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https://vimeo.com/208831875
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Mar 17, 2017 20:41
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| # ? May 10, 2024 00:17 |
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DO YALL WANT A BOXC posted:are you being really obtuse about the use of the word "prediction" here or what There are no statistical grounds for predicting the outcome of a (truly random) dice roll, ever. Each side is equally likely and no prediction can be made more accurate than random chance.
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Mar 17, 2017 20:46
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Whens the last time DC pulled out of a fight?
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Mar 17, 2017 20:50
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bader's takedown attempt on rumble was one of the most desperate things i've ever seen in my life
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Mar 17, 2017 20:49
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Nierbo posted:Whens the last time DC pulled out of a fight? Against jones last year
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Mar 17, 2017 20:50
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DeimosRising posted:There are no statistical grounds for predicting the outcome of a (truly random) dice roll, ever. Each side is equally likely and no prediction can be made more accurate than random chance. No no no you got it all wrong. Once you roll the die, the same number is less likely to come up. So if I roll a 4, because doubles only have a 1 in 36 chance I know that there's only a 1 in 36 chance of getting another 4. Other numbers are more due. Just like with slot machines. Especially the computerized video ones.
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Mar 17, 2017 20:53
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DO YALL WANT A BOXC posted:are you being really obtuse about the use of the word "prediction" here or what If you roll a die one time, what is the predicted outcome
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Mar 17, 2017 20:53
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Have you been to high school
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Mar 17, 2017 20:54
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CommonShore posted:No no no you got it all wrong. Once you roll the die, the same number is less likely to come up. So if I roll a 4, because doubles only have a 1 in 36 chance I know that there's only a 1 in 36 chance of getting another 4. Other numbers are more due. Looks like we're due for some good posting any time now.
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Mar 17, 2017 20:55
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That's why it's called the Gambler's Paradise.
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Mar 17, 2017 20:57
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CommonShore posted:No no no you got it all wrong. Once you roll the die, the same number is less likely to come up. So if I roll a 4, because doubles only have a 1 in 36 chance I know that there's only a 1 in 36 chance of getting another 4. Other numbers are more due. That is the opposite of true. If you rolled a sufficiently high numbe of times you would expect an approximately even distribution of results. If you rolled a 4 five times in a row, the odds of rolling another 4 is 1/6. The rolls are independent, and previous results don't give you any more predictive power. This discussion is extremely tagential and was brought up simply to illustrate that some fool didn't understand prob & stats (don't remember which fool), but instead it seems to be illustrating that many fools don't understand many things
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Mar 17, 2017 20:59
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david carmichael posted:That is the opposite of true. If you rolled a sufficiently high numbe of times you would expect an approximately even distribution of results. If you rolled a 4 five times in a row, the odds of rolling another 4 is 1/6. The rolls are independent, and previous results don't give you any more predictive power. 
