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Tae
Oct 24, 2010

Hello? Can you hear me? ...Perhaps if I shout? AAAAAAAAAH!
The main problem with mvp is that they have too many biased company people voting for the awards. Why are team beat writers deciding the legacy and money of players?

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Kibner
Oct 21, 2008

Acguy Supremacy

Tae posted:

The main problem with mvp is that they have too many biased company people voting for the awards. Why are team beat writers deciding the legacy and money of players?

They aren't anymore, iirc. Team broadcasters definitely don't get a vote now.

Jack's Flow
Jun 6, 2003

Life, friends, is boring
https://twitter.com/jwquick/status/...point-milestone

Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..

Dejan Bimble posted:

Why does the MVP always come down to semantic argument between "best production by a player, best production by a player on a good team, best player overall"

Because discussing value is hard. Personally, I remain optimistic that if we really wanted to carefully sort it out we could come to a mutually acceptable understanding of value. Possibly over a Pepsi.

Jack's Flow
Jun 6, 2003

Life, friends, is boring

Hand Knit posted:

Because discussing value is hard. Personally, I remain optimistic that if we really wanted to carefully sort it out we could come to a mutually acceptable understanding of value. Possibly over a Pepsi.

I'm having a Pepsi right now, and the way Steph has carried the team while Durant was out has pushed him to the top of the pack on my li

BWV
Feb 24, 2005


I like the NHL model people were discussing. It would be cool to also have an award voted on by the players that determines who is the best and isn't completely tied to team success/narrative

CRISPYBABY
Dec 15, 2007

by Reene
Wasn't the award voted on by players in the 50's - 70's and they were even worse at it than the media?

E2M2
Mar 2, 2007

Ain't No Thang.
https://twitter.com/Scott_CEOofSUH/status/851067070900953088

Lockback
Sep 3, 2006

All days are nights to see till I see thee; and nights bright days when dreams do show me thee.
Don't let players vote for awards.

dokmo
Aug 27, 2006

:stat:man
The father of basketball advanced stats looks at Westbrook's triple doubles.

http://www.rawbw.com/~deano/articles/20170403_Westbrook_Not_MVP.htm

quote:

Now about those triple doubles... Westbrook’s triple doubles have less meaning to winning than other players' triple doubles. The chart below shows his triple doubles and the number of points he added to the team and you can see 11 games where he actually cost them points - through turnovers, missed shots, bad defense, etc. Not entirely coincidentally, the Thunder have been outscored with Westbrook on the court in 11 of his 40 triple doubles (the red bars on the plot). This is a higher rate than for other players when getting triple doubles this year. In 24 of Westbrook's triple doubles, he has shot under 40% effective or committed at least 7 turnovers. The rest of the league has 68 triple doubles and only 16 of those involved a player with 7+ turnovers or worse than 40% shooting. If MVP voters go for Westbrook because of his per-game averages in points, rebounds, and assists, they are falling for the headling and ignoring a lot of very meaningful stats, including turnovers, shooting percentage, efficiency, and wins.

Ghost Dog
Aug 17, 2016

advanced stats has finally found the most important stat of all: Wins

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?

dokmo posted:

The father of basketball advanced stats looks at Westbrook's triple doubles.

http://www.rawbw.com/~deano/articles/20170403_Westbrook_Not_MVP.htm

OKC win % when RW has a triple double - .780
OKC win % when RW doesn't have a triple double: .342

E2M2
Mar 2, 2007

Ain't No Thang.
RW had like 8 TOs when he nearly got that Triple Double in PHX a few days ago.

ragle
Nov 1, 2009
42% FG on the 10th best team in the league should never win MVP

Tae
Oct 24, 2010

Hello? Can you hear me? ...Perhaps if I shout? AAAAAAAAAH!
I think the article might be hinting that if you vote for RW, don't do it just because he hit 3 arbitrary benchmarks, he does actual stuff besides that

dokmo
Aug 27, 2006

:stat:man

wandler20 posted:

OKC win % when RW has a triple double - .780

Any team win% when a player has a triple double: .773

Big deal.

dokmo
Aug 27, 2006

:stat:man
lovely stats beget shittier stats. I should have known better.

CharlestheHammer
Jun 26, 2011

YOU SAY MY POSTS ARE THE RAVINGS OF THE DUMBEST PERSON ON GOD'S GREEN EARTH BUT YOU YOURSELF ARE READING THEM. CURIOUS!

dokmo posted:

Any team win% when a player has a triple double: .773

Big deal.

Well um yeah why would a player hitting a stat benchmark do better than other players hitting the same benchmark.

