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Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

i am the bird posted:

Yes, hemorrhaging that powerhouse voting bloc they had from 1968 to 1992 and then winning the popular vote in five of the next six presidential elections.

Y'all have a point but the hyperbole doesn't help.

Yeah, it's not hemorrhaging votes overall that's the problem, because the Dems really aren't. The problem is that they're losing votes in strategically vital places, like the Rust Belt. So...gotta do something about that. Even if one takes a purely-team-sports, "victory at all costs" viewpoint towards elections, if you want the Dems to win, the way to do it is to embrace economic populism. Getting more votes from people like me who live in solid blue districts in California is not the way to victory. The sooner the diehard Clintonistas admit that, the sooner the healing of the party can begin.

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Harold Fjord
Jan 3, 2004
I'm pretty sure we'll win on literally anyone who isn't hillary clinton.

I bet Weiner could pull it off...

StealthArcher
Jan 10, 2010




Frijolero posted:

Losing TWICE to Bush W. and then doing this:



Nothing to brag about.

You know, as someone who has said over and over that Bernie Would Have Won™, I find it interesting you left 2016 off that list.


Oh right, it's because we gained in both houses. Hillary blew the election harder than a category 5, but our House/Senate races weren't a loss in the sense of losing seats.

E: Though yeah, 2010 was a loving disgrace.

StealthArcher fucked around with this message at 22:23 on Feb 26, 2017

Uncle Wemus
Mar 4, 2004

Nevvy Z posted:

I'm pretty sure we'll win on literally anyone who isn't hillary clinton.

I bet Weiner could pull it off...

Or John Kerry! :v:

Frijolero
Jan 24, 2009

by Nyc_Tattoo

StealthArcher posted:

You know, as someone who has said over and over that Bernie Would Have Won™, I find it interesting you left 2016 off that list.


Oh right, it's because we gained in both houses. Hillary blew the election harder than a category 5, but our House/Senate races weren't a loss in the sense of losing seats.

We were talking about pre-2016.

But sure, brag about gaining 6 seats in a 435 seat house and still being an embarrassing minority.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Nevvy Z posted:

I'm pretty sure we'll win on literally anyone who isn't hillary clinton.

I bet Weiner could pull it off...

Well, let's not risk anything though. Let's make absolutely 100% loving sure that we win, and that the presidential nominee brings a bunch of state and national legislative seats with them. Because doing the bare loving minimum hasn't worked so well for us, and the fact that die-hard Clintonistas haven't picked up on that yet is astounding.

Majorian fucked around with this message at 22:34 on Feb 26, 2017

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Majorian posted:

Well, let's not risk anything though. Let's make absolutely 100% loving sure that we win, and that the presidential nominee brings a bunch of state and national legislative seats with them. Because doing the bare loving minimal hasn't worked so well for us, and the fact that die-hard Clintonistas haven't picked up on that yet is astounding.

The reason why Clintonistas don't is because while they certainly don't like the right wing culture war. THeir main motivation for doing what they do is deregulated markets and low taxes which Cllinton gave them> They think its fine to occasionally throw a bone to a minority group. But overall they could care less what happens to people not them. They are creatures who only care for themselves and any actual claim to care about others is nothing more then an attempt to appear to be nothing but selfish sociopaths. Just like Hill and Bill.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Crowsbeak posted:

The reason why Clintonistas don't is because while they certainly don't like the right wing culture war. THeir main motivation for doing what they do is deregulated markets and low taxes which Cllinton gave them> They think its fine to occasionally throw a bone to a minority group. But overall they could care less what happens to people not them. They are creatures who only care for themselves and any actual claim to care about others is nothing more then an attempt to appear to be nothing but selfish sociopaths. Just like Hill and Bill.

This can partially explain the motivation behind wealthier Clintonistas, but not the vast majority of them, who are not rich. In fact, Clinton won a lot of working class votes. So the hypothesis that their main motivation was deregulated markets doesn't really hold water IMO.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Majorian posted:

This can partially explain the motivation behind wealthier Clintonistas, but not the vast majority of them, who are not rich.