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Mar 17, 2017 21:00
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david carmichael posted:That is the opposite of true. If you rolled a sufficiently high numbe of times you would expect an approximately even distribution of results. If you rolled a 4 five times in a row, the odds of rolling another 4 is 1/6. The rolls are independent, and previous results don't give you any more predictive power. I believe he was joking.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:01
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There's a one in one probability you're a loving dweeb
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Mar 17, 2017 21:01
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Maybe I have you confused, but I thought you were the real judo footlock guy so I just erred on assuming you were a cretin. My apologies
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Mar 17, 2017 21:01
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david carmichael posted:Maybe I have you confused, but I thought you were the real judo footlock guy so I just erred on assuming you were a cretin. My apologies I'm a judo guy but I never remember posting anything about judo footlocks other than a two-sentence explanation of how they came to be banned like 140 years ago.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:04
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CommonShore posted:I'm a judo guy but I never remember posting anything about judo footlocks other than a two-sentence explanation of how they came to be banned like 140 years ago. There was a judo guy who posted about how bending the toes was the most devastating move in history. I must have confused you with him. Apologies
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Mar 17, 2017 21:07
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david carmichael posted:There was a judo guy who posted about how bending the toes was the most devastating move in history. I must have confused you with him. Apologies that was icihbahn
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Mar 17, 2017 21:09
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david carmichael posted:There was a judo guy who posted about how bending the toes was the most devastating move in history. I must have confused you with him. Apologies I will own that I badpost sometimes, particularly in the too-speculative flight-of-fancy way, but not that kind of bad. Namaste.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:09
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david carmichael posted:There was a judo guy who posted about how bending the toes was the most devastating move in history. I must have confused you with him. Apologies That's a different dude and I thought telisential or whatever was his rereg.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:13
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Was that the guy who doesn't know what a toehold is? I mean I don't know either but I'm not making any claims about them.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:15
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Skip My Posts posted:bader's takedown attempt on rumble was one of the most desperate things i've ever seen in my life that whole fight is like watching someone drown
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Mar 17, 2017 21:15
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...and the pitch! posted:Was that the guy who doesn't know what a toehold is? uh everybody knows what a toehold is, the big toe is the repository of most of the body's chi so if you hold the toe you have command of their fighting spirit
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Mar 17, 2017 21:32
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david carmichael posted:If you roll a die one time, what is the predicted outcome i was never arguing this, i'm saying this: david carmichael posted:Like you don't use stats to predict how a dice roll will turn out, you use them to predict expected results over many dice rolls in the context of using statistics to predict single fights is a somewhat silly thing to say
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Mar 17, 2017 21:34
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The chi flows nuts to head dude. Cmon.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:34
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mods please rename me Ryan Bayesder
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Mar 17, 2017 21:36
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Work Friend Keven posted:The chi flows nuts to head dude. Cmon. And it goes through the big toe? That doesn't sound very efficient.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:36
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...and the pitch! posted:And it goes through the big toe? That doesn't sound very efficient. the archangel michael blows your soul into your left nostril when you come out of your mom. the body is very complicated.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:38
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TpVopAezDdA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UWdCWeDbgqA
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Mar 17, 2017 21:44
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manyak posted:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TpVopAezDdA lmao what clip is that first one from
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Mar 17, 2017 21:49
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Serious Q: Is a reach advantage an advantage?
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Mar 17, 2017 21:51
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Could someone please source that an advantage is a positive thing
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Mar 17, 2017 21:52
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Bundt Cake posted:Serious Q: Is a reach advantage an advantage? I dunno man, it's kind of a reach to ask that
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Mar 17, 2017 21:53
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kensei posted:I dunno man, it's kind of a reach to ask that If your arms were too short to armbar,,,, would SHORT arms be a different kind of reach advantage?
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Mar 17, 2017 21:54
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Longer arms might help outside of a fight too, like if you had to reach into a car wreck to pull out your bail money, that would be a time you would like to have long arms as well
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Mar 17, 2017 21:56
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I feel like I have heard that having super gangly arms or legs can make it harder to get a good squeeze in some subs but that really is reaching for a disadvantage.
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Mar 17, 2017 21:57
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Bundt Cake posted:Longer arms might help outside of a fight too, like if you had to reach into a car wreck to pull out your bail money, that would be a time you would like to have long arms as well Lol
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Mar 17, 2017 21:59
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If I had to get in a fight , id hope the other guy was bigger than me, so I could land quicker and get more hits. His one punch v my five, etc
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Mar 17, 2017 22:05
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DO YALL WANT A BOXC posted:lmao what clip is that first one from I wish i knew
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Mar 17, 2017 22:08
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Bundt Cake posted:If I had to get in a fight , id hope the other guy was bigger than me, so I could land quicker and get more hits. His one punch v my five, etc Who's to say that punching someone is even an advantage in a fight. A lot of fights are won via kicks, submissions, positional advantages, and so on.
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Mar 17, 2017 22:10
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