Papercut
Aug 24, 2005

ragle posted:

42% FG on the 10th best team in the league should never win MVP

But enough about Allen Iverson

Libertine
Jun 21, 2004

When I die, I hope they say I made the eSports industry a better place than I made millions of dollars.

dokmo posted:

lovely stats beget shittier stats. I should have known better.

Well then you better get ready for this awful poo poo:

pre:
	                B+/-	I1	PER	I2	VORP	I3	WS	I4	Total
Russell Westbrook • OKC	15.4	1.000	30.5	1.000	12	1.000	12.7	0.864	0.966
James Harden • HOU	10.1	0.656	27.3	0.895	8.7	0.725	14.7	1.000	0.819
LeBron James • CLE	8.3	0.539	27	0.885	7.1	0.592	12.6	0.857	0.718
Kawhi Leonard • SAS	8	0.519	27.7	0.908	6.1	0.508	13.5	0.918	0.714
G. Antetokounmpo • MIL	7.7	0.500	26.3	0.862	6.9	0.575	12.4	0.844	0.695
Jimmy Butler • CHI	6.7	0.435	25.1	0.823	6.1	0.508	13.2	0.898	0.666
Stephen Curry • GSW	7.3	0.474	24.6	0.807	6.1	0.508	12.3	0.837	0.656
Kevin Durant • GSW	7.9	0.513	27.5	0.902	5	0.417	11.5	0.782	0.653
Rudy Gobert • UTA	6.1	0.396	23.4	0.767	5.5	0.458	14.1	0.959	0.645
Chris Paul • LAC	8.6	0.558	26	0.852	5	0.417	10	0.680	0.627
Isaiah Thomas • BOS	5.4	0.351	26.6	0.872	4.7	0.392	12.3	0.837	0.613
K.A. Towns • MIN	4.8	0.312	25.6	0.839	5	0.417	11.9	0.810	0.594
Mike Conley • MEM	5.7	0.370	23.1	0.757	4.4	0.367	9.7	0.660	0.539
Damian Lillard • POR	4.2	0.273	24	0.787	4.2	0.350	10.3	0.701	0.528
Every dude in the NBA who is in the top 20 in Box +/-, PER, VORP, and WS. The total on the end is one quarter weighting given to each indexed stat.

dokmo
Aug 27, 2006

:stat:man

CharlestheHammer posted:

Well um yeah why would a player hitting a stat benchmark do better than other players hitting the same benchmark.

It's not a benchmark because it's statistic that is uncorrelated to anything of value is the point.

Libertine posted:

Well then you better get ready for this awful poo poo:

pre:
	                B+/-	I1	PER	I2	VORP	I3	WS	I4	Total
Russell Westbrook • OKC	15.4	1.000	30.5	1.000	12	1.000	12.7	0.864	0.966
James Harden • HOU	10.1	0.656	27.3	0.895	8.7	0.725	14.7	1.000	0.819
Every dude in the NBA who is in the top 20 in Box +/-, PER, VORP, and WS. The total on the end is one quarter weighting given to each indexed stat.

Yeah these are all versions of the same statistic, win shares. Which doesn't discount them as an argument for Westbrook but it is close to meaningless to list them together.

Eltoasto
Aug 26, 2002

We come spinning out of nothingness, scattering stars like dust.



Westbrook dunks better

Libertine
Jun 21, 2004

When I die, I hope they say I made the eSports industry a better place than I made millions of dollars.

dokmo posted:

Yeah these are all versions of the same statistic, win shares. Which doesn't discount them as an argument for Westbrook but it is close to meaningless to list them together.

Exactly, the numbers don't lie. /s

Tae
Oct 24, 2010

Hello? Can you hear me? ...Perhaps if I shout? AAAAAAAAAH!
https://twitter.com/johnschuhmann/status/851098897107877890

Punkin Spunkin
Jan 1, 2010

Papercut posted:

But enough about Allen Iverson
I'll think RW is worthy of MVP the day he steps over Tyronn Lue
Make it happen

dokmo
Aug 27, 2006

:stat:man
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tquHpax5u9o

edit: jesus I cannot edit for poo poo

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

delay mvp voting a couple weeks and give it to whoever wins the hou/okc playoff series

but anyway i think harden should get it but i'm obviously biased and i won't really be salty if westbrook does. They're both real good and cool and doing insane poo poo this year.

AggressivelyStupid
Jan 9, 2012

https://twitter.com/cavs/status/851129935444008960

Time to sign Dahntay Jones again, need someone to grab some nuts just in case

Mr. Mambold
Feb 13, 2011

Aha. Nice post.



