not super high level poo poo like "what do we make the campaign about". What I do 100% know is I got told at times that I shouldn't be worried about keeping the dem base excited :suicide:

VS I can't remember if we've interacted poorly in the past but you seem like you worked hard and I'm sorry that work was directed so incompetently.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

Necc0 posted:

i'm in consulting and it's unfortunately a real easy trap to fall into. it usually takes a catastrophic project failure plus a trusted third party with the balls to firmly tell management they're bloated and wrong after the fact in order to get reform. a campaign doesn't get second chances

there's a pile of things to say, but the reality is that the cycle of 8 year president -> absolute crisis is probably a pattern american political parties are gonna follow for awhile right now, and part of it is that the intellectual framework around elections works for all of about 2 of them and then detonates spectacularly on the third.

  • Locked thread