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Cerv
Sep 14, 2004

This is a silly post with little news value.

The constitutional reform bill from the last few month's of Brown's government wouldn't have died.
And there's be no anti Lib Dem backlash which marred the Tory-LD referendum.

So I guess yeah it probably would.

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Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Pissflaps posted:

In what way do you find labour MPs bad and incapable?

the main one being their inability to run a candidate capable of beating some no hoper like corbyn

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Jose posted:

the main one being their inability to run a candidate capable of beating some no hoper like corbyn

Anything that doesn't centre on the Labour Party leadership?

Breath Ray
Nov 19, 2010

Alertrelic posted:

This is true, though. Blair even literally stated this during one of his earlier interventions.

Pretty much everything McDonnell said is obviously true. The fact that large sections of the media and PLP are trying to sabotage the leadership doesn't change the fact that Corbyn's team are doing a terrible job on their own, of course, it just exacerbates the issue.

What was blairs quote on this I think I was away

Lord of the Llamas
Jul 9, 2002

EULER'VE TO SEE IT VENN SOMEONE CALLS IT THE WRONG THING AND PROVOKES MY WRATH

Breath Ray posted:

What was blairs quote on this I think I was away

That he wouldn't campaign on a left wing platform even if it was the only way to win.

Tony Blair posted:

“Let me make my position clear: I wouldn’t want to win on an old-fashioned leftist platform. Even if I thought it was the route to victory, I wouldn’t take it.”

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Lord of the Llamas posted:

That he wouldn't campaign on a left wing platform even if it was the only way to win.

What's wrong with him saying that? He's a centre left politician.

Kokoro Wish
Jul 23, 2007

Post? What post? Oh wow.
I had nothing to do with THAT.

Pissflaps posted:

Anything that doesn't centre on the Labour Party leadership?

Two failed general elections?

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Kokoro Wish posted:

Two failed general elections?

2010 was always going to be a loss but the 2015 GE for sure

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Kokoro Wish posted:

Two failed general elections?

But each mp won their seat?

Lord of the Llamas
Jul 9, 2002

EULER'VE TO SEE IT VENN SOMEONE CALLS IT THE WRONG THING AND PROVOKES MY WRATH

Pissflaps posted:

What's wrong with him saying that? He's a centre left politician.

Nothing. At least he's being honest. It's also the exact position leftists are criticised for over centrism.

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

Lord of the Llamas posted:

Nothing. At least he's being honest. It's also the exact position leftists are criticised for over centrism.

mfcrocker posted:

So it's almost like most people would like a voice to represent them and are less fussed about winning elections

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/02/26/theresa-may-poised-announce-end-free-movement-new-eu-migrants/

quote:

Theresa May is next month poised to announce the end of free movement for new EU migrants on the same day that she formally triggers Brexit negotiations.
The Prime Minister is expected to say that EU citizens who travel to Britain after she triggers Article 50 will no longer have the automatic right to stay in the UK permanently.
They will instead be subject to migration curbs after Britain leaves the European Union, which could include a new visa regime and restricted access to benefits.
Mrs May is expected to say that EU migrants who arrived in the UK before the "cut-off date" will have their rights protected as long British citizens living elsewhere in Europe are granted the same assurance.
...
The announcement means that the "cut-off date" for EU migrants is likely to be around March 15, once the Government's Article 50 bill has gone through Parliament.
The Prime Minister is expected to appeal to other European Union nations to reach a quick deal on the issue so it can be removed from Brexit negotiations as soon as possible.
It is likely to put her in conflict with the European Union, which has been pushing for Mrs May to delay the cut-off date until 2019. However ministers have raised concerns that waiting until the end of negotiations will lead to a huge surge in the number of EU migrants coming to the UK before Brexit.
"We have had some suggestion that that the European Commission might attempt to force us to protect everyone who arrives up to the moment of departure," a Government source said. "We could end up with half of Romania and Bulgaria coming here if we wait that long."
Seal the gates! The Bulgamanians are coming!!!!

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy
I'm pretty sure that won't hold up in court, Theresa.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Yeah uh, I don't think you can start negotiating to leave and then unilaterally drop your treaty obligations...

I don't think the people you're negotiating with will appreciate that...

Lunar Suite
Jun 5, 2011

If you love a flower which happens to be on a star, it is sweet at night to gaze at the sky. All the stars are a riot of flowers.
So what happens if I visit my family back in Germany during the summer? Since I've been in the UK before the cutoff, am I permanently grandfathered, or can I never leave again.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Lunar Suite posted:

So what happens if I visit my family back in Germany during the summer? Since I've been in the UK before the cutoff, am I permanently grandfathered, or can I never leave again.

What would be the most dickhead position the government could take?

Assume they will.

HJB
Feb 16, 2011

:swoon: I can't get enough of are Dan :swoon:

mfcrocker posted:

I'm pretty sure that won't hold up in court, Theresa.

May: Here's a thing the British people want me to do.
EU: You can't do that.
May: The EU once again refuse to respect the will of the British people!

*approval ratings soar*

Breath Ray
Nov 19, 2010

Lord of the Llamas posted:

Nothing. At least he's being honest. It's also the exact position leftists are criticised for over centrism.