Eltoasto posted:

Westbrook dunks better

Spring Break My Heart
Feb 15, 2012

BWV posted:

I like the NHL model people were discussing. It would be cool to also have an award voted on by the players that determines who is the best and isn't completely tied to team success/narrative
Didn't the NBPA start their own award 2 years ago? Harden won it over Curry, and then Curry won it last year.

The NHL version doesn't really help at all. What happens is voting is open earlier and so they just vote for the guy with the best stats but a little earlier (with 10 games left) instead of the guy with the best stats at the end. Most of the time it's the same guy. I think it would be even more similar in the NBA, there are only a few years where there was any real debate over the MVP and I still feel like they'd do poo poo like vote Rose in 2011 or Iverson in 2001.

leftist heap
Feb 28, 2013

Fun Shoe

Eltoasto posted:

Westbrook dunks better

Yeah I personally weigh this poo poo pretty high. Basketball is entertainment as much as sports and Russ is extremely entertaining.

Rick
Feb 23, 2004
When I was 17, my father was so stupid, I didn't want to be seen with him in public. When I was 24, I was amazed at how much the old man had learned in just 7 years.
The MVP is MWP because it has a nice lyrical sound to it.

boxcarhobo
Jun 23, 2005

Eltoasto posted:

Westbrook dunks better

Noctone
Oct 25, 2005

XO til we overdose..
also as far as we know russ hasn't turned quisling on breakfast yet

leftist heap
Feb 28, 2013

Fun Shoe
Also ET has opinions on mayo:

quote:

"I don't mess with mayonnaise," Turner said. "I don't trust white condiments. I don't even like looking at them."

Turner has the eating habits of a middle schooler as his favorite food is pizza. When he's in-season, he tries to eat lighter with chicken breast, broccoli, asparagus or corn and potatoes. The catch? The foods can not touch and no white condiments can be in sight.

Zogo
Jul 29, 2003

attackmole posted:

Wasn't the award voted on by players in the 50's - 70's and they were even worse at it than the media?

No, it's the other way around. The media falls in love with silly narratives more than the players ever did. From 1956 to 1980 the players voted on the award. From 1981 to present it's been media etc. The correlation between MVP Pts and WS was .48 when players voted. And it's .38 since the media took over.

I did a detailed analysis of voting patterns and found that both the players and media are biased against young elite players and also demonstrated that they prefer to vote for Celtics, Lakers and Knicks. Big city/media bias.

1964 and 1966 are great MVP voting years. 1978 and 2005 not so much.


Crazy Ted posted:

While we're on the subject of Minnesota: would it surprise you that they have #1 and #2 on the Minutes Played charts this year? And they're both ahead by about 100?

That's the Tom Thibodeau way.

Cool Buff Man posted:

Next level tanking is replacing your whole roster with retired local sport legends

A frightening prospect.

Dejan Bimble posted:

Why does the MVP always come down to semantic argument between "best production by a player, best production by a player on a good team, best player overall"
Just split it into three awards and if someone is truly greate set up an electro magnet in his shoes so the trophies spin around him like Mario kart shells

It is extremely illogical that an OPOY award does not exist.

AggressivelyStupid
Jan 9, 2012

leftist heap posted:

Also ET has opinions on mayo:

a man after my own heart

tanglewood1420
Oct 28, 2010

The importance of this mission cannot be overemphasized
I wouldn't mind having some kind of 'Best Player In The League' award and 'Best Individual Season' split. Of course often one player would win both, but this season would be one case where it would placate a lot of people. Lebron 'Best Player', probably Kawhi runner up - Harden/Westbrook 'Best Season'.

If it had been that way since the beginning you'd have Kareem, Jordan and Lebron with like 8 'Best Player' MVPs each which I am extremely okay with.

tanglewood1420 fucked around with this message at 23:15 on Apr 9, 2017

Spacebump
Dec 24, 2003

Dallas Mavericks: Generations

Spring Break My Heart posted:

Didn't the NBPA start their own award 2 years ago? Harden won it over Curry, and then Curry won it last year.

The NHL version doesn't really help at all. What happens is voting is open earlier and so they just vote for the guy with the best stats but a little earlier (with 10 games left) instead of the guy with the best stats at the end. Most of the time it's the same guy. I think it would be even more similar in the NBA, there are only a few years where there was any real debate over the MVP and I still feel like they'd do poo poo like vote Rose in 2011 or Iverson in 2001.

edit:
I thought they didn't have the NBAPA awards last season because the first year was a huge disaster. Players not showing up, not giving out all the listed awards, etc. I looked it up and they did in fact give out awards, no idea if it was broadcast though. Anybody know?

Spacebump fucked around with this message at 23:28 on Apr 9, 2017

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boxcarhobo
Jun 23, 2005

narratives rule and make it more fun for me, the fan

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