Temporarily embarrassed millionaires

7c Nickel
Apr 27, 2008
Or maybe they actually just disagree with you on small points and aren't actually "creatures" with purely venal interests.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

7c Nickel posted:

Or maybe they actually just disagree with you on small points and aren't actually "creatures" with purely venal interests.

I think a lot of low-income folks vote strategically, thinking that Democrats with wider name recognition and at least some record of winning are a sure thing. They want the Dems to have the best chance of winning, because they themselves have the most to lose if the Republicans win. This was the logic behind a lot of working class voters' support for Clinton during the primaries. The problem was, she wasn't as sure of a thing as most people thought. That's not the fault of those low-income Democrats who voted for her in the primaries; it's the fault of the party for allowing such a horrendously flawed candidate, and such a fatally hobbled strategy, crowd out all dissenting voices.

Majorian fucked around with this message at 22:52 on Feb 26, 2017

Despera
Jun 6, 2011

7c Nickel posted:

Or maybe they actually just disagree with you on small points and aren't actually "creatures" with purely venal interests.

This level of nuance is way beyond SA's paygrade

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

7c Nickel posted:

Or maybe they actually just disagree with you on small points and aren't actually "creatures" with purely venal interests.

I would say arguing against workers rights initiatives and anti corruption initiatives as impossible when they actually pass is a pretty big point.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Despera posted:

This level of nuance is way beyond SA's paygrade

I think it's more just the common assumption in political science that all voters and all political figures are rational actors - that Outcome A happened because Political Group B wanted it to happen that way. But the reality is, voters and political figures aren't rational. Irrational things like ego and fear and anger and hope play way more of a role than politically-minded intellectuals often care to admit.

yellowyams
Jan 15, 2011
the part that really kills me is overturning the ban on lobbyist money, it feels like the final nail in the coffin for the party and the ultimate signifier that they're headed back down a doomed path. they already have accountability issues and this is going to exacerbate the gently caress out of them and lose them credibility and support.

Calibanibal
Aug 25, 2015

Yeah the majority of clinton supporters were fooled into thinking that she cared about them, that she "got it" etc. The burden is on us, unfortunately, to dispel the illusions that centrist politicians give a poo poo

Despera
Jun 6, 2011

Majorian posted:

I think it's more just the common assumption in political science that all voters and all political figures are rational actors - that Outcome A happened because Political Group B wanted it to happen that way. But the reality is, voters and political figures aren't rational. Irrational things like ego and fear and anger and hope play way more of a role than politically-minded intellectuals often care to admit.

Ah the "everyone wants what I want but are too stupid to realize it argument".

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Despera posted:

Ah the "everyone wants what I want but are too stupid to realize it argument".

Yes, that's precisely what I'm arguing. It's that poor people are stupid, not that there are costs of information, in terms of time, money, and effort, that keep voters (particularly low-income voters) from being informed during primaries.

Also, people who argue in favor of things like the Consumer Protection Agency are saying that American consumers are all stupid.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

TheRat posted:

Temporarily embarrassed millionaires

To be honest if you are talking about the general voter, I think it is mostly political inertia, and the fact the most well known Democratic politicians are centrists. Sanders came out of nowhere and did very very well, but at the same time Hillary was a household name (for better or worse).

For those more involved in politics, they are basically that Rockefeller Republicans had go to somewhere after the southern strategy. There are plenty of centrist democrats that more "temporarily embarrassed" millionaires, they legitimately have money. Maybe they are only "upper middle class" and their family's wealth is in real estate and 401ks, but they are people who the current economic order is in their best interests. They come from the top 10-20% of the population who still live very comfortable lives and genuinely don't want higher taxes much less a "political revolution."

They may be well educated and "well-meaning" are vaguely would like some social progress but generally believe (or want to believe) that all the system needs is just a few tweaks. Granted, for them, it is fairly logical. They aren't starving, and probably won't starve (the super rich still need doctors and accountants) but see the outright bigotry of the GOP as unacceptable.