I suppose the difference is centre left is proven to be electable and even 2010 and 2015 were pretty close iirc. So confirmation bias as ppl have said and we'll have to give jeremy a fair crack at the whip in 2020 unless he steps down and finds someone more suitable before then.

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead

Lunar Suite posted:

So what happens if I visit my family back in Germany during the summer? Since I've been in the UK before the cutoff, am I permanently grandfathered, or can I never leave again.
Well, you see, Mrs. May has got a little list...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WmtKHdptK0k

DesperateDan
Dec 10, 2005

Where's my cow?

Is that my cow?

No it isn't, but it still tramples my bloody lavender.

mfcrocker posted:

I'm pretty sure that won't hold up in court, Theresa.

She doesn't care, provided the can is kicked further down the road and the tabs aren't screaming treasonous betrayal.

Dollars to doughnuts, a mail acolyte is right now churning out some bollocks about how it's a brave move to protect our sovereignty, probably pulling stock images of "migrants" under which to stick "government fears a lack of action could lead to eleventy million bulgamanians in your town".

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

I don't understand this.

jBrereton
May 30, 2013
Grimey Drawer
gently caress tess.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead
Relevant both here and in Scotpol but putting it here because who wants to deal with those horrid little provincials?

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/scots-to-demand-new-referendum-no-10-fears-jjnzgt8s0

quote:

Theresa May is preparing for the Scottish government to call a second independence referendum to coincide with the triggering of Article 50 next month.
Senior government sources say there is serious concern that Nicola Sturgeon will use the start of the Brexit process to demand another vote on the future of the UK and that Whitehall is planning for that event.
The prime minister could reject the demand, but such a move would risk causing a constitutional crisis. If she agreed, ministers have been warned, she would risk the break-up of the United Kingdom on a “coin toss”.
...
Sources have told The Times that Mrs May could agree a fresh vote but make holding it after Brexit a red line, knowing that it would leave an independent Scotland outside the EU initially. SNP insiders have suggested that they would wish a vote to take place in the autumn of 2018.
With the prospect of Northern Ireland coming under direct rule, the SNP demands threaten to undermine Mrs May as she seeks to present a united front to the EU.
A senior government source said that the danger of a “devolution crisis” was preoccupying Whitehall. “It is possible that we will have to face Nicola Sturgeon calling a second referendum, have to bring in direct rule in Northern Ireland and trigger Article 50 all at the same time,” the source said.

Lord of the Llamas
Jul 9, 2002

EULER'VE TO SEE IT VENN SOMEONE CALLS IT THE WRONG THING AND PROVOKES MY WRATH

Breath Ray posted:

I suppose the difference is centre left is proven to be electable and even 2010 and 2015 were pretty close iirc. So confirmation bias as ppl have said and we'll have to give jeremy a fair crack at the whip in 2020 unless he steps down and finds someone more suitable before then.

It's a bit late to give Corbyn "a fair crack at the whip"; they've already pissed inside the tent. You can only hold broad coalitions together if each faction is willing to play by the rules, which the centrists obviously weren't willing to do. Unfortunately the left and the right of the Labour party are chained together against a split in mutually assured destruction because of FPTP. I think Jason Cowley of the New Statesmen hit it on the head to say the current state of the Labour party is "too weak to win and too strong to die".

Why should the left continue to associate itself with a group of people that employ destructive and abusive tactics to maintain control?

Lord of the Llamas fucked around with this message at 15:47 on Feb 27, 2017

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

LemonDrizzle posted:

"We could end up with half of Romania and Bulgaria coming here if we wait that long."

Seal the gates! The Bulgamanians are coming!!!!
Looking at the statistics I'm fairly sure most of them don't want to.

e:

Lord of the Llamas posted:

Why should the left continue to associate itself with a group of people that employ destructive and abusive tactics to maintain control?
We don't want to, but the SWP keep showing up at events.

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

Pissflaps posted:

I don't understand this.

The idea that electability is worth compromising your values for isn't widely held and, in your case, is unevenly applied as a stick to try and whack a leftist Labour party.

The centrists in the party lost both the 2010 and 2015 elections; that doesn't mean they should've suddenly become UKIP to try and win support. Likewise, the Corbynite Labour party shouldn't become centrists despite being obliterated in the polls right now.

A Tory government is a big bunch of poo poo, but I have no interest in having Tory-lite either. That got us nowhere.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

mfcrocker posted:

A Tory government is a big bunch of poo poo, but I have no interest in having Tory-lite either. That got us nowhere.

based on what they were promising it got us a tory majority

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

Jose posted:

based on what they were promising it got us a tory majority

Yeah, turns out it's pretty hard to out-tory the Tories.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

jBrereton posted:

gently caress tess.

I love your desperate attempt to make everything to do with the Brexit process about my particular vote.

I don't pretend I didn't vote for Leave, so you can stop pretending like I try and distance myself from it.

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

Tesseraction posted:

I love your desperate attempt to make everything to do with the Brexit process about my particular vote.

I don't pretend I didn't vote for Leave, so you can stop pretending like I try and distance myself from it.

