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mysterious frankie
Jan 11, 2009

This displeases Dev- ..van. Shut up.
When I initially imagineered the Kim head it appeared to me like the Zardoz head, but instead of guns, Little Debbie wrappers and empty courvoisier bottles pour from the mouth.

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Azathoth
Apr 3, 2001

tadashi posted:

There also isn't enough evidence that the populace in North Korea wants to be "liberated". I'm not convinced that every citizen thinks that Un is some sort of God King but there also isn't evidence to the contrary?
I'm not saying that they would flee because of a desire for "liberation", but if the state collapses, that would certainly include disruptions of the food supply/distribution in a country that is already very food insecure.

The scenario that includes the refugee crisis basically involves a breakdown of control on internal movement, and even if people don't intend to cross the border when they leave home, at some point, word's gonna spread that people who do cross the border are getting fed by China/SK in refugee camps, because the alternative is a literal starving and angry mob pillaging the countryside. '

The alternative is that at the very start, China invades at the behest of one of the army factions, militarily occupies and feeds the country, sets up a puppet regime amenable to their interests, and then withdraws a few years later, once the threat of collapse abates.

As for how people think of the Kim family, Bradley K. Martin in Under the Loving Care of the Fatherly Leader relays the account of a defector who estimates that roughly 10% of the country are true believers and 90% do what they need to do to get by. It's all anecdotal, but he mentions that it mirrors what he saw during the collapse of the USSR, and I'd say it's as good of an estimate as you're gonna get.

Work Friend Keven
Oct 24, 2015

I'M A BIG STUPID IDIOT WHO GETS TRIGGERED FROM THE WORDS SPORTS BALL AND HAS SHIT OPINIONS ABOUT CARD GAMES. ALSO I SAID I WAS GOING TO QUIT HEARTHSTONE OUT OF SPITE OF A TAIWANESE WINNING THE CHAMPIONSHIP SO REPORT ME IF YOU SEE ME POST IN A HS THREAD
To the question posed by the op: The DPRK is bad.

Work Friend Keven
Oct 24, 2015

I'M A BIG STUPID IDIOT WHO GETS TRIGGERED FROM THE WORDS SPORTS BALL AND HAS SHIT OPINIONS ABOUT CARD GAMES. ALSO I SAID I WAS GOING TO QUIT HEARTHSTONE OUT OF SPITE OF A TAIWANESE WINNING THE CHAMPIONSHIP SO REPORT ME IF YOU SEE ME POST IN A HS THREAD

Scionix posted:

"I loving LOVE THE COLORS TEAL, AND PINK" - Pyongyang architect, guy

This is why it's bad.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Azathoth posted:

The alternative is that at the very start, China invades at the behest of one of the army factions, militarily occupies and feeds the country, sets up a puppet regime amenable to their interests, and then withdraws a few years later, once the threat of collapse abates.

Why are people assuming that China is capable of pulling this off badda bing badda boom

More likely they'd get stuck in a lovely quagmire for years/decades like the USSR and USA have when they've tried to do the same thing elsewhere

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

There is zero evidence that the North Korean state is on the precipice of collapse.

Azathoth
Apr 3, 2001

Fojar38 posted:

Why are people assuming that China is capable of pulling this off badda bing badda boom

More likely they'd get stuck in a lovely quagmire for years/decades like the USSR and USA have when they've tried to do the same thing elsewhere
I don't think they'd have an easy time, and I think it would be a messy as hell, decades long modernization process while being a drag on their economy. However, if a disorderly collapse is in progress, if they don't go in, then the South / America might, and that would mean a united U.S.-friendly Korea with a direct land border with China, which is in direct opposition with the goals of their policy towards the North.

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

There is zero evidence that the North Korean state is on the precipice of collapse.
Correct. I don't expect them to collapse anytime soon, and I certainly do not think that any collapse would be a popular revolt either.

The scenarios that I'm talking about above that involve a disordered collapse would generally be because of fast-moving events related to an internal power struggle and/or the untimely death of Kim Jong-un (not necessarily suggesting assassination either).

Right now, Kim seems to have successfully consolidated his power, but who really knows how secure he is. Even assuming he is secure from that kind of threat, he's one car accident or cancer diagnosis from throwing the country into chaos.