I know this because I basically grew up around them.

The problem is a system that generally is working of them is not working for much of the rest of the population. However, that population can't unite because of a multitude of racial/social/religious divisions and both parties can play off that divide.

Ardennes fucked around with this message at 23:16 on Feb 26, 2017

Despera
Jun 6, 2011

Majorian posted:

Yes, that's precisely what I'm arguing. It's that poor people are stupid, not that there are costs of information, in terms of time, money, and effort, that keep voters (particularly low-income voters) from being informed during primaries.

Also, people who argue in favor of things like the Consumer Protection Agency are saying that American consumers are all stupid.

Irrational actors who vote against their own interest because of fear, prejudice or ignorance sounds pretty stupid. "My poo poo ain't selling, blame the customer" line of reasoning, the high minded low thinking staple of these boards.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Despera posted:

Irrational actors who vote against their own interest because of fear, prejudice or ignorance sounds pretty stupid.

It sounds pretty drat human to me.

It also sounds to me like you think it's an unusual thing. Which leads me to believe that you are, in fact, the not-smart one.

quote:

"My poo poo ain't selling, blame the customer" line of reasoning, the high minded low thinking staple of these boards.

That seems to me to be the mindset of the Clintonistas who blame the Sanders supporters for Clinton's loss.

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Kilroy posted:

My brain works in the way most human brains work, so I can understand things like "some prominent establishment Democrats reached a compromise with the progressive wing, but in the end they could not convince the rest of their faction to go along with it because they didn't want to be seen compromising with progressives". I mean we've already got you on record saying that Perez wasn't a compromise so I'm not sure what you're trying to achieve here.

It seems you think the progressive wing is composed of a single person, and the establishment wing is composed of a single person. This is a basic reasoning fail and you should probably get an MRI or something. You might have an aneurysm.
Considering you keep pointing to the support by Schumer as saying Ellisson was totally a compromise candidate, you are the one laboring under the delusion there is an establishment hive mind.

And the simple fact they their compromise was Perez and that they gave Ellison the deputy chair skull fucks your argument that the establishment totally would not compromise with progressives. That you are screaming and pouting shows which side is refusing to compromise in any way.

quote:

And yeah there are some bills in committee right now that probably won't pass, and some more already thrown out that definitely won't pass and which are pure red-meat sort of thing. It's more than we ever get out of finger-wagging Democrats. You're the one who brought up bills specifically so not sure what you're going on about, but I can't stop you from bringing it up in every post of mine you reply to, so have at it I guess :shrug:

So you're offended that the Democratic party doesn't treat you like a chimp and spend it's time proposing the "Free blowjob for stick-up-their-rear end socialists act" to give the illusion of doing something while burning everything to the ground and loving over their voters?

Also, by this point in his presidency Obama had signed a ban on all actions in Gitmo, the Lily Ledbetter fair pay act, a giant stimulus bill, put up a deadline for withdrawal from Iraq, and raised fuel efficiency standards. Things Dems directly care about.

In terms of things Republican voters and not just corporations care about, that isn't just "gently caress you dems" pure spite, Trump has gotten smacked down by the courts trying to put up a religious ban, played a fuckload of golf, and bitched and moaned about the press daily. You claimed that Republicans show their appreciation to their base more than Dems do. You, not me. Now back it the gently caress up.

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Ardennes posted:

To be honest if you are talking about the general voter, I think it is mostly political inertia, and the fact the most well known Democratic politicians are centrists. Sanders came out of nowhere and did very very well, but at the same time Hillary was a household name (for better or worse).

For those more involved in politics, they are basically that Rockefeller Republicans had go to somewhere after the southern strategy. There are plenty of centrist democrats that more "temporarily embarrassed" millionaires, they legitimately have money. Maybe they are only "upper middle class" and their family's wealth is in real estate and 401ks, but they are people who the current economic order is in their best interests. They come from the top 10-20% of the population who still live very comfortable lives and genuinely don't want higher taxes much less a "political revolution."