You did properly poo poo the bed with this one though

Zalakwe
Jun 4, 2007
Likes Cake, Hates Hamsters



mfcrocker posted:

The idea that electability is worth compromising your values for isn't widely held and, in your case, is unevenly applied as a stick to try and whack a leftist Labour party.

The centrists in the party lost both the 2010 and 2015 elections; that doesn't mean they should've suddenly become UKIP to try and win support. Likewise, the Corbynite Labour party shouldn't become centrists despite being obliterated in the polls right now.

A Tory government is a big bunch of poo poo, but I have no interest in having Tory-lite either. That got us nowhere.

I agree with you, tending towards political parties being a vehicle for ideology in the most part (at least in an ideal world). However it does show up how terrible an idea whipping for Article 50 was. Why whip for something you are opposed to when you didn't need to except to chase votes?

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

mfcrocker posted:

The centrists in the party lost both the 2010 and 2015 elections; that doesn't mean they should've suddenly become UKIP to try and win support. Likewise, the Corbynite Labour party shouldn't become centrists despite being obliterated in the polls right now.

I don't think anybody expects 'Corbynite labour' to become centrists, just to recognise that they're an existential threat to the Labour Party as a parliamentary force.

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

Pissflaps posted:

I don't think anybody expects 'Corbynite labour' to become centrists, just to recognise that they're an existential threat to the Labour Party as a parliamentary force.

Bollocks, the major existential threat is the massive swing to the right of pretty much all political discourse in the Western world. A centrist candidate would be absolutely hosed.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

mfcrocker posted:

You did properly poo poo the bed with this one though

I still firmly believe Britain is ultimately better off outside the European Union. This doesn't mean I buy into the hardline Eurosceptic view that the EU has been 'holding us back' or the Kipper xenophobia rejecting free movement of people. This means I'm freely able to say "May is being dumb" about this instant termination of freedom of movement - which as you say probably won't hold up in court.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

mfcrocker posted:

Bollocks, the major existential threat is the massive swing to the right of pretty much all political discourse in the Western world. A centrist candidate would be absolutely hosed.

Why would a party closer to the right be more hosed than one further removed from it?

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

Tesseraction posted:

I still firmly believe Britain is ultimately better off outside the European Union.

Sure, we're just saying that this is ignoring a wealth of evidence to the contrary.

Pissflaps posted:

Why would a party closer to the right be more hosed than one further removed from it?

They wouldn't be, which is why I didn't say that.

Centrist Labour would be hosed, Corbynite Labour is hosed. Neither is going to win an election in 2020.

Regarde Aduck
Oct 19, 2012

c l o u d k i t t e n
Grimey Drawer

Pissflaps posted:

I don't think anybody expects 'Corbynite labour' to become centrists, just to recognise that they're an existential threat to the Labour Party as a parliamentary force.

Then why should anyone on the same position on the political spectrum as Corbyn bother? In fact why should anyone left of centre bother with British politics at all? You seem to think a working party exists to do either of two things: 1) Become centrist 2) Just do whatever's popular right now gently caress everything??

Here's a question. If Corbyn went hard right, said throw all the immigrants out, cut taxes, cut welfare, said England was the best country ever and everyone else are big bellends and not good, just basically became a giant not-quite-fascist populist and then won the 2020 GE. Would you say this was an effective Corbyn? Would you like to see the Labour party do this in order to win?

Would you expect him then to betray this new base and start enacting socialist policies like a reverse Trump (lol) or are you content with just winning?

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

mfcrocker posted:

Sure, we're just saying that this is ignoring a wealth of evidence to the contrary.

There's certainly been a fair level of cock-ups from the Tories that compound upon the unavoidable troubles innate to a process like this. I'm not denying these exist either, nor am I asking you to ignore them. I'm just not convinced, even with the gently caress-ups that have been happening, that this is a shitted bed... yet. You can generally trust the Tories to subvert expectations there though.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Regarde Aduck posted:

Then why should anyone on the same position on the political spectrum as Corbyn bother? In fact why should anyone left of centre bother with British politics at all? You seem to think a working party exists to do either of two things: 1) Become centrist 2) Just do whatever's popular right now gently caress everything??

I believe there already exists political parties that are further left than Labour traditionally is. They're fringe parties that don't perform very well at elections. The problem is that labour is being turned into one of them.

quote:

Here's a question. If Corbyn went hard right, said throw all the immigrants out, cut taxes, cut welfare, said England was the best country ever and everyone else are big bellends and not good, just basically became a giant not-quite-fascist populist and then won the 2020 GE. Would you say this was an effective Corbyn? Would you like to see the Labour party do this in order to win?

This is bizarre. I'm not waiting on some breathless hyperbolic scenario. I want labour to return to being a completely run, left of centre alternative to the Tories. Corbyn is unable to deliver this.

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Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

mfcrocker posted:

Centrist Labour would be hosed, Corbynite Labour is hosed. Neither is going to win an election in 2020.

I think a centrist labour would be in a better position to capture disillusioned Tory voters.

There's no guarantee of victory, but right now labour are guaranteed defeat.

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