In a country where control of the military is the only real mechanism of power, I don't think it's far-fetched for a succession crisis to turn into a military conflict between competing power centers within the military, and if that happens, not only are things going to move very quickly, all the players involved are gonna be presented with a set of really bad choices, and they're gonna have to choose quickly what they do.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Ace of Baes posted:

Unless someone on this forum is like a Korean-Chinese history scholar there's about a 0% chance that anyone here (including me) knows the best way to approach the North Korea dilemma.

the easiest way is to drop a nuke on NK. not the best mind

jarofpiss
May 16, 2009

Ace of Baes posted:

Unless someone on this forum is like a Korean-Chinese history scholar there's about a 0% chance that anyone here (including me) knows the best way to approach the North Korea dilemma.

the world should surrender unconditionally to juche immediatel;y

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

jarofpiss posted:

the world should surrender unconditionally to juche immediatel;y

more like douch-eh :smug:

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Woozy posted:

Liberals run crying to NATO about socialist states like this, but Western "leftists" run crying to NATO about socialists states like this. Trust me it's different!

I'm a Western left-liberal, AMA.

Woozy
Jan 3, 2006

Jeb! Repetition posted:

I'm a Western left-liberal, AMA.

What for? You don't know anything.

byob historian
Nov 5, 2008

I'm an animal abusing piece of shit! I deliberately poisoned my dog to death and think it's funny! I'm an irredeemable sack of human shit!

Azathoth posted:

As for how people think of the Kim family, Bradley K. Martin in Under the Loving Care of the Fatherly Leader relays the account of a defector who estimates that roughly 10% of the country are true believers and 90% do what they need to do to get by. It's all anecdotal, but he mentions that it mirrors what he saw during the collapse of the USSR, and I'd say it's as good of an estimate as you're gonna get.

i know im gettin old, i forgot about that book i wrote!

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

i'm sure the book titled "under the loving care of the fatherly leader" has absolutely no truck for orientalist stereotypes

Azathoth
Apr 3, 2001

R. Guyovich posted:

i'm sure the book titled "under the loving care of the fatherly leader" has absolutely no truck for orientalist stereotypes

It really doesn't. It's an accessible, if occasionally dense, book and, if memory serves, the title is from a piece of propaganda about either Kim Il-Sung or Kim Jong-il. Obviously, anything about North Korea needs to be taken with a grain of salt because literally every possible source is chock full of bias, but I don't know of a better book in English for someone who wants to know about the history of North Korea up through Kim Jong-il.

Fast Luck
Feb 2, 1988

R. Guyovich posted:

dprk isn't starving and hasn't been since the 90s

http://apjjf.org/2014/12/18/Henri-Feron/4113/article.html
ok so that link says that it's really hard to get any information on the dprk but that when they got food assistance during the 90s famine they were required to do these reports on their food production, and that those seem to be a reliable source of data. And they show the dprk's grain output is at 95% of that required to meet their peoples needs.

what this doesnt account for is a) distribution of grain once produced, and b) the 400 kcal of non-grain (ie protein) per day per person required (versus the 1640 kcal of grain that is close to being met).

so, i think it's fair to say that they are doing pretty well with food production (many prosperous countries dont produce nearly that much of their own food), esp given their mountainous geography and many hurdles. but that doesnt mean theyre not still food insecure, with some segments of the population possibly "starving."

This story posted like a page ago does back up that people are hungry. and it's being exasperated by all these sanctions
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/report-sanctions-disrupt-humanitarian-aid-north-korea-46340596

quote:

The report issued this week by the U.N.'s senior resident official in Pyongyang said sanctions are inadvertently hindering legitimate operations on the ground and have indirectly contributed to a "radical decline" in donations it said are badly needed by millions of North Korean women and children.

It said "chronic food insecurity, early childhood malnutrition and nutrition insecurity" continue to be widespread in the North, which it noted ranked 98th out of 118 countries in the 2016 Global Hunger Index.

More than 10 million people — or about 41 percent of the North Korean population — are undernourished, it said.

To meet the "urgent needs of the most vulnerable," it called for $114 million in donations.

Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

R. Guyovich posted:

i'm sure the book titled "under the loving care of the fatherly leader" has absolutely no truck for orientalist stereotypes

Here comes Homework Explainer with the liberal identity politics :rolleye:

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Fast Luck posted:

ok so that link says that it's really hard to get any information on the dprk but that when they got food assistance during the 90s famine they were required to do these reports on their food production, and that those seem to be a reliable source of data. And they show the dprk's grain output is at 95% of that required to meet their peoples needs.

what this doesnt account for is a) distribution of grain once produced, and b) the 400 kcal of non-grain (ie protein) per day per person required (versus the 1640 kcal of grain that is close to being met).

so, i think it's fair to say that they are doing pretty well with food production (many prosperous countries dont produce nearly that much of their own food), esp given their mountainous geography and many hurdles. but that doesnt mean theyre not still food insecure, with some segments of the population possibly "starving."

This story posted like a page ago does back up that people are hungry. and it's being exasperated by all these sanctions
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/report-sanctions-disrupt-humanitarian-aid-north-korea-46340596

that's all correct and the article i posted goes into some detail on the ramifications of sanctions. my intro was glib but the overall point is things are not getting worse there and the days of the arduous march have long since passed

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Sanctions are bad y'all.

Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

*extremely margaret thatcher voice*

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

Sanctions are bad y'all.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Fallen Hamprince posted:

*extremely margaret thatcher voice*

Who can forget how many South Africans starved to death from the dreadful sanctions regime lmao

Budzilla
Oct 14, 2007

We can all learn from our past mistakes.

R. Guyovich posted:

but the overall point is things are not getting worse

Of course. They're at rock bottom.

Fast Luck
Feb 2, 1988

No this was rock bottom: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korean_famine

They've recovered a lot since then but it's very hard for them to be self-sufficient in terms of food production

quote:

Only about 20% of North Korea's mountainous terrain is arable land. Much of the land is only frost-free for six months, allowing only one crop per year. The country has never been self-sufficient in food, and many experts considered it unrealistic to try to be.

Budzilla
Oct 14, 2007

We can all learn from our past mistakes.

Fast Luck posted:

They've recovered a lot since then but it's very hard for them to be self-sufficient in terms of food production
I guess that answers the OP's question. DPRK is good.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Budzilla posted:

Of course. They're at rock bottom.

thats the central african republic

Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

Fast Luck posted:

No this was rock bottom: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korean_famine

They've recovered a lot since then but it's very hard for them to be self-sufficient in terms of food production

*coins ideology revolving entirely around economic self-sufficiency*

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011

Fallen Hamprince posted:

*coins ideology revolving entirely around economic self-sufficiency*

*uses your hegemonic global superpower status to starve as many innocent people as possible*

Loving Life Partner
Apr 17, 2003
We're starving those people for their own good, otherwise communism might starve them

Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

Fiction posted:

*uses your hegemonic global superpower status to starve as many innocent dictatorships of nuclear weapons as possible*

Psycho Society
Oct 21, 2010
Does the DPRK have some technology to make nukes out of bags brown rice?

Loving Life Partner
Apr 17, 2003
They are believed to have nukes in the most technical sense, I think they're really small baby nukes that'd need to be driven up to the target in a semi-truck, but they do have them.

Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

Psycho Society posted:

Does the DPRK have some technology to make nukes out of bags brown rice?

fiction is whining that the sanctions targeting nk's nuclear program indirectly affect food aid (which nk is reliant upon) because of banking restrictions and the added noteriety which makes donors less willing to give. the US and other western programs still provide food aid though, which is certainly just part of their master plan to starve the north to death homoeopathically

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011

Fallen Hamprince posted:

fiction is whining that the sanctions targeting nk's nuclear program indirectly affect food aid (which nk is reliant upon) because of banking restrictions and the added noteriety which makes donors less willing to give. the US and other western programs still provide food aid though, which is certainly just part of their master plan to starve the north to death homoeopathically

Nobody involved with NK's nuclear program is truly affected by sanctions on food aid. It's purely meant as collective punishment.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer
they should use their nukes on hamprince imo

Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

Fiction posted:

Nobody involved with NK's nuclear program is truly affected by sanctions on food aid. It's purely meant as collective punishment.

the sanctions aren't on food aid

ABC News posted:

"While international sanctions imposed on DPRK clearly exempt humanitarian activities, they have unintentionally caused disruptions to humanitarian operations," it said.

In particular, it said the "regular disruption" of banking channels since 2013 has made it difficult or impossible to transfer funds into the country. It also cited the additional requirements for licenses and the time it takes to determine what is or is not a potential sanctions' violation as the cause of considerable delays that have forced agencies to "reprioritize" their aid activities.

It said the sanctions also have the psychological effect of making donors reluctant to provide funds for projects in the North.

but whatever, it's a free country and u can continue to believe that amerikkka made selling north korea hamburgers illegal if u want

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011

Fallen Hamprince posted:

the sanctions aren't on food aid


but whatever, it's a free country and u can continue to believe that amerikkka made selling north korea hamburgers illegal if u want

yeah all they did is stop people outside of NK from sending their family and friends money to buy anything they need on the black markets, no prob lol

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011
They deserved it for being descendants of people who lived in the North when we tried to institute puppet elections ignoring the UN in the 50s, though. I'm sure there's a good reason for it.

Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

Fiction posted:

yeah all they did is stop people outside of NK from sending their family and friends money to buy anything they need on the black markets, no prob lol

lmao just admit u were wrong dude, this is just sad

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

the "humanitarian exemptions" are straight bullshit and there are multiple sources in here saying so

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Fallen Hamprince
Nov 12, 2016

North Korea totally wouldn't be starving if only the imperialist west would let the vast North Korean expect community wire money back to their families to buy black market grain, sorry ur too dumb to figure that out lib

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