They may be well educated and "well-meaning" are vaguely would like some social progress but generally believe (or want to believe) that all the system needs is just a few tweaks. Granted, for them, it is fairly logical. They aren't starving, and probably won't starve (the super rich still need doctors and accountants) but see the outright bigotry of the GOP as unacceptable.

I know this because I basically grew up around them.

The problem is a system that generally is working of them is not working for much of the rest of the population. However, that population can't unite because of a multitude of racial/social/religious divisions and both parties can play off that divide.
I think this could change if the left take heart that we nearly beat Perez, and that the dems are complaining about us bugging them/ But we need to keep being a bug for the next 12 years to make the party a pure party of the people. Also we have to ensure that the bottom falls out when the GOP is in charge. Of course I also would say that even if we take over the party we're going to perhaps have to learn about the second ammendment.


I do love that Fulchrum can't figure out why giving the base some symbolic bills is a bad idea. Albeit I know its because you'd rather that the aprty was made up of greedy sociopaths like himself.

Crowsbeak fucked around with this message at 23:24 on Feb 26, 2017

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Crowsbeak posted:

The reason why Clintonistas don't is because while they certainly don't like the right wing culture war. THeir main motivation for doing what they do is deregulated markets and low taxes which Cllinton gave them> They think its fine to occasionally throw a bone to a minority group. But overall they could care less what happens to people not them. They are creatures who only care for themselves and any actual claim to care about others is nothing more then an attempt to appear to be nothing but selfish sociopaths. Just like Hill and Bill.

You mean those people who started one of the most respected and generous charities in the world?

Oh wait, but they did political things. WORSE THAN HITLER!

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Crowsbeak posted:

I think this could change if the left take heart that we nearly beat Perez, and that the dems are complaining about us bugging them/ But we need to keep being a bug for the next 12 years to make the party a pure party of the people. Also we have to ensure that the bottom falls out when the GOP is in charge. Of course I also would say that even if we take over the party we're going to perhaps have to learn about the second ammendment.

My worry is that we don't have 12 years even if Trump does meltdown. Even if he crash and burns, there is still a giant opening for a right-populist out there who unfortunately could also be far more competent. At the same time, I think the establishment wing of the Democrats are going to keep on fighting tooth and nail to keep economic issues off the table.

Basically, there are so many things that can go wrong at this point, it is hard not to look past electoral politics to what ever is going to happen next.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000
While I'd rather you get permabanned somehow between now and then, part of me hopes you're still posting on Nov 7 2018. I suspect calling you out for the establishment rear end-kissing POS you are and screaming "I told you so" into your ears until the shockwaves have atomized your brains, will provide a nice distraction after GOP gains in the House and Senate.

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Kilroy posted:

While I'd rather you get permabanned somehow between now and then, part of me hopes you're still posting on Nov 7 2018. I suspect calling you out for the establishment rear end-kissing POS you are and screaming "I told you so" into your ears until the shockwaves have atomized your brains, will provide a nice distraction after GOP gains in the House and Senate.

So the plan is to continue splitting the party, while we tell you doing that will lead to losses, then get smug when there are losses.

You know, at least ISIS fighters occasionally try to suicide bomb the loving opposition when dying for their ideology. They blow up a lot of innocent moderate Muslims in their insane ideology, but at least occasionally they try to attack the west.

Also, I'll take this as your smug rear end knowing you're dead wrong about Ellisson meeting any definition of a compromise or the Republicans doing more for their base than the dems do, but being incapable of ever admitting error.

Fulchrum fucked around with this message at 23:35 on Feb 26, 2017

yellowyams
Jan 15, 2011


lol

Mnoba
Jun 24, 2010

Fulchrum posted:

So the plan is to continue splitting the party, while we tell you doing that will lead to losses, then get smug when there are losses.

You know, at least ISIS fighters occasionally try to suicide bomb the loving opposition when dying for their ideology. They blow up a lot of innocent moderate Muslims in their insane ideology, but at least occasionally they try to attack the west.

well good thing ellison didn't win the dnc chair cause maybe he would have tried that

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000

Fulchrum posted:

So the plan is to continue splitting the party, while we tell you doing that will lead to losses, then get smug when there are losses.

You know, at least ISIS fighters occasionally try to suicide bomb the loving opposition when dying for their ideology. They blow up a lot of innocent moderate Muslims in their insane ideology, but at least occasionally they try to attack the west.
Yes, Democratic progressives are worse than ISIS. Enjoy your political party you hopeless shitheel.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000
I have voted this thread '1', for it is poo poo.

i am the bird
Mar 2, 2005

I SUPPORT ALL THE PREDATORS
I am in no way bragging about Dem election results but saying they "hemorrhaged voters" is a loving lie. Democrats routinely get more votes for the presidency and for congress.

DNC leadership sucks because they've done nothing to cultivate voters or candidates outside of major cities, and that failure to organize has led to massive state-level advantages for Republicans. You know who else is terrible in that regard? Lefty organizers.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000

Fulchrum posted:

Also, I'll take this as your smug rear end knowing you're dead wrong about Ellisson meeting any definition of a compromise or the Republicans doing more for their base than the dems do, but being incapable of ever admitting error.
Take it for whatever the gently caress you like, I'm done with you.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Smug liberal oval office in being a smug liberal oval office shocker.

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Mnoba posted:

well good thing ellison didn't win the dnc chair cause maybe he would have tried that

You mean the most pro-Israel dem in the party, who helped shape the parties radical pro-Israel stance and curated support for it? That Ellison?

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Kilroy posted:

I have voted this thread '1', for it is poo poo.

Kilroy posted:

Take it for whatever the gently caress you like, I'm done with you.

You sure do like coming back to something you voted 1.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Fulchrum posted:

So the plan is to continue splitting the party

It's quite literally people like you who are doing that, actually. You are driving voters out of the party.

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Majorian posted:

It's quite literally people like you who are doing that, actually. You are driving voters out of the party.

I don't recall me writing those "Dems are dead, we need to rebuild a new party" posts.

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Fulchrum posted:

You mean those people who started one of the most respected and generous charities in the world?

Oh wait, but they did political things. WORSE THAN HITLER!

Those people crushed workers rights in Haiti, helped caused the 2008 financial crisis, and plenty of communities in the mid west were damaged by their. Their Charity was also a pay for play scheme. But I how much you hate anti corruption. Also I know how you think that Haitians are starving is a good thing considering how much you're against minimum wage initiatives. Really it just makes me want to get more involved in local and state politics so the dems can purge themselves from cancers like you. Also yes you can quote me in perpetuity on this. I want to ensure your type has no reason to vote Democrat because the democrats do not need sociopaths voting for them.

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Harrow
Jun 30, 2012

i am the bird posted:

I am in no way bragging about Dem election results but saying they "hemorrhaged voters" is a loving lie. Democrats routinely get more votes for the presidency and for congress.

DNC leadership sucks because they've done nothing to cultivate voters or candidates outside of major cities, and that failure to organize has led to massive state-level advantages for Republicans. You know who else is terrible in that regard? Lefty organizers.

I think a lot of people in this thread are conflating the Democrats' poor strategy with not being progressive enough when it comes to their losing state-level elections. For my part, I'm not so sure, which is why I don't really have too much of a horse in the DNC chair race. I think the Democrats' bigger problem is a total failure to organize on the state level and swinging hard to the left isn't necessarily going to magically produce wins without that organization.

Frankly, I have no idea how good at organizing races Ellison or Perez are, and that's what I care about a lot more than whether the DNC elected a progressive enough chair or threw a bone to lefties like me. They each have about as good of a chance as each other at being successful at state-level election strategy and I really hope they work together and knock it the gently caress out of the park.

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